–An update on “The conversation Barry Ritholtz wouldn’t publish”

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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Background: This began with “The conversation Barry Ritholtz wouldn’t publish.” You also could read Barry’s impressive description of himself at Barry Ritholtz, Curriculum Vitae.

Summary: I frequently have commented on Barry’s blog that he seemed not to understand Monetary Sovereignty and seldom supported his theories with facts, and in each case I’ve provided facts to counter his assertions. Barry became so exasperated with being doubted, that he refused to publish my final comment and instead published an “f-bomb,” which usually indicates a paucity of facts.

I offered to send him an outline of Monetary Sovereignty, which he could critique, so rather than merely disagreeing on generalities, we could disagree on facts. He answered, “My response to you was that your premise — I had been saying federal debt and deficit were too high — was wrong. If you want to send some bullet points, go ahead. ( I have seen much of the standard literature on it)”

O.K., so that was progress. Barry is on record as not believing the federal debt and deficit are too high, a point I have been making for 15 years (although his denial doesn’t seem to square with the comments he has made all these years. But hey, anyone is allowed to change their mind.) Following up on his invitation, I sent him this on March 6th, 2011:
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Sounds good. I look forward to an educational discussion. Here are some points describing Monetary Sovereignty:

1. In August, 1971, the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, meaning the U.S. federal government’s ability to create dollars no longer was constrained by gold supplies nor by the supply of any other physical substance. Dollars no longer existed in any physical sense, but like the score of a game, existed only as an accounting notation.

2. The federal government pays its bills simply by changing the numbers in the bank accounts of its creditors, which it can do endlessly. Federal dollar creation is constrained neither by borrowing nor by taxing, but only by inflation. Thus, inflation aside, even were taxes and borrowing to fall to zero, the federal government would retain the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills. There is no connection between federal taxes and federal spending. Either could exist without the other. Therefore, taxpayers do not pay for federal spending.

3. The federal government “borrows” by creating T-securities out of thin air, then exchanging them for dollars it previously created out of thin air. Using China as an example, the “borrowing” process is:
a. China first deposits dollars into its checking account at the Federal Reserve Bank
b. The U.S. debits China’s checking account and simultaneously credits China’s T-security account, also at the Federal Reserve Bank.
c. To redeem those T-securities, the U.S. reverses the process; it debits China’s T-security account and credits China’s checking account.
d. The U.S. has the unlimited ability to credit China’s checking account at any time. Thus, the U.S. could eliminate the federal “debt” to China, tomorrow.
e. Dollars are more liquid, and T-securities pay interest and have expirations dates, but both are forms of U.S. money. (Dollars are part of “M1;” T-securities are part of “L.”)
f. Exchanging one form of U.S. money for another form of U.S. money, neither adds nor subtracts money from the economy; the exchange has no inflationary implications.

4. Only federal law, and not dollar need, requires the Treasury to create and exchange T-securities in an amount equal to federal deficits (the difference between taxes and spending). Federal “debt” is the total of outstanding T-securities, not the total of federal deficits. Federal debt could exist without federal deficits and federal deficits could exist without federal debt. The two are related only by law and not by function. Federal “borrowing” is a relic of gold standard days; it neither is needed nor used to support federal spending.

5. Taxes too, do not support federal spending. Were federal taxes eliminated, this would not reduce by even one cent, the federal government’s ability to credit bank accounts.

6. Though federal taxes do not support federal spending, they do serve to destroy dollars. Every federal tax dollar is destroyed upon receipt. For this reason, federal taxes reduce the money supply, and if taxes were eliminated, the money supply would increase dramatically, potentially leading to inflation. Therefore federal taxes help prevent inflation.

7. By definition, a large economy has more money than does a small economy. Thus, a growing economy requires a growing money supply. Historically, all depressions and most recessions have coincided with reductions in federal deficit growth, and all recoveries have coincided with increases in federal deficit growth.

8. A sufficiently large increase in money supply could cause inflation. However, since the U.S. went off the gold standard, there has been no relationship between federal deficits and inflation, which instead has been related to oil prices.

9. The U.S. states, counties, cities, businesses and residents are not Monetarily Sovereign, nor are the euro nations, Greece, Italy et al. Unlike the U.S., they do not have the unlimited ability to credit bank accounts. They do rely on income to pay their bills. They cannot eliminate debt instantly. In monetarily non-sovereign nations, taxpayers do pay for national spending.

10. The terms “debt,” “borrow” and “deficit” have entirely different meanings for Monetarily Sovereign governments than for monetarily non-sovereign entities. The confusion caused by using the same terms for Monetarily Sovereign nations as for monetarily non-sovereign entities, is responsible for many false economic beliefs and harmful actions.

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On 3/9, not having heard from Barry, I wrote: “Barry, I hope you received this (I don’t trust Emails), and will give me your thoughts. Because you don’t believe the federal debt and deficit are too high, much of this will be obvious to you, but I’d welcome your ideas where you disagree.

Today, is 3/10. I hold out hope Barry respond will with facts, though he never has in the past. If he does, I’ll keep you apprised.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Why Robert J. Samuelson wants to cut Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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Robert J. Samuelson is a weekly columnist for The Washington Post, writing on political, economic and social issues. His column usually appears on Wednesdays. Add his name to the long list of economics writers who are ignorant of Monetary Sovereignty, the basis of all modern economics.

In a March 7, 2011 column titled, “Why Social Security is Welfare,” he makes the following comments:

Recall that Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, the main programs for the elderly, exceed 40 percent of federal spending. Exempting them from cuts – as polls indicate many Americans prefer – would ordain massive deficits, huge tax increases or draconian reductions in other programs. That’s a disastrous formula for the future.

Yes, Robert, not cutting Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid would “ordain” (?) deficits. However, because the U.S. now is Monetarily Sovereign, there is zero connection between deficits and taxes. For your benefit, Robert, I’ll say again what you as an economics writer already should know: “Federal taxes do not pay for federal spending.”

And so far as those draconian reductions in other programs, why do you believe a nation with the unlimited ability to create dollars, needs to cut spending, when inflation is nowhere in sight?

Here is how I define a welfare program: First, it taxes one group to support another group. . .

Robert, now repeat after me until you get it: “Federal taxes do not pay for federal spending.” State taxes do pay for state spending, and city taxes do pay for city spending. The states and cities are not Monetarily Sovereign. But, federal taxes do not pay for federal spending. In fact, FICA could be eliminated, and this would not reduce by even one penny, the federal government’s ability to support this program – even were benefits doubled.

Since the 1940s, Social Security has been a pay-as-you-go program. Most benefits are paid by payroll taxes on today’s workers.

Things have changed markedly since the 1940’s, and Robert has not kept up with the changes. In August, 1971, one of the biggest economic changes in our lives occurred. We became Monetarily Sovereign. At that instant, Social Security ceased being a “pay-as-you-go” program, because FICA no longer supported benefits. In a Monetarily Sovereign nation, tax dollars are destroyed upon receipt. They do not, and cannot, support federal spending.

Think about it, Robert. Why would a government with the unlimited ability to create dollars, need to use taxes to pay for anything? It makes absolutely no sense. Sadly, Robert still lives in a gold-standard (aka “flat-earth”) world.

Annual benefits already exceed payroll taxes. The gap will grow.

Yep, the difference between FICA collections and benefits will grow. More net money will be created. This will stimulate economic growth. So what is the problem?

No doubt people would be outraged (by benefit cuts). Having been misled, they’d feel cheated. They paid their taxes, why can’t they get all their promised benefits? But the alternative is much worse: imposing all the burdens on younger taxpayers and cuts in other government programs. Shared sacrifice is meaningless if it excludes older Americans.

No, shared sacrifice is meaningless if it is purposeless. There is absolutely, positively no reason to cause widespread human misery by cutting Social Security, Medicare and/or Medicaid benefits. Causing misery out of sheer ignorance is unforgivable.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

Are there good deficits and bad deficits?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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While Congress struggles with plans to cut federal deficits (i.e. cut federal money creation), and simultaneously tries to encourage banks to lend (i.e increase private money creation), it might be instructive to see why this is exactly the wrong approach. Please go to a post I wrote last June (since updated), titled, Is federal money better than other money?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

–Ohmigosh. So THAT’s what less government means!!

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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Reality comes as a shock to the Tea Party:

Tea Party voters, by almost 2-1, oppose Social Security cuts
1:00 pm March 3, 2011, by Jay Bookman

From the Wall Street Journal:

WASHINGTON— Less than a quarter of Americans support making significant cuts to Social Security or Medicare to tackle the country’s mounting deficit, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, illustrating the challenge facing lawmakers who want voter buy-in to alter entitlement programs.

In the poll, Americans across all age groups and ideologies said by large margins that it was “unacceptable” to make significant cuts in entitlement programs in order to reduce the federal deficit. Even tea party supporters, by a nearly 2-to-1 margin, declared significant cuts to Social Security “unacceptable.”

Isn’t it fun to march around, shouting you want less government — until you realize what you’ve been shouting? The Tea Party (and the rest of the right wing) remind me of rebellious teenagers, who don’t want any help or suggestions from their parents. But when they need money for the dance, or for some clothes or to go to college, then it’s “Mommy, Daddy, help me. Ple-e-e-ase!”

One can only hope the politicians and the public come to their senses, soon.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.