An update of the biggest con job in American history: Tick, tick, tick. 80 years and the federal debt “ticking time bomb” still is ticking.

An update of the biggest con job in American history, that still is running:

Once again, I am compelled by recent articles to remind you that in 1940, when the phony federal debt was described as a”ticking time bomb,” America had not yet entered World War II.

The most popular songs were: Tommy Dorsey’s “I’ll Never Smile Again,” Bing Crosby’s “Only Forever,” and Artie Shaw’s “Frenesi

 The median annual income for a man in 1940 was $956. 

A postage stamp cost $.03.

A new car cost about $800 and for 18 cents, you could buy a gallon of gas.

And yes, the federal debt was called a “ticking time bomb.”

In 1940, when the federal debt first became a “ticking time bomb,” it was only $40-50 Billion. Today it exceeds $22 Trillion.

Year after year, that “ticking time bomb” of federal debt has kept ticking, and here we are, in 2020, with a  healthy economy, and still that phony bomb hasn’t exploded.

Eighty years of warnings, eighty years of being wrong, eighty years and many people still believe the doomsday sayers.

As we dance down Memory Lane, here they are, again:

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Back in 1940, the federal budget was a “ticking time-bomb which can eventually destroy the American system,” said Robert M. Hanes, president of the American Bankers Association.

September 26, 1940, New York Times, Column 8

By 1960: the debt was “threatening the country’s fiscal future,” said Secretary of Commerce, Frederick H. Mueller. (“The enormous cost of various Federal programs is a time-bomb threatening the country’s fiscal future, Secretary of Commerce Frederick H. Mueller warned here yesterday.”)

By 1983: “The debt probably will explode in the third quarter of 1984,” said Fred Napolitano, former president of the National Association of Home Builders.

In 1984: AFL-CIO President Lane Kirkland said. “It’s a time bomb ticking away.”

In 1985: “The federal deficit is ‘a ticking time bomb, and it’s about to blow up,” U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell. (Remember him?)

Later in 1985: Los Angeles Times: “We labeled the deficit a ‘ticking time bomb’ that threatens to permanently undermine the strength and vitality of the American economy.”

In 1987: Richmond Times–Dispatch – Richmond, VA: “100TH CONGRESS FACING U.S. DEFICIT ‘TIME BOMB’”

Later in 1987: The Dallas Morning News: “A fiscal time bomb is slowly ticking that, if not defused, could explode into a financial crisis within the next few years for the federal government.”

In 1989: FORTUNE Magazine: “A TIME BOMB FOR U.S. TAXPAYERS

In 1992: The Pantagraph – Bloomington, Illinois: “I have seen where politicians in Washington have expressed little or no concern about this ticking time bomb they have helped to create, that being the enormous federal budget deficit, approaching $4 trillion.

Later in 1992: Ross Perot: “Our great nation is sitting right on top of a ticking time bomb. We have a national debt of $4 trillion.”

In 1995: Kansas City Star: “Concerned citizens. . . regard the national debt as a ticking time bomb poised to explode with devastating consequences at some future date.”

In 2003: Porter Stansberry, for the Daily Reckoning: “Generation debt is a ticking time bomb . . . with about ten years left on the clock.”

In 2004: Bradenton Herald: “A NATION AT RISK: TWIN DEFICIT A TICKING TIME BOMB

In 2005: Providence Journal: “Some lawmakers see the Medicare drug benefit for what it is: a ticking time bomb.”

In 2006: NewsMax.com, “We have to worry about the deficit . . . when we combine it with the trade deficit we have a real ticking time bomb in our economy,” said Mrs. Clinton.

In 2007: USA Today: “Like a ticking time bomb, the national debt is an explosion waiting to happen.

In 2010: Reason Alert: “. . . the time bomb that’s ticking under the federal budget like a Guy Fawkes’ powder keg.”

In 2011: Washington Post, Lori Montgomery: ” . . . defuse the biggest budgetary time bombs that are set to explode.”

June 19, 2013: Chamber of Commerce: Safety net spending is a ‘time bomb’, By Jim Tankersley: The U.S. Chamber of Commerce is worried that not enough Americans are worried about social safety net spending. The nation’s largest business lobbying group launched a renewed effort Wednesday to reduce projected federal spending on safety-net programs, labeling them a “ticking time bomb” that, left unchanged, “will bankrupt this nation.”

In 2014: CBN News: “The United States of Debt: A Ticking Time Bomb

On Jun 18, 2015: The ticking economic time bomb that presidential candidates are ignoring: Fortune Magazine, Shawn Tully,

On February 10, 2016, The Daily Bell“Obama’s $4.1 Trillion Budget Is Latest Sign of America’s Looming Collapse”

On January 23, 2017: Trump’s ‘Debt Bomb’: Deficit May Grow, Defense Budget May Not, By Sydney J. Freedberg, Jr.

On January 27, 2017: America’s “debt bomb is going to explode.” That’s according to financial strategist Peter Schiff. Schiff said that while low interest rates had helped keep a lid on U.S. debt, it couldn’t be contained for much longer. Interest rates and inflation are rising, creditors will demand higher premiums, and the country is headed “off the edge of a cliff.”

On April 28, 2017: Debt in the U.S. Fuel for Growth or Ticking Time Bomb?, American Institute for Economic Research, by Max Gulker, PhD – Senior Research Fellow, Theodore Cangeros

Feb. 16, 2018  America’s Debt Bomb By Andrew Soergel, Senior Reporter: Conservatives and deficit hawks are hurling criticism at Washington for deepening America’s debt hole.

April 18, 2018 By Alan Greenspan and John R. Kasich: “Time is running short, and America’s debt time bomb continues to tick.”

January 10, 2019, Unfunded Govt. Liabilities — Our Ticking Time Bomb. By Myra Adams, Tick, tick, tick goes the time bomb of national doom.

January 18, 2019; 2019 Is Gold’s Year To Shine (And The Ticking US Debt Time-Bomb) By Gavin Wendt

[The following were added after the original publishing of this article]

April 10, 2019, The National Debt: America’s Ticking Time Bomb.  TIL Journal. Entire nations can go bankrupt. One prominent example was the *nation of Greece which was threatened with insolvency, a decade ago. Greece survived the economic crisis because the European Union and the IMF bailed the nation out.

July 11, 2019National debt is a ‘ticking time bomb‘: Sen. Mike Lee

SEP 12, 2019, Our national ticking time bomb, By BILL YEARGIN
SPECIAL TO THE SUN SENTINEL | At some point, investors will become concerned about lending to a debt-riddled U.S., which will result in having to offer higher interest rates to attract the money. Even with rates low today, interest expense is the federal government’s third-highest expenditure following the elderly and military. The U.S. already borrows all the money it uses to pay its interest expense, sort of like a Ponzi scheme. Lack of investor confidence will only make this problem worse.

JANUARY 06, 2020, JANUARY 06, 2020, National debt is a time bomb, BY MARK MANSPERGER, Tri City Herald | The increase in the U.S. deficit last year was about $1.1 trillion, bringing our total national debt to more than $23 trillion! This fiscal year, the deficit is forecasted to be even higher, and when the economy eventually slows down, our annual deficits could be pushing $2 trillion a year! This is financial madness.there’s not going to be a drastic cut in federal expenditures — that is, until we go broke — nor are we going to “grow our way” out of this predicament. Therefore, to gain control of this looming debt, we’re going to have to raise taxes.

 

In Summary
The U.S. government is Monetarily Sovereign. It has the unlimited ability to create its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar.

The government has absolute control over all aspects of the dollar, including its value. Unlike state and local governments, and unlike businesses, and unlike the euro nations, and unlike you and me, the federal government can service any size debt without collecting a penny of income.

Yet, tick, tick, tick, the fake debt time bomb of terror keeps on ticking. The only question, “How many years of proven-wrong fear-mongering will you, the public fall for before the debt charlatans are excised from the news?”

By now, after 80 years of false warnings, you should have learned that phony concerns about the federal debt constitute the biggest con job in American history — and it still is running. And you still are buying it.

The fundamental purpose of this con job is to keep you from asking for benefits from the federal government — benefits the rich already receive, but because of Gap Psychology, don’t want you to have.

Is it possible that the rich really can fool all the people all the time?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The most important problems in economics involve:

  1. Monetary Sovereignty describes money creation and destruction.
  2. Gap Psychology describes the common desire to distance oneself from those “below” in any socio-economic ranking, and to come nearer those “above.” The socio-economic distance is referred to as “The Gap.”

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of Monetary Sovereignty and The Ten Steps To Prosperity can grow the economy and narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded Medicare — parts A, B & D, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Pentagon reports 34 troops suffered traumatic brain injury in Iranian attack

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Pentagon reports 34 troops suffered traumatic brain injury in Iranian attack. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says a severe TBI may lead to death or result in an extended period of coma or amnesia.
Image result for pentagon reports brain injury in iran attack
“I heard that they had headaches, and a couple of other things, but I would say, and I can report, it’s not very serious.”
Image result for trump heel spurs
Two daughters of a New York podiatrist say that 50 years ago their father diagnosed President Donald Trump with bone spurs in his heels as a favor to the doctor’s landlord, Fred Trump. “What he got was access to Fred Trump. If there was anything wrong in the building, my dad would call and Trump would take care of it immediately. That was the small favor that he got.”

In the words of Donald J. Trump: “Every child is a sacred gift from God”

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 24: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at the 47th March For Life rally on the National Mall, January 24, 2019 in Washington, DC. The Right to Life Campaign held its annual March For Life rally and march to the U.S. Supreme Court protesting the high court's …
“All of us here today understand an eternal truth. Every child is a precious and sacred gift from God. When we see the image of a baby in the womb we glimpse the majesty of God’s creation.”
Image result for children at the southern border
“And to all the moms here today, we celebrate you and we declare that mothers are heroes! Every life brings love into this world, every child brings joy to a family.”
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“Every person is worth protecting and above all we know that every human soul is divine and every human life born and unborn is made in the holy image of almighty God.”
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“Today, I have signed a letter to Congress to make clear that if they send any legislation to my desk that weakens the protection of human life, I will issue a veto.”
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“Unborn children have never had a stronger defender in the White House.”

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US-politics-TRUMP
The Trump Administration Just Cut Food Stamps in Time for the Holidays

The latest nothing that has our thought leaders in a tizzy: Japan’s trade “deficit” –or is it a surplus?

I noticed a news item that ranks very high on my “So what, who cares?” meter.

Economists, politicians, and media folks, who either don’t understand, or don’t want you to understand economics, are all in a tizzy about this:

Japan has second straight year of red ink on trade last year

TOKYO (AP) — Japan logged a deficit for a second straight year last year as its exports were hurt by a slowdown of demand in China amid a tariff war with the U.S.

Government data released Thursday showed Japan’s exports fell 5.6% in 2019, to 76.9 trillion yen ($701.6 billion), while imports fell 5.0% to 78.6 trillion yen ($710 billion).

That left a deficit of 1.6 trillion yen ($14 billion).

Japan had a trade surplus of 6.6 trillion yen ($60 billion) with the U.S. last year, as exports fell 1.4% from 2018, and imports fell 4.4%.

Shipments of computers, construction and textiles equipment and power generating machines contributed to a 3.7% increase in exports of machinery to the U.S.

Vehicle exports, which account for nearly 40% of Japanese exports to the U.S., declined 5.5%, the data show.

Is all of this bad news or good news for Japan? The use of the words “deficit,” and “red ink,” which has pejorative insinuations, would lead one to believe this is terrible news.

If you are associated with vehicle manufacturing you may believe it’s bad news — unless exports to other nations and local consumption increased enough to offset the decline in shipments to the U.S. — and that is assuming exports of vehicles to the U.S. are profitable.

Or then again, if you’re associated with the manufacture of computers, construction and textiles equipment, and power generating machines, you might feel it’s good news.

But in reality, looked at from the whole Japanese nation’s standpoint, it’s no news at all.

A “trade deficit” merely means that Japan as a nation, sent fewer goods and services to the U.S. than the U.S. sent to Japan, and in return, Japan sent more money to the U.S. than the U.S. sent to Japan.

But is that a trade “deficit” or is it a trade surplus?

Trade is an even exchange. Goods and services sent one way, and an equivalent value in money sent the other way.

Since trade is an even exchange, is Japan better off sending more goods and services overseas or sending more money overseas?

Asked another way, which is more difficult for Japan to obtain, goods and services or money?

Japan is Monetarily Sovereign. It has the unlimited ability to create an infinite amount of Japanese yen, at no cost, and at the touch of a computer button. Money is free and easy for Japan to obtain.

By contrast, Japan is a geographically small, island nation, with limited natural resources. Goods and services are costly and hard-to-get.

So again, is it better to produce and send away something that is costly and hard-to-get and to receive something in return that is free and easy-to-get (aka a “trade surplus”) or is it better to receive costly and hard-to-get goods, and send away something that costs you nothing (aka a trade “deficit.”)?

I, for one, would prefer the so-called trade “deficit.”

But, you may ask this good question, “What about the individual industries, like vehicles, that rely on exports?”

They are in a different category from the Japanese government. While the government is Monetarily Sovereign, the private sector is monetarily non-sovereign.  Unlike the government, businesses cannot create yen at the touch of a computer key.

For the private sector, money is hard-to-get. So what’s to be done?

The obvious solution is for the government to fund businesses and their employees. In that way, the private sector would not suffer because of duties and trade deficits.

Yes, I know. International trading pacts frown on government support of business, but these rules are honored mostly in the breach. The vast number of government-owned and government-funded businesses speaks to this.

And yes, this solution would increase a government’s deficit and debt. But, of course, a deficit and debt is meaningless for an entity that can create its own sovereign currency at will.

There was a time when the economically ignorant predicted that if ever the U.S. debt rose to 100% of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product, the stars would fall from the skies, and pestilence would ravage the earth.

Well, here we are:

United States Gross Federal Debt to GDP
U.S. Debt now at 106% of GDP

And as for Japan, it’s more than twice as “bad” (good).

Japan General Government Gross Debt to GDP
Japanese debt now at 238% of GDP

Not only is central government debt meaningless for a Monetarily Sovereign entity, but so is every fraction that includes central government debt, i.e. the ratio of Debt/GDP. It is much referenced and essentially meaningless.

Japan would not need to export one yen’s worth of goods and services, and it could survive very nicely, thank you, via government deficit spending.

“Looking ahead, we think the recovery in exports will be weaker than many expect. That reflects our view that GDP growth in Japan’s main trading partners will remain subdued this year,” Tom Learmouth of Capital Economics said in a report.

Although export growth and GDP growth in trading partners can be connected, the former is meaningless to Japan, and the latter is meaningful to the trading partners.

He noted that an increase in Japan’s sales tax, to 10% from 8%, as of Oct. 1 has also hurt consumer demand and private investment.

Why would Monetarily Sovereign Japan increase the sales tax its own citizens pay? No good reason at all. It’s foolishness at a high level. Japan has no need or use for tax money.

President Donald Trump has thrown out past trade deals, including that with China, that he said added to the U.S. trade deficit and cost the country manufacturing jobs.

In his typical ignorance, President Donald Trump “solves” the jobs problem by raising tariffs, an act which is guaranteed to cost the U.S. private-sector jobs.

A better approach would be to eliminate business taxes, not raise them, which would increase company competitiveness, sales, and employment.

The best approach would be to institute the Ten Steps to Prosperity, which would narrow the Gap between the rich and the rest, put more money into the private sector, and improve the lives of the people.

That, ultimately, is the purpose of government.

Nearly 50 years have passed since President Richard Nixon removed the handcuffs of a gold standard and freed the U.S. government to be a true Monetary Sovereign.

Yet still, we remain shackled by our own fears and ignorance, leaving us not much better than the euro nations, which gave away their Monetary Sovereignty many years ago.

Too many Americans suffer from inadequate health care, inadequate housing, inadequate nourishment, inadequate education, inadequate financial resources — and it all is so unnecessary.

Ignorance and fear. Ignorance and fear.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The most important problems in economics involve:

  1. Monetary Sovereignty describes money creation and destruction.
  2. Gap Psychology describes the common desire to distance oneself from those “below” in any socio-economic ranking, and to come nearer those “above.” The socio-economic distance is referred to as “The Gap.”

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of Monetary Sovereignty and The Ten Steps To Prosperity can grow the economy and narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded Medicare — parts A, B & D, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%”) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY