A better way to budget federal spending: The only sensible way.

Infinity is a big number. It’s so big you can’t even visualize it, much less count it.
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The federal government has more dollars than there are atoms in the universe.
Infinity is bigger than all the atoms in all the molecules in all the dust grains in the entire universe, which is estimated to be 10^82 — that’s 1 with 82 zeros behind it — way bigger. It’s bigger than a googol, which is 10^100, which is one followed by one hundred zeros. Infinity is bigger than a centillion, which is one followed by six hundred zeros, and bigger even than a googolplex, ten^googol. I mention these staggering numbers, all of which are far smaller than infinity, to give you an idea of the U.S. federal government’s capability, which is this: The U.S. government can create infinite U.S. dollars any time it chooses, merely by deciding to do so.

Ben Bernanke, former Federal Reserve Chairman: “The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”

Scott Pelley (60 Minutes): Is that tax money that the Fed is spending? Ben Bernanke: It’s not tax money… We simply use the computer to mark up the size of the account.

Statement from the St. Louis Fed: “As the sole manufacturer of dollars, whose debt is denominated in dollars, the U.S. government can never become insolvent, i.e., unable to pay its bills. In this sense, the government is not dependent on credit markets to remain operational.”

Given that infinite capability, the U.S. government cannot run short of dollars, no matter how many it spends, how little it taxes, or how big its deficits are. Even if the federal government levied zero taxes, it could continue spending forever (the same as infinity, but on a time scale). And what is true for the U.S. government also is true for any agency of the U.S. government. The Army, Navy, Marines, Air Force, Space Force, the Senate, the House, the White House, the Supreme Court, Medicare, Social Security, and all the other 1000+ agencies of the federal government — none of them can run short of dollars unless that is the desire of the President and Congress. So why do we concern ourselves with meaningless concepts such as federal deficits, debt, and borrowing when determining how much to spend on various projects? Why do we talk about “affordability” and “sustainability”? Everything is affordable and sustainable for an entity with access to infinite (more than a googolplex) dollars, and there never is a reason to borrow. With affordability, sustainability, and borrowing off the table, what criteria should the government use to plan expenditures? Need and effect are the only criteria that have a purpose. Take any federal agency, for instance, the House of Representatives: How much money does the House need to run most efficiently, and what are the overall effects of giving them that money? Or think about America’s healthcare. How much money would a comprehensive, no-deductible Medicare plan covering every man, woman, and child in America need, and what would be the overall effect of providing that money? The U.S. government can “afford” and “sustain” any numbers you can mention without either borrowing or taxing. Just press those computer keys Ben Bernanke mentioned. Social Security for All: How much money is needed to eliminate poverty, hunger, homelessness, and most crime in America? Develop a number and press those computer keys. Or education: How much money is needed to provide everyone with the education they desire, whether it be high school, college, advanced degree, or research facility? There are no financial limitations. So, what are the limitations? Planning, know-how, and labor. We need to know how to spend those unlimited dollars to achieve our goals, and we need enough educated labor to make it all happen. Despite the bleating and moaning about deficits and debt, money truly is no object. We can do it all, and now, with AI (Artificial Intelligence), our capabilities have expanded massively. We really can create a paradise on earth. Of course, when all objections have been satisfied, we come to the last refuge of the debt worriers: Inflation. They tell you that if the government spends “too much,” we’ll have inflation. That is what many people have been taught to believe, despite one small fact: Historically, there is no relationship between federal spending and inflation.
In the massive inflation years of the late 1970s, federal spending ranged between $300 Billion and $700 Billion annually.
In the massive inflation years of the late 1970s, federal spending ranged between $300 Billion and $700 Billion annually. In the 1980s, while inflation dropped to 2% and below, federal spending kept rising, reaching a high of $6 Trillion annually, still with low inflation. Then suddenly came the COVID shortages, and just as suddenly, inflation rose to 8%+. Now, as federal spending continues at massive levels and shortages decline, inflation, too is coming down. The reason: Inflation, far from being a result of federal spending, is the result of national shortages, most often shortages of oil and/or food. The famous Zimbabwe inflation was caused by a food shortage. The government took farmland from farmers and gave it to non-farmers. Government spending was an inept follow-up to the already existing inflation. Had the government spent to aid production and acquisition of food, there would have been no inflation. Argentina: Food, clothing, and, surprisingly, energy shortages caused by the Russia/Ukraine war. America: COVID-caused shortages of oil, food, shipping, computer parts, metals, lumber, labor, and other essentials. Before COVID, inflation was near zero despite massive federal spending for many years. Then came COVID, and its shortages caused inflation to hit double digits. SUMMARY Congress, the media, and even economists worry about government spending when they should worry about private sector needs. That is the fundamental purpose of government — to provide the private sector with what the private sector needs. Worrying about spending is a reasonable approach for households, businesses, and local governments, all monetarily non-sovereign. They do not have the infinite ability to create dollars. They can, and often do, run short of money. They require taxes and borrowing to remain solvent. By contrast, this approach is wrongheaded for our Monetarily Sovereign federal government, which can create money and needs neither taxes nor borrowing to remain solvent. As I write this, the federal government is about to shut down over worries, not about economic needs but about federal spending, the exact opposite of what the government should consider. The Republicans have forgotten about needs. The Democrats consider needs but are hypnotized by the false analogies with household finances. The situation today resembles a billionaire refusing a life-saving cancer medicine because it costs $1 per year. Nonsensical. I look forward to the day when people understand that federal money is an unlimited resource. If used correctly, it will solve most problems facing this nation and create a paradise on earth. Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Inflation: To find the cure, look first at the cause

It’s axiomatic that if you wish to prevent and cure something, you first should learn the causes, and then address them.

Elements in the federal government seem to believe that the current inflation is caused by too-low interest rates and too-high government spending. Thus, we have the Fed raising rates and Congress enacting debt ceilings (spending ceilings).

Neither of these efforts is directed at the real cause of inflation: Shortages. In fact they both make the situation worse.

Raising interest rates and enacting debt ceilings both are recessionary. The government seems to believe inflations should be cured by recessions.

 Perhapsour leaders never have heard of “stagflation,” a stagnant economy together with inflation.

The Fed claims its raising of interest rates will “help cool an overheated economy,” which is another term for slowing Gross Domestic Product growth, i.e., causing a recession.

Debt ceilings are directly intended to slow GDP growth because GDP is measured, in part, by federal spending.

GDP = Federal Spending + Nonfederal spending + Net Exports

A graph of GDP changes (blue) vs inflation. Where the lines separate or cross, you see a lack of correspondence.

Compare this graph with the one below, inflation vs. oil prices (which correspond closely to oil supplies).

The price and supply of oil (violet) closely parallels inflation.

Reducing oil prices, which would entail increasing availability or declining usage, would be significant steps in curing inflation.

The government has distributed oil from America’s oil reserves and encouraged renewable energy use. Inflation has moderated. But oil is not the only scarce item causing inflation. Consider workers.

Axios AM By Mike Allen · Aug 27, 2023
America’s worker-shortage crisis

Wherever you look, America faces acute worker shortages in some of its vital occupations — teachers, bus drivers, cops, plumbers, electricians, carpenters, surveyors, pilots, air traffic controllers, and more.

Some of the highest-stakes workplaces — hospitals and prisons — are also severely short-staffed.

Why it matters: Understaffing in these industries goes beyond inconvenience, with dire potential consequences for public health and safety, Axios’ Emily Peck reports.

And a shortage of workers leads to inflation from two causes:

    1. To acquire workers, America’s industries must raise salaries, translating into higher prices.
    2. The shortage of workers leads to a scarcity of products and services, which also translates into higher prices.

The Fed’s repeated interest rate increases will do nothing to alleviate the acute worker shortages, and the need to increase salaries, both of which lead to higher prices, and the scarcity of products and services. 

The causes are demographic, economic, and social.

Americans are getting older, meaning  fewer younger people of working age.

Add the tight labor market — unemployment in the U.S. is deficient — and there simply aren’t enough workers in the U.S. to meet demand.

Reopening the U.S.-Mexico Border: A Framework for Action | Houston, Texas  USA
Most drugs come to America this way, not via immigrants.

Americans opted out of government jobs after the COVID shock, even as the private sector rebounded.

Even with workers opting out of government jobs, there still aren’t enough private-sector workers.

Yet the government, especially the Republicans, pay to erect high walls at our border, then pay more to guard those walls.

Then, they pay more to house and protect the people caught after climbing the walls.

And all this supposedly is to stop the traffic of drugs most of which come in via legal crossings — planes, boats, the mail, and regular border crossings.

According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection statistics, 90 percent of heroin seized along the border, 88 percent of cocaine, 87 percent of methamphetamine, and 80 percent of fentanyl were caught trying to be smuggled in at legal crossing points.

In short, we are creating our shortage of workers because of a drug smuggling myth, and perhaps more importantly, because of xenophobia, while we complain about inflation.

Some of these high-stakes shortages are about wagesGovernment jobs, including teaching and law enforcement, typically can’t raise pay high enough to compete with businesses.

Will higher interest rates solve the wage problem? The government could help enormously by eliminating FICA, a vast, unnecessary employment cost. In our Monetarily Sovereign government federal taxes don’t pay for benefits.

What workers and businesses pay to FICA should instead be paid to the workers.

Further, another business cost could be eliminated with federally funded Medicare for All, leaving even more financial room for wages.

Some problems are about working conditions: Employers trying to fill in-person, high-stress roles compete with jobs offering more flexibility, including remote work.

Rather than paying for the health care insurance perk, businesses would be better able to pay for improved working conditions and more employees, to relieve stress on current employees.

And some of them are about skills: There are only so many people with a ton of expertise creating AI programs, for example. That’s the problem in nursing, too.

The federal government could and should fund universities and educational programs teaching AI and nursing. These would do far more to fight inflation than recessionist interest rate increases.

Nurses should receive federal tax benefits or supplements.

A lack of qualified workers in AI and manufacturing threatens to slow productivity and growth in areas where the U.S. is otherwise poised for giant leaps.

That’s a problem for companies in those sectors and the broader economy.

More professionals are needed in deep learning, natural language processing, and robotic process automation, the Financial Times reports.

The federal government could fund free education in the above areas.

Parents are feeling the labor squeeze on multiple fronts:

Schools nationwide are understaffed, crying for more teachers, bus drivers, and social workers.

The government should use income tax laws to control these shortages by giving special tax breaks or subsidies to people in those areas.

Child care: Parents often can’t find or afford it. That can cause them to stay on the sidelines of the labor force — making the worker shortage much worse.

A shortage of air traffic controllers is contributing to an increase in near-miss collisions, the New York Times reports.

Police departments have faced mass early retirements fueled by plummeting morale.

According to administration data, prisons have the same issue: 21% of correctional officer positions were unstaffed in federal prisons last fall.

Many younger workers have shunned the building trades of their parents. After waning for 30 years amid the zest for college prep, the high-school shop class is making a comeback.

The federal government should fund tax breaks or supplements for people learning and working in the above shortage areas.

And/or the government could support research and development of more automation in some industries where this would reduce the need for workers.

The bottom line: Demographic reality means labor shortages are likely with us for the foreseeable future.

Translation: Inflation will likely be with us for the foreseeable future, which means those unnecessary, harmful interest rate hikes could continue.

Three things could change that: a surge in immigration … a surprise flood of sidelined women into the workforce … or a recession that drives down employee demand.

The surge of immigration could occur if the ignorant, absurd restrictions we place on immigration and citizenship were to end.

What possible benefit is there for America to make immigration and citizenship so difficult and time-consuming?

Women would enter the workforce if childcare were federally funded and laws about equality of pay were enforced.

A recession is unnecessary, though probably inevitable, despite our federal government’s Monetary Sovereignty.

SUMMARY

The federal government has all the tools to end the shortages, particularly the labor shortage, that inflates our prices and slows economic growth.

It merely needs to use those tools and forget about the self-defeating interest rate increases, the purposes and effects of which are to recess our economy.

 

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Is money real? No.

Is money real? Let’s first define “real.” Then you decide.

A case could be made that nothing is “real” in that everything is constructed in our brains. René Descartes addressed that problem when he wrote, “I think, therefore I am.” (“cogito, ergo sum”).

It was the one statement he felt he absolutely could accept as accurate. He couldn’t know for sure that the earth, the seas, the stars, and the people were not illusions or dreams.

But since we are defining, we can define real as we choose, so let’s say that “real” means something most people accept as having a physical existence. In one way or another, it can be seen, felt, heard, smelled, tasted, or otherwise having a physical presence.

In that sense, many things we commonly deal with are not real. Numbers are not real. You cannot see, taste, feel, smell, or hear a number. What does the number 6 look like? Does it look like this?

Or like this: Six, SIX, √36, IIIIII, seis

Numbers are concepts or ideas with no physical existence. 

In a similar vein, is a story or a novel real? No, a story can be told or written on paper or in a computer’s electrons, but the story itself is not physical. By our definition, that novel you are reading is not real, though the paper and ink are real. 

A Complete Guide to Car Titles - CARFAX
This is a representation of a title, not a title in itself.

A car and house are real, but is the title to a car or house real? The paper and ink are real if the title is printed on paper. But the title is not real. That title exists not only in printed forms but in electronic form. 

The printed form can be in a certificate or computer output, listing one or hundreds of titles.

The title is a legal concept that can exist in many forms and places.

Being a law, a title can exist in the records of one or more government agencies and in the electronic or paper files of a title insurance company, your attorney, or your own files.

You can see a car, but you cannot see a title. At best, you can see a representation of a title. If someone asks for an “original title,” they mean an original copy of a title.  

Now we come to the question, “Is money real.” Consider $10 (ten dollars). Amazon.com: 1907 Morgan Indian Head Ten Dollars Coin,Great American  Commemorative Old Coins, Uncirculated Morgan Dollars,Discover History of  USA Coins for Collectors (Gold) : Collectibles & Fine Art

How $10 dollar bill has changed through the years

Although the gold $10 coin is worth more in barter than the paper $10 bill, the two are worth exactly the same as money.

They both are titles to ten dollars.

So, where are the real dollars if the coin and bill are titles?

All U.S. dollars exist only as numbers on the books of the issuer of dollars, the federal government. And as we have seen, numbers have no physical existence. All numbers are nothing more than concepts.

American Maximum Speed Limit 65 Mph Road Sign Stock Illustration - Download  Image Now - Number 65, Speed Limit Sign, Sign - iStock
This is not a law. It is a representation of a law.

Six houses, six cars, and six chickens differ; only their “sixness” is the same. Numbers are not physical, though they exist as concepts.

How did the dollar concept come into existence? They were created by laws, which also have no physical reality. You cannot see, hear, feel, taste, smell, or sense in any material way, a law.

You can read the representation of a law in a book of rules (of which there are many thousand), or you can hear the representation of a law from a judge or police officer.

You can see the representation of a law on a traffic sign. The law says you cannot drive faster than 65 (sixty-five) miles per hour.

You also can see a representation of the speed-limit law in law books.

But you cannot see the law itself.

Why is the non-physicality of laws and money important?

If something is physical, its creation relies on the availability of its material constituents. A government is limited in producing gold coins by the availability of gold.

Laws have no such limitations. They have no physical constituents. The federal government can create as many laws as it wishes, whenever it wishes.

And since dollars, which have no physical existence, are created by laws, which also have no physical presence, the federal government has the infinite ability to create dollars. If the federal government wished, it could pass endless laws making infinite dollars.

That power is known as Monetary Sovereignty. The federal government is the absolute sovereign over its creation, the U.S. dollar.

If you were a supplier to the federal government and sent them a bill for a trillion, trillion, trillion dollars, they could pay that bill instantly by passing a law and pressing a computer key.

Thus, the so-called federal debt is no burden on the federal government. 

Claims that the federal debt must be limited or is “unsustainable” are ignorant at best and heinous lies at worst.

Similarly, no federal government agency (Social Security, Medicare, etc.) can run short of dollars unless that is what the Monetarily Sovereign U.S. government wants. 

Then we come to the claims that Social Security and Medicare “trust funds” are on the brink of insolvency. I am too much of a gentleman to term claimers as dirty, rotten liars, so I’ll just leave it as “misguided souls who are spouting ignorance.” Better.

When I call these ignorant claims into question, I am greeted by throat-clearing, followed by the equally ignorant claim that “printing too much money causes inflation.”

First, we do not print money. As we have demonstrated, printed dollar bills are not money.

Second, most dollars are not represented by printed dollar bills.

And third, inflation is not caused by too much money; it is caused by scarcities of significant goods like oil, food, or services like shipping. Scarcities cause prices to rise. That is no revelation. 

Governments can prevent/cure inflation by obtaining and distributing the scarce items — and this often requires more money creation, not less.

Our inflation was reduced not by the Fed’s interest rate hikes (which made products and services cost more) but by the government’s release of oil reserves and the financial support given to the manufacturers and shippers of scarce commodities.

The Fed wrongly is tasked with using recession as a tool against inflation. Congress and the President are responsible for reducing the shortages that cause inflation. They need only use their infinite dollar-creation ability to cure those shortages.

The pretense that the finances of our Monetarily Sovereign U.S. government are the same as the finances of monetarily non-sovereign state and local governments stands in the way of doing what a government should do: Improve and protect the lives of the people.

So, “Is money real?” No, if “real” means a substance, the availability of which is physically limited. But yes, if “real” includes concepts, ideas, laws, emotions, beliefs, preferences, and creativity.

Think of money as the Monetarily Sovereign government’s ability to imagine and fund a better world. No limits.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

 

What you should know about our economy that others don’t know.

On September 7, 2009, we published a summary of our economy, facts that seem unknown to the public and ostensibly to economists, the media, and politicians (though I believe many of them fake their ignorance.

Much has changed in the past 13 years, but not the realities, and it is these realities that seem to mystify our thought leaders.

Today’s post will give you those realities, so you will understand why our economy continually lurches from recession to recession, with Congress, the President, and the Federal Reserve flailing about in apparent helplessness against the winds of fate.

Our leaders are not helpless. On the contrary, they have all the tools necessary to exert absolute control over our economy, even during the most stressful times. Even in the face of war, COVID, global warming, and population changes, etc., recessions, depressions, and inflations could be prevented, and prosperity could be implemented, but for the prevailing lack of knowledge or effort.

Economists wish to portray economics as a mathematically-based science, similar to physics, where precise predictions often are possible. But because economics is intertwined with psychology, at best a pseudo-science, predictions veer from inaccurate to just plain WAG (Wild Ass Guesses).

Knowing that exact replication of economics studies is impossible, and even approximations can be wrong, economists tend not to stray far from earlier WAGs and to quote liberally from the past.

Unfortunately, the past, at least the more distant past, omitted Monetary Sovereignty. It is the recognition that the creator of a currency never can run short of that currency, does not need or use income to pay for things, and has absolute control over all aspects of that currency.

The finances of a Monetarily Sovereign entity are nothing like those of a monetarily non-sovereign entity. Confusingly, similar words are used to describe both.

Words like “debt,” “deficit,” “trust fund,” “taxes,” “financial burden,” “prudent,” “money supply,” “borrow,” and even “pay” have different meanings and implications when applied to Monetarily Sovereign entities vs. monetarily non-sovereign entities. These differences are not widely understood or taught in schools.

What follows is a summary-in-brief of those differences. 

But if it ever becomes widely understood, the intelligent application of Monetary Sovereignty will significantly reduce the incidence of inflations, recessions, depressions, poverty, hunger, homelessness, street crime, illiteracy, sickness, and the collection of taxes.

Here are some facts of which you may not be aware:

  1. The U.S. government arbitrarily created the U.S. dollar from thin air. There were no U.S. dollars in the thousands of centuries before the 1780s.
  2. Then suddenly, the U.S. government created U.S. dollars from thin air — as many as it wanted to — by creating new laws, also from thin air, which it has the infinite ability to do.
  3. Just as laws have no physical existence, so do U.S. dollars have no physical reality. Dollars are nothing more than numbers on balance sheets controlled by the government. Those printed dollar bills are only titles to dollars. Just as a house title is not a house and a car title is not a car, a dollar bill is not a dollar.
  4.  Every form of money is a form of debt. Bank savings accounts, checking accounts, money market accounts, C.D.s, travelers’ checks, and corporate bonds all are owed by someone or something. Even the dollar bill represents a debt of the federal government, which is why it has the words  “federal reserve note” printed on it. “Bill” and “note” are words referencing debt.
  5. Just as a car title is not a car, and a house title is not a house, a dollar bill is not a dollar. It is a bearer title to a dollar, which is no more physical than a number.
  6. Because dollars have no physical existence but are only numbers, the federal government has the power to create infinite dollars merely by pressing computer keys. It makes as many dollars as it wishes.
  7. (Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke: “The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press [or, today, its electronic equivalent], that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.“)
  8. The federal government gives its dollars any value it wishes. Through the years, the federal government often arbitrarily changed the value of dollars.
  9. Today, the federal government retains the power to create laws that develop infinite dollars and to give those dollars whatever value it wishes.
  10. This ability is called “Monetary Sovereignty.” The federal government is sovereign over the U.S. dollar.
  11. While the federal government is Monetarily Sovereign, state/local governments, businesses, and people are monetarily non-sovereign.
  12. Monetarily non-sovereign entities do not have the infinite ability to create U.S. dollars or to give those dollars arbitrary values. Monetarily non-sovereign entities can run short of dollars.
  13. While the U.S. government and the governments of the U.K., Mexico, Canada, Australia, Sweden, and others are Monetarily Sovereign, the governments of France, Italy, Germany, Portugal, and others are monetarily non-sovereign. They use the euro. They cannot control their money supplies, nor do they have the ability to fight inflation, recession, or depression.
  14. The European Union (E.U.) is sovereign over the euro. The E.U. is run by the rich. It can fight inflation, recession, and depression but instead forces the poorest people of the euro nations to shoulder that burden.
  15. The U.S. federal government cannot unintentionally run short of dollars, even if it collects no taxes.
  16. Federal taxes and American federal taxpayers do not fund federal government spending. The federal government could provide unlimited benefits (Medicare for All, Social Security for All, College for All, etc.) without taxes. The term, “spending taxpayers’ money,” when referring to the federal government is incorrect. The government does not spend taxpayers’ money.
  17. The purpose of federal taxes is not to provide the federal government with dollars but rather to:
    A. Control the economy by taxing what it wishes to discourage and giving tax breaks to what it wishes to encourage
    B. To assure demand for the dollar by requiring dollars to be used for tax payments, and
    C. to discourage the public from asking for benefits. This is a function of Gap Psychology — the desire of the rich to distance themselves from the middle- and lower-income/wealth/power public.
  18. Money is the way modern economies are measured. By definition, a large economy has a larger money supply than does a small economy. Therefore, a growing economy requires an increasing supply of money. QED.
    The graph shows the essentially parallel paths of GDP (red) vs. a broad measure of the U.S. money supply, Domestic Non-Financial Debt (blue)
  19. Medicare and Social Security are not funded by so-called “trust funds,” which are not real trust funds but only balance sheet lines.
    WHAT ARE FEDERAL TRUST FUNDS?
    September 20, 2016, Peter G. Peterson Foundation
         A federal trust fund is an accounting mechanism used by the federal government to track earmarked receipts (money designated for a specific purpose or program) and corresponding expenditures.
         The largest and best-known funds finance Social Security, Medicare, highways and mass transit, and pensions for government employees.
         Federal trust funds bear little resemblance to their private-sector counterparts.
         In private-sector trust funds, receipts are deposited, and assets are held and invested by trustees on behalf of the stated beneficiaries.
         In federal trust funds, the federal government does not set aside the receipts or invest them in private assets.
         Instead, the receipts are recorded as accounting credits in the trust funds, and the receipts themselves are comingled with other receipts that Treasury collects and spends.
  20. The government has total control over these balance sheet numbers, belying the false claim that the “trust funds” soon will run short of dollars. The federal government has absolute control over those balance sheet numbers. It can add to them or reduce them at will.
  21. Your Social Security check comes from a mythical trust fund that contains no money and receives no money. Social Security (and Medicare) benefits are paid ad hoc by the U.S. government, not from a trust fund, and are not dependent on FICA taxes. Which can and (opinion) should be eliminated.
  22. The federal government creates new dollars ad hoc by paying bills. No receipts by the Treasury are spent. They all are destroyed.
  23. Debt is not a burden on the federal government. It is not, as some have been calling it for over eighty years, “a ticking time bomb.”The infinite ability to create dollars means the government can service any debt denominated in dollars by creating dollars, ad hoc.
  24. The federal Debt/GDP ratio often is quoted with alarm. A high ratio wrongly is thought to indicate the federal government’s difficulty paying its debts. In fact, the Debt/GDP ratio is meaningless, having zero predictive power. Looking at a list of countries by their Debt/GDP ratio will not tell you which countries are better or worse able to pay their bills.
  25. It is impossible to evaluate any aspect of a nation’s economy by looking at its Debt/GDP ratio. The ratio says nothing about the health of the U.S. economy or about the federal government’s ability to pay its bills. See Debt to GDP ratio by country.
  26. The federal government creates dollars by paying creditors.
    A. To pay a creditor, the federal government sends instructions (not dollars) to the creditor’s Bank, instructing the Bank to increase the balance in the creditor’s checking account.
    B. The instant the Bank obeys those instructions, new dollars are created from thin air and added to the M1 money supply measure.
    C. The instructions then are cleared through the Federal Reserve and the government agency issuing the instructions.
  27. What is commonly called “debt” is the total of dollar deposits into privately owned Treasury Security accounts by the purchase of T-bills, T-notes, and/or T-bonds.
    A. To make a deposit into a T-security account, one opens a T-security account and uses U.S. dollars to invest in a T-bill, T-note, or T-bond.
    B. The government never touches those dollars other than to make interest deposits.
    C. The government does not use those dollars; it creates new dollars, ad hoc, to pay its bills.
    D. Upon maturity, the government returns the account balance to the account owner. Visualize how a bank treats deposits in safe deposit boxes.
    E. Because the dollars already exist in the T-security accounts, returning them is not a financial burden on the U.S. government or any taxpayer.
  28. Not needing an input of dollars, the government provides T-bills, etc., only to provide a safe place to store unused dollars and to help it control interest rates. Both purposes help the government stabilize the dollar. 
  29. Even if large holders of T-securities (China is a notable example) were to stop buying T-securities (the term “lending” erroneously is used), the federal government could continue spending as before. If the Federal Reserve felt a need to issue T-securities, they could buy them themselves. There is no financial need for the U.S. to sell T-securities to China.
  30. Some worry that one day the U.S. dollar will cease to be the world’s reserve currency. That should not be a concern. A reserve currency is nothing more than a currency banks hold in reserve to facilitate international commerce. Many currencies function as reserve currencies, including: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Chinese yuan, and others.
  31. A federal “deficit” is the difference between dollars the government creates and sends to the economy (aka “the private sector”) vs. dollars the private sector sends to the government.
  32. When federal deficit and debt growth are reduced we experience recessions and depressions.
    1804-1812: Federal Debt reduced by 48%. Depression began 1807.
    1817-1821: Federal Debt reduced by 29%. Depression began 1819.
    1823-1836: Federal Debt reduced by 99%. Depression began 1837.
    1852-1857: Federal Debt reduced by 59%. Depression began 1857.
    1867-1873: Federal Debt reduced by 27%. Depression began 1873.
    1880-1893: Federal Debt reduced by 57%. Depression began 1893.
    1920-1930: Federal Debt reduced by 36%. Depression began 1929.
    1997-2001: Federal Debt  reduced by 15%. The recession began 2001.
  33. Federal deficits enrich the economy and are necessary to grow the economy. They add dollars to the economy, and they help prevent and cure recessions.
  34. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of dollars spent in the economy, which is why adding dollars to the economy stimulates GDP growth.
  35. Balanced budgets, though appropriate for personal finances, cause recessions and depressions when attempted by the federal government. To grow, the private sector needs to receive more dollars from the federal government than it pays to the federal government (aka a federal deficit).
  36. The federal government receives dollars from the economy through taxes, fines, and other payments.
  37. All dollars received by the federal government are destroyed upon receipt.
    a. Taxes are paid from the private sector (aka “the economy) checking accounts (Those dollars are part of the “M1” money supply) and are sent to the U.S. Treasury.
    b. When dollars reach the Treasury, they cease to be part of any money supply measure. Because the government has the infinite ability to create dollars, there can be no measure of how many dollars the government has. It has infinite dollars. (Infinite dollars + Tax Dollars = Infinite dollars. No change.)
    c. Because tax dollars do not increase the federal government’s money supply, they are effectively destroyed.
    d. Dollars sent to monetarily non-sovereign state/local governments, businesses, and people are not destroyed. They are deposited into private sector banks and remain part of the M1 money supply.
  38. Monetarily non-sovereign entities (state/local governments, businesses, etc.) create dollars by borrowing and lending.
    a. When a bank lends dollars, it does not lend depositors’ funds. It adds dollars to the borrower’s checking account (M1) and balances its books by counting the borrower’s note as dollars.
    b. Upon consummating the loan, the Bank has dollars (the note), and the borrower also has the dollars it borrowed. Thus a loan creates dollars.
    c. As the loan is paid down, dollars held by the borrower are sent to the lender, and the loan balance loses value.
  39. By contrast, the federal government does not borrow its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar. It pays all its bills by creating new dollars.
  40. The federal government collects taxes not to fund spending but to:
    a. Control the economy by taxing what it wishes to discourage and giving tax breaks to what it wishes to encourage
    b. Create demand for the dollar by requiring taxes to be paid in dollars
    c. Create the false impression that taxes are necessary to fund spending so that the public acquiesces to benefit limits.
  41. Import duties are taxes levied on imported goods. These taxes are paid by the purchaser, not by the seller. For example, a duty on imports of Chinese goods is paid by the American consumer, not by the Chinese exporter.
  42. Inflation is a general increase in prices.
  43. Prices increase because supply is insufficient to satisfy demand (scarcity).
  44. Historically, dollar creation has not caused an increase in demand sufficient to cause inflation. Federal deficit spending does not cause inflation.
    There is no relationship between increases in federal deficit spending (red) and inflation (blue)
    A. All inflations have been caused by the insufficient supply of critical goods and services, most often oil and food.
    B. Today’s inflation is caused by scarcities of oil, food, lumber, computer chips, shipping (supply chain), labor, and other COVID-related factors.
    Oil shortages cause most inflations. Curing oil shortages cures most inflations.
    C. These shortages are not caused by money creation and cannot be cured by restricting money creation plans such as interest rate increases. Those plans do not remedy the scarcities that are responsible for inflation.
    D. Curing inflation requires curing shortages, not recessing the economy.
    Federal deficit spending does not cause inflation.

    E. Shortages often begin with a disease, weather, war, or government mismanagement. COVID caused many shortages and was the original impetus for today’s inflation.
    F. The famous Zimbabwe inflation began when the government took farmland from experienced farmers and gave it to people who didn’t know how to farm. The resultant food shortage, not Zimbabwe’s money creation, caused hyperinflation.
  45. The federal government can cure shortages by additional deficit spending to obtain scarce goods and services or encourage their creation. 
  46. Eliminating the FICA tax would fight inflation by lowering labor costs and thus the cost of most goods.
  47. There is no economic benefit to privately owned banks. The federal government should own all the banks. Because the federal government doesn’t have a profit motive, there would be none of those risky securities the big banks have dreamed up. These garbage contracts led to the Big Recession of 2008, and because the banks were not punished, no lessons were learned. The same problems are happening today.
  48. More efficient and generous immigration laws would fight inflation by reducing the labor shortage.
  49. Low interest rates are not stimulative.
    Low interest rates (purple) do not correspond with high economic growth (green).
  50. Increasing interest rates can make the dollar more valuable and have some stimulative effect because low rates force the government to pay more interest dollars into the economy. But low rates do not cure shortages. They actually can exacerbate shortages and intensify inflation.
  51. Interest rate increases make private sector money creation (borrowing) more difficult, which can recess the economy.
  52. On balance, high and low interest rates have both stimulative and recessive elements. But they do not cure inflations, and it is the inflations that lead to recessions or “stagflation” (the combination of a stagnant economy and inflation). 
  53. A symptom of this bifurcation is the stock market’s adverse reaction to good economic news. Any good news (low unemployment, high GDP growth, etc.) impels the Fed to raise interest rates, which the public believes will hurt business and depress securities.
  54. Recessions have no agreed-upon definition but often are defined as a decline in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for two consecutive quarters. GDP is a measure of spending. Federal Spending + Nonfederal Spending + Net Exports = GDP.
  55. Depressions often are defined as recessions that last at least two years.
  56. The prevention and cure for recessions and depressions is federal deficit spending, which adds dollars to the economy (aka the private sector) and increases GDP. 
  57. Reductions in federal deficit spending or surpluses lead to recessions and depressions, providing the private sector with insufficient growth dollars.
  58. The Fed has no cure for stagflation, though Congress and the President do.
    A. The “stagnation” part of stagflation is cured by federal stimulus spending, as is done to cure every recession.
    B. The “inflation” part of stagflation is cured by federal spending to obtain the goods and services whose scarcity is causing inflation.
  59. Though state and local governments are monetarily non-sovereign concerning the U.S. dollar, nothing stops any entity –you, me or anyone–from creating their own sovereign currency and being Monetarily Sovereign concerning that currency.
    A. The currency would face the problem of demand, i.e., the acceptance of the money in payment, which in part would depend on the “full faith and credit” of the issuer.
    B. Many forms of money exist in America. One example is manufacturer coupons. They are issued by businesses, have a stated value, and are accepted by retailers.
    C. Some aspects of the U.S. dollar’s “full faith and credit” are:
         i. The government will accept only U.S. currency in payment of debts to the government
         ii. It unfailingly will pay all its dollar debts with U.S. dollars and will not default
         iii. It will force all domestic creditors to accept U.S. dollars, if offered, to satisfy any debt.
         iv. It will not require domestic creditors to accept any other money
         v. It will protect the value of the dollar.
         vi. It will maintain a market for U.S. currency
         vii. It will continue to use U.S. currency and will not change to another currency.
         viii. All forms of U.S. currency will be reciprocal; five $1 bills always will equal one $5 bill, etc.
  60. An example of Monetary Sovereignty and full faith & credit can be found in the board game, “Monopoly®.” By rule, the Bank in that game never can run out of Monopoly dollars, and it does not rely on income to pay its debts. Thus, the Monopoly bank is Monetarily Sovereign.
  61. Being Monetarily Sovereign, the Bank has infinite Monopoly dollars, and neither its deficits nor its debt is a burden on the Bank or on the players (corresponding to the real-world economy).
  62. Gold and silver are not, and never have been money. At most, they have been value standards to which the value of money is compared.
  63. Gold or silver never “backed” the dollar. The prices of gold and silver vary wildly, but through the years, the federal government arbitrarily and often has changed the value of dollars vs. gold and silver (which destroys the “backed” claim.) The only thing backing the U.S. dollar is the full faith and credit of the U.S. government.
  64. Lack of money is the mother of street crime. Impoverished neighborhoods endure far more street crime than do wealthy neighborhoods.
  65. The prevention and cure for street crime is not more police or more severe punishment. The prevention and cure for street crime is to reduce poverty.
  66. The federal government has the power to reduce poverty and thus to reduce street crime) by paying for health care insurance (Medicare for All), living expenses (Social Security for All), education (college for all), food (Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program — SNAP for all), life insurance for all, and housing (rent assistance for all).
  67. “Rich” and “poor” are relative terms. A person having a million dollars would be poor if everyone else had ten million. A person with a thousand dollars would be rich if everyone else had ten dollars. The income/wealth/power difference between those who have more and those who have less is the Gap.
  68. The wider the Gap, the richer are the rich.
  69. To become more prosperous, the rich (who run our world) continually attempt to widen the Gap. They can widen the Gap by gaining more for themselves or by forcing the poorer to have less.
  70. To force the poorer to have less, the rich feed them the disinformation that the federal government cannot afford to pay for benefits, that federal spending causes inflation, or that benefits require taxes. None are true.
    A. The federal government can afford anything (It’s Monetarily Sovereign);
    B. federal spending never has caused inflation (shortages of oil and other goods and services cause inflation);
    C. federal taxes don’t pay for anything (the federal government creates dollars, ad hoc, to pay for all its spending). Federal taxes are destroyed upon receipt.
  71. The rich also spread the disinformation that if the federal government provides benefits, the poor will refuse to work. To debunk this myth, one only needs to look at the rich, or even at the upper middle classes, who continue to work despite receiving massive tax benefits.
  72. Human wants are unlimited. Even the rich wish to be richer, more powerful, more respected, more envied, more admired, and to have more of everything. Most people want a better life for themselves and their children.
  73. Thus, even upon receiving free medical care, housing, food, clothing, education, etc., people will continue to work for more than what is considered “basic” at any moment in time.
  74. To help spread their disinformation, the rich bribe:
    A. Politicians (via political donations and promises of future employment),
    B. Economists (via university donations and jobs in think tanks), and
    C. The media (via advertising dollars and media ownership).
  75. The rich bribe politicians to pass tax laws and other laws favorable to the wealthy and unfavorable to the rest of us, to widen the income/wealth/power Gap.
  76. Congress’s approval of benefits reveals an ugly part of the human psyche: Jealousy. President Biden’s approval of student loan debt reduction elicited cries of “Unfair” from those who already had paid off much or all of their student loan debt.
  77. But all benefits are felt to be “unfair” by those who didn’t receive the benefit before it was begun. This demonstrates the intimate relationship between economics and psychology. 
  78. The European Union (E.U.) is Monetarily Sovereign over the euro and is run by the rich, forcing the euro nations to struggle for lack of euros. This helps widen the Gap between the European rich and the rest.
  79. The United States is a not-very-democratic republic. While we, the people, do elect our leaders, the election system is highly skewed toward rural power. The Senators’ elections and the national Presidential elections give excessive power to rural voters vs. urban voters. This originally was done by our founders to encourage rural states to join the union.
  80. Within the Senate, voting rules give a few Senators, sometimes only one Senator, extreme power. Even the supposedly population-based House of Representatives accomplishes this dubious, undemocratic achievement via gerrymandering,the manipulation of an electoral constituency’s boundaries so as to favor one party or class. 
  81. The Supreme Court, the final arbiter of all laws, proudly pays no attention to what the public wants. Instead, they are nine (currently) unelected people who make national decisions based on their personal and religious philosophies and party affiliation. 
  82. As such, the unelected Supreme Court’s desired impartial functions have been superseded by the Justices’ personal biases. A case could be made for eliminating the Supreme Court and allowing the elected Executive and Legislative branches of government, which more closely reflect the desires of the public, to fill the role. An alternative would be to impose term limits on SCOTUS justices.

The above points are merely summaries of broader truths about the U.S. economy. Most have been discussed at greater length in this blog’s preceding posts.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY