–What federal budget cuts will mean to you, your kids and your grandchildren

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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As a readers of this blog you probably have learned about Monetary Sovereignty. You know that the federal government has the unlimited ability to create dollars, limited only by inflation. You also know that neither taxes nor taxpayers nor borrowing pay for federal spending. In fact if taxes and borrowing were eliminated, this would not reduce by even one dollar, the federal government’s ability to spend. So long as inflation can be controlled, federal spending is stimulative to the economy. This all is absolute fact, not opinion or hypothesis.

On point, here is an article by Lori Montgomery and Shailagh Murray, Washington Post Staff Writers, Wednesday, February 9, 2011. I’ll quote from it, then translate.

Republican leaders unveiled a list of proposed cuts in government spending Wednesday that would strike hardest at priorities of the Obama administration, such as high-speed rail, scientific innovation and a wide array of clean energy programs.

Translation: Despite the fact that these initiatives would take not one dime from you taxpayers’ pockets, we have decided your children and grandchildren do not need high-speed rail, scientific innovation and clean energy.

“Never before has Congress undertaken a task of this magnitude,” House Appropriations Committee Chairman Harold Rogers (R-Ky.) told Republican lawmakers at a caucus meeting Wednesday morning. “You will be voting on the largest set of spending cuts in the history of our nation.”

Translation: Although federal spending is proven stimulative, we in Congress wish to starve the economy of money, so we have decided to do so, big time.

House conservatives were unappeased, however, and vowed to offer a plan to cut spending by at least $10 billion when the measure come before the full House for consideration next week. It was not clear whether the conservative Republican Study Committee would propose a lists of cuts to specific programs, as the Appropriations Committee has done, or whether it would simply instruct the White House to cut spending across the board, allowing it to avoid the sometimes painful specifics.

Translation: We heroically will pander to the far right by starving the economy of money, but we don’t want to take the blame for the horrendous results. So we will force the White House to do it. Then we can point fingers. Clever, huh?

House GOP leaders endorsed the Appropriations cuts but were vague about the details. House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) said the package of reductions would fulfill “our pledge to the American people that we will cut spending. All of this will help create an environment where we’ll have more jobs in America.”

Translation: See, it’s this way: Removing money from the economy somehow encourages businesses to hire more. We’re not sure how that works, but so long as no one is asking, we’re not telling.

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) told reporters Wednesday morning that excessive federal funding has “been a big inhibitor to investment and job growth.”

Translation: Like Boehner and the Tea Party said, adding money to the economy inhibits investment and taking money from the economy is stimulative. We know that doesn’t make sense, but is that important?

The list of cuts . . . (would include) Obama’s high-speed rail initiative and the AmeriCorps volunteer program, one of President Clinton’s signature creations.

Translation: Our kids don’t need high-speed rail. Walking is healthful. And sure, AmeriCorps members address critical needs in communities all across America, for instance: *Tutor and mentor disadvantaged youth, *Fight illiteracy, *Improve health services, *Build affordable housing, *Teach computer skills, *Clean parks and streams, *Manage or operate after-school programs, *Help communities respond to disasters, *Build organizational capacity

But the Tea Party tells me none of those things are important, and who am I to argue about details? I just say what they tell me.

The list takes direct aim at Obama’s innovation agenda, slashing the budget of the Office of Science by 20 percent. Elite science labs in Tennessee, California and Illinois are bracing for furloughs and possibly layoffs.

Other Republican targets include arts and cultural funding through the Corp. for Public Broadcasting, the Smithsonian Institution, the National Archives and Records Administration, the National Endowment for the Arts and the National Endowment for the Humanities. All of the entities are routinely included on GOP lists; federal subsidies for the CPB would be effectively eliminated under the House proposal, fulfilling a long-standing conservative pledge to cut federal ties with NPR and public television.

Funds for minority business development, family planning and conservation programs would also be axed. Despite the persistently high unemployment rate, job training funds would be reduced by $2 billion. Community health centers, which serve a large number of low-income uninsured people, would lose $1 billion in funding. And more than $200 million would be trimmed from maternal and child health grants, which provide funding for immunizations as well as assistance for blind and disabled children.

Translation: Oh, quit your whining. Just a bunch of bleeding heart stuff. Name one thing on the list that benefits our children, our grandchildren or America. Who cares about them, anyway. The important thing is to:
a. Beat Obama. b. Pander to the Tea Party. c. Remain ignorant about economics. So please, don’t bother us with facts. We have our priorities.

I hope this translation clarifies things.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth.

–The federal debt is unsustainable — still?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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People who don’t know what they’re talking about, but who want to sound erudite, love to use dramatic terms that can’t be disproved. A classic example is “ticking time bomb,” when referring to the federal debt and deficit.

This blog contains three posts (Federal debt: ‘A ticking time bomb”; “Debt bomb redux”; “More debt bomb nonsense” ) sampling the thousands of times since 1940 (!), the debt has been called a “time bomb.”

The nice thing about “ticking time bomb”: The users never needed to prove or substantiate anything. They didn’t have to say when it would explode or what would make it explode or what would happen after it exploded. They don’t even feel the need to explain why their dire predictions have been wrong, wrong and wrong, every year. They could just use the expression, then stand back, look wise and bask in the adoration.

Well, another description of the federal debt and deficit can be included in the “I know nothing, but I want to look smart” club. This time the term is “unsustainable.” In a previous post I hoped never to see that trite, meaningless term again (See: Unsustainable), but it was not to be. Here are just a few of the uses in the past 28 years.

–February 7, 1982: Ronald Reagan: “[…]rapid, unsustainable expansion of Federal spending and money growth[…]
–December 11, 1983: The New York Times; Editorial Desk:“[…]large and growing deficits are unsustainable. They have to be reduced […]
–1998: Douglas Elmendorf and N. Gregory Mankiw: “Current patterns of taxes and spending are unsustainable.”
—February 28, 2001: George W. Bush:. “Social Security’s spending path is unsustainable in the long run, driven largely by demographic trends.”
–March 3, 2005: Edmund L. Andrews: “Alan Greenspan, chairman of the Federal Reserve, warned on Wednesday that the federal budget deficits were ‘unsustainable,’ and he urged Congress to scrutinize both spending and taxes to solve the problem.”
–February 13, 2006: Paul Krugman: “Last year America spent 57 percent more than it earned on world markets. That is, our imports were 57 percent larger than our exports. It all sounds unsustainable. And it is.”
–05/15/09: Lita Epstein, DailyFinance, “Anyone who understands the U.S. debt picture won’t be surprised by President Barack Obama‘s statement that U.S. deficit spending is ‘unsustainable.’
–4/27/10: Reuters: By Pedro Nicolaci da Costa: “’In the absence of further policy actions, the federal budget appears set to remain on an unsustainable path,’ Bernanke told the 18-member National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform.”
–5/20/10:Professor Alan Blinder, former member of President Clinton’s original Council of Economic Advisers, and Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: “[…]even though everybody knows that the federal budget deficit is on an unsustainable path toward the stratosphere.”

And now, again: 6/10, 2010 The U.S. economy continues a slow, painful recovery, but Congress must prepare to address an “unsustainable” level of debt in the federal budget, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke cautioned Wednesday.

And again: 6/28/10: House Democratic Majority Leader Steny Hoyer: “Debt is a national security threat. Unsustainable debt has a long history of toppling world powers.”

And again: 7/8/10: The Committee For a Responsible Federal Budget: “The debt of the United States is rising to unprecedented – and unsustainable – levels.

And again: 11/11/10: Representative Jan Schakowsky: “. . . we have to do something; the debt and deficit are not sustainable. . .”

–11/26/10: Sheila C. Bair, Chairman of the FDIC: “The Congressional Budget Office projects that annual entitlement spending could triple in real terms by 2035, to $4.5 trillion in today’s dollars. Defense spending is similarly unsustainable . . . “

–12/3/2010:Dick Durbin, senior Senator from Illinois (D): “Borrowing 40 cents out of every dollar we spend for missiles or food stamps is unsustainable.”

–2/21/11: Doug Elmendorf, head of the Congressional Budget Office: “The nation’s fiscal path is unsustainable, and the problem cannot be solved through minor tinkering.” If his name sounds familiar in this context, he, along with noted economist, Greg Mankiw, said almost exactly the same thing way back in 1998 [See above]. When do these gentlemen acknowledge that they repeatedly have been wrong?

–5/13/11: Frank R. Wolf, Republican congressman from Virginia: “It may have surprised some people when Standard & Poor’s warned last month that the United States could lose its coveted status as the world’s most secure economy if lawmakers don’t rein in the nation’s unsustainable debt. I have been sounding a similar alarm for almost five years, trying to get the attention of Congress and past and present administrations that America cannot continue on its debt and deficit track . . . ”

–7/25/11: iMFdirect: By Rodrigo Valdés: “By the end of this year, federal debt held by the public will represent 70 percent of the U.S. economy, almost double the 36 percent it was in 2007. The federal fiscal deficit will be 9.3 percent of GDP this year. That, quite simply, is not sustainable.”

All these years, the debt has grown, while remaining not only a ticking time bomb, but also unsustainable. How is that possible? Easy. No one knows what “unsustainable” means. Does it mean the government can’t pay its bills? Does it mean America will go bankrupt? Is there any data that proves the debt can’t be sustained?

There is no such data. The federal government has the unlimited power to pay any bills of any size. No federal check ever has or ever will bounce, not because we’re big or lucky, but rather because the government creates money to pay its bills by reaching into vendors’ bank accounts and crediting them.

Does “unsustainable mean that large federal deficits cause inflation? No, ever since the end of the gold standard in 1971, there has been zero relationship between large deficits and inflation, which seems to be related mostly to oil prices.

The whole notion of federal debt unsustainability is not in accord with fact or possibility.

For 30 years the gurus have told us the debt is unsustainable, without them having the slightest notion what it means. The next time someone tells you the federal debt is unsustainable, you’ll know they have no idea what they are talking about.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity