-Learn to love the debt

An alternative to popular faith

       Deficits are necessary. They add money to the economy. A large economy has more money than does a small economy. Therefore a growing economy requires a growing supply of money. Quod erat demonstrandum.
       Concern about the federal debt revolves around two beliefs: Someone (often characterized as “our grandchildren”) will have to pay those debts, and large debts cause inflation.
      For us citizens, personal debt is concerning, because our debt must be repaid. People go bankrupt when they can’t repay their debts. But, if you owned a magic printing press, and you had the legal right to print as much money as you wished, your debt never would concern you.
       Received a bill for a million dollars? No problem. Turn on the magic press and poof!, it’s paid. Unfortunately, you and I don’t own a magic press, so we worry about our debt.
       The federal government, uniquely among all U.S. debtors does own that magic printing press. It can pay bills of any size, which is how today, it easily services a gross debt of $12 trillion. Not even during the current recession has any federal check bounced. Not even close.
       Still we worry about federal debt as though it were our own. Why? Partly because so many people tell us we owe the federal debt. How silly. Debt is owed by borrowers. We are not the borrowers. In many cases, we are the lenders, the owners of T-securities. The government is the borrower, and we are not the government. There will be no bill collectors on our doorsteps, demanding that we pay our mythical share of the federal debt.
       But won’t “our grandchildren” have to pay for the debt through higher taxes? For the past 50 years, tax rates actually have gone down, despite massive deficits. There is no relationship between deficits and tax rates, which are political, not financial, decisions.
      What if tax rates were to rise moderately? Let’s do the math. Say in Year One, taxes total $10 trillion and spending totals $11 trillion. Spending exceeds taxes, which causes a $1 trillion debt.
       In Year Two, tax rates rise, so taxes now total $11 trillion, but spending rises to $12 trillion, and now the debt has risen to $2 trillion.
       How much of Year One’s debt did taxpayers pay? Answer: None. Taxes weren’t even sufficient to pay for Year two’s spending, let alone pay for last year’s debt. The only time taxpayers pay for debt is when taxes exceed spending, i.e a surplus.
       That is why surpluses have caused all six depressions in U.S. history. Surpluses, not debt, cost taxpayers money.
       The inflation logic is that federal debt increases the money supply (true), which dilutes the value of money (not true). Money value is based not only on supply, but also on demand.
       Money supply can increase massively, and still not cause inflation, if demand goes up as much. Demand is determined by risk and reward. Risk is inflation (which is a result, not a cause), so the key to money value is reward.
       What is the reward for owning money? One reward is the ability to buy things with it, but in a massive economy like ours, there always are plenty of things to buy. The real reward for owning money is interest. The higher the rates, the more valuable the money. That’s why the Fed raises rates at even the hint of inflation, and that also is why in the past 50 years, there has been no relationship between federal deficits and inflation. None. (See: See Do Deficits cure inflation?
       In conclusion, rather than being concerned about federal debt, we should welcome it. Money growth brings economic growth.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
For more information, see http://www.rodgermitchell.com

-Health care for undocumented aliens

An alternative to popular faith


       President Obama assures us his health care plan would not cover undocumented aliens. While that statement is untrue, it cheered Democrats, who want to pass a health-care bill – any health care bill.
      Republican Representative Dean Heller said, “Congress should do everything within its power to curb abuse. Requiring citizenship verification for enrollment would ensure only citizens and legal residents receive taxpayer funded healthcare,” which cheered Republicans, who use the law and citizenship as excuses to exercise xenophobia.
       When Democrats and Republicans, liberals and conservatives, agree on a major principle, we all need to tremble. Here are some thoughts on this frightening situation:
      Despite all the claims, no one knows how many undocumented aliens reside in America. Depending on whom you believe, the number could be anywhere between 12 million and 70 million – from 3% of the U.S. population to 17%.
      Despite all the claims, no one knows how much income tax, Medicare tax, Social Security tax, sales tax, property tax and all other taxes they pay. Some right-wingers claim the undocumenteds pay no taxes, which is ridiculous on the face of it. No sales or property taxes? No income, Social Security or Medicare taxes withheld from their paychecks? No excise taxes, like gasoline tax? Please let me know their secret. We all might like to try it. Many undocumented aliens pay taxes out of deportation fear. Many pay out of a sense of obligation and morality. Many pay for many reasons.
      Despite all the claims, no one knows the degree to which undocumented aliens may “steal” jobs from American citizens. Usually the jobs in question are at the low end. We don’t hear doctors or lawyers complaining that undocumented aliens have stolen their jobs. Who does most of the low-end jobs in America? Disproportionately, blacks (aka African Americans) and Latinos (aka Mexican Americans). Who are the complainers? Mostly the right-wing whites, who wouldn’t take those jobs under any circumstances.
       Despite all the claims, no one knows the net economic contribution made by undocumented aliens. Conservatives claim it’s very little. Liberals tell us about all the industries that depend on undocumented aliens.
      So, despite much heat, shouting and claims, no one knows the fundamental facts of this debate. It’s like arguing religion. Everyone believes strongly, but no one has facts.
      We do know this, however. When undocumented aliens don’t have insurance, they use emergency rooms, for which we citizens pay, or they get sick and become a burden on society, for which we also pay.
      We know that people who pay tax are entitled to government services. So to deprive all undocumented aliens of federal support is unconscionable and may be unconstitutional.
      We know undocumented aliens are not going home. They will be here with us until they die, as will their children and their children’s children. Of course many of these children, and most of the children’s children will be born-in-the-U.S.A. citizens. Shall we deny these American children health care? Shall we deport their parents?
      We know undocumented aliens are people. They have families. They love each other and they love God. They go to churches. They build; they clean; they bathe; they plant; they reap; they eat. They have hopes and fears and pride and regrets. They care. They mourn. They are very much like you and me, except fate has not given them that piece of paper we were so fortunate to have received, most of us merely by the accident of being born in the right place. They are not monsters or criminals, any more than we are.
      Most right wingers are Christians. Are we naive to expect Christians to be more Christian toward their fellow human beings?
      We don’t know what President Obama really believes. He’s a politician. But it is sad to see a President pander to the xenophobes who espouse hatred of a minority, under the guise of law, especially when there is so much we don’t know.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
For more information, see http://www.rodgermitchell.com

-It isn’t “taxpayers’ money” .. Tax rates through the years

An alternative to popular faith

The media frequently claim federal deficits spend taxpayers’ money. This is, as Star Trek’s Mr. Spock said, “illogical.”

If deficits spent tax money, they wouldn’t be deficits. “Deficit” means spending beyond tax receipts.

“Ah,” you say. “But our children and grandchildren will pay the taxes.” Wrong again. There is no historical relationship between tax rates and deficits. In more than 50 years, tax rates have gone down or remained level, depending on your income. This, despite huge deficits and even a couple surpluses.

Tax rates 60-09

Since taxes do not supply the money for federal spending (the government creates money ad hoc, for all its spending) your children and grandchildren will not pay for today’s deficits, which can and will continue forever.

So don’t be concerned if GM and Chrysler don’t pay back their loans. In fact, be concerned if they do. Any payback merely takes money out of the economy and costs jobs — call it an “anti-stimulus” — and doesn’t put one penny in your pocket.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
For more information, see http://www.rodgermitchell.com