Ten years in reverse order

It’s unanimous.

Image result for mueller
He’s as guilty as hell, but the Justice Department won’t charge a sitting President with crimes, so there is nothing I can do.

Image result for trump
There, see? I’m vindicated. Everyone says so. Right?

Image result for conway
Right, sir.

Image result for attorney general
Right, sir.

Image result for newest supreme court justice
Right, sir

Image result for senate leader
Right, sir.

Image result for bug-eyed rudy giuliani
Uh, yep

Image result for trump
Anyway, it’s Hillary’s fault.

Social Security: How you are being conned

Yes, you are being conned, and the following article from the May 10, 2019 issue of The Week magazine unintentionally tells you how.

Social Security will be insolvent in only 16 years, said Eric Boehm in Reason​.com. That’s the finding of a new report by the program’s trustees, which says Social Security’s costs will exceed its income in 2020.

To put this as gently as possible, you are being fed 100% bovine excrement, with some equus poop tossed in.

It is absolutely impossible for any agency of the U.S. government to become insolvent unless the government wants it to become insolvent. Period.

Image result for greenspan and bernanke
A.G.: “A government can’t become insolvent from obligations in its own currency.”
B.B. “And the suckers never catch on.”

Unlike our state and local governments, our federal government uniquely is Monetarily Sovereign, meaning it cannot run short of its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar.

In the beginning, the federal government created an arbitrary number of the original U.S. dollars from thin air.

It continues to do so. (See: “Does the U.S. Treasury really destroy your tax dollars?“)

It also gave those original dollars an arbitrary value, and it continues to do that, too. (See here.)

Even if total FICA collections, which you have been told (erroneously) fund Social Security, were $0, the U.S. government could continue paying SS benefits, without limit.

In fact, even if all federal tax collections were $0, the federal government could continue spending forever, and still not borrow.

To cover benefits, the program will have to start dipping into its $3 trillion trust fund.

“If nothing changes,” those reserves will be exhausted by 2035 and recipients will receive only about three-quarters of their expected benefits.

The so-called “trust fund” is a bookkeeping fiction, designed to make you think federal finances are like personal finances.

There is no trust fund. There merely is a bookkeeping account, over which the federal government has total control.

If the government (i.e. Congress and the President) wished, that fictional “trust fund” could show a balance of $100 trillion. Or $0.

Those dollars do not “come from” anywhere. The government owns the balance sheets and puts any entries it wishes into them. (See: Monopoly)

“That may sound like a long way off, but 51-year-old workers today will just be hitting retirement age when the cuts kick in.”

Americans have long known this shortfall is coming, said Noah Rothman in CommentaryMagazine​.com, “and they do not care.

More bovine scat being fed to you. Americans do care, but they have been conned into believing that the only solution is higher taxes or reduced benefits.

In 2005, President George W. Bush unveiled a major effort to reform Social Security. It failed.

In 2012, GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan outlined ways to trim the program’s costs.

“They were defeated.” Then in 2016, Donald Trump “explicitly ran against conservative efforts to rein in entitlement spending.” He won.

Americans have voted themselves into an entitlement crisis.

The politicians lie when they tell you that “reforming” Social Security requires benefit cuts or increased taxes. The real reform would be to eliminate FICA taxes and to increase benefits.

There is not a single financial reason why this cannot be done.

Congress could restore the program to health by letting the government invest some “of the Social Security trust fund in the stock market,” said Brett Arends in Barron’s

A truly dopey idea. Not only is the stock market a high-risk investment, inappropriate for an annuity-like account, but the investment is completely unnecessary. The federal government has the unlimited ability to fund Social Security, and with no deductibles.

Further, the notion of the federal government investing in publicly-traded corporate stock is the ultimate of the socialism (i.e. federal ownership and control) that conservatives love to decry.

Federal law says the fund can invest only in low-yielding securities backed by the U.S. Treasury.

That’s why Social Security has earned a “dismal” return of 17 percent on its investments over the past five years.

U.S. stocks over the same period: 49 percent. “Stock returns are more volatile from year to year, to be sure.” But Canada, Australia, and New Zealand invest their national pension funds in stocks and other assets, “and the results have been amazing.”

The “invest in stocks” idea has only two purposes:

  1. To further brainwash you into believing that the Social Security “trust fund” is a real trust fund that is running short of dollars, and
  2. To enrich wealthy shareholders, stockbrokers, and bankers.

Such radical free-market solutions aren’t needed, said Michael Hiltzik in the Los Angeles Times.

There are low-risk ways to shore up the program. Right now, the payroll tax that largely funds Social Security only covers wage income up to $132,900.

Two Democratic bills in Congress would remove that cap over time and increase “the payroll tax on the wealthy, who get away with paying an unwarranted low tax rate.”

Wrong. The Social Security program could be “shored up” by completely eliminating FICA, and by ending the pretense that FICA funds Social Security benefits.

But hiking taxes won’t address the key reason Social Security has a cash-flow problem: our rapidly graying society, said Robert Samuelson in The Washington Post.

Wrong, again. The “cash-flow problem” is an invention of the rich, who do not want the non-rich to receive money. (See: “The Gap Psychology con job“)

An American who reaches age 65 can now expect to live for about another 20 years, up from 15 in 1950. That means retirees are claiming more from Social Security than the program’s creators ever intended.

But seniors today are far healthier than in previous generations. “We could be working longer—and should be.” Politicians could stabilize Social Security by gradually lifting its eligibility age to 70.

But our leaders won’t even propose this change “because it is not a vote getter. They should be ashamed.”

Speaking of the program’s intentions, here they are:

Luther Gulick recalling why President Franklin Roosevelt Social Security seeminly was based on payroll contributions, 1941:

“I raised the question of the ultimate abandonment the payroll taxes in connection with old age security and unemployment relief in the event of another period of depression.

“I suggested that it had been a mistake to levy these taxes in the 1930’s when the social security program was originally adopted.

“FDR said, ‘I guess you’re right on the economics. They are politics all the way through.

“‘We put those pay roll contributions there so as to give the contributors a legal, moral, and political right to collect their pensions and their unemployment benefits.

“‘With those taxes in there, no damn politician can ever scrap my social security program. Those taxes aren’t a matter of economics, they’re straight politics.

“FDR also mentioned the psychological effect of contributions in destroying the ‘relief attitude.'”

In short, President Franklin D. Roosevelt, the creator of Social Security, did not intend that taxes fund Social Security. They only served as an excuse not to eliminate Social Security.

Image result for bernie madoff
I thought if the government can get away with it, I could, too.

Roosevelt knew that taxes only give the illusion of funding Social Security, but he believed that illusion would protect the program from the “damn politicians.”

Unfortunately, the dishonesty of politicians has proven too great, for they now have turned Roosevelt’s plan inside out; they use FICA as a false excuse for cutting benefits.

The fake FICA/Social Security relationship is a con that is far greater than anything Bernie Madoff ever thought of.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereigntyFacebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the richer and the poorer.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded Medicare — parts a, b & d, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

How we can prevent recessions and depressions

How we can prevent recessions and depressions.

In order to prevent something, it is helpful to know what causes that thing. If we wish to prevent recessions and depressions, we need to know what causes them. Then, if we can prevent the causes, we can prevent the effect.

The word “recession” is defined as two consecutive quarters of reduced economic growth. It’s an arbitrary definition, that could just as easily be “three or more” – or fewer – quarters of reduced growth.

“Depression” has an even less specific definition. Investopedia says, “A depression is a severe and prolonged downturn in economic activity. In economics, a depression is commonly defined as an extreme recession that lasts two or more years.”

Ask any mainstream economist what causes recessions and depressions, and he’ll tell you pretty much what 24/7 Wall Street says in its 2010 article, “The 13 Worst Recessions, Depressions, and Panics In American History”  by Michael B. Sauter, Douglas A. McIntyre, and Charles B. Stockdale.

They list as causes:

” . . . sharp rises in unemployment, disruption of the banking and financial system, steep fall-offs in business and consumer spending, stagflation, rising bankruptcies, and an increase in the number of companies which have to weather periods of financial distress, asset speculation bubbles (rapidly rising values of gold, land, real estate), trade restrictions, bank failures, unchecked lending,” and just about anything else you can imagine.

Thus, to the mainstream economists, preventing recessions and depressions merely requires preventing all of the above — in short, they have no idea what to do.

There is, however, one common denominator for the vast majority of recessions and for virtually all depressions, and if we prevent that one common denominator, we will prevent recessions and depressions.

Here is some data that illustrates the common denominator: Image result for shoveling money

1796-1799: U.S. Federal Debt reduced 6%. Depression began 1797
1804-1812: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 48%. Depression began 1807.
1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819.
1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837.
1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857.
1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873.
1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893.
1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929.

Historical Debt Outstanding 

1796-1799: U.S. Federal Debt reduced 6%. Depression began 1797.
01/01/1799 78,408,669.77
01/01/1798 79,228,529.12
01/01/1797 82,064,479.33
01/01/1796 83,762,172.07

1804-1812: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 48%. Depression began 1807.
01/01/1812 45,209,737.90
01/01/1811 48,005,587.76
01/01/1810 53,173,217.52
01/01/1809 57,023,192.09
01/01/1808 65,196,317.97
01/01/1807 69,218,398.64
01/01/1806 75,723,270.66
01/01/1805 82,312,150.50
01/01/1804 86,427,120.88

1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819.
01/01/1822 93,546,676.98
01/01/1821 89,987,427.66
01/01/1820 91,015,566.15
01/01/1819 95,529,648.28
01/01/1818 103,466,633.83
01/01/1817 123,491,965.16
01/01/1816 127,334,933.74

1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837.
01/01/1836 37,513.05
01/01/1835 33,733.05
01/01/1834 4,760,082.08
01/01/1833 7,001,698.83
01/01/1832 24,322,235.18
01/01/1831 39,123,191.68
01/01/1830 48,565,406.50
01/01/1829 58,421,413.67
01/01/1828 67,475,043.87
01/01/1827 73,987,357.20
01/01/1826 81,054,059.99
01/01/1825 83,788,432.71
01/01/1824 90,269,777.77
01/01/1823 90,875,877.28

1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857.
07/01/1858 44,911,881.03
07/01/1857 28,699,831.85
07/01/1856 31,972,537.90
07/01/1855 35,586,956.56
07/01/1854 42,242,222.42
07/01/1853 59,803,117.701

1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873.
07/01/1873 2,234,482,993.20
07/01/1872 2,253,251,328.78
07/01/1871 2,353,211,332.32
07/01/1870 2,480,672,427.81
07/01/1869 2,588,452,213.94
07/01/1868 2,611,687,851.19

1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893.
07/01/1893 1,545,985,686.13
07/01/1892 1,588,464,144.63
07/01/1891 1,545,996,591.61
07/01/1890 1,552,140,204.73
07/01/1889 1,619,052,922.23
07/01/1888 1,692,858,984.58
07/01/1887 1,657,602,592.63
07/01/1886 1,775,063,013.78
07/01/1885 1,863,964,873.14
07/01/1884 1,830,528,923.57
07/01/1883 1,884,171,728.07
07/01/1882 1,918,312,994.03
07/01/1881 2,069,013,569.58
07/01/1880 2,120,415,370.63

1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929.
06/30/1930 16,185,309,831.43
06/29/1929 16,931,088,484.10
06/30/1928 17,604,293,201.43
06/30/1927 18,511,906,931.85
06/30/1926 19,643,216,315.19
06/30/1925 20,516,193,887.90
06/30/1924 21,250,812,989.49
06/30/1923 22,349,707,365.36
06/30/1922 22,963,381,708.31
06/30/1921 23,977,450,552.54
07/01/1920 25,952,456,406.16

It’s pretty clear isn’t it. The common denominator among all U.S. depressions is reduced federal deficit spending (reduced debt). A growing economy requires a growing supply of money, and federal deficit spending provides that money.

Ask anyone what caused the “Great Depression of 1929, and they will tell you exactly the same thing as Messrs. Sauter, McIntyre, and Stockdale:

“A period of rampant speculation in the 20’s led to a market crash of epic proportions. Over the course of two days, beginning with the infamous ‘Black Tuesday,’ the stock market lost more than a quarter of its value.”

Utter nonsense: The stock market IS rampant speculation. That’s all it is and all it ever has been. That’s its purpose. What do you think those guys behind computers, and those other guys on the floor waving their arms and screaming are doing: Rampantly speculating.

No, the Great Recession was due to lack of money.

And here is another hint:

Federal debt growth

Recessions (vertical gray bars) tend to begin following a period of reduced federal debt growth, and recessions and depressions are cured by increased federal debt growth.

Reduced growth in the money supply does tend to cause the ” . . . sharp rises in unemployment, disruption of the banking and financial system, steep fall-offs in business and consumer spending, stagflation, rising bankruptcies, and an increase in the number of companies which have to weather periods of financial distress, etc., etc. mentioned above, but they all are results, not the fundamental cause.

Economic growth requires money growth, which should be obvious, because the primary measure of the economy is GDP, which is a money measure. 

GDP = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports.

All three terms — Federal Spending, Non-federal Spending, and Net Exports — are associated with increased supplies of money.

Since the federal government cannot run short of its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar, and has the unlimited ability to prevent inflation (which, in any event, is not caused by federal deficit spending, but rather by shortages), what is the reason to reduce federal deficits and debt?

I can think of only one: Ignorance of facts.

The one good thing Donald Trump has done (though he is clueless about what it is) is to run a trillion-dollar deficit. That will grow the economy, further, just as Barack Obama’s deficits did.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereigntyFacebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the richer and the poorer.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded Medicare — parts a, b & d, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY