–Worried about your children and grandchildren paying the federal debt?

An alternative to popular faith


     The debt hawks claim to be concerned about your children and grandchildren, but their proposals actually will punish your heirs. The debt hawks say future taxpayers will pay for today’s federal deficit spending. This is factually wrong. Unlike state and local governments, the federal government does not spend tax money. It, in fact, destroys the tax money sent to it, and it creates new money, ad hoc, when it credits the bank accounts of creditors. Federal spending is not limited by, or related in any way to, federal taxes. Thus, taxpayers never have, nor ever will, pay for federal spending.

    What the debt hawks fail to mention is that their solutions (raising taxes and cutting federal spending) to this non-existent problem will impoverish you, your children and your grandchildren. Here is a sampling of debt hawk proposals. Read them carefully, and think about each proposal’s effect on current and future generations.

Retirement:
    Raise the normal retirement (Social Security) age to 68
    Reduce scheduled Social Security benefits
    Reduce Social Security spousal benefits
    Increase taxes on Social Security benefits

Health care:
    Tax insurance benefits
    Tax employees for employer-paid premiums
    Cut Medicare payments
    Cut Medicaid payments
    Raise Medicare premiums
    Cut spending on graduate medical education
    Raise the Medicare retirement age (again)
    Cut federal Medicaid funding to states

Jobs:
    Do not enact a new jobs bill

More taxes; higher taxes
    Raise taxes on higher incomes
    Increase the inheritance (“death”) tax
    Increase the gas tax
    Enact a VAT tax
    Increase the payroll tax (FICA)
    Eliminate the mortgage interest deduction
    Eliminate state and local tax deductions
    Tax life insurance benefits
    Eliminate EITC (Earned Income Tax Credit for low and moderate income workers
    Eliminate the $400/person making-work-pay credit
    Eliminate the “American Opportunity” college tax credit
    Add and excise tax on high-cost health plans

Military and Security:
    Reverse the “Grow the Army” initiative (fewer paid soldiers)
    Reduce purchases of weapons systems
    Reduce veterans’ income security benefits
    Reduce Homeland Security spending

Aid for the poor:
    Cut food stamps
    Cut average unemployment benefits
    Cut temporary assistance to needy families (TANF) program
    Cut funding for adoption and foster care

Education:
    Cut federal funding of K-12 education
    Cut school breakfast programs
    Cut funding for the education of disadvantaged and disabled children

Infrastructure:
    Cut federal highway funding
    Cut funding for bridge repair

Research & Development:
    Cancel NASA missions to the moon and Mars

States and Cities:
    Cut mass transit funding
    Cut federal funding to the states and cities

This is the world — a world of higher taxes and fewer benefits — the world the debt hawks propose for you, your children and your grandchildren.

And what is the federal debt the debt hawks worry over? The federal government spends by crediting the bank accounts of its vendors. Every credit demands a debit, and this debit on the government’s balance sheet is called “debt.” It more properly should be called, “money,” because the way the government creates money is by crediting bank accounts. That balance sheet merely is a score sheet, showing how much money the government has created.

You don’t owe it, nor do your children and grandchildren. It’s just a score sheet.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–Even Paul Volcker doesn’t get it.

An alternative to popular faith

If even Paul Volcker doesn’t get it, how can the man in the street hope to understand — unless the man in the street is willing to look at the facts and Volcker isn’t?

“5/19/2001: STANFORD, California (Reuters) – Europe’s debt crisis shows the risks for the United States if it does not get its budget deficits under control, former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker said on Tuesday. ‘If we need any further illustration of the potential threats to our own economy from uncontrolled borrowing, we have only to look to the struggle to maintain the common European currency, to rebalance the European economy, and to sustain political cohesion of Europe,’ Volcker said.
[…]The U.S. budget deficit hit $1.4 trillion in 2009, roughly 10 percent of the economy. The White House projects the deficit this year will reach $1.6 trillion. The large deficits have evoked comparisons to Greece. But in a speech to the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research in California, Volcker said the United States differs from that country and other small European countries whose credit markets have come under speculative attack. Unlike those countries, the United States benefits from well-established currency and credit markets that are considered safe havens in times of financial turmoil.
[…]’There are serious questions, most immediately about the sustainability of our commitment to growing entitlement programs,’ said Volcker, who heads an outside panel of experts advising Obama on the economy”
.

Here is Paul Volcker, who of anyone, should know better, saying the difference between the U.S. and European countries is we have a well-established currency. No, Mr. Volcker, the difference is we are a monetarily sovereign nation and the EU countries are not. And that difference makes all the difference.

Somehow, the fact that we are running trillion-plus deficits, with none of the problems the EU nations are experiencing, doesn’t seem to penetrate Mr. Volcker’s skull. He has the debt hawk’s “It-hasn’t-happened-yet-but-I’m-sure-one-day-it-will” mentality, rather than the scientist’s “It-hasn’t-happened-yet.-I wonder-why” mentality.

Mr. Volcker, the reason “it” (inability to service national debts) happened to Greece, but not to the U.S., is simple: The U.S. has the unlimited ability to pay its bills, merely by crediting creditors’ bank accounts. EU rules prevent Greece from doing this. Either Mr. Volcker truly doesn’t understand the difference, which would be remarkable, or he has been paid to adopt a debt hawk agenda that forces him to close his eyes to basic fact.

Anyone who says Greece’s problems foreshadow similar problems for the U.S. either is ignorant of the facts or a liar.

And by the way, for those debt hawks who keep warning us that deficits cause inflation, we’re running the deficits, but: “5/19/2010: WASHINGTON (AFP) – US consumer prices fell for the first time in 13 months in April, the government said Wednesday as analysts warned of the risk of deflation in the world’s largest economy.” Isn’t it inconvenient the way facts seem to get in the way of wrong opinion?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–A mainstream economist writes about the EU

An alternative to popular faith

Readers of this blog and Modern Monetary Theory blogs know the mainstream economists have been ignorant about the realities of today’s post-gold-standard economy, and this ignorance has caused untold damage, as ignorance always does.

Here is a perfect example. John Cochrane, professor of finance at the University of Chicago, wrote an article titled, “Greek Myths and the Euro Tragedy,” published in the May 18, 2010 Wall Street Journal. His concluding paragraph read:

”The only way to solve the underlying euro-zone fiscal mess (and our own) is to slash government spending and to focus on growth. Countries only pay off debts by growing out of them.. And no, growth does not come from spending, especially on generous pensions and padded government payrolls. Greece’ spending over 50% of GDP did not result in robust growth and full coffers. At least the looming worldwide sovereign debt crisis is heaving “fiscal stimulus” on the ash heap of bad ideas.”

Let’s examine this amazingly clueless article, sentence by sentence: ”The only way to solve the underlying euro-zone fiscal mess (and our own) is to slash government spending and to focus on growth.” By definition, economic growth requires money growth. There is no known mechanism by which a nation simultaneously can reduce net money creation (aka “deficit spending”), while promoting growth.

”Countries only pay off debts by growing out of them.” Wrong. Countries pay off debt by creating the money to pay the debt. Economic growth does not pay for government debt. Countries do not pay debt with GDP or with taxes on GDP. In a monetarily sovereign nation, as is the U.S., taxes do not support spending. Were taxes to drop to zero, the government’s ability to spend would not be affected by even one penny.

”And no, growth does not come from spending, especially on generous pensions and padded government payrolls.” Federal spending does cause growth, which is why every recession and depression in U.S. history has been cured with increased federal spending. As for “generous pensions and padded government payrolls,” this represents money paid to real people, who will spend this money on goods and services to stimulate the economy. Professor Cochrane must believe there is some strange force that will cause reductions in private spending to stimulate the economy.

”Greece’s spending over 50% of GDP did not result in robust growth and full coffers.” Since when is 50% of GDP a magic spending number? Greece’s problems relate to its inability, caused by EU rules, to create money to service its debt. (Greece is not monetarily sovereign.) Spending as a percentage of GDP is irrelevant to causing or to solving its problems, which only can be solved by an infusion (not a reduction) of money.

”At least the looming worldwide sovereign debt crisis is heaving “fiscal stimulus” on the ash heap of bad ideas.” Here is monetary ignorance at its best. Greece is not a monetarily sovereign nation; the U.S. is. Any blanket statement about national debt, that does not take this difference into consideration, is certain to be wrong. The notion that the U.S. could be emerging from our recession without fiscal stimuli, would be laughable were it not so sad. If anything, the stimuli were too little, too late (See April 9, 2008 LETTER )

In summary, Professor Cochrane merely parrots bits and pieces of things he has heard from various (wrong) sources, and with them created an article, stunning in its inaccuracy, but printed by the Chicago Tribune, probably because he is from the University of Chicago, a hotbed of obsolete, mainstream economics. It is their influence and leadership that has resulted in an average of one recession every five years. Is there any way they could have done worse?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–China buying bonds. Who cares.

An alternative to popular faith

5/17/2001: WASHINGTON (AFP) – China boosted its massive US Treasury bond holdings in March for the first time in six months as foreign buying of long-term US assets set a new record high, official data showed Monday.

So, as always, the debt hawks have been proven wrong. Here we are, running huge deficits probably for many years into the future, and despite debt hawk predictions, other nations continue to buy our bonds.

Why? Are they being charitable? Just nice guys? No.

The interest rate is good, considering the U.S. never will default, and we will fight inflation. In short, our bonds are a good investment (although as a monetarily sovereign nation, China does not need to profit from investment), which is the sole reason countries ever buy them.

Of course, none of this really matters, since the U.S. does not need to create and sell T-securities, nor should we. The U.S. can create dollars at will, without bonds. Creating and selling bonds does not help the economy, nor does it affect inflation or any other economic problem.

The notion that we need to borrow the money that we exclusively can create, is obsolete — as dead as the gold standard.

But, for a while, at least, we won’t have to listen to uninformed pundits worrying that nobody will buy our bonds.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity