How can someone understand, but not understand, the same issue?

See related image detail. Opinion: College Rip-Off – John Stossel | Prescott eNews
John Stossel
John Stossel puzzles me. When you first conclude he knows nothing about economics, he writes something spot-on. Then he follows up with ignorance about the same subject. In that, he reminds of Paul Krugman, who alternately understands, then doesn’t understand, Monetary Sovereignty. Stossel can do it in two sentences. Here is an article on Reason.com, the Libertarian version of QAnon. Look at the subhead.

Worry About Budget Deficits, Not Trade Deficits Next year’s $1 trillion federal government budget deficit will bankrupt us. Trade deficits are trivial.

“Federal government’s budget deficit will bankrupt us.”  Suddenly, the U.S. government will go bankrupt? After world wars, numerous recessions and depressions, now, when the economy is growing rapidly, the federal government is going bankrupt??
The blue line is Gross Domestic Product. The red line is federal “debt.” There is no hint that federal “debt” is leading to bankruptcy. Quite the opposite. As “debt” grows, so does the economy.
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The green line is real (allowing for inflation), per capita GDP. There still is no hint that increasing federal “debt” leads to bankruptcy. Again, quite the opposite.
If Stossel wants to bet that next year’s budget deficit will bankrupt the U.S. government, I will put up every dollar I own that says Stossel is wrong. One wonders why someone, anyone, would make such a foolish statement and expect belief. Being Monetarily Sovereign, the U.S. government cannot run short of U.S. dollars. Increased federal deficit spending is necessary for economic growth. GDP=Federal Spending+Non-federal Spending+Net Exports

Former Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan: “A government cannot become insolvent with respect to obligations in its own currency.”

I suspect Stossel knows he’s wrong, so I’m guessing he hasn’t moved to another country or exchanged all his U.S. dollars for another currency in advance of a mythical U.S. bankruptcy. He’s just promulgating the usual Libertarian BS that has been wrong for at least 84+ years and will continue to be incorrect during his lifetime and beyond. But wait. He also says, “Trade deficits are trivial.” In that, he is correct. A trade deficit merely means we give other nations some of the plentiful U.S. dollars we create at the touch of a computer key, and in return, we receive valuable and scarce goods and services. I run trade deficits with my local Costco and with my cleaning lady. I don’t feel bad about it, though I don’t even have the government’s infinite ability to create dollars. The more money I have, the more stuff I can buy. The federal government has infinite money.

Maybe Donald Trump is such a powerful communicator and pot-stirrer that other countries, embarrassed by their own trade barriers, will eliminate them. Then, I will thank the president for the wonderful thing he did. Genuine free trade will be a recipe for wonderful economic growth.

But I fear the opposite: a trade war and stagnation—because much of what Trump and his followers say is economically absurd.

“What Trump and his followers say is economically absurd”? Who could have guessed that MAGAs know so little? Could it be possible that QAnon, Fox, Alex Jones, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Tucker Carlson, and Donald Trump are not reliable sources?

“(If) you don’t have steel, you don’t have a country!” announced the president.

Lots of things are essential to America—and international trade is the best way to make sure we have them. When a storm blocks roads in the Midwest, we get supplies from Canada, Mexico, and China. Why add roadblocks?

Steel is important, but “the choice isn’t between producing 100 percent of our steel (and having a country) or producing no steel (and presumably losing our country),” writes Veronique De Rugy of the Mercatus Center.

Trump uses the “you don’t have a country” meme for everything. “If you don’t have a steel industry, you don’t have a country.” “If you don’t have a border, you don’t have a country.” “If you don’t have a wall, you don’t have a country.” “If you don’t have a military, you don’t have a country.” “If you don’t have a strong military, you don’t have a country.” These are a few of his nonsense statements about the end of America. Ms de Rugy’s response was correct.

Today, most of the steel we use is made in America. Imports come from friendly places like Canada and Europe. Just 3 percent come from China.

Still, insists the president, “Nearly two-thirds of American raw steel companies have gone out of business!”

There’s been consolidation. But so, what? For 30 years, American steel production has stayed about the same. Profits rose from $714 million in 2016 to $2.8 billion last year. And the industry added nearly 8,000 jobs.

Trump loves to cherry-pick, twist, and outright lie about statistics to make his point. A day later, he’ll say the opposite. His followers will swoon at each new version despite its incompatibility with what Trump said yesterday.

Trump says, “Our factories were left to rot and to rust all over the place. Thriving communities turned into ghost towns. You guys know that, right?”

No. Few American communities became ghost towns. More boomed because of cheap imports.

It’s sad when a steelworker loses work, but for every steelworker, 40 Americans work in industries that use steel. They, and we, benefit from lower prices.

Right again, John. Wrong again, Donald.

Trump touts the handful of companies benefiting from his tariffs: “Century Aluminum in Kentucky—Century is a great company—will be investing over $100 million.”

Great. But now we’ll get a feeding frenzy of businesses competing to catch Trump’s ear. Century Aluminum got his attention. Your company better pay lobbyists. Countries, too.

After speaking to Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull of Australia, Trump tweeted: “We don’t have to impose steel or aluminum tariffs on our ally, the great nation of Australia!”

So, the purpose of tariffs is . . . what? To punish our enemies? To reward our businesses? Or simply increase prices for the American consumer.

Economies thrive when there are clear rules that everyone understands. Now we’ve got “The Art of the Deal,” one company and country at a time.

I understand that Trump, the developer liked to make special deals, but when presidents do that, it’s crony capitalism—crapitalism. You get the deal if you know the right people. That’s what kept most of Africa and South America poor.

But Trump thinks trade itself makes us poorer: “We lose … on trade. Every year, $800 billion.”

Actually, last year’s trade deficit with China was $375 billion. But even if it were $800 billion, who cares? All a trade deficit shows is that a country sells us more than we sell them. We get the better of that deal. They get excess dollar bills, but we get stuff.

Right on, John. We have the infinite ability to create dollars by pressing computer keys. The U.S. government can send dollars into the economy whenever it wants to.

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke: “The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”

But we don’t have the infinite ability to create stuff. So, trading dollars for stuff is a great deal for us. Sadly, when the U.S. government does it, the Libertarians wrongly complain about federal deficits and debt. I wonder whether Stossel will hear about this from his Libertarian pals. And now we come to the usual Libertarian BS:

Real problems are imbalances like next year’s $1 trillion federal government budget deficit. That will bankrupt us.

It hasn’t happened. It can’t happen. It won’t happen. It’s just that incredible fearmongering by people who know better and should stop now.

Trade deficits are trivial. You run one with your supermarket. Do you worry because you bought more from them than they buy from you? No. The free market sorts it out.

Trump makes commerce sound mysterious: “The action I’m taking today follows a nine-month investigation by the Department of Commerce, Secretary Ross.”

But Wilber Ross is a hustler who phoned Forbes Magazine to lie about how much money he has. Now he goes on TV and claims, “3 cents worth of tin plate steel in this can. So if it goes up 25 percent, that’s a tiny fraction of one penny. Not a noticeable thing.”

Not to him maybe, but Americans buy 2 billion cans of soup.

Political figures like Ross—and Trump—shouldn’t decide what we’re allowed to buy. If they understood markets, they’d know enough to stay out of the way.

Like so many of the people Trump hires, Ross was, shall we say, a questionable character, with many, many claims against his honesty. The combination of Libertarianism and its attendant economic ignorance, together with economic dishonesty leads to bad (for America) decisions. Cut federal spending and we’ll have the bankruptcy Stossel and the Libertarians predict. As for John Stossel, he still puzzles me. Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Imagine you are a trillionaire and your mother can’t afford healthcare. What would you do?

Imagine you are several Trillion (not just billion or million) dollars rich, and your mother needs home healthcare she can’t afford. What would you do? Assuming you are a decent person who cares about your mother, you surely would pay for her health care.
How The Greenspan And Bernanke Fed Created Bubbles
Greenspan: Should we let them know that federal taxes don’t pay for anything? Bernanke: They already know. They don’t want the taxpayers to find out.
The sole purpose of government is to improve and protect the lives of the people. And the U.S. government, being Monetarily Sovereign, does not use tax dollars to pay its bills. The government is infinitely rich, far wealthier than any person who ever has lived. It creates dollars, ad hoc, every time it pays a bill. It is the federal government’s absolute duty to protect its citizens’ lives, especially the most vulnerable — the poor, the sick, and the aged. Unfortunately, our representatives in the U.S. government do not accept their sole purpose. They do not seem to recognize that we pay them to improve and protect our lives. They are failing at their job.

Aging America faces a senior care crisis; April Rubin,

As of 2021, A map of the U.S. shows the share of adults ages 75+ who cannot afford daily in-home care by metro area.

In all metro areas shown, the majority cannot afford in-home care.

The Northeast and Rust Belt have exceptionally high rates of adults unable to afford in-home care. Values range from 71% unable to afford care in D.C. to 94% in Springfield, Mass. 

If you were as wealthy as the federal government, you, being a good person, would support the poor, the sick, and the aged. Why don’t our representatives in the federal government? What is their excuse?

As America’s population of seniors grows, affordable long-term care is increasingly difficult. 

According to Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies, nearly 70% of older adults will need long-term care services. Medicare doesn’t cover these services.

Why does Medicare not cover these services? The federal government has the infinite ability to create dollars. It has the infinite ability to afford whatever it wishes and do it without levying taxes. So why do our federal representatives pretend Medicare can’t afford to protect the lives of our poor, sick, and/or elderly?

Medicaid often has long wait lists for at-home support, said Samara Scheckler, a research associate. “The cost of daily assistance at home is out of reach for most,” Scheckler said, “and so is assisted living, which bundles housing and care together.”

The cost of daily assistance at home is not out of reach for the federal government. Why do our government representatives not do what we pay them to do?

By the numbers: 13% of adults 75+ in U.S. metro areas living alone can afford assisted living without diving into assets, per the Center. 14% can afford a daily visit from a home health aide along with their housing costs.

Those percentages are disgraceful. If you heard that only 13% of the parents of trillionaires were able to afford assisted living, you would be disgusted and outraged. Where is the disgust and outrage for our federal government representatives? Why do we allow them to still have their jobs?

For context, more than 40% of Americans 65 and older live alone. When considering seniors over 80, that share jumps to nearly 60%.

There’s also a growing shortage of care providers. While most people prefer in-home care — and it’s cheaper for states to fund — not everyone can receive care at home, said Priya Chidambaram of KFF.

Many seniors require the resources and medical equipment at more extensive facilities. This year, every U.S. state reported a shortage of care workers — and 43 of them saw permanent closures of care facilities, such as group homes and assisted living centers, according to a KFF survey.

You can be sure that the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the White House do not suffer from a shortage of assistants to do the multitude of errands our elected officials demand. Why does the federal government not fund care workers and care facilities? I’ll tell you why: You don’t demand it.  You have been suckered into believing the Big Lie that the federal government can’t afford to spend more. You have fallen for the right-wing lies that the government is running short of dollars or that spending causes inflation. The Big Truth: The government is capable of infinite spending without levying taxes, and government spending does not cause inflation. Inflation is caused by shortages of critical goods and services — usually oil and food — and government spending cures inflations by acquiring and supplying scarce goods and services.  
If federal spending caused inflation, the peaks and valleys of the red (federal spending) and blue (inflation) lines would line up.
 
Oil prices are sensitive to supply. Oil shortages cause inflations. The peaks and valleys of the green (oil) and blue (inflation) lines line up.

According to a recent Wall Street Journal analysis, the U.S. has at least 600 fewer nursing homes than it did six years ago.

Many facilities are struggling to stay afloat. 81% of them would need additional workers to meet nursing staff requirements from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services proposed in September, KFF noted.

“Staffing shortages in nursing homes are hugely affecting those who need institutional care,” Chidambaram said.

Federally funded Medicare should support nursing homes and pay for the workers and nursing staff’s requirements.

U.S. life expectancy is on the rise. With that, care needs to last longer. A vast majority of older adults live in homes that they rent or own. According to the report, the need for services and support — like housework, bathing, or medicating — is expected to increase.

Baby boomers had fewer children than older generations, making family help increasingly limited for aging adults, Scheckler said.

Forcing families to fund elder care transfers a financial burden from the Monetarily Sovereign government (where it is no burden) to monetarily non-sovereign people, where it can be severe.

The bottom line is that the combined costs of housing and daily care are beyond most people’s means, said Jennifer Molinsky, project director for Harvard’s Housing and Aging Society program.

But it’s not beyond the federal government’s infinite means.

“It’s wonderful that the older population is growing overall, and people are living longer than a generation ago,” she said. “But the supports that people need to stay in the community, stay in their home are really expensive and hard to secure,”

The support that people need to stay in the community is well within the capabilities of the Monetarily Sovereign federal government.

Senior healthcare usage is up.

UnitedHealth says: Rising demand for behavioral care and Medicare outpatient procedures are squeezing some of UnitedHealth Group’s business segments but didn’t stop the industry giant from beating Wall Street’s expectations and posting earnings of $5.47 billion in Q2.

If the federal government, rather than the private sector, funded UnitedHealth Group’s business segments, $5.47 billion in growth dollars would enter the economy.

Why it matters: The parent of the biggest U.S. health insurer is a bellwether for broad industry trends. Reuters reported that despite higher-than-expected utilization and concern about how that could drive up health costs, the increases were less than some feared.

The insurer also revised its projected year-end earnings, soaring its share price. What they’re saying: “Outpatient care activity among seniors was a few hundred basis points above our expectations,” said John Rex, UnitedHealth’s chief financial officer.

Its “projected year-end earnings” came from people. If they had come from the federal government, the economy would have grown $5/47 billion more.

More Americans are also seeking behavioral care for anxiety, depression, and substance use disorder, reflecting an increasing ease with seeking help, executives said. But, Rex said: “Overall care activity among our Medicaid and commercial populations is consistent with our expectations.”

What to watch: How much premiums go up next year, particularly in the Medicare Advantage market.

Medicare Advantage has many requirements based on the profit motives of healthcare suppliers. If the federal government were doing its job, these requirements would disappear, and people would receive more complete care.

On its investor call Friday, UnitedHealth executives said their rate filings assume Medicare business will remain elevated and factor in added care costs.

In English, because they expect costs to rise, UnitedHealth will raise your prices on what the federal government could and should provide free.

At the same time, they stressed that they would “provide stability to the benefits that seniors value most,” such as zero co-pays for primary care visits and Tier 1 drugs and keeping level out-of-pocket maximums.

With federal funding, you would have co-pays, drug Tiers, or out-of-pocket maximums.

The intrigue: Insurers have been closely watching to see if deferred care during the pandemic results in more advanced cases in areas such as cancer or cardiovascular disease.

If there are more such cases, your insurance rates will rise. SUMMARY Unlike you, me, businesses, and state/local governments, the federal government is Monetarily Sovereign. It has the infinite ability to pay for anything and is not funded by taxes. Though all monetarily non-sovereign entities need income to pay their bills, the federal government needs no income. Because federal taxes do not fund federal spending, the only purposes of federal taxes are:
  1. To control the economy by taxing what the government wishes to discourage and giving tax breaks to what the government wishes to reward, mainly the rich
  2. To assure demand for the U.S. dollar by requiring that taxes be paid in dollars.
  3. To make you believe (falsely) that any federal benefits you receive must be paid for by your taxes.
The federal government could and should provide comprehensive, no-deductible Medicare for every man, woman, and child in America without collecting taxes. Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Are you planning to vote for the end of Medicare and Social Security? These people are.

The Libertarians (also known as the Republican Party) want to cancel Medicare and Social Security under the guise of fiscal prudence and courage. The right wing has created a fake “debt crisis” and then invented a non-solution that requires exactly what they deny they want: The end of Medicare and Social Security. (See: Congressional Republicans Want Big Cuts to Social Security) Although Congress is accustomed to misleading statements and outright lies, nowhere are the lies piled deeper than the discussions of Medicare’s and Social Security’s impending “insolvency.” Let’s get something straight. The US government, being Monetarily Sovereign, cannot become insolvent. It has the infinite ability to create U.S. dollars. This means no agency of the U.S. government can become insolvent unless Congress and the President vote for insolvency. Look at this list of federal departments and agencies that cannot run short of money unless Congress and the President vote for insolvency. The list runs alphabetically from the U.S. AbilityOne Commission to the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. There are 15 executive departments in the United States federal government, each of which is headed by a Cabinet member appointed by the President. The following is a list of the 15 executive departments:

Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense Department of Education Department of Energy Department of Health and Human Services Department of Homeland Security Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of the Treasury Department of Veterans Affairs

In addition to these departments, there are over 430 federal agencies in the United States, including 9 executive offices, 259 executive department sub-agencies and bureaus, 66 independent agencies, 42 boards, commissions, and committees, and 11 quasi-official agencies. Not one of the departments, agencies, executive offices, sub-agencies, bureaus, boards, commissions, committees, and quasi-official agencies can or will run short of dollars unless that is what Congress and the President want. Who says so? How about:

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said: “A government cannot become insolvent with respect to obligations in its own currency. There is nothing to prevent the federal government from creating as much money as it wants and paying it to somebody. The United States can pay any debt it has because we can always print the money to do that.”

Ben Bernanke: “The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.” Scott Pelley: Is that tax money that the Fed is spending? Ben Bernanke: It’s not tax money… We simply use the computer to mark up the size of the account.

Not many people realize that while state/local taxes pay for state/local spending, federal taxes pay for nothing. Rather than funding federal spending, the sole purposes of federal taxes are:
  1. To control the economy by taxing what the federal government wishes to discourage and by giving tax breaks to what the federal government wishes to reward,
  2. To assure demand for the U.S. dollar by requiring dollars to be used in paying taxes and
  3. To fool the public into believing some benefits are unsustainable unless taxes are raised, which reduces benefits.

Statement from the St. Louis Fed: “As the sole manufacturer of dollars, whose debt is denominated in dollars, the U.S. government can never become insolvent, i.e., unable to pay its bills. In this sense, the government is not dependent on credit markets to remain operational.”

Anyone who claims a federal “debt crisis” is ignorant about, or lying about, federal finances. There is no federal debt crisis. The Libertarians and their alter egos, the Republicans, are doing their best to provide you with false information. Here is a Libertarian article that could have been written by the Republicans:

Congress Is Trying To Avoid Taking Responsibility for the Debt Crisis It Created A fiscal commission might be a good idea, but it’s also the ultimate expression of Congress’ irresponsibility. ERIC BOEHM | 11.29.2023 2:30 PM

It’s inaccurate to say that no one in Congress wants to talk about the national debt and the federal government’s deteriorating fiscal condition.

How can the federal government, which as you’ve just read, has the infinite ability to create dollars, have a deteriorating fiscal condition”? It can’t. It’s like claiming the world’s oceans have a deteriorating liquid condition, or the universe has a deteriorating atomic condition. The lie about “deteriorating fiscal condition” forms the basis for the rest of the lies.

Indeed, during Wednesday morning’s meeting of the House Budget Committee, there was a lot of talk about exactly that.

“Runaway deficit-spending and our unsustainable national debt threatens not only our economy, but our national security, our way of life, our leadership in the world, and everything good about America’s influence,” said Rep. Jodey Arrington (R–Texas), the committee’s chairman.

Rep. Jodey Arrington either is stupendously ignorant or stupendously lying. The phrase “unsustainable national debt” consists of three words, all three of which are lies.
  1. “Unsustainable”: Interestingly, this word never is explained by those who use it incessantly. I suspect it means something like this: Federal finances are like personal finances. If your expenses are larger than your income, eventually, you won’t be able to pay your bills, so your debt will be “unsustainable.”The problem is that the federal government is Monetarily Sovereign while you are monetarily non-sovereign, which is totally different. You can run short of money. The federal government cannot.
  2. “National” This has to do with Treasury Securities, which indeed are national or federal. The federal government is the sole authority to issue T-bills, T-notes, and T-bonds. However, the owner of those T-bills, T-notes, and T-bonds is not the federal government. When someone or some nation buys a T-security, their dollars go into their T-security account. Those dollars remain the property of the buyer.They never are owned by the federal government. When the T-security reaches maturity, the dollars are returned to their owner. Think of a bank safe-deposit box. The bank never owns the contents. It holds them for safekeeping and returns the contents to the owner. The government’s storage of unused dollars for safekeeping, stabilizes the dollar.
  3. “Debt” relates to the mistaken claim that T-securities represent borrowing. But our Monetarily Sovereign government, with its infinite ability to create dollars, never borrows dollars. The only dollars the federal government ever owes are the dollars it uses to pay for things. Those dollars are paid in a timely fashion by a government that has the infinite ability to create dollars. There is no long-term buildup of federal “debt.”

He pointed to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projections showing that America’s debt, as a share of the size of the nation’s economy, is now as large as it was at the end of the Second World War—and that interest payments on the debt will soon cost more than the entire military budget.

The above paragraph refers to the infamous and much-misunderstood Debt/GDP ratio. It is a meaningless ratio that tells nothing and predicts nothing about a Monetarily Sovereign nation’s finances. A high or low ratio does not indicate solvency, growth, or any other financial factor. It is entirely useless. The so-called “Debt” (that isn’t a real debt) is the net total of all T-securities purchased and still outstanding for the past 10 years. They are not a burden on the federal government, which merely returns the dollars it holds for the owners when the security matures. By contrast, GDP is a one-year (or less) total of America’s (not just the federal government’s) spending. The formula for GDP is:

GDP = Federal Spending + Non-federal Spending + Net Exports

Comparing federal “Debt” to GDP is worse than comparing your 10-year income to the federal government’s spending this week: It is meaningless. The sole purpose of this comparison is to fool you into believing the federal government is running short of the dollars it has the infinite ability to create.

What’s missing, however, is any sense that Congress is willing to turn those words into action. Just look at the premise of Wednesday’s hearing: “Examining the need for a fiscal commission.”

Yes, it was a meeting about possibly forming a committee to discuss perhaps doing something to address the problem. In fact, it was the second such committee hearing in front of the House Budget Committee within the past few weeks.

It seems like there ought to be a more direct way to address this. , say, if a committee already existed within Congress was charged with handling budgetary issues. A House Budget Committee, perhaps.

But instead of using Wednesday’s meeting to seek consensus on how to solve the federal government’s budgetary problems, lawmakers debated a series of bills that aim to let Congress offload that responsibility to a special commission.

Unlike you, me, local governments, and businesses, the federal government’s only true “budgetary problem” is to decide where it wishes to spend its infinite hoard of dollars. While you et al. must worry about the availability of dollars, the federal government has no such constraints. It creates dollars by spending dollars. This is the process:
  1. When the federal government buys something and receives an invoice, it sends to the seller’s bank instructions (not dollars), instructing the bank to increase the balance in the seller’s checking account.
  2. When the bank does as instructed, new dollars are created and added to the M2 money supply measure.
  3. The instructions then are approved by the Federal Reserve, an agency of the federal government.
In short, the federal government creates dollars by spending dollars, and this creation is approved by the Federal Reserve, an agency of the federal government. The federal government creates the laws that approve its money-creation process. Being Monetarily Sovereign, the federal government can create any money-related laws it wishes, which is why no federal agency can run short of dollars unless the federal government wants it to run short. Federal agencies are not supported by federal taxes; they are supported by federal money creation. Medicare and Social Security can run short of dollars only if that is what Congress and the President want.

What that commission would look like and how its recommendations would be handled will depend on which proposal (if any of them) eventually becomes law—and even that seems somewhat unlikely, with Democrats voicing their opposition to the idea throughout Wednesday’s hearing.

To be fair, there are plenty of good arguments for why a fiscal commission might be the best way for Congress to fix the mess that it has made. It is an idea that’s certainly worthy of being considered, even if the whole exercise seems a little bit over-engineered.

All this blah, blah, blah is meant to disguise one simple fact: The rich, who run the U.S.  government, want to cut benefits for the middle and lower-income groups. Here is why:
  1. “Rich” is a comparative. A man owning a million dollars is rich if everyone else has a thousand dollars. But a man owning a million dollars is poor if everyone else has a hundred million dollars. During the Great Depression, anyone earning $20,000 a year was rich. Today, that salary would mark him as poor.
  2. To become richer requires widening the income/wealth/power Gap below you and narrowing the Gap above you.
  3. The rich always want to be richer, i.e.,  to widen the Gap below them.
  4. Because Social Security, Medicare, Obamacare, and all aid to the poor help narrow the Gap between the rich and the rest, the rich repeatedly try to eliminate all such benefits (while giving tax loopholes to the rich).
  5. Under the guise of fiscal responsibility, the right-wing makes unending efforts to cut the federal deficit spending that benefits those who are not rich (while continuing to run deficits that benefit the rich).

Romina Boccia, director of budget and entitlement policy at the Cato Institute, argues persuasively in her Substack that a fiscal commission is the best way to overcome the political hurdles that prevent Congress from taking meaningful action on borrowing and entitlement costs (which are driving a sizable portion of future deficits).

And there it is, the true purpose of a “fiscal commission” is to cut spending on so-called “entitlements” (i.e. Medicare and Social Security.) All the lies about Social Security and Medicare “trust funds” running short of dollars are to make you compliant with the Republican effort to make you poorer and the rich, richer. What you may not realize, these so called “trust funds” aren’t even trust funds.  To quote from the Peter G. Peterson Foundation web site:
A federal trust fund is an accounting mechanism used by the federal government to track earmarked receipts (money designated for a specific purpose or program) and corresponding expenditures. The largest and best-known trust funds finance Social Security, portions of Medicarehighways and mass transit, and pensions for government employees. Federal trust funds bear little resemblance to their private-sector counterparts, and therefore the name can be misleading. A “trust fund” implies a secure source of funding. However, a federal trust fund is simply an accounting mechanism used to track inflows and outflows for specific programs. In private-sector trust funds, receipts are deposited and assets are held and invested by trustees on behalf of the stated beneficiaries. In federal trust funds, the federal government does not set aside the receipts or invest them in private assets. Rather, the receipts are recorded as accounting credits in the trust funds, and then combined with other receipts that the Treasury collects and spends. Further, the federal government owns the accounts and can, by changing the law, unilaterally alter the purposes of the accounts and raise or lower collections and expenditures.
Thus, the federal government can do whatever it wishes with the “trust funds.” It can add to them, subtract from them, or change them from the wrongly presumed mission of supporting federal expenditures. At the click of a computer key or the passage of a law, the balance in the federal “trust funds” could be changed to $100 trillion or $0, and neither would affect taxpayers. Thus, the notion that any federal “trust funds” are, as the right wing claims, “in trouble,” is a lie, unless “trouble” comes from those who don’t wish you to understand the differences between the private sector’s real trust funds vs. the federal government’s phony “trust funds.”

Boccia’s preferred solution would allow the commission’s proposals to be “self-executing unless Congress objects,” meaning that legislators would have the “political cover to vocally object to reforms that will create inevitable winners and losers, without re-election concerns undermining an outcome that’s in the best interest of the nation.”

This would be the Republican’s way of saying, “Don’t blame us for cutting your Social Security. It was the commission that did it.”

It’s probably true that Congress itself is the biggest hurdle to managing the federal government’s fiscal situation. Unfortunately, that’s also the biggest reason to be skeptical: any decisions made by a fiscal commission will only be as good as Congress’ willingness to abide by them.

President Obama, of all people, tried this with the notorious Simpson/Bowles Commission, which made exactly the recommendations expected of it. Fortunately, America learned the plot, and the commission’s recommendations never were implemented. The commission’s recommendations included increasing the Social Security retirement age, cuts to military, benefit, and domestic spending, restricting or eliminating certain tax credits and deductions, and increasing the federal gasoline tax. The Simpson-Bowles proposal would have cut entitlement and social safety net programs, including Social Security and Medicare, which was opposed by critics on the left, such as Democratic Representative Jan Schakowsky (a Commission member) and economist Paul Krugman.

There’s no secret knowledge about reducing deficits that will only be unlocked by bringing together a collection of legislators and private sector experts, which is what most of the bills to create a commission propose doing.

Federal deficit spending is necessary for economic growth. Deficit reduction leads to recessions, which then are cured by deficit increases.
When federal deficits decline (red line). We have recessions (vertical gray bars), which are cured by increases in federal deficits.
One would think that repeatedly seeing the same effect — nine consecutive recessions caused by deficit reduction, 9 successive recessions cured by deficit increases — our leaders eventually would realize that far from being a bad thing, federal deficits are necessary. The ignorant have been claiming for more than 80 years that the federal budget is “unsustainable” and a “ticking time bomb.” Read a list of some such claims here. In all those years, much to the consternation of the ignorant, the ticking time bomb never has exploded.

Congress should hold hearings, invite experts to share their views, draft proposals, vet those ideas through the committee process, and then put the resulting bills on the House floor for a full vote.

Shielding Congress from the electoral consequences of making poor fiscal decisions doesn’t seem to improve budget-making quality. We need Congress to be held more accountable for this mess.

No, we need our leaders to be held accountable for disseminating the lie that federal deficits are harmful. Here is what happens when we ignore the fundamental truth that federal deficits are a blessing, not a curse: Every depression in U.S. history began with a reversal of federal deficit creation:

1804-1812: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 48%. Depression began 1807. 1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819. 1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837. 1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857. 1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873. 1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893. 1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929. 1997-2001: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 15%. Recession began 2001.

Here is what should be done: Step 1. Call it what it really is. Rather than talking about a federal “debt,” we should talk about the economy’s income. The misnamed “debt” is income for the economy. It’s money flowing from the infinitely wealthy federal government into the economy that needs and uses the money for growth. Step 2. Rather than instituting a commission to cut private sector income, thus causing recessions and depressions, America should create a plan to improve the lives of our people. Use the infinite money-creation power of the federal government to:
  • Fund public education about the benefits of Monetary Sovereignty
  • Fund a comprehensive, no-deductible Medicare for every man, woman, and child in America.
  •  for the homeless
  • Fund college for everyone in America who wants an advanced degree.
  • Fund Social Security benefits for every man, woman, and child in America.
  • Eliminate FICA, which funds nothing but is America’s most regressive tax.
  • Fund various research projects, including medical, physical, psychological, and environmental.
  • Fund long-term care
  • Fund housing
  • Fund childcare for working families.
And fund all the other projects that would benefit the public and narrow the Gap between the rich and the rest.

A $33 trillion national debt didn’t come crashing out of the sky like an asteroid that couldn’t be avoided.

“No responsible leader can look at the rapid deterioration of our balance sheet, the CBO projection of these unsustainable deficits, and the long-term unfunded liabilities of our nation and not feel compelled to intervene and change course,” Arrington said Wednesday.

He’s right, but that only draws a line under the contradiction. A responsible Congress would be working on a serious plan to get the deficit under control. Instead, the Budget Committee is working on proposals to avoid doing that.

The article ends with ignorance and lies. Contrary to the above statements, the facts are:
  1. The federal government’s balance sheet is not “deteriorating.”
  2. Deficits are necessary, not “unsustainable.”
  3. All federal liabilities are funded by the federal government’s infinite ability to create sovereign currency.
Finally, if you vote for the right-wing here is a letter you may wish to send to your children and grandchildren:

Dear Loved Ones

I sincerely apologize for electing people who fouled your water, your earth, and your air, cut Social Security, cut Medicare, cut Obamacare, increased your taxes, lied about COVID and vaccinations, and did nothing to improve the lives of all (except the rich, who were well rewarded).

I also apologize for electing a Hitler clone who admitted he would arrest everyone disagreeing with him and give all the nation’s wealth to those who already are wealthy.

I could claim ignorance, but to be honest, I was warned about what would happen. I guess I yielded to my hatred of blacks, browns, yellows, reds, Jews, Muslims, women, the poor, immigrants, and gays. 

I should have learned about Monetary Sovereignty, but I was so busy denying the danger of guns and the attempted coup I had neither the time nor the inclination to learn anything.

Perhaps you will be wiser.

I hope you will forgive me for the miserable, ignorant, hate-filled world I have left for you.

But at least the very rich are very happy.

  Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

What you know about our “open” border is completely wrong.

“It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you in trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” That quote is widely known to come from Mark Twain. But he may not be the author. Ironically, his ownership is one of the many things some people know for sure that quite possibly ain’t so. This blog is at mythfighter.com because it aims to dispel claims most people know that just ain’t so. Regular readers recognize some of these “just ain’t so” beliefs:
  1. For our Monetarily Sovereign government, continuing to run federal deficits is unsustainable.
  2. The federal government’s finances are similar to personal finances.
  3. The government should have a balanced budget.
  4. “Excessive” federal spending causes inflation.
  5. The solution to inflation is to raise interest rates, cut spending, and/or increase taxes.
  6. The federal government spends taxpayers’ money.
  7. Social Security and Medicare benefits are paid for by trust accounts.
  8. Social Security and Medicare will run short of money without benefit cuts or tax increases.
You’ve read and heard these beliefs perhaps for your entire life. You may believe them ardently. You and your friends may discuss them frequently. No one doubts them. Yet, they are wrong. Not even one of them is true. And I’m not talking about slightly wrong, or wrong because of some technicality. They all are fundamentally wrong, diametrically wrong. Wrong in every way that something can be wrong. Look through this blog to see the proofs of how wrong those beliefs are. Today’s blog discusses yet another set of wrong beliefs I’ve seldom touched on. Until now. They have to do with immigration.A line chart showing that the number of unauthorized immigrants in the U.S. remained mostly stable from 2017 to 2021. The false beliefs begin with this chart, which few people would have predicted. The alarmist rhetoric, mainly from the Republicans, may have made you believe that America is swamped with undocumented immigrants, especially since President Biden took over in 2021. But, according to Britannica ProOrg, the percentage of undocumented immigrants vs. total population has hardly budged in many years:

Percentage of US population undocumented immigrants

2022 3.5%;  2021 3.1%;  2020 ?*; 2019 3.5%;  2018 3.5%;  2017 3.5%; 2016 3.3%;  2015 3.4%;  2014 3.5%; 2013 3.6%;  2012 3.6%;  2011 3.7%; 2010 3.8%;  2009 3.5%;  2008 3.8%; 2007 3.9%;  2006 3.9%;  2005 3.5% *Unable to calculate estimate due to COVID-19 pandemic complications with the 2020 census.

Here’s what a population expert has found:

How Migration Really Works review: Prepare to have your mind changed Hein de Haas’s decades-long study of global migration should leave you rethinking what you thought you knew about this most divisive subject. by Simon Ings, 8 November 2023

Everyone who starts geographer Hein de Haas’s How Migration Really Works will have opinions about migration – few will finish with their preconceptions intact.

Drawing on three decades of research from his time at the University of Oxford and the University of Amsterdam, de Haas shows that everything we know about migration is wrong.

This isn’t because migration is an especially complex matter but because economic and political interests, on both the left and the right, have lost sight of the evidence – that is when they haven’t actively misrepresented it.

De Haas explores trends in global migration patterns, examines the impacts of migration on both destination and origin societies, and closes with a series of fairly devastating takedowns of popular ideas.

The problem runs deep. Take the frequently quoted figures released by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), which “seem” to show that the global total of displaced people increased nearly 50-fold from 1.8 million in 1951 to 100 million in 2022.

What explains this shocking rise? Globalisation? War? Climate change? Issues with the statistics?

“What appears to be an unprecedented increase in refugee numbers,” de Haas explains, “is, in reality, a statistical artifact caused by the inclusion of populations and countries previously excluded from displacement statistics.”

UNHCR’s current figures are now truly global. But, its 1951 baseline figure was drawn from a database covering just 21 countries.

It is the direction of migration after the second world war that some in Western nations have found so disconcerting. The numbers have hardly changed.

At any time, around 3 percent of the world’s population are migrants. A tenth of those are refugees.

The figure for unsolicited border crossings (de Haas refuses to use the term “illegal crossings,” as it doesn’t capture the legal position outlined in the UN Refugee Convention) fluctuates erratically, depending on labor demand in destination countries and conflict in origin countries, but the underlying number remains stubbornly consistent.

People go where jobs are available, and they flee turmoil. In short, people come to where they can work, contribute to an economy, and raise their children safely. They are not troublemakers. Quite the opposite. Immigrants are less likely to break the law than are citizens. This graph shows results in Texas

If migration levels are stable, historically, why all the emotion?

De Haas pulls no punches: “Although they may advocate very different solutions, politicians from left to right, climate activist and nativist groups, humanitarian NGOs and refugee organizations and media have all bought into the idea that the current era is one of a migration crisis.”

That this results in staggeringly wrong-headed policy-making comes as no surprise – witnessed massive US investment in border enforcement since the late 1980s.

This writes de Haas, has “turned a largely circular flow of Mexican workers going back and forth to California and Texas into an 11-million-strong population of permanently settled families living all across the United States”. They stay because it is too costly in every sense to keep moving.

Think about it. Strong borders keep undocumented immigrants from returning home. They fear they will not be able to return — a classic example of a law accomplishing exactly the opposite of its stated intention.

Catastrophizing migration also has a cultural impact. In host nations, nightmare migration scenarios are peddled to tickle every political palate.

An international cabal runs people smuggling. (No evidence.) The mafia are trafficking young women for sex. (No evidence.) Migration flows mainly from the poorer southern hemisphere to the wealthy north. (Wrong.)

Migration lifts all boats. (No. It overwhelmingly benefits the already affluent.) Where is the scenario that credits migrants themselves with connections, ambitions, foresight, agency, or even intelligence?

Politicians, especially on the right, describe migrants in the most negative terms as a criminal hoard invading America and planning to destroy our nation. The facts are quite the opposite:

The Secure Communities Program is pitched as a way to deport criminals before they can commit more crimes in the United States

But at least two independent studies suggest Secure Communities didn’t affect crime rates, according to  UW–Madison sociology professor Michael Light , despite deporting more than 200,000 people in its first four years.

“If the plan was to make communities safer, to reduce the likelihood of, say, a felony violent assault in these communities through deportation, it did not deliver on that promise,” Light says.

“Our results help us understand why that is. The population of people we deported simply was not a unique criminal risk. Removing them isn’t going to make you all that safer.”

While the new study can’t describe why undocumented immigrants commit fewer crimes, it’s a common finding that first generation immigrants tend to be less crime-prone — and undocumented immigrants are, almost by definition, first-generation immigrants.

(“Illegal immigrants are 44 percent less likely to be incarcerated than natives. Legal immigrants are 69 percent less likely to be incarcerated than natives. Legal and illegal immigrants are underrepresented in the incarcerated population while natives are overrepresented.” The Cato Institute)

Light believes there are many reasons to expect a lower crime rate among undocumented immigrants.

“They have a tremendous incentive to avoid criminal wrongdoing.

The greatest fear among undocumented immigrants is getting in legal trouble that leads to deportation,” says Light, whose work is supported by the National Science Foundation and National Institute of Justice.

Another factor at work may be that immigration, especially illegal entry into the U.S., is not easy. It attracts people with particular motives. 

“There’s lots of opportunity to commit crimes in Mexico and Venezuela and other places people are emigrating from,” Light says.

“The argument is that many people who want to immigrate are selected on attributes like ambition to achieve, to find economic opportunities, and those types of things aren’t very highly correlated with having a criminal propensity.”

Criminals are people who have less fear of the law than do those who resist any impulse to commit a crime. The traitors who invaded the Capitol on January 6, and tried to destroy America’s democracy, did not fear the law. They believed they would not be arrested and were confident they would not be deported. They were not undocumented immigrants. They were home-grown from right wing MAGA extremist groups like the Oath Keepers, Proud Boys, and Three Percenters.

How Migration Really Works is a carefully evidenced critique of a political culture that would rather use migration as a domestic passion-play than treat it as an ordinary and governable part of civil life.

To be pro and anti immigration is to miss the point entirely. You wouldn’t ask an economist whether they are for or against the economy, would you?

We are constantly told we need “a big conversation” about immigration. I am rereading this book (something crabbed reviewers never normally do).

Until I am done, I am going to keep my big mouth shut.

Simon Ings is a critic and writer based in London

SUMMARY As of this date, the book is not yet available to the public, but several things are clear.
  1. Far from being a threat, immigrants are an asset to America, as they always have been. Part of America’s strength comes from immigrants, the world’s most motivated people. By accepting immigrants, we receive those who are motivated to pull up roots in order to make better lives for themselves and their families, and in doing so, improve the nation that gives them refuge and opportunity. In short, immigrants to America are the best their former nations have to offer.
  2. Immigrants are less likely to be lawbreakers than are citizens.
  3. America needs the immigrant workforce, especially for seasonal work or for jobs citizens don’t want.
  4. The anti-immigrant rhetoric is based on bigoted, Trumpian fearmongering, not on facts.
Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY