Evaluating a lie; Harm vs. benefit

It takes only two things to keep people in chains: The ignorance of the oppressed and the treachery of their leaders.
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Humans lie.  Even animals lie.

Lies have many advantages. The so-called “white lie” is a social method that is welcome and considered courteous. On many occasions, it would be rude to tell someone the truth. (“Your plastic surgery makes you look ugly.” “Your child is stupid.”)

Lying can build relationships, and even when the recipient of a lie knows it’s a lie, the lie and the liar are appreciated. The harm of a social lie is minimal compared to the benefit.

Lying, in of itself, is part of the normal human experience. Humans tend to accept and believe lies. Otherwise, humans wouldn’t lie, as acceptance and belief are the purpose.

Some political lies are beneficial to humanity.

Ozone in the atmosphere helps protect us from solar radiation.  You’ve heard of the “ozone hole.”  It’s a hole in the air above the north and south pole, that lets in dangerous radiation — except, there is no “hole.” There is some depletion, much of it natural and cyclical, but the notion of a “hole” is a lie.

The value of the ozone “hole,” or more specifically the value of calling it a “hole,” is that it creates a picture in our minds.

This picture makes us amenable to paying the cost and suffering inconvenience of eliminating chlorofluorocarbons(CFCs), halons, and other ozone-depleting chemicals, which are used in air conditioning and spray propellants.

So the hole is a lie, but it’s a “good lie.” The harm is minimal compared to the benefit.

Image result for pacific garbage patch

The Pacific Garbage Patch

In the same vein, you may have heard of the “Great Pacific Garbage Patch.” It’s an area of the Pacific Ocean where the natural currents create a swirl that entraps all floating trash, which builds up into piles of plastic, wood, bottles, sludge, chemicals, and other floatables.

It is a disgusting example of how mankind is polluting even our largest ocean, and is a good reason why we should exert every effort to reduce pollution — except the Great Pacific Garbage Patch is a lie. It doesn’t exist, at least not the way you might visualize it.

The words probably draw to your mind a picture of a huge floating island of garbage, but in fact, the “Great Pacific Garbage Patch” is invisible. It merely is an area of the ocean that has a slightly higher concentration of particulate matter, especially plastic particles. You could boat or even swim right through it and not realize it.

The problem is that when fish swim through it, a few of those tiny plastic particles might be ingested and enter their flesh, and when we eat those fish, the plastic enters our bodies, with potentially harmful physical effects.

The value of the “Great Pacific Garbage Patch” lie is that by drawing a vivid pollution picture, it might encourage stricter anti-pollution laws (except under the current American political administration, which seems not to worry about pollution).

So it’s a lie, but a “good” lie. The harm is minimal compared to the benefit.

Because lying is such a common part of our daily experience, we have evolved ways to deal with lies. To survive in our society, we must know which lies to accept as courteousness, which to believe as fact, and which to disbelieve.

And it isn’t easy.

There are several aspects to lies that help make them seem believable, among which are:.

  1. Source: Do we trust the source delivering the lie?
  2. Logic: Does the lie sound reasonable?
  3. Desire: Do we have a personal motive to believe the lie?
  4. Repetition: Does the lie square with what we previously have heard?

On this site, we often discuss “The Big Lie, a group of lies that deny Monetary Sovereignty.  Within that group of lie are such statements as:

*Federal finances are like your personal finances (They aren’t.)
*Federal taxes fund federal spending. (They don’t.)
*The federal deficit and debt are unsustainable (They aren’t.)
*Federal spending causes inflation (It doesn’t.)
*And the federal government can run short of its own sovereign dollars. (It can’t.)

Though this blog discusses, in detail, why each of these statements is false, many people resist the facts. That is, despite proof showing otherwise, they continue to believe the lie, because.

  1. Trusted sources like the media, the politicians, and many economists promulgate The Big Lie.
  2. Because The Big Lie equates federal financing with people’s own personal financial experience, the lie sounds reasonable.
  3. People want to believe The Big Lie because it justifies their desire to cut benefits to those who are poorer.
  4. The incessant, unrelenting repetition of the lie.

The Big Lie is harmful because it vindicates widening the Gap between the rich and the poor. It justifies reductions in federal spending for such social programs as Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, poverty aids, education aids and other benefits for the “not-rich.”

It condones the easing of federal regulations meant to stop criminal bankers. It rationalizes the reduction in budgets for food, drug, and environmental protections. It reduces federal spending that grows the economy.

The Big Lie clearly is harmful, but does it have any redeeming qualities?

Some would say, “Yes.” They would say The Big Lie discourages Americans from constantly asking the federal government for benefits and it lessens the likelihood Congress will provide an endless succession of those benefits.

They would say that without The Big Lie, federal politicians, hoping to please constituents with gifts and tax cuts, would be helpless to prevent the massive growth of federal spending.

Said as briefly as possible, The Big Lie prevents “excessive” deficit spending. And that leaves us with a question: What is “excessive” deficit spending?

There are those of a Libertarian bent, who believe the federal government is too big and powerful (to use their favorite word a “Leviathan”), and most or even any deficit spending is too much.

That belief cannot be argued. There is no proof possible that the federal government is “too big.” It is an emotional, not a factual, judgment.

We can observe however that in 1940, the federal “debt” was $40 billion, and some called it a “ticking time bomb.” Today, it is $14 trillion, and that time bomb still is ticking.

We also can observe that every recession and nearly every depression has been introduced by reduced deficit growth, and every recession and depression has been cured by increased deficit growth.

Then, there are those who believe “excessive” federal deficit spending causes inflations, even Zimbabwe-style hyperinflations.

However, we can observe that despite periods of massive deficit spending, the U.S. never in its history has had a hyperinflation.

And we can observe that even with the massive deficit spending that brought us out of the “Great Recession” of 2008, and which has continued to this day, our rate of inflation is somewhat lower than the Fed’s target of about 2.5%.  The reasons:

  1. World inflation is caused by oil prices.
  2. The Fed controls U.S. inflation by increasing the Demand for the dollar, via interest rate control.

Finally, what about the theoretical helplessness of politicians to resist demands for deficit spending, if the public realized the federal government cannot run short of dollars, and does not use tax dollars?

  1. Politicians already yield to demands for gifts and tax cuts — but from their biggest contributors, the rich. Public understanding of Monetary Sovereignty would put the 99.9% on a par with the richest .1%.
  2. Deficit spending and tax cuts stimulate economic growth and enrich the populace, especially the 99.9% who benefit from social spending, the largest part of the federal budget. Cuts to regressive taxes — FICA, sales taxes, and remarkably even net income taxes (after special deductions for the rich) also would benefit the 99.9%.

And would the politicians really be  “helpless”? Today’s politicians already resist deficit spending. They do it by telling a lieThe Big Lie: “Taxpayers and the government can’t afford it.”

They just as well could resist deficit spending by telling the truth:

Deficit spending is limited only by an inflation the Fed cannot control via interest rates.

The Fed already determines current and future inflation. It adjusts interest rates upward when it believes inflation will rise above its target rate of about 2.5%. It lowers rates when it believes inflation will fall below its target rate.

The Fed alrady acts not only as a control but as a barometer.

If the Fed ever merely were to announce, “We predict inflation will be too high and we will not be able to control it reasonably close to our 2.5% target,” the politicians could use that announcement, not The Big Lie, as their excuse to resist further federal spending, or even to cut federal spending.

In summary, there are no excuses for The Big Lie. There is no value to The Big Lie. The harm is enormous compared to the non-existent benefit.

How about telling The Big Truth: Monetary Sovereignty.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

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The single most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the have-mores and the have-less.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:
1. ELIMINATE FICA (Ten Reasons to Eliminate FICA )
Although the article lists 10 reasons to eliminate FICA, there are two fundamental reasons:
*FICA is the most regressive tax in American history, widening the Gap by punishing the low and middle-income groups, while leaving the rich untouched, and
*The federal government, being Monetarily Sovereign, neither needs nor uses FICA to support Social Security and Medicare.
2. FEDERALLY FUNDED MEDICARE — PARTS A, B & D, PLUS LONG TERM CARE — FOR EVERYONE (H.R. 676, Medicare for All )
This article addresses the questions:
*Does the economy benefit when the rich can afford better health care than can the rest of Americans?
*Aside from improved health care, what are the other economic effects of “Medicare for everyone?”
*How much would it cost taxpayers?
*Who opposes it?”
3. PROVIDE A MONTHLY ECONOMIC BONUS TO EVERY MAN, WOMAN AND CHILD IN AMERICA (similar to Social Security for All) (The JG (Jobs Guarantee) vs the GI (Guaranteed Income) vs the EB (Economic Bonus)) Or institute a reverse income tax.
This article is the fifth in a series about direct financial assistance to Americans:

Why Modern Monetary Theory’s Employer of Last Resort is a bad idea.Sunday, Jan 1 2012
MMT’s Job Guarantee (JG) — “Another crazy, rightwing, Austrian nutjob?”Thursday, Jan 12 2012
Why Modern Monetary Theory’s Jobs Guarantee is like the EU’s euro: A beloved solution to the wrong problem. Tuesday, May 29 2012
“You can’t fire me. I’m on JG” Saturday, Jun 2 2012

Economic growth should include the “bottom” 99.9%, not just the .1%, the only question being, how best to accomplish that. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) favors giving everyone a job. Monetary Sovereignty (MS) favors giving everyone money. The five articles describe the pros and cons of each approach.
4. FREE EDUCATION (INCLUDING POST-GRAD) FOR EVERYONE Five reasons why we should eliminate school loans
Monetarily non-sovereign State and local governments, despite their limited finances, support grades K-12. That level of education may have been sufficient for a largely agrarian economy, but not for our currently more technical economy that demands greater numbers of highly educated workers.
Because state and local funding is so limited, grades K-12 receive short shrift, especially those schools whose populations come from the lowest economic groups. And college is too costly for most families.
An educated populace benefits a nation, and benefitting the nation is the purpose of the federal government, which has the unlimited ability to pay for K-16 and beyond.
5. SALARY FOR ATTENDING SCHOOL
Even were schooling to be completely free, many young people cannot attend, because they and their families cannot afford to support non-workers. In a foundering boat, everyone needs to bail, and no one can take time off for study.
If a young person’s “job” is to learn and be productive, he/she should be paid to do that job, especially since that job is one of America’s most important.
6. ELIMINATE FEDERAL TAXES ON BUSINESS
Businesses are dollar-transferring machines. They transfer dollars from customers to employees, suppliers, shareholders and the federal government (the later having no use for those dollars). Any tax on businesses reduces the amount going to employees, suppliers and shareholders, which diminishes the economy. Ultimately, all business taxes reduce your personal income.
7. INCREASE THE STANDARD INCOME TAX DEDUCTION, ANNUALLY. (Refer to this.) Federal taxes punish taxpayers and harm the economy. The federal government has no need for those punishing and harmful tax dollars. There are several ways to reduce taxes, and we should evaluate and choose the most progressive approaches.
Cutting FICA and business taxes would be a good early step, as both dramatically affect the 99%. Annual increases in the standard income tax deduction, and a reverse income tax also would provide benefits from the bottom up. Both would narrow the Gap.
8. TAX THE VERY RICH (THE “.1%) MORE, WITH HIGHER PROGRESSIVE TAX RATES ON ALL FORMS OF INCOME. (TROPHIC CASCADE)
There was a time when I argued against increasing anyone’s federal taxes. After all, the federal government has no need for tax dollars, and all taxes reduce Gross Domestic Product, thereby negatively affecting the entire economy, including the 99.9%.
But I have come to realize that narrowing the Gap requires trimming the top. It simply would not be possible to provide the 99.9% with enough benefits to narrow the Gap in any meaningful way. Bill Gates reportedly owns $70 billion. To get to that level, he must have been earning $10 billion a year. Pick any acceptable Gap (1000 to 1?), and the lowest paid American would have to receive $10 million a year. Unreasonable.
9. FEDERAL OWNERSHIP OF ALL BANKS (Click The end of private banking and How should America decide “who-gets-money”?)
Banks have created all the dollars that exist. Even dollars created at the direction of the federal government, actually come into being when banks increase the numbers in checking accounts. This gives the banks enormous financial power, and as we all know, power corrupts — especially when multiplied by a profit motive.
Although the federal government also is powerful and corrupted, it does not suffer from a profit motive, the world’s most corrupting influence.
10. INCREASE FEDERAL SPENDING ON THE MYRIAD INITIATIVES THAT BENEFIT AMERICA’S 99.9% (Federal agencies)Browse the agencies. See how many agencies benefit the lower- and middle-income/wealth/ power groups, by adding dollars to the economy and/or by actions more beneficial to the 99.9% than to the .1%.
Save this reference as your primer to current economics. Sadly, much of the material is not being taught in American schools, which is all the more reason for you to use it.

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Real Americans vs. fake Americans

It takes only two things to keep people in chains: The ignorance of the oppressed and the treachery of their leaders.
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There are differences between real Americans and fake Americans, and no, these differences do not involve flag waving, strutting in parades and boasting about American greatness.

Image result for flood volunteers hug victims
A real American embraces the less fortunate

Real Americans defend the underdog. Real Americans hate bullies. They have compassion for those less fortunate, understanding that “there but for the grace of God, go I.”

Real Americans offer a helping hand; fake Americans brandish a steel fist.

Fake Americans blame the victim (until they themselves are victimized, at which point they whine tearfully about the lack of help they receive).

Fake Americans would rather give tough love than real love.

When President Bush told Americans that waterboarding is necessary to protect us, and is not really torture, a shameful number agreed with him, though Bush did not volunteer to be waterboarded to prove his point. Bush was a fake American.

Bush shamed America, and thankfully, we no longer waterboard, but only because real Americans objected.

And now fake Americans are in charge, and cruelty is their method. A fake American will pardon a sadistic, law-breaking sheriff who enjoys arresting people because of their skin color — many of whom are innocent of any crime — and placing these human beings into horrifying conditions of starvation, heat, humidity, and close proximity to garbage for months at a time, while they await trial.

This “law and order” sheriff ignored a legal order by a judge. He is admired by many fake Americans who enjoy having mean-spirited bullies torture powerless human beings.

Given the choice between sadistic torturers born in America vs. undocumented human beings just trying to build a life for their children and themselves, who are the real Americans? Real Americans feel compassion for the bullied and nothing but disgust for the bullies.

Many people would be angry if they learned that the sheriff had tortured dogs, but are quite sanguine when they learned he tortures humans. They are not real Americans.

And then we have an entire political party that repeatedly produced health-care plans that would have denied care for 12 million – 20 million of our poorest, most vulnerable people.

The cruelty by fake Americans obscures the empathy of real Americans who are compassionate, charitable, and kind:

Trump signs directive banning transgender military recruits

President Donald Trump announced his intentions to ban transgender people from serving.

The presidential memorandum also bans the Department of Defense from providing medical treatment regimens for transgender individuals in the military.

A White House official insisted that Trump was not walking back his rhetoric from the 2016 campaign when he vowed to fight for LGBT Americans.

The President is the President for all Americans, and during last year’s campaign he was the first GOP nominee to talk about LGBTQ issues at the GOP convention, but he also was critical of the Obama administration’s change in that longstanding DOD policy,” the official said.

He’s going to continue to ensure that the rights of the LGBTQ community, as well as all Americans, is protected,” the official added. “This policy is based on a series of national security considerations.”

There are no national security considerations. These transgender people have volunteered to risk their lives to defend America, unlike Donald Trump, who invented a “heel spur,” to avoid his military duty..

The White House’s obvious double-talk fools no one, but it is sufficient to satisfy fake Americans who lack real American values.

Trump’s announcement took many in the military’s leadership — including the joint chiefs of staff — by surprise.

“After consultation with my Generals and military experts, please be advised that the United States Government will not accept or allow transgender individuals to serve in any capacity in the U.S. Military,” Trump said in a series of tweets.

“Our military must be focused on decisive and overwhelming victory and cannot be burdened with the tremendous medical costs and disruption that transgender in the military would entail.”

Trump’s July announcement was met with widespread rebuke by members of both parties and civil rights advocates, who argued that Trump’s decision reversed years of progress for LGBT rights and flew in the face of studies showing minimal impacts on the military.

A 2016 Rand Corp. study commissioned by the Defense Department concluded that letting transgender people serve openly would have a “minimal impact” on readiness and health care costs, largely because there are so few in the military’s 1.3 million-member force.

The study put the number of transgender people in the military at between 1,320 and 6,630.

The Rand study estimated the possibility of 30 to 140 new hormone treatments a year in the military, with 25 to 130 gender transition-related surgeries among active service members annually.

The cost could range from $2.4 million and $8.4 million a year, an amount that would represent an “exceedingly small proportion” of total health care expenditures, the study found.

Trump had lied.

There was no consultation with his generals. The military is not “burdened” by the small handful of transgender people. There are no “tremendous medical costs” in our $650 billion military. There is no “disruption.”

There only is leadership meanness to satisfy cruel backers.

Trump’s DACA decision looms

President Donald Trump continues to weigh phasing out a program —  Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals — that has protected young undocumented immigrants brought to the US as children.

The President pledged on the campaign trail to end it immediately, then calling it a “very, very hard” choice in recent months and telling The Associated Press that recipients of DACA should “rest easy.”

Trump said, “I understand the situation very well. What I’d like to do is a comprehensive immigration plan. But our country and political forces are not ready yet.”

Attorney General Jeff Sessions, historically a longtime opponent of DACA, says the program has come up in multiple meetings in recent months.

Nearly 800,000 young, undocumented immigrants have benefited from DACA, which protects children from deportation and offers them the ability to work, study and participate in their communities without fear.

Many have known no other home. The children have met certain criteria, passed a background check and maintained a clean record.

In an ultimatum, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and nine other state attorneys general have asked the administration to rescind DACA or they will challenge it in an unfriendly court.

Four different proposals have been introduced in Congress to offer some permanent protections to the so-called “Dreamers” under the program, two bipartisan, one Republican and one Democratic.

Lacking normal human consciences, fake Americans are unconcerned about the terror and pain deporting 800,000 young, innocent people would cause. It is of no concern to the selfish and hard-hearted, who already live good lives.

But shamefully, there is one issue that may concern them: Money.

Trump’s DACA decision could cost thousands of jobs, study says 
Thousands of people are likely to lose their jobs if President Trump phases out an Obama-era policy that protects children from being deported.

Sunsetting DACA would have major ramifications for the nation’s economy.

As work authorizations provided by DACA expire, an average of 30,000 people will be out of work each month.

That would put significant pressure on employers to fill holes in their workforce.

Using the most conservative estimates, ending DACA would impose massive costs on employers — nearly $2 billion over two years,” said David Bier, a policy analyst with the libertarian Cato Institute.

Sad, isn’t it, that the strongest argument against cruelty is a monetary one? While fake Americans have no compunction about destroying the lives of millions of poor or powerless people, they could be swayed when they realize that employers might lose billions.

Related image
Our President embraces the flag

This is how far our once great, formerly admired America has fallen.  We have been soiled; we have been tarnished. Our pride has turned ironic.

We no longer are America the beautiful. We no longer are America the welcoming. We no longer are the God blessed America, the golden land opening arms to he stormed-tossed.

We no longer embrace the less fortunate. We blame them for being less fortunate.

We no longer are the world’s great moral leader, the people who helped save Europe from Hitler and China from Japan. Those Americans are disappearing.

Now, there seems to be no limit to our depths. Every day sees a new decline. We truly have become America the fake.

Do not even attempt to deny it. You know it is true.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The single most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the have-mores and the have-less.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:
1. ELIMINATE FICA (Ten Reasons to Eliminate FICA )
Although the article lists 10 reasons to eliminate FICA, there are two fundamental reasons:
*FICA is the most regressive tax in American history, widening the Gap by punishing the low and middle-income groups, while leaving the rich untouched, and
*The federal government, being Monetarily Sovereign, neither needs nor uses FICA to support Social Security and Medicare.
2. FEDERALLY FUNDED MEDICARE — PARTS A, B & D, PLUS LONG TERM CARE — FOR EVERYONE (H.R. 676, Medicare for All )
This article addresses the questions:
*Does the economy benefit when the rich can afford better health care than can the rest of Americans?
*Aside from improved health care, what are the other economic effects of “Medicare for everyone?”
*How much would it cost taxpayers?
*Who opposes it?”
3. PROVIDE A MONTHLY ECONOMIC BONUS TO EVERY MAN, WOMAN AND CHILD IN AMERICA (similar to Social Security for All) (The JG (Jobs Guarantee) vs the GI (Guaranteed Income) vs the EB (Economic Bonus)) Or institute a reverse income tax.
This article is the fifth in a series about direct financial assistance to Americans:

Why Modern Monetary Theory’s Employer of Last Resort is a bad idea. Sunday, Jan 1 2012
MMT’s Job Guarantee (JG) — “Another crazy, rightwing, Austrian nutjob?” Thursday, Jan 12 2012
Why Modern Monetary Theory’s Jobs Guarantee is like the EU’s euro: A beloved solution to the wrong problem. Tuesday, May 29 2012
“You can’t fire me. I’m on JG” Saturday, Jun 2 2012

Economic growth should include the “bottom” 99.9%, not just the .1%, the only question being, how best to accomplish that. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) favors giving everyone a job. Monetary Sovereignty (MS) favors giving everyone money. The five articles describe the pros and cons of each approach.
4. FREE EDUCATION (INCLUDING POST-GRAD) FOR EVERYONE Five reasons why we should eliminate school loans
Monetarily non-sovereign State and local governments, despite their limited finances, support grades K-12. That level of education may have been sufficient for a largely agrarian economy, but not for our currently more technical economy that demands greater numbers of highly educated workers.
Because state and local funding is so limited, grades K-12 receive short shrift, especially those schools whose populations come from the lowest economic groups. And college is too costly for most families.
An educated populace benefits a nation, and benefitting the nation is the purpose of the federal government, which has the unlimited ability to pay for K-16 and beyond.
5. SALARY FOR ATTENDING SCHOOL
Even were schooling to be completely free, many young people cannot attend, because they and their families cannot afford to support non-workers. In a foundering boat, everyone needs to bail, and no one can take time off for study.
If a young person’s “job” is to learn and be productive, he/she should be paid to do that job, especially since that job is one of America’s most important.
6. ELIMINATE FEDERAL TAXES ON BUSINESS
Businesses are dollar-transferring machines. They transfer dollars from customers to employees, suppliers, shareholders and the federal government (the later having no use for those dollars). Any tax on businesses reduces the amount going to employees, suppliers and shareholders, which diminishes the economy. Ultimately, all business taxes reduce your personal income.
7. INCREASE THE STANDARD INCOME TAX DEDUCTION, ANNUALLY. (Refer to this.) Federal taxes punish taxpayers and harm the economy. The federal government has no need for those punishing and harmful tax dollars. There are several ways to reduce taxes, and we should evaluate and choose the most progressive approaches.
Cutting FICA and business taxes would be a good early step, as both dramatically affect the 99%. Annual increases in the standard income tax deduction, and a reverse income tax also would provide benefits from the bottom up. Both would narrow the Gap.
8. TAX THE VERY RICH (THE “.1%) MORE, WITH HIGHER PROGRESSIVE TAX RATES ON ALL FORMS OF INCOME. (TROPHIC CASCADE)
There was a time when I argued against increasing anyone’s federal taxes. After all, the federal government has no need for tax dollars, and all taxes reduce Gross Domestic Product, thereby negatively affecting the entire economy, including the 99.9%.
But I have come to realize that narrowing the Gap requires trimming the top. It simply would not be possible to provide the 99.9% with enough benefits to narrow the Gap in any meaningful way. Bill Gates reportedly owns $70 billion. To get to that level, he must have been earning $10 billion a year. Pick any acceptable Gap (1000 to 1?), and the lowest paid American would have to receive $10 million a year. Unreasonable.
9. FEDERAL OWNERSHIP OF ALL BANKS (Click The end of private banking and How should America decide “who-gets-money”?)
Banks have created all the dollars that exist. Even dollars created at the direction of the federal government, actually come into being when banks increase the numbers in checking accounts. This gives the banks enormous financial power, and as we all know, power corrupts — especially when multiplied by a profit motive.
Although the federal government also is powerful and corrupted, it does not suffer from a profit motive, the world’s most corrupting influence.
10. INCREASE FEDERAL SPENDING ON THE MYRIAD INITIATIVES THAT BENEFIT AMERICA’S 99.9% (Federal agencies)Browse the agencies. See how many agencies benefit the lower- and middle-income/wealth/ power groups, by adding dollars to the economy and/or by actions more beneficial to the 99.9% than to the .1%.
Save this reference as your primer to current economics. Sadly, much of the material is not being taught in American schools, which is all the more reason for you to use it.

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Oil prices, deficits, inflation, the Fed and baking a cake

It takes only two things to keep people in chains: The ignorance of the oppressed and the treachery of their leaders.
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As everyone knows, deficit spending is a primary cause of inflation — except it isn’t.

Back on April 6, 2010, we published an article titled, Federal deficit spending doesn’t cause inflation; oil does, where we demonstrated there is no measurable relationship between deficit spending and inflation — there seems to be somewhat of a reverse relationship — plus a strong relationship between oil prices and inflation.

The peaks and valleys of federal deficit spending do not match the peaks and valleys of inflation.

The reasons are straightforward:

  1. Price Inflation = (Supply of Money/Demand for Money) * (Demand for Goods & Services/Supply of Goods and Services). In plain English, increasing the Demand for Money more than the Supply of money reduces inflation.
  2. The Demand for Money = Reward/Risk. The Reward for owning money is interest. Bottom line: The Fed fights inflation by increasing interest rates, which it can do arbitrarily, instantly, and incrementally.
  3. In theory, inflation also could be fought by reducing the Supply of money, via federal deficit spending and/or increasing taxes. However, this method could not be done by any federal agency arbitrarily or instantly. (Both parties in Congress would have to debate it.) And it could not be done incrementally because Congress would need to debate how much to cut the supply incrementally, and be prepared to keep cutting, on a weekly or even daily basis, if necessary.
Monetary Sovereignty
The peaks and valleys of energy prices match closely to the peaks and valleys of the Consumer Price Index.

The cost of oil is baked into the cost of Goods & Services for almost every Good and every Service. Thus, oil price increases affect the prices of almost everything.

Though the Fed has the unfettered ability to prevent/cure inflation by raising interest rates, it always is reluctant to do so, because of the (false) belief that higher interest rates are economically recessive and lower rates are stimulative.

The peaks and valleys of the Fed Funds rate (blue), closely match the peaks and valleys of Gross Domestic Product changes (red).

Contrary to popular wisdom, raising interest rates actually stimulates the growth of the economy. One reason is higher rates require the federal government to pay more interest on its T-securities, which increases the Supply of money, which is stimulative for the economy.

All of the above constitutes a prelude to the real subject of this post: The effect of predicted increases in oil prices.

Oil demand is ‘absolutely soaring’ and the price will rise, analyst warns.
*Analyst says oil market has tightened in last 3 months
*Inventories said to be drawing at “phenomenal pace”
*This month the IEA raised demand forecast for 2017

As the market wrestles with the fallout from Hurricane Harvey, at least one analyst says the wider picture for oil is for prices to grind higher.

Last month the International Energy Agency (IEA) said global demand will outpace previous estimates in 2017.

Amrita Sen, chief oil analyst at Energy Aspects said, “Particularly if you adjust for global oil demand growth, demand is absolutely soaring right now,” she told CNBC Tuesday.fun

The analyst added that despite strong supply levels, the oil price should move higher.

“It should be going up because inventories have been drawing at a phenomenal pace over the past few weeks and months,” she added.

The Fed now is hung on its own petard. Rising oil prices will cause rising inflation, which in turn, would call for higher interest rates to control inflation.

But the Fed also is sensitive to stock market prices. And stock market prices are based less on actual sales and profits than on traders’ predictions about what the market will do in the coming weeks and months.

And because of the widespread, but false, belief that interest rate increases are functionally recessive, the Fed may be tempted not to raise rates, lest the market fall.

Here is my prediction: The Fed will be forced to raise rates as inflation pressures grow. Many stock prices will fall, due to predictions that they will fall. But, there are certain companies that benefit directly from higher stock prices.

(Disclosure: I own a few shares of a company called AGNC, which “invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a government-sponsored enterprise.”)

AGNC earns money from interest and so, reacts well to interest rate increases. But, as the old line goes, “Nothing is harder to predict than the future.” There are colliding forces at work with regard to this particular security, and indeed, to every security.  For instance:

  • The predicted Fed’s interest response to oil price changes
  • The actual Fed’s interest response to oil price changes
  • The predicted profit effect of interest rate changes
  • The actual profit effect of interest rate changes
  • The predicted profit effect of oil price changes
  • The actual profit effect of oil price changes
  • The company’s predicted response to interest rate changes
  • The company’s actual response to interest rate changes.
  • The company’s predicted business response to oil price changes
  • The company’s actual business response to oil price changes

So we have at least ten variables, and if these were the only variables, and if each variable had only two outcomes, there still could be more than 3.6 million results.

But, in fact, each variable has a multitude of outcomes, mostly having to do with the words, “How much.” (i.e. “how much” will the Fed raise interest rates; “how much” profit will each rate increase provide, etc.)

So, there can be trillions of outcomes, and this is the difficulty with prediction in economics. I can tell you why reductions in deficit spending growth lead to recessions (By definition, GDP growth requires overall spending growth, which comes from money growth, which is facilitated by federal deficit growth).

But the enormous number of variables and the differing weights of each variable make economic prediction a very, inexact endeavor.

More than ten years ago, I predicted that disaster awaited nations adopting the euro, simply because they were giving up the most valuable asset any nation can have: their Monetary Sovereignty.

But I didn’t know how much or how fast, and as it turns out, that train wreck has been different for each nation.

So, I’m guessing there will be some oil shortage, which will add some inflationary pressure, which will cause the Fed to raise interest rates some, and that will reduce most security prices some, but will increase the prices of certain interest-related securities some, so I own some AGNC.

It’s like baking a cake without measuring any ingredients.

And that could turn out wrong, but the security is trading at less than 5 times price/earnings ratio and pays a 10% annual dividend monthly.  So maybe that cake will taste good.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

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THOUGHTS

•All we have are partial solutions; the best we can do is try.

•Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.

•Any monetarily NON-sovereign government — be it city, county, state or nation — that runs an ongoing trade deficit, eventually will run out of money no matter how much it taxes its citizens.

•The more federal budgets are cut and taxes increased, the weaker an economy becomes..

•No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

•Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

•A growing economy requires a growing supply of money (GDP = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports)

•Deficit spending grows the supply of money

•The limit to federal deficit spending is an inflation that cannot be cured with interest rate control. The limit to non-federal deficit spending is the ability to borrow.

•Until the 99% understand the need for federal deficits, the upper 1% will rule.

•Progressives think the purpose of government is to protect the poor and powerless from the rich and powerful. Conservatives think the purpose of government is to protect the rich and powerful from the poor and powerless.

•The single most important problem in economics is the Gap between the rich and the rest.

•Austerity is the government’s method for widening the Gap between the rich and the rest.

•Everything in economics devolves to motive, and the motive is the Gap between the rich and the rest..

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Presidential health?

It takes only two things to keep people in chains: The ignorance of the oppressed and the treachery of their leaders.
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President Donald Trump’s doctor, Harold Bornstein shamelessly told us this about his obese patient, “If elected, Mr. Trump, I can state unequivocally, will be the healthiest individual ever elected to the presidency,” a statement that has all the exorbitance of a Trump speech.Image result for fake doctor

“Healthiest individual ever”? Puleeeze. It’s pure Trump.

Many in America and elsewhere shake their heads at the things Trump says and does. There actually is rather widespread belief that the President has some forms of mental illness.

If that is true, what forms of mental illness?

What Are the Different Types of Personality Disorders?

  • Paranoid personality disorder: People with paranoid personality disorder are very distrustful of others and suspicious of their motives. They also tend to hold grudges.
  • Antisocial personality disorder: People with antisocial personality disorder tend to manipulate or treat others harshly without expressing remorse for their actions. They may lie or steal.
  • Histrionic personality disorder: In histrionic personality disorder, people frequently try to gain more attention by being overly dramatic. They are extremely sensitive to criticism or disapproval.
  • Narcissistic personality disorder: People with narcissistic personality disorder believe that they are more important than others. They tend to exaggerate their achievements and may brag about their attractiveness or success. They have a deep need for admiration, but lack empathy for other people.

Distrustful, hold grudges, lie, steal, overly dramatic, extremely sensitive to criticism, exaggerate achievements, deep need for admiration — these would seem to be perfect descriptions of Donald Trump.

To this layman’s eyes, Trump is a psychopath.

Sociopath vs. Psychopath: What’s the Difference

Both have what is known as “antisocial personality disorder” (ASP).

A key difference between a psychopath and a sociopath is whether he has a conscience. A psychopath doesn’t have a conscience. If he lies to you so he can steal your money, he won’t feel any moral qualms.

A sociopath typically has a conscience, but it’s weak. He may know that taking your money is wrong, and he might feel some guilt or remorse, but that won’t stop his behavior.

Trump never has exhibited a conscience. His cheating of students at Trump University, his cheating of creditors with his bankruptcies, his cheating of employees out of their wages, his cheating on his wives, his actions against innocent Muslims, Mexicans, gays, and transgenders all bespeak a man lacking morals, compassion or conscience.

Here are more symptoms:

Compensatory Narcissistic Personality Disorder 

A pervasive pattern of unstable, “overtly narcissistic behaviors [that] derive from an underlying sense of insecurity and weakness rather than from genuine feelings of self-confidence and high self-esteem” (Millon), beginning by early adulthood and present in a variety of contexts, as indicated by ten (or more) of the following:

  1. Seeks to create an illusion of superiority and to build up an image of high self-worth;
  2. Has disturbances in the capacity for empathy;
  3. Strives for recognition and prestige to compensate for the lack of a feeling of self-worth;
  4. May acquire a deprecatory attitude in which the achievements of others are ridiculed and degraded;
  5. Has persistent aspirations for glory and status;
  6. Has a tendency to exaggerate and boast;
  7. Is sensitive to how others react to him or her, watches and listens carefully for critical judgment, and feels slighted by disapproval;
  8. Is prone to feel shamed and humiliated and especially hyper-anxious and vulnerable to the judgments of others;
  9. Covers up a sense of inadequacy and deficiency with pseudo-arrogance and pseudo-grandiosity;
  10. Has a tendency to periodic hypochondria;
  11. Alternates between feelings of emptiness and deadness and states of excitement and excess energy;
  12. Entertains fantasies of greatness, constantly striving for perfection, genius, or stardom;
  13. Has a history of searching for an idealized partner and has an intense need for affirmation and confirmation in relationships;
  14. Frequently entertains a wishful, exaggerated, and unrealistic concept of himself or herself which he or she can’t possibly measure up to;
  15. Produces (too quickly) work not up to the level of his or her abilities because of an overwhelmingly strong need for the immediate gratification of success;
  16. Is touchy, quick to take offense at the slightest provocation, continually anticipating attack and danger, reacting with anger and fantasies of revenge when he or she feels frustrated in his or her need for constant admiration;
  17. Is self-conscious, due to a dependence on approval from others;
  18. Suffers regularly from repetitive oscillations of self-esteem;
  19. Seeks to undo feelings of inadequacy by forcing everyone’s attention and admiration upon himself or herself
  20. May react with self-contempt and depression to the lack of fulfillment of his or her grandiose expectations

Aside from perhaps (unknown) #’s 10, 11, 18 and 20, the above is a perfect description of Trump.  The author said Compensatory Narcissistic Personality Disorder is diagnosed by ten or more of the above symptoms. Trump has at least sixteen.

Trump also seems to have a sick envy and fixation on Barack Obama:

By David Ludden, Ph.D:  Envy is a complex social emotion. It starts with the perception that someone else has something of value that you don’t have.

But this perception is also accompanied by a painful or unpleasant feeling. From an evolutionary perspective, envy provides us with information about our social standing and the drive to improve our position in society.

But envy also has a dark side. Instead of focusing our efforts on gaining the things we want in life, we brood over what we don’t have and resent those who have what we want.

The experience of envy is doubly damaging, as we not only feel bad about ourselves, we also harbor ill will towards others who’ve done us no wrong.

Consider some of Trump’s initiatives:

  1. He has fought, and continues to fight, angrily and aggressively, against Obamacare (though he has no idea of a replacement).
  2. He has fought, and continues to fight, against the Paris Climate Accords signed by Obama
  3. Revoked Obama’s Executive Order 13690 that proposed a new Federal Flood Risk Management Standard.
  4. Revoked Obama’s policy on transgenders in the military.
  5. Ended Obama’s Deferred Action for Parents of Americans (DAPA) that protected undocumented immigrants with children.
  6. Repeatedly insisted that Obama is not a citizen of the United States and implied Obama is a Muslim (thus not a “real” American).
  7. Falsely claimed Obama had tapped Trump’s telephones
  8. Falsely claimed his inauguration crowd was bigger than Obama’s crowd.
Donald Trump tweeted this series

Just recently, Trump tweeted this composite —————->

As you can see, it shows a full-color, smiling Trump literally blotting out a gray, downcast President Obama, as though to obliterate any memories Americans may have of our previous President.

Could there be anything more obvious — a childish attempt to conceal Obama behind the glory of Trump?

There is a certain sadness in all of this — the emotional weakness of a man who has money and honors but still cannot feel fulfilled.

Despite having won the Presidency, he continues to run campaign events, where he can stand before adoring crowds who cheer is every word, while ejecting any who disagree with him.

He is the spoiled child who crying and stamping his feet, demands ever more toys, compliments, and participation trophies — ever more adulation.

I admit to not being a professional psychiatrist or psychologist so you can take the following for what it’s worth.

I believe Donald Trump is a very sick man. I believe he is a psychopath, a man with severe personality disorders that prevent him from leading America in a responsible way.

I believe his alarming emotional inadequacy translates into fits of imprudence that already, after only seven months, have been harmful to America, harmful to the world and harmful to the individuals who suffer from his cruel disregard.

I fear his combination of vast power, wanton recklessness, ignorance, and unending ego ultimately will prove deadly to us all.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

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The single most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the have-mores and the have-less.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:
1. ELIMINATE FICA (Ten Reasons to Eliminate FICA )
Although the article lists 10 reasons to eliminate FICA, there are two fundamental reasons:
*FICA is the most regressive tax in American history, widening the Gap by punishing the low and middle-income groups, while leaving the rich untouched, and
*The federal government, being Monetarily Sovereign, neither needs nor uses FICA to support Social Security and Medicare.
2. FEDERALLY FUNDED MEDICARE — PARTS A, B & D, PLUS LONG TERM CARE — FOR EVERYONE (H.R. 676, Medicare for All )
This article addresses the questions:
*Does the economy benefit when the rich can afford better health care than can the rest of Americans?
*Aside from improved health care, what are the other economic effects of “Medicare for everyone?”
*How much would it cost taxpayers?
*Who opposes it?”
3. PROVIDE A MONTHLY ECONOMIC BONUS TO EVERY MAN, WOMAN AND CHILD IN AMERICA (similar to Social Security for All) (The JG (Jobs Guarantee) vs the GI (Guaranteed Income) vs the EB (Economic Bonus)) Or institute a reverse income tax.
This article is the fifth in a series about direct financial assistance to Americans:

Why Modern Monetary Theory’s Employer of Last Resort is a bad idea. Sunday, Jan 1 2012
MMT’s Job Guarantee (JG) — “Another crazy, rightwing, Austrian nutjob?” Thursday, Jan 12 2012
Why Modern Monetary Theory’s Jobs Guarantee is like the EU’s euro: A beloved solution to the wrong problem. Tuesday, May 29 2012
“You can’t fire me. I’m on JG” Saturday, Jun 2 2012

Economic growth should include the “bottom” 99.9%, not just the .1%, the only question being, how best to accomplish that. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) favors giving everyone a job. Monetary Sovereignty (MS) favors giving everyone money. The five articles describe the pros and cons of each approach.
4. FREE EDUCATION (INCLUDING POST-GRAD) FOR EVERYONE Five reasons why we should eliminate school loans
Monetarily non-sovereign State and local governments, despite their limited finances, support grades K-12. That level of education may have been sufficient for a largely agrarian economy, but not for our currently more technical economy that demands greater numbers of highly educated workers.
Because state and local funding is so limited, grades K-12 receive short shrift, especially those schools whose populations come from the lowest economic groups. And college is too costly for most families.
An educated populace benefits a nation, and benefitting the nation is the purpose of the federal government, which has the unlimited ability to pay for K-16 and beyond.
5. SALARY FOR ATTENDING SCHOOL
Even were schooling to be completely free, many young people cannot attend, because they and their families cannot afford to support non-workers. In a foundering boat, everyone needs to bail, and no one can take time off for study.
If a young person’s “job” is to learn and be productive, he/she should be paid to do that job, especially since that job is one of America’s most important.
6. ELIMINATE FEDERAL TAXES ON BUSINESS
Businesses are dollar-transferring machines. They transfer dollars from customers to employees, suppliers, shareholders and the federal government (the later having no use for those dollars). Any tax on businesses reduces the amount going to employees, suppliers and shareholders, which diminishes the economy. Ultimately, all business taxes reduce your personal income.
7. INCREASE THE STANDARD INCOME TAX DEDUCTION, ANNUALLY. (Refer to this.) Federal taxes punish taxpayers and harm the economy. The federal government has no need for those punishing and harmful tax dollars. There are several ways to reduce taxes, and we should evaluate and choose the most progressive approaches.
Cutting FICA and business taxes would be a good early step, as both dramatically affect the 99%. Annual increases in the standard income tax deduction, and a reverse income tax also would provide benefits from the bottom up. Both would narrow the Gap.
8. TAX THE VERY RICH (THE “.1%) MORE, WITH HIGHER PROGRESSIVE TAX RATES ON ALL FORMS OF INCOME. (TROPHIC CASCADE)
There was a time when I argued against increasing anyone’s federal taxes. After all, the federal government has no need for tax dollars, and all taxes reduce Gross Domestic Product, thereby negatively affecting the entire economy, including the 99.9%.
But I have come to realize that narrowing the Gap requires trimming the top. It simply would not be possible to provide the 99.9% with enough benefits to narrow the Gap in any meaningful way. Bill Gates reportedly owns $70 billion. To get to that level, he must have been earning $10 billion a year. Pick any acceptable Gap (1000 to 1?), and the lowest paid American would have to receive $10 million a year. Unreasonable.
9. FEDERAL OWNERSHIP OF ALL BANKS (Click The end of private banking and How should America decide “who-gets-money”?)
Banks have created all the dollars that exist. Even dollars created at the direction of the federal government, actually come into being when banks increase the numbers in checking accounts. This gives the banks enormous financial power, and as we all know, power corrupts — especially when multiplied by a profit motive.
Although the federal government also is powerful and corrupted, it does not suffer from a profit motive, the world’s most corrupting influence.
10. INCREASE FEDERAL SPENDING ON THE MYRIAD INITIATIVES THAT BENEFIT AMERICA’S 99.9% (Federal agencies)Browse the agencies. See how many agencies benefit the lower- and middle-income/wealth/ power groups, by adding dollars to the economy and/or by actions more beneficial to the 99.9% than to the .1%.
Save this reference as your primer to current economics. Sadly, much of the material is not being taught in American schools, which is all the more reason for you to use it.

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY