–A think piece: Why are rivers and roads like growing the economy?

Mitchell’s laws: The more budgets are cut and taxes inceased, the weaker an economy becomes. To survive long term, a monetarily non-sovereign government must have a positive balance of payments. Austerity = poverty and leads to civil disorder. Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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What are the parallels among rivers, roads and the economy?
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Rivers:

The fastest river water is at the middle. Water nearer the shores is impeded by friction, and ironically, if the center water moves fast enough, eddies will form at the edges, where the water actually moves backward.

If you add the forward motion of every water molecule, you get the total output of the river. Because eddies have a lower forward speed (or even a backward speed), they reduce total river output. These eddies are “turbulence,” in which the water mixes as it flows, rather than flowing in straight lines.

Increasing the speed of the center water causes more eddies, wherever faster water touches slower water – so that increased pressure on the river to move faster is met by more and more turbulence, more resistance, and a less-than-proportional increase in river speed.

Given any level of pressure, a river will flow fastest if turbulence is reduced and every molecule of water moves in the same direction at the same speed. When there are speed gaps among water molecules, the slower water will drag down the speed of the faster water. All else being equal, the smaller the speed gap, the faster the river will move.
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Roads:

I began thinking about this recently on a long driving trip from Boca Raton, FL to Chicago. I spent several hours on four-lane roads (two in each direction), and frequently I saw this sign – I’m sure you’ve seen it too: “Speed limit: Autos 65, Trucks 60.”

On crowded highways, traffic moves faster and safer if everyone stays in their lanes rather than repeatedly changing lanes to get into or out of the faster lane (aka “turbulence”). Lane changes force drivers in the ‘changed-to” lane to slow, while changing drivers lane may first slow, then speed up, then drop into average speed, and this continual changing of speed causes bunches and gaps which overall, reduce the average forward speed.

(Visualize, for instance, a 60-yard dash, where runners edge in and out of lanes. Their average speed will be lower than if they had stayed in their lanes.)

But by law, truck drivers are required to go 5mph slower than cars. They are required to cause turbulence. The average-speed car will try to pass the average-speed truck, by moving from the right lane into the left lane, then moving back to the right when an even faster car comes up behind. (That’s the other law, which explicitly says, “Slower traffic to the right.”)

Then, some trucks try to pass other trucks (this takes forever), cars going slowly in the fast lane and cars continually weaving to find the open lane. By forcing trucks to go slower than cars, the law encourages traffic jams – bunching, weaving, speeding and slowing – where no one averages the speed limits, either for cars or for trucks.

So, the worst possible scenario is for some vehicles to be mandated to go slower than other vehicles, while sharing lanes. The slower vehicles drag down the speed of the faster vehicles, which in turn, even drags down the speed of the slower vehicles.

All vehicles – cars, trucks, busses –should be encouraged to run at the same speed. The smaller the gap in speed, the faster will be the average speed.
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The Economy:

For the economy to grow most quickly (assuming that is a goal), all economic “drivers” should move in the same direction and at similar speeds, without the eddies and vortexes that work counter to economic growth.

We all share the same “road.” When faster drivers interact with slower drivers, friction and turbulence reduce average economic growth speed. And the greater the speed differences among “drivers,” the less growth will result. In economics, this is the income “gap.”

All those who benefit from economic growth (and who does not), will benefit more from a more laminar economic growth and a lower income gap.

Gross Domestic Product, the usual measure of economic growth, requires spending. Increase spending within an economy and GDP increases. On average, a rich person spends more than does a poor person. Per capita, rich people contribute more to economic growth. The center of the river moves more water than do the shores.

While rich people grow the economy by spending more, poor people slow economic growth by spending less, like eddies in a river or trucks causing traffic jams.

To increase the average flow of a river, we should not reduce the flow of the fastest water, but rather should increase the flow of the slowest, reducing the speed gap between fastest and slowest. This will reduce turbulence and eddies.

To increase the average speed of a road, we should not reduce the top speed, but rather should increase the speed of the slowest moving vehicles, reducing the speed gap between fastest and slowest. This will reduce turbulence, lane changing and traffic jams.

To increase GDP growth, we should not tax or otherwise impede the rich, but rather should increase the growth of the poor, reducing the wealth gap between the richest and the poorest. This will reduce turbulence and non-productivity.

In all cases, the average speed can be increased by two, concurrent strategies:

1. Maintain or even moderately increase the top speed while
2. Dramatically increasing the slower speed.

The “speed” gap must be reduced, not by slowing the fastest, but by speeding the slowest.

In a river this might mean removing turbulence-causing boulders from the bed and weeds from the shore. In a road this might mean increasing the speed of trucks to reduce the turbulence of lane changing.

In an economy, the turbulence of the wealth gap can be decreased by lifting the poor, but not through private charity, which like changing lanes, diverts private investment from growth to rescue. Instead, the federal government should rescue the poor, i.e. remove boulders and weeds from the riverbank and allow trucks the same speed limit as cars.

At “Closing the gap between rich an poor” I discussed tax approaches for reducing turbulence in economic growth, with this example:

What if the federal government offered to support every state, county and city on a per-capita basis, if these governments voluntarily would forego collection of all local sales and income taxes?

Consider Chicagoans. They pay taxes to Chicago, to Cook County and to Illinois. Here are the taxes residents pay just to the state of Illinois:

Aircraft Use Tax, Automobile Renting Occupation & Use Taxes, Bingo Tax & License Fees, Business Income Tax, Charitable Games Tax & License Fees, Chicago Home Rule Municipal Soft Drink Retailers’ Occupation Tax, Cigarette & Cigarette Use Taxes, Coin-Operated Amusement Device Tax, County Motor Fuel Tax, Dry Cleaning License Tax & Fee, Electricity Distribution & Invested Capital Taxes, Electricity Excise Tax, Energy Assistance & Renewable Energy Charges, Environmental Impact Fee & Underground Storage, Gas Tax, Gas Use Tax, Hotel Operators’ Occupation Taxes, Individual Income Tax, Liquor Gallonage Tax, Manufacturer’s Purchase Credit (MPC), Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority (MPEA) Food & Beverage Tax, Motor Fuel Taxes, Oil & Gas Production Assessment, Personal Property Replacement Tax, Property Tax Information, Pull Tabs & Jar Games Tax & License Fees, Qualified Solid Waste Energy Facility Payments, Real Estate Transfer Tax, Sales & Use Taxes, Sales of Aircraft & Watercraft by Lessors, Tax Increment Financing (TIF), Telecommunications Tax, Telecommunications Infrastructure Maintenance Fees, Tire User Fee, Tobacco Products Tax, Use Tax for Individual Taxpayers, Vehicle Use Tax, Watercraft Use Tax, Withholding (Payroll) Tax

At #OWS is an angry baby, I put forth nine steps for growing the economy:

1. Eliminate FICA (Click here)
2. Provide free Medicare — parts A, B & D — for everyone, from cradle to grave.
3. Send every American citizen an annual check for $5,000 or give every state $5,000 per capita (Click here)
4. Provide long-term nursing care insurance for everyone
5. Provide free education (including post-grad) for everyone
6. Provide a salary for everyone attending school (Click here)
7. Eliminate corporate income taxes
8. Increase the standard income tax deduction annually
9. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America

Rather than the left’s counter-productive desire to increase taxes on the rich, and the rights counter-productive desire to reduce the deficit and federal spending, our leaders should discuss ways to lift the economy by lifting the poor to reduce the wealth gap and its associated friction and turbulence.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia. Two key equations in economics:
Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings
Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Private Investment and Consumption + Net exports

#MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Why Lower Corporate Taxes Won’t Create More Jobs. Oh, really?

Mitchell’s laws: The more budgets are cut and taxes inceased, the weaker an economy becomes. To survive long term, a monetarily non-sovereign government must have a positive balance of payments. Austerity = poverty and leads to civil disorder. Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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Lower taxes won’t help you save or invest.

If you believe that statement, then you are in perfect agreement with the author of the following article and with Warren Buffett.

Time Magazine: Why Lower Corporate Taxes Won’t Create More Jobs
By Rana Foroohar, February 23, 2012

Yesterday, President Obama announced a long-awaited proposal to cut corporate taxes in America, which U.S. businesses complain are much too high by international standards. What’s being missed in all this is that the corporate tax debate and the jobs debate are two separate things. Here’s why.

America has the second highest corporate tax rate in the rich world. But most American businesses don’t pay it. The President is suggesting that the corporate tax rate drop from 35% to 28%. But as my colleague Fareed Zakaria wrote a few months back in Time, few of the biggest U.S. businesses are paying that rate right now; indeed, most are paying much less – 115 of the companies in the S & P 500 paid less than 20% in tax over the last five years. And 39 firms paid less than 10%.

True. If you cut the tax rate from the rate no one is paying to the rate everyone is paying, you haven’t really cut taxes at all. That’s clear, though misleading, as to “no one” and “everyone,” since clearly some businesses must be paying the highest rate (probably small businesses), and would benefit from a lower rate.

But here’s where Ms. Foroohar’s logic gets even screwier:

Fundamentally, lower taxes aren’t the reason that businesses choose to invest, or not, in a certain country. As Warren Buffett told me when I interviewed him late last year, “The idea that American business is at a big disadvantage against the rest of the world because of corporate taxes is baloney in my view. In the 50s and 60s, corporate taxes were 52%, and we were making all kinds of [job] gains.

True enough. In fact, you can see more and more evidence for the fact that business doesn’t locate in a particular country just because it’s cheaper to do so.

Please, Mr. Buffett. Get real. The 50’s and 60’s did not have the ease of import/export we have now. China, India, South America et al weren’t massive exporters to the U.S., nor was plant relocation as easy and common. We weren’t Monetary Sovereign. We were gearing up for the cold war, the Korean war and the Vietnam war. The euro didn’t exist. In fact, virtually nothing was the same as now. So is this is your best example — a massively different world from fifty years ago?

Consider the recently released Harvard Business School study looking at insourcing and outsourcing decisions among 10,000 alumnae who are running American businesses. The key reason for outsourcing wasn’t labor cost, but a combination of cost, proximity to market, and (most importantly) better worker skill sets abroad. In order for America to create jobs at home, we need to do the heavy lifting to reform education and develop workers who can do the sort of jobs businesses need them to do.

Notice the phrasing, “ . . . a combination of cost, . . . “ Since taxes are part of costs, taxes do affect outsourcing. So let’s not hear any nonsensical conclusion that tax costs are meaningless to business decisions. Tax costs aren’t the only reason to outsource, but they surely are part if the reason.

Additionally, unemployment is not caused only by outsourcing.

Anyway, it gets even screwier:

As Buffett says, nobody ever stopped investing because of high taxes.

Really? Taxes reduce the amount of money a company has available for investing and spending. If a company pays 20%, 10% or even 1% of its profits to the government, that’s 20%, 10% or even 1% it can’t spend to grow its business. Period.

The notion that lower corporate taxes (or better yet, the elimination of corporate taxes) won’t help grow the economy, and thus create more jobs, is so silly on the face of it, one wonders why such mental gymnastics or pure mendacity are brought to bear. What’s the Foroohar/Buffett motive for ignorance?

How much effect President Obama’s plan will have, can be debated, but there can be no debate about the fact that reducing business taxes will help businesses, help the economy and reduce unemployment.

Ms. Foroohar and Mr. Buffet each are awarded a dunce cap, from my unending, sovereign supply, for their statements in direct conflict with common sense and arithmetic.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia. Two key equations in economics:
Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings
Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Private Investment and Consumption + Net exports

#MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–New York Times parrots the same old myths about corporate taxes. How lazy can you get?

Mitchell’s laws: The more budgets are cut and taxes inceased, the weaker an economy becomes. To survive long term, a monetarily non-sovereign government must have a positive balance of payments. Austerity = poverty and leads to civil disorder. Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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Somehow, I can’t bring myself to become accustomed to ignorance by the New York Times. I continue to expect more of them — or at least expect them to do a modicum of research, before writing editorials.

But again and again, they lazily repeat the same old myths, a few of which may have been only partially true before our move to Monetary Sovereignty on August 15, 1971.

Here they talk about corporate taxes.

New York Times editorial
Reform and Corporate Taxes
Published: February 22, 2012

The corporate tax system is a mess. The United States has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the world, but too many businesses still don’t contribute their fair share of revenue, in large part because of numerous loopholes, subsidies and other opportunities for tax avoidance.

What is a corporation’s “fair share” of taxes? How would one measure “fair share”? Let’s begin with the absolute fact that no tax system is “fair.”

Continue with the absolute fact that a so-called “loophole” is nothing more than a reduction in taxes. Business support of medical insurance is a “loophole.” All business expenses, which reduce profits, are “loopholes.” Medicare benefits are “loopholes.” Mortgage interest deductions are loopholes. Property tax reductions are “loopholes.” Do you really want to eliminate all “loopholes”? Or do you want to eliminate just the “loopholes” you personally don’t like?

Anyone who talks about eliminating “loopholes” is a liar and/or a fool. Keep that in mind.

Then let’s continue with the absolute fact that taxing the lifeblood of our economy – business – is as counter-productive as you can get. It’s like hobbling your horse in a race.

And finally end with the absolute fact that all federal taxes are unnecessary (They are not needed by the government) and harmful (They take money out of consumers’ pockets).

Add these absolute facts together and you get, “What the heck is the NY Times talking about”?

There is no doubt that a system that is more competitive, more efficient — the current mind-numbing complexity makes planning far too difficult — and more fair would be a plus for the economy.

Right, and there is no doubt a gun that actually doesn’t hurt the anybody, would be a plus for average lifespan. So?

President Obama’s framework for business tax reform, released on Wednesday, is a welcome start for a much-needed debate on comprehensive tax reform. But we already have two big concerns.

While the administration insists that business tax reform should not add to the deficit, the country needs to raise more revenue to care for an aging population, rebuild infrastructure, improve education and tackle the deficit. Corporations, which benefit from all of those, should, as a matter of necessity and fairness, pay more.

The administration is ignorant for not wanting to add to the “deficit” (i.e. the federally created money supply.) And the NY Times is ignorant for thinking taxes pay for Medicare, Social Security, infrastructure and education. When the ignorant comment about the actions of the ignorant, what do you get? Ignorance squared?

And as for “fairness,” is it fair for a corporation to pay taxes, then pay salaries and dividends with what is left over after taxes – and have those leftovers taxed, too?

Our other concern is that like all tax reform, the potential for gaming the process is ever present and unless it is vigilantly managed could actually reduce revenue and add to the deficit.

The NY Times understands that taking money from businesses and consumers could reduce profits and reduce future incomes, which (0h woe) would reduce future taxes. Better they should worry about what will happen to the economy, than to worry about “gaming the system” and the deficit.

Even if they made it past the lobbyists, the specific loophole closers in Mr. Obama’s new framework — including ending subsidies for oil and gas exploration, corporate jets and private equity partners — are far too small to make up for dropping the top (tax) rate.

So not only will closing loopholes hurt the economy, and be politically impossible, but they won’t even accomplish the stated goal of cutting taxes without increasing the deficit.

The framework’s call for a minimum corporate tax on the foreign earnings of American companies is a step in the right direction. Under current law, various tax provisions and tactics allow companies to reduce or defer taxes by shifting ever more production and profits overseas. But the idea is blunted by the framework’s failure to say what the minimum tax rate should be.

Surprise: All taxes have a bad effect on business. Bigger surprise: Businesses try to reduce this bad effect.

Last year, Dave Camp, the chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, proposed a top corporate rate of 25 percent without saying how he would pay for the tax cut. Mitt Romney has done somewhat better, calling for a 25 percent rate to be coupled with “broadening” the corporate tax base, which generally means closing loopholes. But he has yet to say which tax breaks he would end.

Excuse me, but people pay for taxes; no one “pays for” a tax cut. And here’s the sneaky part. “Broadening” any tax base, corporate or personal, always means the same thing: Make the less wealthy, less profitable; small businesses and “small” people pay more. It’s another right wing, 1% attack on the 99%.

Serious reform requires specific proposals, tough trade-offs and hard numbers attached. Without all of those, this effort could too easily be hijacked by powerful corporations and their high-paid lobbyists.

The NY Times pretends not to want any government plans to be hijacked by the rich and powerful. Let’s face it. Corporations do not pay for anything. They simply transfer money from customers to employees, suppliers, shareholders and the government.

There is no magic to this transfer. The more money that goes to the government, the less will go to employees, suppliers and shareholders.

So what is our preference: Send more money to the government, which has no use for it, or send more money to shareholders and employees, who will spend and invest the money, thereby growing the economy?

Take your choice.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia. Two key equations in economics:
Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings
Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Private Investment and Consumption + Net exports

#MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–The Washington Post’s best economics article, ever. And still it’s wrong.

Mitchell’s laws: The more budgets are cut and taxes inceased, the weaker an economy becomes. To survive long term, a monetarily non-sovereign government must have a positive balance of payments. Austerity = poverty and leads to civil disorder. Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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A reader named Tyler, called to my attention a fine Washington Post article, written by Dylan Matthews, about Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), a sister to Monetary Sovereignty (MS): Modern Monetary Theory, an unconventional take on economic strategy

I urge you to read the article, because it makes some of the points that are most relevant to today’s economies. I’ll quote briefly from the article, then comment:

Most (economists) viewed the (Clinton) budget surplus as opportune: a chance to pay down the national debt, cut taxes, shore up entitlements or pursue new spending programs. James K. “Jamie” Galbraith viewed it as a danger: If the government is running a surplus, money is accruing in government coffers rather than in the hands of ordinary people and companies, where it might be spent and help the economy.

Almost. Yes, surpluses are a danger. Every depression in U.S. history began with surpluses, and nearly all recessions have begun with reduced deficit growth. See Items 3 and 4.

But money does not accrue in government “coffers.” The federal government has no “coffers,” nor does it need “coffers.” It creates dollars ad hoc, every time it pays a bill. Instead, when the government runs a surplus the money simply disappears.

All money is nothing more than a balance sheet debit on the government’s books, and when the government receives money, that account is credited, the two offset, and together, they disappear. There are no “coffers” (whatever that term is supposed to mean.)

In a “fiat money” system like the one in place in the United States, all money is ultimately created by the government, which prints it and puts it into circulation. Consequently, the thinking goes, the government can never run out of money.

Again, almost. The federal government doesn’t “print” money. It does print paper dollar bills, which like the titles to houses, show evidence of ownership. But titles are not houses and dollar bills are not dollars. When the government pays a bill, it sends instructions, not dollars, to its creditors’ banks. The instructions tell the bank to mark up the creditors’ checking accounts.

At the instant the checking accounts are marked up, dollars are created. This is important. The government does not first create dollars, then send them to pay its bills. The very act of bill paying is what creates dollars. The federal government itself has no dollars.

This doesn’t mean that taxes are unnecessary. The need to pay taxes compels people to use the currency printed by the government. Taxes are also sometimes necessary to prevent the economy from overheating. If consumer demand outpaces the supply of available goods, prices will jump, resulting in inflation (where prices rise even as buying power falls). In this case, taxes can tamp down spending and keep prices low.

Once again, almost. While there is some debate about whether taxes are necessary to create demand for dollars, federal taxes are not needed for this purpose. There are ample state an local taxes to compel usage of dollars.

As for consumer demand outpacing supply, this is the now obsolete “too many dollars chasing too few goods.” Inflation is a general price rise, not just the price rise of one or two products. In today’s world import/export economy, it is impossible for a general price rise to be caused by too few goods — with one exception: Price increases in oil can cause all other prices, worldwide, to rise. And in fact, inflation invariably has been associated with oil prices and not with federal deficit spending.

(Paul) Krugman regularly engages economists across the spectrum in spirited debate. He has argued that pursuing large budget deficits during boom times can lead to hyperinflation.

Not even, almost. This is the old Weimar Republic myth. You have seen the relationship between oil prices and inflation. You have seen the lack of relationship between deficit spending and inflation. In the past 40 years, since the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, we have had 6 recessions — and average of one ever 7 years. Each could have been prevented with adequate deficit spending.

With all the dire warnings, one reads, guess how many hyperinflations the U.S. has had. The answer: Zero.

So here we have the economics version of Henny Penny, running in all directions warning about something that never has happened here (and even in the case of the Weimar Republic, was short lived — only about two years), but completely ignoring something that happens every seven years (and we still feel the effects of the last recession).

When the government deficit spends, it issues bonds to be bought on the open market. If its debt load grows too large, mainstream economists say, bond purchasers will demand higher interest rates, and the government will have to pay more in interest payments, which in turn adds to the debt load.

Sort of. The federal government does not need to issue bonds. It could deficit spend trillions and never sell a single bond. The bond-sales process became obsolete on August 15, 1971, when we became Monetarily Sovereign. The government sells bonds because an old law says it must. The law easily could be, and should be, changed.

But when the government pays more interest, that adds to the money supply which is economically stimulative.

“You can’t just fund any level of government that you want from spending money, because you’ll get runaway inflation and eventually the rate of inflation will increase faster than the rate that you’re extracting resources from the economy,” says Karl Smith, an economist at the University of North Carolina. “This is the classic hyperinflation problem that happened in Zimbabwe and the Weimar Republic.”

Whoops, there it is. The hackneyed Weimar Republic / Zimbabwe mantra. Sorry, Professor Smith, but neither of those hyperinflations was caused by excessive money “printing.” Weimar was caused by the onerous conditions put on Germany after WWI, and Zimbabwe was caused by Richard Mugabe’s confiscatory land “reforms.” In both cases, the hyperinflation caused the money “printing,” and not the other way around.

The risk of inflation keeps most mainstream economists and policymakers on the same page about deficits: In the medium term — all else being equal — it’s critical to keep them small.

And therein lies the problem. The fear of uncontrolled inflation (which the Fed controls via interest rates), overshadows what should be a much stronger fear of recessions and depressions. The economists, in effect say, “We must prevent something rare, which we know how to control, even if it means causing something frequent, which we don’t know how to control.

“It seemed clear to me that . . . flooding the economy with money by buying up government bonds . . . is not going to change anybody’s behavior,” Galbraith says. “They would just end up with cash reserves which would sit idle in the banking system, and that is exactly what in fact happened.”

Really? How does cash sit idle? Do you mean banks don’t invest their cash balances? Nonsense. Banks invest every penny. And it functionally is impossible for invested money to “sit idle.”

According to MMT, when the government runs a surplus, it is a net saver, which means that the private sector is a net debtor.

Correct. This is a fundamental equation in economics: Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings

“I have two words to answer that: Australia and Canada,” Joe Gagnon, an economist at the Peterson Institute, says. “If Jamie Galbraith would look them up, he would see immediate proof he’s wrong. Australia has had a long-running budget surplus now, they actually have no national debt whatsoever, they’re the fastest-growing, healthiest economy in the world.” Canada, similarly, has run consistent surpluses while achieving high growth.

As Shakespeare said, “Comparisons are odious,” especially when comparing nations. There are so many differences among nations, one gets into a “yes, but” dialog. It is true, however, that an economy can grow while deficits decline or even turn into surpluses — for a while. For instance:

1817-1821: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 29%. Depression began 1819.
1823-1836: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 99%. Depression began 1837.
1852-1857: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 59%. Depression began 1857.
1867-1873: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 27%. Depression began 1873.
1880-1893: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 57%. Depression began 1893.
1920-1930: U. S. Federal Debt reduced 36%. Depression began 1929.

Depending on many circumstances, and economy can grow with many years of surplus, until one of the basic equations in economics takes hold: Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Private Investment and Consumption + Net exports. For an economy to grow, money must come from somewhere — the government, the private sector and/or from net exports.

We already have seen that Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings. Put the two equations together and we find that if Deficits decline, Savings will decline, which will reduce Private Investment and Consumption. This leaves economic growth reliant on Net Exports — the current German model.

There is no magic to this. GDP growth requires spending growth. Spending growth requires money growth. Ultimately, all domestic money is derived from federal deficits. The entire world of economics changed on August 15, 1971, when the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign. Old-line economists, not recognizing this change, continue to preach lessons that were correct pre-1971.

It’s as though they still teach football strategy to students who 40 years ago, stopped playing football and now are playing baseball.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


==========================================================================================================================================
No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia. Two key equations in economics:
Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings
Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Private Investment and Consumption + Net exports

#MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY