Translating a letter from a debt nut Monday, Mar 11 2019 

Herewith, for your education and amusement, we translate into correct economics,  the opinions of a certifiable, wrong-headed debt nut:
The following is a statement from Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget:

President Trump’s budget aims to reverse an unsustainable fiscal situation and put debt on a downward path relative to the economy.
Unfortunately, as in previous years, he relies on far too many accounting gimmicks and fantasy assumptions and puts forward far too few actual solutions.
Translation: The Republican budget that President Trump has not, and cannot, read aims to continue a sustainable (since 1940) fiscal situation and put deposits into T-security accounts on an upward path.
Unfortunately, as in previous years, he relies on far too many accounting gimmicks and fantasy assumptions and puts forward far too few actual solutions.
Even full of accounting gimmicks meant to paper over deficits, the President’s Budget would still borrow $7.8 trillion over the next decade.
Under reasonable economic assumptions, however, we find it would be closer to $10.5 trillion.
Translation: Even full of accounting gimmicks meant to paper over stimulative additions to the economy, the Republican Budget that Trump hasn’t read, would still accept $7.8 trillion in T-security account deposits over the next decade.
Under reasonable economic assumptions, however, we find it would be closer to a $10.5 trillion addition to the economy.
Image result for signing blind

How Trump signs GOP bills.

President Trump has already signed into law debt-financed tax cuts and spending increases that will add $2.3 trillion to the debt over the next decade, despite budgets that proposed revenue-neutral tax reform and spending reductions.
This budget does nothing to address or pay for these expanded deficits – in fact, it assumes the tax cuts are extended without even recognizing the cost.

Translation: President Trump has blindly signed into law tax cuts and spending increases that will add $2.3 trillion to the economy over the next decade, despite recessionary budgets that proposed disastrous tax increases and spending reductions.

This budget does nothing to take advantage of the government’s unlimited ability to pay for these expanded additions to the economy – in fact, it assumes the tax cuts are extended without even recognizing the benefits.
Perhaps most disappointing is the decision to continue
Image result for money pouring into a hand

Deficits –federal tax cuts and spending — add growth dollars to the economy.

And expand recent defense increases by funding almost $100 billion in new spending through an off-book emergency war account.

This Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) gimmick is not new, but the proposed abuse of this account rises to a new level never before seen and sets a dangerous precedent.
Translation: Perhaps most encouraging is the decision to continue and expand recent defense increases by funding almost $100 billion in new spending.
This Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) program is not new, but the proposed use of this account rises to a new level never before seen and sets a favorable precedent for stimulating the economy.
Meanwhile, a fantasy assumption of sustained 3 percent economic growth makes a return appearance in the budget.
Every independent forecaster foresees growth to average closer to 2 percent over the next decade.
Assuming an extra point of growth serves no purpose but to mask the high deficits and debt likely to materialize under the President’s budget.
Meanwhile, a typically Trumpist fantasy assumption of sustained 3 percent economic growth makes a return appearance in the budget.
Every independent forecaster foresees growth to average closer to 2 percent over the next decade.
Assuming an extra point of growth serves no purpose but to mask the economy’s surpluses and the deposits into T-security accounts likely to materialize under the Republican’s budget.
Thoughtful Medicare, disability, and other proposals in the budget deserve serious debate, but these policies are overshadowed by inflated economic growth, unrealistic policy assumptions, and a failure to recognize the deep hole that policymakers have dug in recent years.
Translation: Thoughtful Medicare, disability, and other proposals in the budget deserve serious debate, but these policies are overshadowed by inflated economic growth, unrealistic policy assumptions, and a failure to recognize the economic stimuli that policymakers have invested in recent years.
If the past two years are any indication, this budget will be followed by more debt, not debt reduction.
On our current course, Americans will soon face record levels of debt, leading to slower income growth, increased interest payments, and less opportunity.
If the past two years are any indication, this budget will be followed by more economic growth, not growth reduction.
On our current course, Americans will soon face record levels of economic growth, leading to higher income growth, increased interest payments into the private sector, and more opportunity that results from increases in the money supply. 
In Summary:
If you merely substitute:
  • “deposits into T-security accounts”  for “debt,”
  • “investments in the private sector” for “deficits,”
  • “sustainable since 1940” for “unsustainable,”
  • “favorable precedent” for “unfavorable precedent,” and
  • “Republican” for “Trump” (who never reads anything and will sign anything anti-Obama),
you will be able to glean the truths from the lies of Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereigntyFacebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the richer and the poorer.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:

1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded medicare — parts a, b & d, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Does the CRFB believe if you tell a lie often enough, it becomes the truth? Monday, Jan 28 2019 

Those of you who read, “It is 2019, and the phony federal debt “time bomb” still is ticking“, are aware that at least since 1940, and surely before, scaremongers have been calling the federal debt a “ticking time bomb.” Eighty years of being wrong. Still no explosion.

Those of you who read, “More scare nonsense from the CRFB,” know that this organization, funded by rich folks, wants you to believe what simply is not true: That the federal government can run short of its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar.

It can’t. It created the very first dollar, and continues to create dollars, ad hoc, every time it pays a creditor.

Even if all tax collections totaled $0, the federal government could continue paying its bills, forever.

Now that the latest CRFB (Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget) nonsense has been published, I feel obligated to demonstrate that it is . . . well, nonsense. If they keep publishing the lies I’ll keep publishing the truth.

Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
CBO: Debt Still on Unsustainable Path, January 28, 2019

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its Budget and Economic Outlook for the next decade this morning, which warned that our debt is headed to uncharted waters (1).

Under current law, CBO projects debt will rise from 78 percent of the economy today to almost 93 percent by 2029 and over 152 percent within 30 years.

Under CBO’s Alternative Fiscal Scenario, which assumes the continuation of current policies, debt would reach 105 percent of the economy by 2029 and exceed record levels set after World War II by 2030 (2).

The following is a statement from Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget:

“You need to go no further than this report to see the real state of the union – our national debt is rising rapidly, and trillion-dollar deficits are just on the horizon.

Numbers don’t lie, and anyone with a calculator on their phone can see that debt is a problem that can’t be ignored. (3)

“The debt doesn’t just burden future generations, (4) it also stands in the way of economic and political progress today. (5)

With the government now reopened, it is time for the new Congress and the President to work to put the country on more solid fiscal ground. (6)

“CBO’s annual report is a reminder that the situation is getting worse, not better. (7)

Lawmakers should come up with a plan now while the economy is strong to put our debt on a downward path and phase it in to avoid the much more disruptive choices that procrastination will bring. (8)

Look at the CRFB’s comments, point by point.

(1) Actually, these waters have been “charted” — by Japan, whose Debt to Gross Domestic Product ratio is above 250% — and there’s no sign it is “a problem that can’t be ignored.”

The waters also have been “charted” by the U.S. after WWII, and the chart shows the U.S. economy has grown quite well since WWII:

Federal debt has been “sustainable” since WWII, and has not been a “problem” (3), has not burdened any generations (4), and has not stood in the way of economic and political progress. (5).

Federal debt has been “sustainable” since WWII, and has not been a “problem.” Numbers don’t lie, but liars lie about numbers (3). Federal debt and GDP have grown together, which would not be the case if the debt were “a problem.”

Federal debt cannot “burden future generations” (4), because taxes do not fund the debt. The federal government pays off the debt every day, simply by returning the dollars that reside in those T-security accounts.

It is the lack of federal deficits that burdens generations:

Recessions come from deficit growth decline, and deficits are cured by deficit growth increases. The reason: Economic growth requires money growth, and deficits pump money into the economy.

Growing debt and has not stood in the way of economic and political progress. (5).  We aren’t sure what “political progress” the CRFB means, but the relationship between debt growth and economic growth is clear.

The country is on “solid fiscal ground” (6) when deficits are growing, because deficits pump more dollars into the economy.

The country is on shaky fiscal ground when deficits are reduced, because a growing economy requires a growing supply of money.

All depressions have been introduced by reductions in federal debt, and most recessions have been introduced by reductions in deficit growth.

Depressions and recessions have been cured by debt growth.

(7) “The situation” is getting better because deficits are increasing, which means the federal government is pumping more dollars into the economy.

Putting federal debt on a downward path repeatedly has proven to cause depressions, by taking dollars out of the economy.

There is no reason to do this, however. The federal government is not like state and local governments, and not like you and me. It uniquely is Monetarily Sovereign.

Unlike state and local governments, and unlike you and me, the federal government cannot run short of its own sovereign currency.

Unlike us, the federal government does not have to “save up” to pay its bills. It does not need to wait for the economy to be strong. The U.S. federal government has the unlimited power to pay all its bills, whether the economy is growing, shrinking, or standing still.

Ben Bernanke: “The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”

Image result for bernanke and greenspan

Greenspan: “The CRFB tells people we’re running short of dollars.”  Bernanke: “And people fall for it!”

Alan Greenspan: “Central banks can issue currency, a non-interest-bearing claim on the government, effectively without limit. A government cannot become insolvent with respect to obligations in its own currency.”

St. Louis Federal Reserve: “As the sole manufacturer of dollars, whose debt is denominated in dollars, the U.S. government can never become insolvent, i.e., unable to pay its bills. In this sense, the government is not dependent on credit markets to remain operational. 

As always, the CRFB functions mostly as a shill for the very rich, to convince you your federal benefits — Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, aids to poverty, aids to education, etc.  — are unaffordable and must be reduced.

All the similar talk about the Social Security Trust Fund running short of dollars, and Medicare-for-All being unaffordable are outright lies, meant to keep you down.

If you’re tired of the lies, don’t stand for them. Tell your national representatives that you know the facts.

  • You know: the government cannot run short of dollars
  • You know that growing deficits are necessary to grow the economy
  • You know that the federal debt is not real debt, but rather is the total of deposits into T-security accounts, similar to savings accounts or bank CDs.
  • You know the federal government easily can afford comprehensive Medicare-for-All
  • You know the federal government could provide free education for everyone
  • In short, you know the federal government can afford the Ten Steps to Prosperity (below).

Tell them to cut the crap rather than cutting budgets, because you know the truth and you’re not going to stand for their lies any longer.

Or, just keep accepting their lies. Your choice.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell
Search #monetarysovereigntyFacebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The single most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the have-mores and the have-less.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:
1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded medicare — parts a, b & d, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Is this good news or bad news for JPMorgan Chase? Saturday, Jan 5 2019 

Is the following press release good news or bad news for JPMorgan Chase?

JPMorgan Chase Tops Nation in Deposits
Customers add $96 billion in net deposits in last year, bringing the total to $1.3 trillion.

For the first time in 23 years, JPMorgan Chase & Co. led the nation in total deposits as consumers and businesses added $96 billion to their bank accounts in the last year.

The Firm’s U.S. deposits grew 7.9 percent to reach $1.3 trillion on June 30, 2017.

Over the last five years, customers added $447 billion in deposits, a 51 percent increase.

“Customers continue to trust us with their money as we help them bank whenever, wherever, however they want,” said Thasunda Duckett, CEO of Consumer Banking at Chase.

See how proud JPM is.

If the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), the federal debt worry-warts, had written this article, it would have read like this:

JPMorgan adds $96 billion in debt in last year, bringing the total owed to customers and businesses to $1.3 trillion.

For the first time in 23 years, JPMorgan Chase & Co. led the nation in total debt as it borrowed $96 billion more in the last year.

The Firm’s U.S. debt grew 7.9 percent to reach $1.3 trillion on June 30, 2017. Over the last five years, JPM borrowed an additional $447 billion, a 51 percent increase.

Allow me to assure you, that the above two news releases are identical, except for the substitution of the word “debt” for “deposits.”  In this context, the two words mean the same thing.

Image result for political bull poop

A fresh sample of CRFB “debt” commentary.

The CRFB endlessly tells you that the federal “debt” totals so many trillions, and this is a bad thing. But they really are talking about the total of deposits into T-security (T-bills, T-notes, T-bonds) accounts.

T-security accounts are essentially identical to bank savings accounts and CDs.

When you buy a T-security, that is very much like buying a bank CD, or making a deposit into a bank account. It creates a bank “debt,” but you don’t call it “debt.” do you? You call it “deposits.”

There is are two big differences between deposits with the federal government and deposits with your bank:

  1. The federal government is Monetarily Sovereign. It never can run short of its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar. It never can go bankrupt. Your money is 100% safe. Your bank, by contrast, is monetarily non-sovereign. It can run short of dollars. It can go bankrupt.
  2. Because the federal government is Monetarily Sovereign, it has no need for your dollars. So it simply leaves your dollars in your account until maturity, at which time it returns them to you, plus interest. Your bank, by contrast, needs and uses your dollars. So when the time comes to return them, your bank may not have enough.

In short,  JPMorgan Chase & Co. and their CEO of Consumer Banking, bust their buttons boasting about the amount of deposits they hold, while the CRFB wrings its shaky hands about the amount of deposits the much safer federal government holds.

Ironically, the federal government is so much safer than banks that when a bank goes under, it is the federal government’s Federal Deposit Insurance Company that bails out the depositors.

No bank ever is called upon to bail out the government, but you wouldn’t know that by reading the CRFB nonsense

It’s absolute craziness, but the CRFB relies on your not understanding that your purchases of T-securities are deposits in your T-security accounts. The CRFB uses semantic confusion to make its false case, and sadly, your politicians go along with the ruse.

And as long as you keep quiet about it, or believe the “government is in debt” lie, your politicians will continue to tell you the government can’t afford benefits to you, and that you taxpayers are on the hook for federal “debt.”

Bull excrement is hard to wash off when you’ve been covered for years.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell; Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The single most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the have-mores and the have-less.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:
1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded medicare — parts a, b & d, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

 

A debt question from Quora, asked and answered Wednesday, Dec 12 2018 

Quora is a site where people ask questions, and other people answer them. Many people ask about the U.S. federal “debt,” and I’ve tried to illuminate the world, one candle at a time.

Here, for example, is a typical question and answer, with a follow up by one reader. The original question and answer were:

Why would Trump state “I Won’t Be Here” when asked about the looming debt crisis?

Answer from Rodger Malcolm Mitchell: Contrary to what others are telling you, there is no “debt crisis.”

The federal government, unlike you and me, is Monetarily Sovereign. And unlike you and me, it never can run short of dollars with which to pay its debt. In fact, paying debts is the method by which the federal government creates new dollar.

In fact, the so-called “federal debt” isn’t even debt. It is the total of deposits into Treasury Security accounts, similar to savings accounts.

To “lend” to the federal government, you instruct your bank to send your dollars to your Treasury Security account.

There your dollars remain – they are not used by the federal government. Then when your account matures, your dollars, plus interest are returned to you.

Image result for federal reserve

Alan Greenspan: “A government cannot become insolvent with respect to obligations in its own currency.”
Ben Bernanke: “The U.S. government has a technology that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”
St. Louis Federal Reserve: “The government is not dependent on credit markets to remain operational.”

It is not a burden on our Monetarily Sovereign government, nor is it a burden on federal taxpayers.

Federal taxing does not fund federal “debt.”

People who worry about the federal debt do not understand Monetary Sovereignty.

The so-called “debt” has increased an astounding 40,000% since 1940, and here we are, with the economy healthy and growing, and inflation near the Federal Reserve target.

Pay no attention to the debt Henny Pennys who have been calling it a crisis for 78 years. These people don’t learn from reality.

Then came the follow-up question and its answer:

Chamchadik
You’re right- being fiat, the us federal reserve can just print as much currency as it wants and settle all debt: I would like to hear your reasoning on why they haven’t done this already?

————————–Reply——————————————-

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
The so-called federal “debt” is merely the total of outstanding Treasury securities (T-bills, T-notes, T-bonds). It isn’t “debt.” It is “deposits.”

The government does not issue T-securities to obtain dollars. It creates all the dollars it needs.

Issuing T-securities has two primary purposes:

1. To provide a safe, interest-paying, storage place for holders of dollars. This helps stabilize the dollar.

2. To assist the Fed in controlling interest rates. This helps control inflation.

Yes, the government could eliminate all federal “debt” tomorrow, if it wished, simply by returning the dollars in the T-security accounts, back to the owners.

But, there is no reason why the government would want to reduce the “debt.” These T-securities serve valuable functions, and the “debt” is no burden whatsoever on the government, on taxpayers or on anyone else.

The word “debt” confuses people. If instead, it was properly called “deposits,” no one would want it reduced.

Perhaps, the next time someone tells you the federal “debt” should be reduced, you might answer, “Why would the government want fewer deposits into Treasury security accounts? These deposit accounts are valuable to the government and are no burden on anyone.”

Just a thought.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty
Twitter: @rodgermitchell; Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

The single most important problems in economics involve the excessive income/wealth/power Gaps between the have-mores and the have-less.

Wide Gaps negatively affect poverty, health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, taxation, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, and virtually every other issue in economics.

Implementation of The Ten Steps To Prosperity can narrow the Gaps:

Ten Steps To Prosperity:
1. Eliminate FICA

2. Federally funded medicare — parts a, b & d, plus long-term care — for everyone

3. Provide a monthly economic bonus to every man, woman and child in America (similar to social security for all)

4. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone

5. Salary for attending school

6. Eliminate federal taxes on business

7. Increase the standard income tax deduction, annually. 

8. Tax the very rich (the “.1%) more, with higher progressive tax rates on all forms of income.

9. Federal ownership of all banks

10. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99.9% 

The Ten Steps will grow the economy, and narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and you.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

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