-The debt ceiling illusion

An alternative to popular faith

      Sometime in October, the federal debt will touch the legal ceiling of $12.1 trillion, and Congress will decide whether or not to raise it. Surely, the debt ceiling law is among the nation’s silliest.
      Visualize this: All year, you recklessly spend more than you earn, and at the end of the year you announce that you will not pay your bills because you are frugal.        That’s Congress.
      Congress authorizes federal spending and federal taxing. So Congress already has control over the federal debt. It is Congress that has created the $12 trillion debt. Now, Congress will decide whether to pay for what Congress has authorized.
If Congress doesn’t increase the debt, several bad things could happen. The U.S. could default on its debts, thereby removing forever the trust other nations and our own citizens have in our money. Borrowing would become much more difficult and the world would begin to dump its T-securities – a financial calamity. Would Congress be that stupid? Well, it’s Congress.
      Or, the recovery from this recession could end, and we could plunge into a depression of unprecedented magnitude. Would Congress be that stupid? Well, it’s Congress.
      Or, the Treasury could implement some accounting tricks like redeeming government employee retirement funds, now invested in T-securities. Or the Treasury could stop paying interest on government trust funds. Both actions are internal devices without substance, merely delaying the inevitable, as does the vote on the debt ceiling.
      No responsible person, who cares about America, would vote against raising the debt ceiling, but we’re talking about Congress, a group that often embraces style over substance. The debt ceiling has two results. First, it is a shameful admission by members of Congress they know or care little about the bills they vote for, and focus on the individual, pork-barrel amendments they can sneak in. Generally, Congress is a “You-vote-for-mine-and-I’ll-vote-for-yours” club.
      Second, the debt ceiling gives members of Congress political cover — the ability to vote for spending for their constituencies, while voting against spending as a whole, thus to demonstrate how frugal and disciplined they are.
      There should not be a debt ceiling. If Congress wishes to be frugal, it should do so when authorizing, not when paying, its debts. Any Congressperson who speaks against raising the debt ceiling is a phony. Or is that statement a tautology?

Oh, and by the way. Limiting the creation of debt limits economic growth, but that is a subject discussed in many posts on this blog.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
For more information, see http://www.rodgermitchell.com

-Smoot-Hawley revisited

An alternative to popular faith

Just a quick thought: President Barack Obama’s decision to impose trade penalties on Chinese tires has infuriated Beijing. This is eerily reminiscent of Smoot-Hawley. Continued political cave-ins to unions could take us to a depression. At a time like this, the world needs the freest possible trade, not protectionism.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
For more information, see http://www.rodgermitchell.com

-How to Eliminate All Federal Debt and Interest Payments — if we want to

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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AP: August 12, 2009:
“The Obama administration is projecting that when the current budget year ends on Sept. 30, the (deficit) will total $1.84 trillion. The soaring deficits have raised worries among foreign owners of U.S. Treasury securities including the Chinese, the largest holder of such debt.”

Perhaps no subject has caused more controversy than the federal debt and deficit. The deficit includes interest payments, which this year are projected to be $260 billion, a substantial amount, even with today’s low interest rates. Interest payments will continue to grow as the debt and interest rates rise.

So we deal with three related worries: We worry about paying for the large and growing federal debt. We worry about our creditors buying our debt. And we worry about the growing amount of interest the government must pay.

Every one of these issues could be solved with one stroke of the pen.

The federal government borrows by creating Treasury securities (T-bills, T-notes and T-bonds) from thin air, backed only by “full faith and credit.”  It then trades these securities for dollars it previously created.  When the securities mature, the government trades them back, plus interest.

“Full faith and credit” is an intangible collateral. The government has an unlimited supply. This gives the government the power to create unlimited amounts of T-securities.  Finding buyers for these T-securities is addressed by offering interest rates high enough to attract investors.

While the government currently creates T-securities from thin air, it just as easily creates dollars from thin air – similarly backed only by full faith and credit – and can eliminate the borrowing step.  No longer would we be troubled by federal debt, federal deficits, concerns about China et al or interest payments. The same controls over T-security creation would apply to money creation. We merely would eliminate the one step that causes so much controversy.

Why does the U.S. government create T-securities ostensibly to obtain U.S. dollars?  Borrowing is a relic from the gold-standard days, which ended in 1971. Prior to that, U.S. dollars were backed in part by gold, a tangible product in limited supply.  This limit prevented the government from creating as many U.S. dollars as it needed, so it had to borrow these dollars.

When you think about it, the notion of the U.S. government “borrowing” U.S. dollars – dollars it alone has the power to create – is ironic. The government can eliminate debt, along with all the controversy these subjects cause.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
For more information, see http://www.rodgermitchell.com