Is John Mauldin winning the battle with Barry Ritholtz for economic ignorance?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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John Mauldin is an author who repeatedly will remind his readers his book has been on the New York Times best seller list for weeks, along with several other books of fiction.

He spends so much time with self-promotion, he may not have the energy for learning. He writes about economics, yet seems not to understand Monetary Sovereignty, the basis for all modern economics.

Here is what he said in a recent article titled, “The Plight of the Working Class”

. . . the only way you can show a positive GDP for the last decade is with government spending. . . . Without government spending, “real” GDP would be at levels it was over ten years ago.

And it is real growth that drives wages and creates jobs.

Correct. He makes it sound like some sort of crime, but the need for federal spending increases is a fundamental tenet of Monetary Sovereignty, as is demonstrated in these charts: “Is federal money better than other money?”

My book calls for a large increase in funded infrastructure spending through a fuels tax. . .

How is it possible to be a famous economics writer, yet repeatedly confuse monetarily non-sovereign governments with Monetarily Sovereign governments? It’s like a musician confusing a piano with an oboe.

A Monetarily Sovereign government (i.e. the U.S.) does not spend tax money. If federal taxes were zero, this would not reduce by even one penny, the federal government’s ability to spend.

By contrast, monetarily non-sovereign governments, example: Illinois, do spend tax money. Mr. Mauldin still doesn’t get it, despite many reminders.

Yes, we have to make cuts to government programs. A 33% growth in federal discretionary spending (not including stimulus money) the last three years alone is not reasonable, given the size of the deficit.

Double talk. What does “reasonable” mean? And why is money creation unreasonable? And specifically, what is wrong with the deficit? A growing economy requires a growing money supply. The misnamed “deficit” is the federal government’s method for adding money to the economy. So what is the problem? He never says anything supported by facts.

The last recession was not caused by too little government.

More double talk. There is a massive difference between too little government and too little federal spending. The last recession was precipitated by several factors, one of which was too little federal government spending. Every depression and most recessions follow decreased federal spending growth. See: What causes GDP growth?

I am worried about the survival of the country economically. Another crisis caused by the bond market driving up interest rates . . .

The market does not determine interest rates; the Fed does. It controls the Fed Funds rate, which translates to all other interest rates. So this best selling author doesn’t understand bond markets, either. By the way, what are the rates these days? Too high?

. . ., because they become concerned about the size of the debt and deficits, will seriously reduce the choices we have – with none of them being good. Ask Ireland or Greece how it feels.”

Can you imagine? He does not seem to realize Ireland and Greece are monetarily non-sovereign, while the U.S. is Monetarily Sovereign! He is making a patently false comparison, something like saying since water and gasoline both are liquids, it doesn’t matter which liquid you pour on a fire.

. . . my friend Barry Ritholtz . . .

Two prolific economics authors, neither of whom displays even the vaguest concept of Monetary Sovereignty, are friends. Wouldn’t you know it.

As I have written many times, cutting government spending will mean lower GDP numbers in the short term, but survival in the longer term.

As is typical with debt hawks, there never is any data or even a mechanism for the stated claims. These people think it is sufficient to say, in effect, “Debt is big; therefore debt is bad,” without such details as:

–What kind of debt? Personal or government?
–What kind of government? Monetarily Sovereign or monetarily non-sovereign?
–Specifically, how will a reduction in federal money creation raise GDP in the short or long terms?
–Why would the federal government be unable to “survive” federal spending?

In short, I view Mr. Mauldin as a prominent fraud, who makes his money by quoting popular wisdom, and by supporting his views with no facts. He just goes along with the intuitive “debt is bad” mantra, and by doing so, hurts America.

But he is a best selling author, which says much about the reading habits of the American public.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

What is it that all 500 of America’s most powerful people don’t know?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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The United States Senate has 100 members. The United States House of Representatives has 435 members plus six non-voting delegates.

In addition, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget said, “Today (3/31/11), over 64 prominent budget experts and economists wrote a letter to President Obama and Congressional leadership urging them to take action on our debt and deficits.

Add to that the President of the United States and his cabinet and advisors, and we have at least 500-600 of the most powerful people in America, not one of whom has any understanding of Monetary Sovereignty, but who direct our economy. Does that bother you? No?

Well how about the latest Tea (formerly Republican) Party chant, “Cut it or shut it,” meaning if cutting the federal budget won’t do sufficient damage to our economy , let’s just shut down the government and finish the job.

Does that bother you?

No, how about this story from ABC News:

Tea Party Hypocrisy? Some Lawmakers With Tea Party Ties Are on the Government Dole, by Jonathan Karl and Avery Miller, March 31, 2011

The Tea Party swept into the 112th Congress with promises of cutting government spending. But according to a report out today, at least five lawmakers with Tea Party connections have been longtime recipients of federal agricultural subsidies. “There’s nothing too surprising about hypocrisy in Washington,” Ken Cook, president of Environmental Working Group, told ABC News. “This particular group, you not only have to look at the hypocrisy but you need to watch your wallet.”

While the majority of American farmers receive no government money at all, at least 23 current members of congress or their families have received government money for their farms — combining for more than $12 million since 1995 according to a new report from the Environmental Working Group.

The biggest recipient was Rep. Stephen Fincher, a Republican from Frog Jump, Tenn.

While the self-described Tea Party patriot lists his occupation as “farmer” and “gospel singer” in the Congressional Directory, he doesn’t mention that his family has received more than $3 million in farm subsidies from 1995 to 2009, according to the Environmental Working Group.

When asked whether he would be willing to see all his subsidies go away, Fincher would not directly say he would no longer take any more subsidies.

“We need a good, better, we need a better farm program and we need to streamline it,” he said. “We need to look at many many options. And that’s a long way off.”

Frankly, it doesn’t bother me at all, that the Tea (formerly Republican) Party members are taking government money. It’s hypocritical, but it benefits the economy. What bothers me is the universal ignorance of our nation’s leaders.

I’m waiting for just one person in Congress or in the Executive Branch, to demonstrate even a rudimentary understanding of Monetary Sovereignty. Is that too much to ask?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Who will be at fault for the return to recession?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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The horror the politicians will visit on us, all in the name of winning:

Former Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean said he would be “quietly rooting for” a government shutdown. “I know who’s going to get blamed – we’ve been down this road before.”

Yes, who cares whether the nation burns down so long as we point at the Republicans as arsonists.

South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint (R),“I just hope that we are not so afraid of a government shutdown that we are not willing to make the right decisions. That is what the tea party is for.”

Ah, so that’s what the Tea Party is for: Closing down the government.

The politicians are playing games with our lives, but don’t blame them. They’re politicians, i.e immoral, amoral, ignorant, selfish, uncaring and untruthful. You know it, so why do you listen to such people? The fault lies with you who allow yourself to believe the absolute lie that the federal deficit is unsustainable and should be reduced. The fault lies with you who refuse to heed the facts showing federal deficits are absolutely necessary for economic growth, and the federal debt easily could be eliminated tomorrow, at the click of a computer key.

The fault lies with you who stand meekly aside while the sneering, insulting, foul-mouthed debt hawks dominate the discussion to deride the people bringing you the truth. The fault lies with you who ask for no evidence to support what the liars tell you, but rather allow yourselves to be led like lambs to the slaughter, and even grow angry when you are not led more quickly.

And when the Tea Party has its way, and valuable government services are emasculated or eliminated, and the economy enters another recession, perhaps worse than the previous one, the fault will lie with you who surely will whine and complain you didn’t realize this is what less government really means. “It’s not my fault. I didn’t know. Why didn’t they warn me I would lose my hopes and my dreams and my family and my life?”

You were warned. You just refused to listen. Who gave the Tea Party its power? “They sow the wind, and reap the whirlwind.” Though the Tea Party is sowing the wind, it is you, and the rest of us, who will reap the whirlwind.

Ignorance provides its own reward.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Why the politicians, the media and even many economists still don’t get it.

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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Among the Tea (formerly Republican) Party’s many hates, is the hatred for federal deficits, and they share this antagonism with nearly every American. Yet, based on my own personal reading, I believe the media and the politicians, and many economists do not even know what a federal deficit is, let alone how it relates to the federal debt.

Let’s begin with semantics. A quick trip to dictionary.com says:

DEFICIT: 1. the amount by which a sum of money falls short of the required amount.
2. the amount by which expenditures or liabilities exceed income or assets.
3. a lack or shortage; deficiency.
4. a disadvantage, impairment, or handicap: The team’s major deficit is its poor pitching.
5. a loss, as in the operation of a business.

Look at all the negative words: Fall short, lack, shortage, deficiency, disadvantage, impairment, handicap, poor, loss. From the standpoint of intuition, clearly a “deficit” is something to be avoided. Yet, a federal deficit merely is the arithmetic difference between two, mostly unrelated numbers: Federal taxes collected vs. federal dollars spent.

These numbers are mostly unrelated, because federal taxes do not pay for federal spending. Either can exist without the other, and subtracting one figure from the other is meaningless — or at least has been since 1971, when we went off the gold standard. Prior to then, federal taxes did pay for federal spending, so there was some justifiable logic in comparing taxes with spending. Today, such a comparison is like subtracting the number of runs the Cubs score in a particular game, from the number of people who attend that game.

Having said that, one reason to subtract taxes from spending does remain, and it is an important one. Because the federal government creates federal dollars by spending, and federal taxes destroy federal dollars, federal deficits are the net amount of federal dollars the federal government creates each year.

Does creating federal dollars sound like an activity which should be viewed as “falling short, lacking, a shortage, a deficiency, a disadvantage, an impairment, a handicap, something poor or a loss”? When you think about it, doesn’t creating federal dollars come closer to positive words like: “Income, surplus, profit, accumulate, increase, build and benefit”? And when you think about it further, isn’t that exactly what the so-called “deficit” does for our economy? A growing economy requires a growing supply of money, and the federal deficit supplies that money.

Because the word “deficit” historically has had negative connotations, many people find positive connotations to be impossible to imagine, thus the ongoing efforts to reduce the deficit, when in fact, the efforts should be to increase the deficit. But it gets worse. There is widespread belief that federal deficits increase the dreaded federal debt, and that federal debt is nothing more than an accumulation of federal deficits.

Wrong.

Like “deficit,” debt is a word with strong pejoratives. According to thesaurus.com, words related to “debt” are: “bankrupt, beggared, behindhand, insolvent, liable, minus, not paying, owing, unable to make both ends meet, unpaid, unremunerated, unrequited, unrewarded, worse than nothing.” With a family history like that, is it any wonder that “debt” has such bad press?

Federal “debt” actually is an accumulation of federal debt instruments, of which the four majors are: T-bills (one year), T-notes (10 years), T-bonds (30 years) and TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities — 5, 10, and 30 years). The debt process is this:

1. Federal government creates dollars out of thin air, by crediting a creditor’s bank account. At this instant, dollars and deficit are created but no “federal debt.”
2. Federal government elects to create T-securities also out of thin air, when it exchanges them for previously-created dollars. At this instant, federal debt is created. The money supply does not change, as the dollars are destroyed the instant the T-securities are sold.
3. To redeem the T-securities, the federal government re-creates dollars, exchanging them for T-securities and destroying the T-securities. Again, the money supply doesn’t change.

So all federal “debt” is nothing more than the total of outstanding T-securities, which are created and redeemed with no effect on the money supply, other than liquidity (dollars are more liquid than T-securities). Neither creating, nor redeeming T-securities has any inflation repercussions, and because a Monetarily Sovereign government does not use income for spending, T-securities are a useless relic of the gold standard days, neither affecting, nor affected by, federal tax collections, federal spending, economic growth or the federal deficit.

For such a benign investment — one neither causing nor reducing inflation, neither increasing nor reducing taxes, neither increasing nor reducing the deficit, and one whose sole effect is to reduce economic liquidity — federal “deficit” surely has acquired a bad name, based on the almost universal desire to reduce it. And strangely, this effort at debt reduction does not take the logical step of merely eliminating the creation of T-securities, but rather it focuses on reducing federal deficits, which do not have an operational relationship with federal debt.

Isn’t it amazing that your favorite politician, your favorite newspaper editor, your favorite talk-show moderator, your favorite columnist and the vast majority of the world’s economists do not understand this basic, operational truth: Even were federal taxes to equal federal spending (a deficit of zero), this would not change the Treasury’s need or ability to create/sell T-securities, and even were T-security creation/sales to be eliminated, this would not change the federal government’s ability to create dollars. Instead, they spend their lives decrying the federal deficit, which is necessary for economic growth, and decrying the federal debt, which has become meaningless for virtually all economic purposes, rather than focusing on properly directed methods for improving our lives.

So, the next time you read or hear some self-anointed “expert” saying the federal debt must be reduced, or the federal deficit increases the federal debt, or worries about whether other countries will buy our debt, or worries that “paying off the debt” will cause inflation or the current favorite bogey man, hyperinflation, know this: No matter what the credentials, that person simply does not know what he/she is talking about. Period.

After so many years, the flat-earth, leech-applying, flag-flying, evolution-denying, deficit-decrying, logic-defying, repeatedly-lying still rule, stomping through our lives, damaging everything in their path. With barely a whimper from us.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY