–What is our priority: The recession and joblessness — or inflation?

Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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If you drove your car onto a railroad track, while a train was bearing down on you, would you worry about the price of gas, or would you step on the accelerator to get out of the way?

Clearly, the more immediate problem is the train. But according to debt-hawk thinking, you should ignore the immediate problem and wait until gas prices come down. Today, the Tea/Republican party is worried that federal servicing of deficits causes inflation . They wrongly claim that for the federal government to service larger deficits, it must “print” so much money eventually there will be inflation, even hyperinflation..

As always, the Tea/Republicans are wrong: Federal government borrowing does not increase the money supply. Borrowing is a simple asset exchange, in which T-securities are created and traded for dollars, which are destroyed. The servicing of federal debt is the exact opposite. Dollars are traded for T-securities and the T-securities are destroyed. During the entire process, no inflationary money is created.

Which is one reason federal deficit spending has not been associated with inflation since 1971, when we went off the gold standard and became Monetarily Sovereign. (See the following graph)

Inflation vs. Deficits

Yes, let’s forget that the Tea/Republicans simply do not know what they are talking about from a factual standpoint, and instead let’s focus on priorities. Look at the graph below, and tell me whether today’s priority is inflation or recession/joblessness.

Inflation vs Unemployment

Clearly, today’s priority is the weakness of the economy and unemployment. The economy is starved for money. To treat a starving patient, you must feed him. How do you feed a starving economy? By giving it money. How do you give an economy money? Via federal deficit spending.

But, debt-hawk Tea/Republicans will tell you that adding ”infinite” money to the economy (a straw man nobody is recommending) will cause inflation and even hyperinflation. Oh really?

Here is an excerpt from an article in Time Magazine:

Inflation Falls: Is the Economy Saved or Doomed?
Posted by STEPHEN GANDEL Friday, July 15, 2011

Gas prices fell last month, prompting the first drop in overall prices in a year. (Lucy Nicholson / Reuters)

Inflation in June fell for the first time in a more than a year. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is the government’s most widely watched gauge of what the things average Americans buy cost, fell 0.2% last month. The drop was mostly driven by a fall in gas prices, which were down nearly 7% alone in June.

Lest you think that gas prices were the sole cause of low inflation, take another look at the first chart. The red line is total Consumer Price Index. The black line is CPI less food and energy. Both are headed down.

And, even when inflation eventually crops up, the Fed can increase the value of the dollar (fight inflation), by raising interest rates to increase the demand for money. That is the way the Fed has controlled inflation for many years.

So tell me, which is the more immediate problem, the recession/joblessness or inflation? Are you the type who would not drive off the tracks until gas prices come down? If you are, then welcome to the Tea/Republican Party.

Historians will look back at 2011 and shake their heads at the suicidal bent of the Tea/Republicans and even the Democrats. The notion that federal deficit spending, which adds money to the economy, should be reduced at a time of economic starvation, is so unbelievably wrong-headed, future economists will say, ‘What were these fools thinking? At just the time they should have been adding money to the economy, they were searching for ways to bleed money out of the economy.

Of course, The debt debate has nothing to do with the economy. It’s just economic blackmail for political power. Neither the Democrats nor the Tea/Republicans give a damn about the people of this nation. The sole concern is who wins the next election. So when you see these phonies, giving their speeches (inevitably standing in front of American flags, the bigger the better), realize they don’t care about America. Not even a little bit. It’s all about them and their lust for power.

What would you call a person, who deliberately endangers America, who actually is willing to sacrifice America, just to advance his own career? I’d call him a traitor.

That will be the legacy of today’s politicians, and the media and old-line economists who went along with this travesty, and that is the pain our generation will cause our children and our grandchildren.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Ignorance on every side. Et tu Shadow Government Statistics?

Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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Shadow Government Statistics (SGS) is a popular site for those who correctly recognize that many government data are politically spun. It’s a good data resource, but when it comes to economics . . . well you be the judge. Here is a quote from the site:

The U.S. government effectively is bankrupt and remains extremely likely to resolve this ultimate sovereign insolvency by printing money to meet its obligations. As global pressures force the Fed into further Treasury debt monetization, as global confidence in the world’s reserve currency evaporates, risks remain particularly high of a U.S. hyperinflation beginning to unfold in the first-half of 2011, along with severe economic, social and political consequences that will follow. The outside timing for this manmade financial catastrophe remains 2014.

Let’s analyze this:

“The U.S.governemtn effectively is bankrupt . . . “ What does that mean? A bankrupt entity cannot pay its bills; the U.S. can. . . endlessly.

“. . . and remains extremely likely to resolve this ultimate sovereign insolvency by printing money to meet its obligations.” If by “printing money” SGS means crediting the bank accounts of its creditors, yes, that’s the way a Monetarily Sovereign government pays its bills. Always has; always will. If the government didn’t “print” dollars, there would be no dollars.

Then we get into hyperinflation, scheduled by SGS to begin the first half of this year and no later than 2014. Let’s call this the Harold Camping syndrome – the foolish attempt to date a catastrophy prediction without giving yourself a “out.” At least when I recently predicted a “full blown depression for 2012, I included the caveat, “Based on where Obama and the Tea/Republicans are headed. . . “ which at the time was toward a $4 trillion deficit reduction, which unquestionably would cause a depression. Clever me. I gave myself an “out.”

But John Williams, the author of SGS offers no caveat. He just flat-out predicts hyperinflation, which the U.S. never has had, through wars, depressions, recessions, stagflations and every other economic crisis. Hyperinflations always are caused by specific and unique circumstances, and are not merely inflations on steroids. Today, we are worried about deflation, while having the absolute power to prevent even inflation, via interest rate control.

No, hyperinflation is the least of our worries — somewhere at the danger level of being destroyed by a huge meteor. The “most” of our worries: Recession and depression, which either are existent or imminent, depending on how you define them. Oddly, debt hawks continue to fret about the least of our worries, while ignoring the “most” of our worries. Just can’t figure those strange people.

So add Shadow Government Statistics and John Williams to the long list of people and institutions that display zero understanding of Monetary Sovereignty.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–A tale of two businesses – a lesson for the future of the American economy

Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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There is an old saying, “Long after the price is forgotten, the quality and service are remembered.” Though some American businesses complain about the Chinese (or is it the Indians, the Vietnamese, the Mexicans et al?) taking business away due to low prices, many American businesses thrive with quality and service.

Even the mighty Walmart, which grew on the basis of low prices and no service, recently learned there is a limit to what Americans will endure. The chain began to remove slow selling items, and suddenly, sales took a hit. Americans wanted that minuscule amount of service at least – the ability to find their favorite products.

While numerous exceptions to this generalization can be found, I suspect American businesses will do better long-term, by focusing on quality and service than on price. Here are brief accounts of my experiences at two businesses. You be the judge about which has the better future:

Rooms to Go: This chain of furniture stores, selling moderately priced pieces assembled into groupings, has a store in Boca Raton, from which I made a purchase. Their advertised deal was: Buy now and pay monthly over two years, at no interest. The amount I bought was small – about $2,000 – but what the heck. Two years of no interest is worth something.

The month after I made the purchase, my credit card was charged the full amount. I called the store manager, who said there is nothing she could do, because the salesperson had quit, and note had been sold to a bank. I (not she) would have to call the bank. I tried, but after 20 minutes on hold, I gave up. I mean, we’re not talking about big money. I twice wrote to a guy named Stephen Buckley, who not only is company president but CEO – a real big shot. No response from the big shot.

What they could have done:Rather than putting the onus on me to spend my time trying to solve their mistake, they at least could have given me the interest I would have earned, had I invested my money. What would that have been? Forty dollars? A mere pittance, to be sure, but a gesture of concern for a customer. After all, it was their advertised deal, and they screwed up.

Needless to say, I never will buy from that chain again, and I tell this story every chance I get. So they saved $40, and cost themselves lots of business, as I am just now furnishing a new apartment in Boca Raton, as are some of my friends.

Wildfire Restaurants This chain is part of the Lettuce Entertain You group, that became big and famous for good food and good service. Their staff is well trained. Within two minutes after you are seated, a waiter must come to your table. Your water glass never is empty. You don’t need to find a waiter; they know how to anticipate your needs.

They send out “secret shoppers” to test the service and quality. These people are trained and given a long list of criteria to measure. Reports are made daily to home office. I mean, Lettuce Entertain You is dedicated to quality and service. Their prices are not low; in fact, they lean toward the higher side. Virtually all the restaurants nearby charge more, but Lettuce grows.

Recently I made an reservation for eight people. When we arrived, our table wasn’t ready and we had to wait 15 minutes. That may be normal for some restaurants, but for Wildfire that was unacceptable.

What they did: Immediately after we were seated, a waiter apologized and told us they were “comping” all appetizers, which eventually totaled about $60.

Will I go back to Wildfire? Darn right I will, as will the others who were with me. What could have been a grumpy meal, suddenly became great, as we snarfed down those free appetizers.

So that is the tale of two businesses, one providing me crap service from top to bottom, and one providing great service. Would Rooms to Go do better if it provided better service? You decide.

I believe American business can compete with the sweatshop nations, if not on price, then on quality and service. We have little to fear from competition; we have much more to fear from incompetent management. Once dominant General Motors learned that harsh lesson, but I doubt Rooms to Go will be bailed out by the federal government as GM was.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Why there will be a full-blown depression in 2012

Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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The Naked Capitalism blog quotes the N.Y. Times, in an article titled, “More Proof That Obama is Herbert Hoover”:

An extraordinary amount of personal income is coming directly from the government. Close to $2 of every $10 that went into Americans’ wallets last year were payments like jobless benefits, food stamps, Social Security and disability, according to an analysis by Moody’s Analytics. In states hit hard by the downturn, like Arizona, Florida, Michigan and Ohio, residents derived even more of their income from the government.

By the end of this year, however, many of those dollars are going to disappear, with the expiration of extended benefits intended to help people cope with the lingering effects of the recession. Moody’s Analytics estimates $37 billion will be drained from the nation’s pocketbooks this year.

And President Obama not only wants federal budget cuts, he is aiming for a $4 trillion cut – the biggest cut even he can imagine. He’s ready to cut spending for everything – Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid – and to compound the problem, he wants to increase income taxes (but “only” on the wealthy, so that won’t remove money from the economy . . . or will it?)

Consider the enormous money drain from the economy, when the government reduces spending and compounds it with increased taxes. The economy is starved for money, and the government wants to cut the supply. Talk about applying leeches to cure anemia!

Question for debt-hawks: Where is the money going to come from to grow our economy? Given any thought to that?

The article’s author makes one final comment:

Even knowing how dedicated to bad ends Obama is, I still feel like I’ve walked into a parallel universe. He’s now determined to make these horrific entitlement cuts a sign of his manhood. This is “Change” for sure, to a more brutal, grasping, dog eat dog society, all administered by self serving elites. They will in the end reap the whirlwind they are creating, but not before it mows a path of destruction through our social order.

Based on where Obama and the Tea/Republicans are headed, there will be a depression (not just a recession) next year. Only a miracle of realization, by both parties, can save us now.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY