A Challenge To The CRFB

This is a challenge to the CRFB.

To: Maya MacGuineas, President;

I recently received an Email from you, which I will quote in its entirety.

Congress has until December 16th to fund the government and avoid a federal shutdown. If they avoid that, they’ll likely have done so with the same tired Washington tactic of promising billions in new deficit-funded spending or tax cuts, driving the national debt even higher.

We have asked Congress not to borrow any new money for the rest of 2022.

With our Debt Fixer interactive tool, you have the opportunity to craft a national budget that puts America on a sustainable fiscal course heading into 2023.

How It Works: The Debt Fixer gives users the opportunity to confront many of the same budget decisions that lawmakers face and to see how those choices affect the debt. You’ll be asked to make decisions on a range of policy options with the goal of stabilizing the debt at 90 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) within ten years and 60 percent of GDP by 2050.

Afterwards, users can share select to share their fiscal choices with Members of Congress and social media. Can you do better than Congress? Give it a try now!

If you’re a teacher and would like to use the Debt Fixer in your class, please let us know by e-mailing debtfixer@crfb.org.

We can provide additional resources for your classroom including guest speakers and a customizable link where you can compare your classes results. If you enjoy Debt Fixer, we encourage you to check out our other interactive resources: Budgeting for the Future, Is It Worth It, and the Social Security Reformer.

Here you’ll be able to test your budget knowledge, compare the costs of proposals and policies, and choose the options to stabilizing the debt at 90 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for future generations.

I have bolded the following phrases from your Email: “driving the national debt even higher,” “not to borrow,” “not to borrow,” “sustainable fiscal course,” “stabilizing the debt at 90 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and “stabilizing the debt at 90 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).”

As I suspect you know, the U.S. federal government is Monetarily Sovereign, i.e., it has the infinite ability to create its own sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar. This ability sometimes (incorrectly) is referred to as “printing” dollars.

The infinite ability to “print” dollars means the U.S. government never unintentionally can run short of dollars.

THE CHALLENGE

Given the fact that the U.S. government cannot run short of dollars, I challenge you to answer the following questions:

  1. DRIVING THE NATIONAL DEBT EVEN HIGHER: Given the federal government’s infinite ability to “print” (create) dollars why should anyone be concerned about the size of the “national debt”?
  2. NOT TO BORROW: Given the federal government’s infinite ability to create dollars why should the federal government need to borrow dollars?
  3. DEBT FIXER: Given the federal government’s infinite ability to create dollars, why does the federal debt need fixing?
  4. SUSTAINABLE FISCAL COURSE: Given the federal government’s infinite ability to create dollars, and the fact that it has sustained its fiscal course for the past 80+ years while the federal debt has increased 62,500%, why do you believe it’s current fiscal course suddenly has become unsustainable?
  5. STABILIZING THE FEDERAL DEBT AT 90 PERCENT OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP): In what way does the ratio of federal debt / GDP affect the economy?

I have followed your Emails for several years, during which time you repeatedly have voiced the same concerns about federal deficit spending. Yet, you never have answered the above questions.

Here are the facts you continually ignore:

  1. The government’s infinite ability to create dollars means it never needs to be concerned about any debt. It has a greater ability to pay its debts than Elon Musk’s ability to pay a 1 cent debt.
  2. The federal government does not borrow, nor will it ever need to. As the St. Louis Fed reported: ““As the sole manufacturer of dollars, whose debt is denominated in dollars, the U.S. government can never become insolvent, i.e., unable to pay its bills. In this sense, the government is not dependent on credit markets to remain operational.
    The U.S. government provides T-security accounts into which other governments and private citizens are allowed to deposit dollars for safekeeping. 
    The purpose of these accounts is not to provide the federal government with dollars, but rather to provide the world with a safe place to store unused dollars. This helps stabilize the dollar.
    To pay off these deposits, the federal government merely returns the dollars that are in those accounts. Returning existing dollars is no burden on the federal government or on U.S. taxpayers.
  3. The federal debt is not a real debt. It is deposits that are owned by other governments and private citizens. It does not need “fixing.” If the federal government stopped issuing T-securities tomorrow, that would have no effect on the government’s ability to spend dollars and to pay its bills.
  4. The federal government has proved, year after year, that its course is sustainable. Despite a massive increase in the so-called “debt,” the government has no difficulty funding every expenditure.
  5. The ratio of federal “debt” to GDP is economically meaningless. It has no effect on the government’s ability to spend or on inflation, or on any aspect of economic health. GDP dollars do not pay for federal debt.
    The ratio also is ludicrous because it compares a multiyear figure (debt) to a one-year figure (GDP). One easily could ask, “Why not compare debt to the six-month GDP or the one-month GDP, or even the ten-year GDP?”
There is no relationship between the Debt/GDP ratio (blue) and inflation (red).

 

There is a strong relationship between reductions in federal debt and recessions or depressions. Most recessions have resulted from periods of declining deficits.

U.S. depressions tend to come on the heels of federal surpluses.

1804-1812: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 48%. Depression began 1807.
1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819.
1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837.
1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857.
1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873.
1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893.
1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929.
1997-2001: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 15%. Recession began 2001.

America’s debt /money supply growth parallels America’s GDP growth

Using the tables below, see if you can determine which economies are “healthiest.”

(You won’t succeed, because the debt/GDP ratios tell you nothing about the health of a nation’s economy:

SUMMARY The CRFB never has and never will accept my challenge. They never will answer the questions, because the true answers would eliminate their reason for existence. 

The CRFB is worse than useless. It is harmful to America. I believe they know they are harmful, in which case that would make them traitors.

I believe they are paid by the rich in America to widen the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest of us, in which case that would make them paid traitors.

I am angry at them. They hurt America.

If you believe they have answers and can meet the challenge, feel free to contact them. I’d be interested in seeing how they try to squirm out of this. Contact Maya MacGuineas at MacGuineas@crfb.org and find her on Twitter @MayaMacGuineas.

If you think I am angry at the CRFB, you’re right. I believe they have done, and continue to do, irreparable harm to America by giving aid and comfort to politicians who vote against benefits.

The claim that Medicare and Social Security can run short of money is absurd, especially so when the federal government, at the touch of a computer key, can provide all the money these agencies need.

The claim that the federal debt is too high also is absurd, when it isn’t even debt and it could be paid off entirely simply by returning the dollars in storage.

Even more absurd is to worry about the debt/GDP ratio, which compares a multi-year figure to a one-year figure, and is indicative or predictive of nothing.

Good luck.

 

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Why you vote the way you do.

Americans treat elections like sports. I suspect many nations do. We have favorites, not for logical reasons but for the emotion we have applied to them. I loved Roosevelt because everyone did. What did I know? I was only ten years old when he died. Later, I learned about the SS St. Louis and his not bombing the railroad tracks to the concentration camps. I stopped even liking him. I liked Truman until I learned about his antisemitic wife. I still like him, but less. I liked Ike a bit. I felt he was more a politician than a leader, both in the military and as President. I loved Kennedy until I learned about his private life.37 Lyndon Johnson 3x4.jpg I hated Johnson. Later, when I added up all he accomplished, I decided he was one of the top three Presidents in U.S. history, though Vietnam killed his reputation. I was ambivalent about Nixon and soon decided he was pretty good. At least he was more intelligent than most. Today, his support for a burglary would have been defended by 100% of the Republican party, and he never would have been forced from office. Back then, the GOP really was the party of law and order. I thought Ford was weak and later decided he was strong. I think he could have become a fine President, given time. I hated Jimmy Carter and still do. I like him more for his post-presidential work than for his Presidency. I loved Reagan, but now I believe he was a phony. I liked the elder Bush until he foolishly raised taxes after correctly promising not to. I liked Bill Clinton until I realized his federal surpluses killed the American economy and caused the Bush II recession. As for Bush II, eh. Eight wasted years. He attempted self-promotion and was terrible at that, too. I was massively disappointed in Obama. I had thought he cared about the poor, but he was a proponent of federal austerity. I hope his library never gets built. As for Trump, even before he was elected President, I wrote articles saying he was the 2nd coming of Hitler. Thank heavens he was dumb and lazy, or he would have been Hitler. I hope his library gets built in an underground bunker, where he is forced to live out his miserable life. Finally, contrary to the pundits and the majority of Americans, I predict Biden will be remembered as one of our most effective Presidents, who despite a fascist GOP, will have accomplished more than any President since Johnson. Because I’m aware the federal government has infinite money, and federal spending does not cause inflations, I lean more liberal than conservative. It will require a Democratic Congress and President to give us Medicare for All, Social Security for All, College for All, and the end of hunger in America. The Republicans won’t do it. Before I became a permanent resident of Florida last year, I was a Cubs, Bears, Bulls, Blackhawks fan, but now care nothing for any of them. I still am a fan of Andy Pafko, however, though he stopped playing many, many years ago. All of this came to mind what a friend told me she was an ardent Republican. I asked why, and a puzzled look crossed her face. She hadn’t thought about why. Her family had voted Republican for ages. Again, I asked why, and she had no idea, but said she probably would vote Republican, again. I was a Cubs fan though the Cubs never did anything for me. So why was I a fan?  Because I was a Chicagoan? Sure, but they were terrible, with Andy and without him. What made me scream with delight when they infrequently won, and why was I so blue all those times they lost. How did their wins and losses affect my life? They didn’t. Looked at objectively, the Cubs were a terrible team, unworthy of anyone’s adulation. Looked at objectively, the Republicans are an awful party, which does absolutely nothing for the vast majority of Americans. It clearly is the party of the rich, along with being the more immoral and dishonest of the two major parties. Their unwavering support for an obvious traitor is disgusting. And Donald Trump, who unquestionably is the least honest, least intelligent, least patriotic, most dangerous-to-America of any past President, received over 70 million votes, mostly from people who “always vote Republican.” There is no logic, but there is a reason: We are programmed to root. We root for our home state and city, our school, our sports teams, our friends and relatives, our company, and our favorite celebrity. But why? Do other animals root? Perhaps, as we’re social animals, we gain an evolutionary advantage if a member of our group wins in some way. Could it be that if you consider yourself a Republican, you sense you have an evolutionary advantage if a Republican wins? That somehow, this strengthens your group, and this makes you safer? It still begs the question, “Why do you consider yourself a Republican. What has the GOP done for you or those you care about?” Consider the case of Herschel Walker. He received about half the votes. Half the votes! Do all those people really believe he would have been the better choice for Senator? Do they really want him to be their leader or representative? We tend to vote for those who are like us. Whites tend to vote for whites; blacks tend to vote for blacks, Hispanic for Hispanics, Jews for Jews, men for men. The list goes on. But Herschel Walker is an immoral, brain-dead, nincompoop, who can’t put together two meaningful sentences. Does that mean half the voters in Georgia are immoral, brain-dead nincompoops, who can’t put together two meaningful sentences? In what universe does even one intelligent person vote for Herschel Walker to represent the interests of Georgian people? H. L. Mencken wrote:

“No one in this world, so far as I know—and I have searched the records for years and employed agents to help me—has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people.

“Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby. The mistake that is made always runs the other way. Because the plain people are able to speak and understand, and even, in many cases, to read and write, it is assumed that they have ideas in their heads, and an appetite for more. This assumption is a folly.”

Marjorie Taylor Greene Says She Would've Led Armed Jan. 6 Insurrection
Marjorie Taylor Greene Says, “I Would’ve Led An Armed Jan. 6 Insurrection”
Mencken surely was talking about Donald Trump / Herschel Walker / Greene GOP voters. Right? I suspect Mencken was wrong. It’s not lack of intelligence; it’s some other force. Plenty of intelligent people vote for Republicans. I suspect there are several reasons for illogical voting:
  1. You wish for acceptance. If you have one group where you have friends and relatives, you will drift to that group.
  2. Changing groups is hard. Once you have committed to a group, staying with that group takes no effort. It is comfortable. Changing groups requires effort plus the admission you were wrong.
  3. Changing groups requires you to be an alien, which is uncomfortable.
  4. Your status has changed. Perhaps circumstance has made you poorer, but you hate to admit it. So, you stay with your former group. It would be like quitting your country club because you lost money, and no longer can afford the dues.
  5. You aspire to be in a group, so you do the things the group does. You so want to be rich you join a group you can’t afford, so you can be among the rich.
  6. You aren’t actually voting for anyone. You are casting “against” votes, the lesser of two evils.
The sad lesson for both political parties is to put forth candidates whom the voters wish to emulate, not necessarily candidates who will do the better job. A classic example for the Democrats would be Jack Kennedy, a relatively inexperienced politician who people wished to copy. He was a mediocre President, but he lived an attractive lifestyle. He was loved for his charisma. Donald Trump seems charismatic to his base, though now that he has proved himself to be a repeated loser, whiner, and criminal, that sheen may be dulling. It would be a blessing for America if we could prove Mencken wrong, but we are far from there. The votes cast for the likes of Herschel Walker, Marjorie Taylor Greene,, Jim Jordan, and indeed the majority of the Republican Party, leave me doubtful about future voter intelligence and sanity. And if this post makes you angry, you have proved my point.   Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

An example of how the forces of ignorance are relentless

This is frightening. It’s a letter I just received from that notorious disseminator of misinformation, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB).

Hello Rodger

With economic conditions making fiscal issues impossible to ignore, we hope there will be opportunities to improve our fiscal situation in the coming months.

This past year saw both victories and setbacks, and many policies that would have been far worse were it not for the hard work of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Without the support of our loyal donors, none of our work would have been possible.

For the last year, we have worked tirelessly to push back against the narrative that deficits do not matter.

Actually, the narrative is that deficits do matter. Federal deficits are absolutely necessary for economic growth. Without deficits, we have depressions and recessions.

U.S. depressions tend to come on the heels of federal surpluses.

1804-1812: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 48%. Depression began 1807. 1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819. 1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837. 1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857. 1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873. 1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893. 1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929. 1997-2001: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 15%. Recession began 2001.

The measure of our economy, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), is a spending measure, and spending requires the money that deficits provide:

GDP = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports

The graph below shows the essentially parallel paths of GDP vs. perhaps the most comprehensive measure of the money supply, Domestic Non-Financial Debt:
Vertical gray bars are recessions, which are preceded by reductions in debt growth and cured by increases in debt growth.
Those “tireless efforts” of the CRFB represent efforts against economic growth and for recessions and depressions.

However, as we write this, our national debt is on track to surpass record levels, the federal government is still operating without a budget, and the major trust funds are edging even closer toward insolvency.

The “major trust funds aren’t real trust funds. They do not fund anything, and like the federal government itself, they can become insolvent only if Congress and the President want them to become insolvent. We could eliminate those fake trust funds today, and that would have no effect on Medicare, Social Security or any other federal program.

How we tackle these challenges will not only impact our nation’s fiscal future but determine what type of country our children and grandchildren will inherit. 

That is true. If we continue to worry about federal debt, deficits, and fake trust funds, our children will inherit a country ruled solely by the wealthy elite. That seems to be the goal of the CRFB.

With the fiscal future of our country hanging in the balance, we wanted to share a summary of our work with you. Because of the generosity of our donors, we achieved the following this year:

    • Published more than 150 analyses, including 21 papers and testifying on Capitol Hill;
    • Participated in more than 225 meetings with more than 155 Members of Congress and their staff;
    • Launched our Student Debt Cancellation project and expanded our Trust Funds Solutions Initiative to include new insolvency countdown interactives;
    • Hosted six virtual events with policymakers and experts on timely topics, such as Social Security and inflation, as well as in-person events engaging more than 3,000 people; 
    • Cited more than 1,200 times by hundreds of unique outlets, including CNBC, CNN, The Economist, Fox News, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.
The massive misinformation keeps coming at us from all sides, with scant voices to protest. –Student debt cancellation not only would benefit students and not only would benefit America by educating more students. It also would benefit the American economy by pumping dollars into the pockets of Americans. –The Trust Fund concerns are 100% fake and are a blatant attempt by the rich to reduce benefits to the middle- and lower-income groups.

None of this would have been possible without support from people like you. Will you consider supporting the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget this year with a tax-deductible donation? 

The people can spread their misinformation on a tax-deductible basis.

Your gift ensures that fiscal responsibility has a champion and a voice during key fiscal moments and debates in Washington.

Looking ahead to 2023, we hope you’ll continue following our work, attending events, and making your voice heard.

While our country faces formidable fiscal challenges, together, there is a lot we can do to meet them. We appreciate any help you can provide,

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget Support Our Work

Sadly, there isn’t a Committee for a Truthful Federal Budget (CRTB) that would disseminate such facts that:
  1. The Federal government has infinite dollars. It cannot become insolvent. Even if it collected zero taxes, it could continue spending, forever.
  2. Increased federal deficit spending is necessary for economic growth. The lack of deficit spending causes recessions and depressions which can be cured only by increased deficit spending.
  3. Federal deficit spending is not socialism. Ownership and control, not spending, are signs of socialism.
  4. Inflations are caused by shortages of key goods and services, not by federal debt and deficits. Inflations can be prevented and cured by federal deficit spending that targets shortages.
You and your children already suffer from the lies that reduce federal benefits. The federal government could do so much more; taxes could be so much less. Is there anyone with the knowledge and financial resources to counter the massive misinformation campaign coming from sources like the CRFB? Anyone? Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

 

Another reason for real Medicare for All

The U.S. federal government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has infinite dollars. It never can run short of dollars. The government can pay for comprehensive, no-deductible health care for every man, woman, and child in America without collecting a penny in taxes. This would not be the Bernie Sanders Medicare for All, which is merely an expansion of our current Medicare. It would  be a comprehensive, no-deductible, no FICA, no Part A, Part B, Part C, Part D, Medicare that truly is for All. It would cover everything and everyone one.The 10 Poorest States in America And it would not be government-provided health care. It would be government-funded healthcare. Everyone still would have their own doctors. Hospitals would remain privately owned. The only differences would be that insurance companies no longer would be the middlemen, and everyone would have free health care. There is no functional reason why America needs privately-owned, for-profit insurance companies that collect medical dollars but provide no medical services. It is a costly scam. The insurance companies, in essence, tell you, “Give me your healthcare dollars. We’ll give some of them to doctors, nurses, and hospitals and keep the rest for ourselves.” What’s the purpose of having middlemen take some of your hard-earned medical dollars? It would be far better for the federal government to tell you, “You don’t have to give us anything. We’ll create the dollars and pay them to the doctors, nurses, and hospitals. It won’t cost you a cent. You and your doctors will make all the medical decisions. We’ll just pay for them.” That is the way medicine should and could operate. An article in today’s Palm Beach Sun Sentinel reminds me of these simple facts. Here are excerpts:

More than half of hospitals in rural Miss. facing closure Leaders at the publicly owned Greenwood Leflore Hospital in Greenwood, Miss., say they will be out of business before the end of the year without a cash infusion. Rogelio V. Solis/AP By Michael Goldberg Associated Press JACKSON, Miss. — Over half of Mississippi’s rural hospitals are at risk of closing immediately or in the near future, according to the state’s leading public health official.

Dr. Daniel Edney, the state health officer, spoke to state senators at a hearing last week about the financial pressure on Mississippi hospitals. Edney said 54% of the state’s rural hospitals — 38 — could close.

Rural hospitals were under economic strain before the COVID-19 pandemic, and the problems have worsened as costs to provide care have increased.

Mississippi’s high number of low-income uninsured people means hospitals are on the hook for more uncompensated care. At the same time, labor costs weigh on hospitals as they struggle to pay competitive wages to retain staff.

Why does America have uninsured (for healthcare) people when the federal government has infinite dollars? It makes no sense at all.

“The costs on an income statement for a hospital have skyrocketed,” said Scott Christensen, chair of the Mississippi Hospital Association Board of Governors. “The liabilities on the balance sheets of hospitals around the state have reached some unsustainable levels given what we face.”

The crux of the problem facing Mississippi’s hospitals is that revenues have not kept pace with rising costs, Christensen said.

The strain is most acute in Mississippi’s Delta region, an agricultural flatland where poverty remains entrenched. Greenwood Leflore Hospital has been cutting costs by reducing services and shrinking its workforce for months.

But the medical facility hasn’t been able to stave off the risk of imminent closure. Hospital leaders say they will be out of business before the end of the year without a cash infusion.

At Greenwood Leflore and other hospitals across the state, maternity care units have been on the chopping block. Mississippi already has the nation’s highest fetal mortality rate, highest infant mortality rate and highest preterm birth rate, and is among the worst states for maternal mortality.

Does anyone care? Do the Republicans who run Mississippi care?

A rising number of healthcare deserts are emerging in the Delta, but financial pressures are bearing down on hospitals in more prosperous areas of the state as well, experts at the hearing said.

But hospitals in poor communities often treat patients who don’t have insurance and can’t afford to pay for care out of pocket. An expansion of Medicaid coverage would reduce costs that result from uncompensated care.

Gov. Tate Reeves and other Republican leaders have killed proposals to expand Medicaid, which primarily covers low-income workers whose jobs don’t provide private health insurance.

Opponents of expansion say they don’t want to encourage reliance on government help for people who don’t need it.

This is the same -old, same-old trope that poor people are lazy takers, and giving them help will make them even lazier. It is a vicious lie promulgated by the richer to keep the more destitute down. It is the classic expression of Gap Psychology, in which the richer want to widen the Gap between them and the poorer.

As a near-term solution, the Mississippi Hospital Association has suggested the state’s Division of Medicaid work with federal officials to raise the Medicaid reimbursement rate cap.

The move would lower the cost of providing care for people who are already covered under the state’s current Medicaid plan.

It’s a Band-Aid, as are Medicaid, Obamacare, and Medicare. They all should be merged to provide comprehensive, no-deductible, 100% coverage, fully government-funded, no taxes healthcare insurance for every American of every age and every income. No exceptions. Finally, it isn’t “socialism.” The rich falsely chant “socialism” every time a benefit for the not-rich is mentioned. But socialism is government control, not government funding. With real Medicare for All, the government only would take over funding from the for-profit insurance companies. All Medical decisions would remain with your doctors and hospitals. It is a disgrace of American politics that we don’t already have it. Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY