How the Big Lie in economics seriously impacts your life, today and will again, tomorrow.

The Big Lie in economics is: Federal taxes fund federal spending.
The Big Lie sometimes is stated, “Our children and grandchildren will have to pay for today’s federal deficits and debt.”

The Big Lie is told, and believed, for one simple reason: Most people do not understand the differences between federal government (Monetarily Sovereign) finances and all other (monetarily non-sovereign) finances.

You, your business, your state, county, and city all are monetarily non-sovereign.

When you want to spend, you need a source of money, which for local governments mostly is taxes and borrowing.

By contrast, the federal government is Monetarily Sovereign.

When it wants to spend, it neither needs nor uses any source of money.

It creates new money by paying creditors, exactly the opposite of what you personally are accustomed to.

Although the federal government collects tax dollars, it no longer needs to.

That change occurred in August, 1971, when President Richard Nixon, in the greatest act of his Presidency, took us off a gold standard.

The purpose of that change was to remove limits on the federal government’s ability to create money. Since that date, the federal government has not used tax dollars to pay for anything.

Contrary to popular wisdom, federal taxpayers are not “on the hook” for federal deficits (which in fact are private sector surpluses) or for federal debt (which is nothing more than deposits in accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank).

You or your grandchildren do not owe the federal deficit or debt, and you never will pay for them. Period.

The sole purpose of tax dollars has been to regulate the economy, by taxing what the government wants to limit and by giving tax breaks to what the government wants to encourage. The federal government could eliminate all federal tax collections, and still continue spending, forever.

That said, please read the following excerpts from an article that appeared in the March 18, 2021 edition of the Chicago Tribune:

We don’t need Biden’s infrastructure binge
Steve Chapman, a member of the Tribune Editorial Board

Donald Trump did many bad things as president, but he deserves a smidgen of credit for what he didn’t do: go on an infrastructure spending binge.

He vowed that under him, our roads, bridges and waterways would be “the envy of the world.” He said that in 2016 and was still saying it in 2020. But his main achievement was to make “infrastructure week” a source of hilarity.

Now President Joe Biden is hoping to do what Trump didn’t do, and he has support from such divergent groups as the AFL-CIO and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

During his campaign, he made gaudy promises to “transform” our transportation networks, “revolutionize” railroads and urban transit, and upgrade water systems, broadband, bike lanes, home weatherization and just about anything else you could think of. Biden could make the Pledge of Allegiance an infrastructure issue.

His price tag for all this? Two trillion dollars. His plan to pay for it? Unspecified.

The two trillion dollars would be created by the federal government, then distributed as growth dollars to the private sector.

Biden would pay for it exactly the same way the federal government pays for everything: It creates dollars, ad hoc.

Specifically, to pay any bill:

The federal government creates instructions from thin air, then sends those instructions (in the form of a check or wire transfer) to the creditor’s bank, instructing the bank to increase the creditor’s checking account balance by a specified amount (“Pay to the order of _______“)

When the bank clicks a computer key to increase the numbers in the creditor’s checking account, this instantly creates brand new dollars that are added to the nation’s money supply, in a segment known as “M1.”

The bank then balances its books by clearing the instructions through the Federal Reserve, which always approves federal instructions.

By formula, increases to the nation’s money supply increase economic growth (Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports). Federal government spending increases the nation’s money supply. State and local government spending does not.

No tax dollars are involved at any point in this transaction. The whole process is paid for by newly created dollars.

The White House has indicated a preference for tax increases on the wealthy and corporations. When asked recently how she and her fellow Republicans would react to that idea, Sen. Susan Collins reportedly “burst out laughing.”

Sadly, Biden and his minions disseminate the Big Lie that federal taxes fund federal spending.

Why? The real purpose of the Big Lie is to convince you, the public, that the federal government’s ability to provide benefits to you is limited. This is to keep you from asking for free Medicare for All, free College for All, support for local governments to cut local taxes — indeed for any benefit to the not-rich.

The very rich, who run America, are motivated by “Gap Psychology, the desire to get richer by distancing oneself from those who have less wealth. The rich pay politicians (via political contributions and promises of jobs afterward), university economists (via lucrative jobs and contributions to universities), and the media (via ownership and advertising dollars) to disseminate the Big Lie.

We are told that our highways and bridges are falling apart from lack of investment and that upgrading them will not only create jobs but boost our economic productivity.

But the Reason Foundation, which issues a detailed report each year on the nation’s highways, found that the percentage of urban interstates rated in poor condition was lower in 2018 than a decade earlier.

Likewise with rural interstates. For other major rural highways, just 1.23% were in bad shape in 2018.

The foundation’s most recent report found that “the general quality and safety of the nation’s highways has incrementally improved as spending on state-owned roads increased by 9%, up to $151.8 billion” compared with the previous year.

The Reason Foundation is a libertarian organization that opposes virtually all government spending. Their research results tend to be slanted in that  direction.

Nevertheless, even the possibility that our roads and highways may be in less bad condition, does not indicate the federal government should not improve them. Americans live longer today than they did years ago. So should the government not have paid for the CORONA virus vaccine?

And what about those jobs infrastructure work creates?

Bridges? Notes Brown University economist Matthew A. Turner in The Milken Institute Review, “There were more bridges in good condition and fewer crumbling bridges in 2017 than in 1992.” Mass transit? The average age of public transit buses has declined during that period. 

As always with the Big Lie, one simple point is missed. When the states fix roads and bridges, state taxpayers must take dollars from their pockets to pay for these repairs.

When the federal government pays, it puts new dollars into the private sector.

Then we come to the faux moral excuse for the Big Lie:

Even if the United States needs more investment in particular areas, that doesn’t mean the federal government should pick up the tab. The great majority of infrastructure assets are owned by state and local governments, and it’s their constituents who would gain the most from resurfacing roads or bolstering bridges.

If they are going to reap the economic benefits of such investments, shouldn’t they be willing to pay for them?

Yes, shame on you for wanting the federal government, which has infinite money, to pay, when you, who have limited money should want to pay, that is, if you are a good person. Right?

The purpose of that kind of reasoning is to pit one part of the public against the other with a “Why should I pay for his roads?” kind of reasoning.

In fact, they seem to be unwilling. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities reports, “State and local infrastructure spending as a share of gross domestic product is at its lowest point since the early 1980s.”

Apparently, the author believes state and local taxes are too low. After all, the only place the state governments can find the money for infrastructure repair is via taxes, so when states are “unwilling,” it merely means their taxes are too low.

But the fact that these governments don’t want to use their own money doesn’t mean they won’t be happy to use cash that falls out of the sky.

That’s the political beauty of federal infrastructure packages: The benefits are obvious to people getting new projects, but the costs are invisible.

The author doesn’t realize it, but his “falls out of the sky” intended pejorative, actually comes close to the truth. The federal government, creates dollars from nothing, as it always has — just as it created the very first dollars, when America began.

Where does the author think the first dollars came from? In the late 1770s, there existed zero dollars. Ten years later, there were millions. Where did they come from if not from “out of the sky,” i.e. created from thin air by laws (which also are created from thin air) passed by the federal government?

The timing of this push is also awkward, because the COVID-19 catastrophe creates so much uncertainty about how we will live, work and travel going forward.

“I’m not sure that at this time we want to be pouring concrete or buying equipment until we see how much of this shakes out for a year or two,” University of Chicago economist Allen Sanderson told me.

“Shakes out”? Does Sanderson believe roads will not need to be fixed? Does he believe public transportation will become obsolete? And how long is this “shake-out” period? Will we know something more next year, so don’t fix roads for a year?

Or will we have to wait a decade to learn what our long-term needs will be?

Of course, the University of Chicago economists are notorious for not understanding the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, so Sanderson’s remarks, though totally wrong, are not unexpected.

Under Trump, “infrastructure week” went nowhere, time after time. But it could be that one thing worse than an infrastructure push that fails is an infrastructure push that succeeds?

No, Mr. Chapman, the one thing worse than an infrastructure push that fails is a columnist who, knowing nothing about Monetary Sovereignty, always tells his readers, “Now is not the time to spend.”

But if not now, when? Ever?

Steve Chapman blogs at http://www.chicagotribune.com/chapman.
schapman@chicagotribune.com, Twitter: @SteveChapman13

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

THE SOLE PURPOSE OF GOVERNMENT IS TO IMPROVE AND PROTECT THE LIVES OF THE PEOPLE.

The most important problems in economics involve:

  1. Monetary Sovereignty describes money creation and destruction.
  2. Gap Psychology describes the common desire to distance oneself from those “below” in any socio-economic ranking, and to come nearer those “above.” The socio-economic distance is referred to as “The Gap.”

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics. Implementation of Monetary Sovereignty and The Ten Steps To Prosperity can grow the economy and narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

  1. Eliminate FICA
  2. Federally funded Medicare — parts A, B & D, plus long-term care — for everyone
  3. Social Security for all
  4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone
  5. Salary for attending school
  6. Eliminate federal taxes on business
  7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 
  8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.
  9. Federal ownership of all banks
  10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Why do we hoard the infinite?

Monetary Sovereignty (MS) could not be simpler. The entire doctrine is based on one basic fact:

A Monetarily Sovereign entity cannot unintentionally run short of its own sovereign currency.

Everything devolves from that.President Richard Nixon decoupled the United States dollar from gold on in August 1971, allowing the Federal Reserve greater ability to increase the money supply. Factbar 39 minted June 10, 2018 11:04am | 10 claims claimed by GodwinS 1.3301 ETH ...

The U.S. government today, is Monetarily Sovereign.

For most of its history, it was on some form of metal standard, gold and/or silver.

But being on a metal standard limited the government’s ability to create dollars.

The supply of the metal limited the supply of money.

The U.S. finally became fully MS in 1971, when Richard Nixon ended the last gold standard, perhaps his single greatest act.

Today, the federal government could, if it wished, spend many trillions of dollars without collecting even one dollar in taxes. One might argue about the effect of such spending, but the government’s ability to do it is beyond debate.

Some types of spending will grow the economy more, faster, or in a better way than would other types of spending. But to various degrees, all federal spending grows the economy. This is a mathematical certainty derived from the equation:

Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports

Worries about the federal debt and deficit being  “a ticking time bomb” or that the federal government is “broke,” or that the debt/GDP ratio is “unsustainable,” generally are based on the false belief that the federal government is like state and local governments, i.e. monetarily non-sovereign,

This false belief has led to several nonsensical activities:

  1. The collection of federal taxes to “pay for” federal purchases. (The federal government needs no tax dollars.)
  2. The establishment of mythical “trust funds” — Social Security Trust Fund, Medicare Trust Fund, Highway Trust Fund, ostensibly to pay federal bills. (They aren’t real trust funds and they pay for nothing.)
  3. The unnecessary collection not only of federal taxes in general, but of specifically earmarked taxes, for instance, FICA taxes. (FICA is the most regressive tax among all the regressive taxes in America.)

For example, consider this article from the Peter G. Peterson Foundation website:

Federal trust funds bear little resemblance to their private-sector counterparts, and therefore the name can be misleading.

A “trust fund” implies a secure source of funding. However, a federal trust fund is simply an accounting mechanism used to track inflows and outflows for specific programs.

In private-sector trust funds, receipts are deposited and assets are held and invested by trustees on behalf of the stated beneficiaries. In federal trust funds, the federal government does not set aside the receipts or invest them in private assets.

Rather, the receipts are recorded as accounting credits in the trust funds, and then combined with other receipts that the Treasury collects and spends.

Further, the federal government owns the accounts and can, by changing the law, unilaterally alter the purposes of the accounts and raise or lower collections and expenditures.

The above is an accurate description of how federal “trust funds” really work. Sadly, the accuracy disappears with the following sentence:

When revenues for a trust fund fall short of expenses, the Treasury must finance payments through additional borrowing from the public.

Wrong.

Think about it. Why would any entity, having the unlimited ability to create its own sovereign currency, resort to borrowing? Further, where would the public obtain funds to lend to the government.

The federal government, in fact, does not borrow. Those Treasury securities (T-bills, T-notes, T-bonds) you may own are not the result of lending. They are the result of money deposits into T-security accounts — money the federal government never touches.

We have provided links for further discussions of these points, as all of the above merely is introductory to an article we now will discuss.

$1,400 Stimulus Payments Would Be a Waste of Money
President Joe Biden wants to provide additional stimulus checks of $1,400 to the majority of Americans. 
By Steve Chapman, schapman@chicagotribune.com

Last spring, the Treasury Department sent out “economic impact payments” to some 160 million people, in the amount of $1,200 for each adult who qualified. Gallup then asked people if they would like the government to give them more money.

 Only 17% said no — a group possibly dominated by those who didn’t qualify the first time and were seething with resentment.

In December, when then-President Donald Trump proposed to distribute another round of checks of $2,000 per person, he again found a receptive audience. Two-thirds of Americans were prepared to shoulder their patriotic duty to accept more money. But in the end, Congress agreed to payments of just $600.

President Joe Biden now wants to make up the difference, providing checks of $1,400 to the vast majority of Americans. In the middle of an economic crisis brought on by a raging pandemic, there are many ways the federal government could spend money that would be cost-effective as well as humane.

Stimulus payments are not one of them.

Private sector spending can be evaluated on the basis of “cost-effectiveness.” Federal spending cannot, for one simple reason: Cost is not an issue for an entity that has an infinite supply of money.

Further, contrary to popular wisdom, “waste” is not an issue, either. “Waste” is just the federal government pumping growth dollars into a part of the private sector that someone doesn’t like, so he terms it “waste.”

The real waste is the waste of human effort — the millions of valuable hours wasted calculating and paying taxes to the federal government, which destroys tax dollars upon receipt.

The only issues are: What should be accomplished and how should it be accomplished, no matter the cost.

Now here’s an interesting fact that most people don’t know: The Medicare “trust funds” consist of the Hospital Insurance (HI) fund (Part A) and the Supplementary Medicare Insurance (SMI) fund (Part B).

Unless reforms are enacted, the Trustees estimate that Medicare’s HI Trust Fund will be depleted in 2026. The SMI fund, however, cannot be depleted as contributions from the federal government’s general fund are set to cover any remaining deficit after premiums paid by beneficiaries are taken into account.

Translation: The federal government does with the SMI fund what it should do with all so-called “funds.” It simply pays the bills.

There is no talk about insolvency, or “borrowing,” or “ticking time bombs.” The federal government uses its infinite ability to pay the SMI bills.

It could and should do exactly the same thing for Social Security, Medicare (Part A), highways, et al.  We could have Social Security for All, and Medicare for All without spending one cent of taxpayer money.

The question, “How will you pay for it?” will justly fall into the dustbin of history.

Mr. Chapman continues:

Now is no time for austerity.

Millions of people have lost jobs. Tens of thousands of businesses have closed. The federal government should be ready to take on large amounts of new debt to alleviate widespread hardship and keep the economy from collapsing.

Not “debt.” Federal debt (i.e. deposits in T-security accounts) pays for nothing. The federal government should be ready to implement large amounts of new spending.

But that obligation is no excuse for outlays that are poorly suited to either task. True, additional stimulus checks will help Americans who are in serious need, but they will help a lot more people who are not.

Any individual making $99,000 or less or two-adult household with an income of $150,000 or less was eligible for the full amount of the first payments.

So what if stimulus checks go to people whose income exceeds the $99K and $150K thresholds? This is America’s middle-class. By what logic should they not receive money?

The checks are commonly referred to as stimulus payments, but they’re not designed to stimulate the economy. Nor is stimulus what the economy needs.

When a normal recession hits, people spend less as they lose their jobs or fear losing them, which causes the economy to contract further. The federal government can help in the short run by giving people money to spend.

But this time, the economy contracted because the pandemic shut down or curtailed a wide range of activities. Giving people money doesn’t help when they can’t or don’t want to do so many things that involve outlays of cash — dining out, going to a movie, buying clothes, taking a trip or hosting a party. It’s like wasting matches trying to light a sodden firecracker.

The futility of this approach became clear after the first round of payments. A study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that just 40% of the money was spent on goods and services, with the balance going to pay down debt or increase savings.

Who says paying down debt and increasing savings is not economically beneficial for the private sector?? When did that not become stimulative for today’s current economy and for tomorrow’s economy?

The $600 checks cost $166 billion, and following up with $1,400 payments would bring the total to as much as $600 billion, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

That money could be dispensed in far more productive ways — to keep companies from going bankrupt, enable tenants to pay their rent or finance COVID-19 treatment, testing and vaccinations.

Why not do both? The federal government is not financially constrained. It should do everything to grow the economy, and especially the middle classes, and not be limited to Mr. Chapman’s favorite exercises.

Limiting the payments to individuals making up to $50,000 and families with incomes up to $75,000 would save $200 billion while concentrating the help on people most likely to need it and most likely to spend it.

Except what is the purpose of “saving” $200 billion for a government that can create trillions at the touch of a computer key. Clearly, Mr. Chapman wrongly believes the federal government’s ability to spend is limited.

It would be far better for the federal government to save families than to save money.

And now come classic economic ignorance:

For Washington to skimp on urgent needs during a crisis would be a false economy. But that doesn’t excuse pumping out cash with a fire hose.

Every dollar borrowed enlarges the swollen federal debt.

We’re lucky that interest rates are low now, making it cheap to borrow. But they won’t stay low forever, and when they rise, taxpayers will groan under the weight.

The federal government has a fire hose, but Mr. Chapman would put out the economic fire with a garden hose — for no reason.

Again, the federal government does not borrow, and that number incorrectly he terms “swollen federal debt” is neither swollen nor debt. It is just a bookkeeping number over which the federal government has total control. It is not a burden on the government or on taxpayers.

Finally, low interest rates do not benefit a government that has the unlimited ability to create dollars.

Most Americans would be happy for the federal government to give them free money, just as they would be happy for someone to offer them free beer or free food. They may not realize they’re volunteering to pick up the tab.

That would be true if federal taxes funded federal spending. But they do not.

Federal taxes go up and down, and neither move correlates with federal spending. Federal tax increases and federal tax cuts are not in any way related to federal spending increases and cuts.

Steve Chapman, a member of the
Tribune Editorial Board,
blogs at http://www.chicagotribune.com/chapman .
schapman@chicagotribune.com
Twitter @SteveChapman13

Chapman wants to hoard the dollars of which we have infinite. He should know better.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

THE SOLE PURPOSE OF GOVERNMENT IS TO IMPROVE AND PROTECT THE LIVES OF THE PEOPLE.

The most important problems in economics involve:

  1. Monetary Sovereignty describes money creation and destruction.
  2. Gap Psychology describes the common desire to distance oneself from those “below” in any socio-economic ranking, and to come nearer those “above.” The socio-economic distance is referred to as “The Gap.”

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics. Implementation of Monetary Sovereignty and The Ten Steps To Prosperity can grow the economy and narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

  1. Eliminate FICA
  2. Federally funded Medicare — parts A, B & D, plus long-term care — for everyone
  3. Social Security for all or a reverse income tax
  4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone
  5. Salary for attending school
  6. Eliminate federal taxes on business
  7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 
  8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.
  9. Federal ownership of all banks
  10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Why you should contact Steve Chapman

There are important reasons why you should contact Steve Chapman. Let me explain.

Monetary Sovereignty is not a difficult concept. It simply says that the federal government, having created the first U.S. dollars from thin air, continues to have the power to keep creating U.S. dollars from thin air.Greenspan quote.png

You are not Monetarily Sovereign, nor am I. Nor is your city, your county, your state, or your business.

We all can run short of dollars. Even Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates can run short of dollars. The U.S. government cannot run short. Unless it wants to.

Even if the U.S. government didn’t collect a single dollar in taxes, it could continue spending forever.

Some countries are not Monetarily Sovereign. The euro nations are not. They did not create the euro; they merely use it. But the European Union, which did create the euro, is Monetarily Sovereign.Bernanke quote.png

Obviously, there are a lot of other pieces to Monetary Sovereignty, but that is the essence: The U.S. federal government’s infinite ability to create U.S. dollars. Simple. Straightforward. Direct. The U.S. government, being Monetarily Sovereign, can create U.S. dollars endlessly.

You might think that anyone writing about or discussing economics would at the very least, understand that simple “1 + 1 + 2” concept. And yet . . .

I’ve spent more than 20 years trying to teach Monetary Sovereignty to anyone who will listen, and even now I am amazed at the brutal, stone-headed resistance.

Much of it is intentional, because drill down through the facts of Monetary Sovereignty, you discover some things the rich, opinion leaders don’t like — for instance a narrowing of the financial Gap between the rich and the rest.

But some of it is just . . . how can I say this kindly? . . . just plain mental blindness.

During my 20+ years mission, I’ve come across some truly wrong, misleading, and downright misguided articles, but today I found one that must be in the top 3.St louis fed quote.png

It was written by a man who is not stupid; I’ve read other of his articles and found them to be enlightening. But this one is, as the kids like to say, awesome — in how wrong it is!

No, this is not the time for fiscal restraint  By Steve Chapman

Steve Chapman is a columnist and editorial writer for the Chicago Tribune. His twice-weekly column on national and international affairs, distributed by Creators Syndicate, appears in some 50 papers across the country. Chapman has been a member of the Tribune editorial board since 1981. A native Texan, he has a bachelor’s degree from Harvard.
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
Fiscal discipline was once a durable American practice. But in the 1940s, it went out the window. The federal government embarked on a sudden, unprecedented binge of borrowing that put the nation in hock up to its ears.

WRONG: The U.S. federal government does not borrow. Having the unlimited ability to create dollars, why would it?

What erroneously is termed “borrowing” actually is the acceptance of deposits into Treasury Security accounts (T-bill, T-note, T-bond). When you invest in a T-security, you deposit U.S. dollars into your T-security account.

There your dollars remain, gathering interest, until the account matures, at which time the government returns the dollars in your account. The government never uses those dollars or removes them from your account.

The purposes of issuing T-securities are:

  1. To provide a safe place for unused cash, which stabilizes the U.S. dollar
  2. To assist the Fed in controlling interest rates, which helps control inflation.

The government does not issue T-securities to obtain dollars.

From 1940 to 1945, federal spending rose tenfold. The national debt increased sixfold. The public would have to shoulder the burden of paying down that debt for decades to come.

WRONG: The public has not shouldered, and will not shoulder any burden from the so-called, misnamed “debt.”

First, it’s not “debt” in the usual sense. It’s deposits, and the deposits are NOT paid back with taxes. The “debt” (deposits) are paid off merely by returning the dollars that exist in the T-security accounts.

Second, federal taxes do not fund any federal spending. In fact, all federal taxes (unlike state and local government taxes) are destroyed upon receipt.

When the federal government pays a creditor, it creates new dollars, ad hoc. The process is this:

Upon approving an invoice for payment, the government sends instructions (checks or wires) to the creditor’s bank, instructing the bank to increase the balance in the creditor’s checking account.

At the instant the creditor’s bank does as instructed, new dollars are created and added to the nation’s money supply (M1). This is the federal government’s method for creating dollars. No taxes involved. No burden on anyone.

There was, however, a good excuse for this gross budgetary excess: World War II. For a government, as with a person, there is usually no difference between being frugal and being wise.

But when the nation’s survival is at stake, the risks of underspending are far greater than the risks of overspending.

With the phrase “as with a person,” Chapman reveals abject ignorance of economics, for he equates federal (Monetarily Sovereign) finances with personal (monetarily non-sovereign) finances.

Further, he alludes to “gross budgetary excess,” which may be appropriate to individuals, states, and businesses, but is completely irrelevant to the federal government, which has the unlimited ability to create its own sovereign currency.

Finally, Chapman refers to WWII as needing “overspending” but does not mention any adverse effect from the so-called “budget excess.”

US GDP-Components from 1929 to 2011
The vertical gray bars show total GDP (right scale). The other lines show % of GDP (left scale). The black dotted line is government spending.  The blue dotted line is personal consumption.

In fact, increased federal spending created a dramatic increase in GDP.

gdp federal spending.png
’39-’49

A similar imperative exists today, as the new coronavirus endangers lives and causes economic disruption on a scale not seen since — well, since World War II.

Last year, the federal budget deficit soared to nearly $1 trillion , at a time of sustained economic growth and prosperity. It was an atrocious figure, representing the latest fiscal failure by our political leaders.

Chapman does not understand that the “sustained economic growth and prosperity” was a direct result of the federal budget deficit growth.

Deficits pump dollars into the economy, and GDP (the usual measure of economic growth) is a dollar measure.

GDP = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports

Thus, it makes absolutely no mathematical sense to decry federal deficits while also treasuring GDP growth.

And, in fact, the “economic disruption” demands deficit spending far in excess of the $2 trillion measure recently passed. A spending measure of at least $7 trillion would have prevented the coming recession.

But the spending package forged by Congress and the president to address the fallout of the pandemic will add up to more than double that amount, pushing overall spending to levels never imagined just weeks ago.

The rescue plan is probably only the first of a series of huge spending bills meant to reduce the devastation from a locked-down economy.

Here, Chapman really doesn’t get it. He correctly indicates that “huge spending bills” “reduce the devastation from a locked-down economy.”

Amazingly, he doesn’t understand why that is true.

Of course, the reason is that money grows the economy and federal spending pumps money into the economy. Chapman wants the economy to grow from a “locked-down” position, but he doesn’t seem to want it to grow from a “non-locked-down” situation.

Puzzling.

For more years than I care to remember, under presidents of both parties, I have been a consistent voice — OK, an insufferable scold — on the need for the government to be thrifty and responsible in its budget policy.

I have stressed the importance of living within our means, paying the full cost of what we demand of our government and not piling needless obligations on future generations.

There are many good moments for fiscal restraint. This is not one of them.

He has been insufferable because his scolding has been based on economic ignorance.

The Monetarily Sovereign government has no “means” to live within. It has the infinite ability to pay any bills of any size, instantly.

And with regard to “paying the full cost of what we demand,” Chapman is referring to a balanced budget, or as it alternatively is known, “austerity.”

Here is what austerity looks like:

Vertical gray bars are recessions which begin when federal deficit spending (red line) declines, and are cured by increases in federal deficit spending.

And, if Mr. Chapman prefers federal surpluses (economic deficits), he should look at this:

Every U.S. depression has come on the heels of federal surpluses
1804-1812: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 48%. Depression began 1807.
1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819.
1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837.
1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857.
1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873.
1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893.
1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929.
1997-2001: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 15%. Recession began 2001.

Today, we face enormous dangers. One is that millions of Americans thrown out of work or otherwise deprived of income will be unable to pay their bills, put food on the table or keep their homes.

Refusing to help them through this crisis, which came about for reasons beyond their control, would exact a horrific human toll.

It would also create general chaos that would stymie economic recovery for months, if not years.

Likewise with businesses. In the absence of prompt federal aid, a wave of bankruptcies could wipe out companies that were healthy and profitable before — and have every prospect of being healthy and profitable afterward.

The businesses would be gone, and so would the jobs they provided. People and companies desperately need a bridge across this troubled water.

In Mr. Chapman’s world, apparently the government should wait until “millions of Americans are thrown out of work or otherwise deprived of income, will be unable to pay their bills, put food on the table or keep their homes” before adding dollars to the economy.

He opposes deficit spending to, for instance, institute the Ten Steps to Prosperity (below), grow the economy and/or narrow the Gap between the rich and the rest

Yes, the necessary measures will be shockingly expensive. Yes, they will have to be paid for with borrowed funds. Yes, they will enlarge a national debt that was already in the neighborhood of $24 trillion.

WRONG. They will not be paid for with borrowed funds. But yes, the so-called national debt — which since 1940 has increased 60,000% (from $40 billion to $24 trillion) while the economy has grown massively — will continue to grow.

And further growth in the “debt” will mathematically be necessary for future economic growth.

How could we afford all this new debt?

Through the robust revenue-generating economic activity that will resume if we successfully navigate the crisis. The larger debt burden will be easier to bear in the long run than a smaller debt would be if we let a brief, severe downturn become a prolonged depression.

Mr. Chapman continues to demonstrate ignorance of the differences between federal financing and personal financing.

The federal government can “afford” any debt, simply by creating dollars. That is the way it pays all its debts.

It neither needs, nor uses “revenue-generating economic activity.” Federal taxes do not fund federal spending.

Debts have to repaid with dollars, and dollars are something the Federal Reserve can create in any quantity needed.

The worst case is that we will have to endure an eventual spell of inflation, which would be far preferable to an immediate and total economic collapse.

And there it is, the inevitable, but wrong, “The government always can print money, BUT this would cause inflation.” Again and again, we hear this from the economically ignorant, but NEVER do we see the evidence to back it up.warren buffet quote.png

Here is evidence to the contrary. It is an article titled, Only 450 words answer the question, “Does printing money cause inflation?”

It contains graphs showing that inflation is caused by shortages, especially shortages of food and/or energy:

Graph I Changes in the money supply M3 are NOT predictive of changes in prices (red).
Graph II Changes in the price of oil (which closely reflect supply changes) ARE predictive of inflation.
Graph III Food and energy inflation IS predictive of overall inflation.

After you look at those graphs, look at this one:

While federal deficit spending has risen dramatically (blue line) inflation (red line) has risen moderately, within the Fed’s target range.

Historically, the scarcity of food and/or oil has been the driver of inflation and hyperinflation. See: The Hyperinflation Myth Explained.

In most cases, our politicians deserve condemnation for spending money with wild abandon. In this moment, it’s the best thing they can do.

Steve Chapman, a member of the Tribune Editorial Board, blogs at http://www.chicagotribune.com/chapman .
schapman@chicagotribune.com
Twitter @SteveChapman13

Steve Chapman is widely read and influential. I urge you to contact him with the facts. Perhaps if he receives enough pokes, he may pay attention.

We desperately need more people of influence to spread the word, or we will have more recessions and wider Gaps between the rich and the rest.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

THE SOLE PURPOSE OF GOVERNMENT IS TO IMPROVE AND PROTECT THE LIVES OF THE PEOPLE.

The most important problems in economics involve:

  1. Monetary Sovereignty describes money creation and destruction.
  2. Gap Psychology describes the common desire to distance oneself from those “below” in any socio-economic ranking, and to come nearer those “above.” The socio-economic distance is referred to as “The Gap.”

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of Monetary Sovereignty and The Ten Steps To Prosperity can grow the economy and narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded Medicare — parts A, B & D, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Here is the latest to join the “Clueless” club

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
==============================================================================================================================================
People laughed about T.V. commercials that began, “I’m not a doctor, but I play one on television.” The viewer was expected to believe the actor’s medical expertise because he plays a doctor. Well we have a corollary in the media. It’s “I’m not an economist though I pontificate about economics in the newspapers,” and the latest to join that revered group is Steve Chapman who is “a member of the Tribune’s editorial board and blogs at http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/chapman/

For those of you who are new to my site, Monetary Sovereignty is the foundation of modern economics, just as arithmetic is the foundation of mathematics. So when someone doesn’t understand Monetary Sovereignty, you can be sure he does not know what he’s talking about, when it comes to economics.

Here are a few quotes from Steve Chapman’s 4/7/11 column titled, “Reforming Medicare for the Real world.”

Critics (of Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan’s plan to overhaul Medicare) say its not as sweet as the status quo. But the status quo is too good to last. Mark Pauly, a health care economist at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, says of Ryan’s plan, “It’s not better than what we have now, but what we have now is not something we can have 20 years from now.”

Let me translate that for you. The plan is worse than what we have now. Americans will have less health care insurance, leading to poorer health care.

Why not? Because it will cost too much for the nation to afford. . . Absent substantial changes, Pauly has calculated payroll taxes would have to triple to pay for all the promised benefits

Here’s where Mr. Chapman’s (and Professor Pauly’s) cluelessness rears its ugly head. Monetary Sovereignty shows that federal spending is not constrained by federal taxes. In fact, FICA could be completely eliminated, while benefits were tripled, and this would not affect by even one penny the federal government’s ability to support Medicare. In short, federal taxes do not pay for federal spending.

Yes, state taxes pay for state spending, and county taxes pay for county spending, and city taxes pay for city spending — but states, counties and cities are not Monetarily Sovereign. The federal government is. This is a fact that Mr. Chapman, along with Congress, the President and most (thankfully, not all) economics professors don’t understand.

I have news for people old enough to be thinking about retirement: Your children may love you, but not enough to be taxed into poverty. Ryan’s detractors pretend we can go on enjoying the status quo indefinitely. But it’s only a matter of time before we hit a fiscal wall, hard.

Translation: Things may not be so great now, but they are going to get a whole lot worse for you. Why? Because your leaders and we columnists are too ignorant and/or lazy to take a few minutes to understand at least the basics of Monetary Sovereignty.

And what is that “fiscal wall” Mr. Chapman mentions? No one knows, least of all him. At one time, the debt-hawks claimed if we ever passed a debt/GDP ratio of 60%, we would be insolvent. We passed that, so the figure hastily was changed to 100%. We’re about to pass that, but we’re nothing compared to Japan, which already has passed 200% and is nowhere near any mythical “fiscal wall.”

As the Congressional Budget Office notes, “Most elderly people would pay more for their health care.” That’s not a terribly enticing prospect. But we might as well stop pretending there’s any alternative. . . The reason people will dislike what Ryan offers is not that he’s needlessly cruel. It’s that his plan confronts reality, and reality bites.

So there you have it folks. The debt-hawks promise you a bleak future, and there’s nothing you can do about it, except to watch America spiral down to 3rd world status. The sky is falling, and your life soon will be crap, and your children’s lives will be worse crap, so live with it.

Uh, well there is one thing: You can learn Monetary Sovereignty, in which case you would discover that the future doesn’t need to bite. It can be a great one, and all it takes is a bit of brains.

You might drop Steve Chapman a note at schapman@tribune.com, and ask him why he refuses to learn the basics of economics (i.e., Monetary Sovereignty) but still feels qualified to write about economics.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


==========================================================================================================================================
No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. It’s been 40 years since the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, and neither Congress, nor the President, nor the Fed, nor the vast majority of economists and economics bloggers, nor the preponderance of the media, nor the most famous educational institutions, nor the Nobel committee, nor the International Monetary Fund have yet acquired even the slightest notion of what that means.

Remember that the next time you’re tempted to ask a dopey teenager, “What were you thinking?” He’s liable to respond, “Pretty much what your generation was thinking when it screwed up the economy.”

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY