–Salvation for Europe?

An alternative to popular faith

Readers of this blog understand the difference between a monetarily sovereign nation (which has the unlimited ability to pay its bills, even without taxing or borrowing), such as the U.S., Canada, Australia, Japan, et al, vs. the European Union nations which have not had this ability, because of EU rules.

In previous posts I predicted the EU’s demise, and now that has been coming true. The PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain) are the most indebted of the EU nations, and not having the unlimited ability to service debts, they are the most threatened. If nothing is done, all EU nations will go bankrupt.

But, if hints in the news media are correct, something may be done. Rumor has it that the European Central Bank (ECB), which does have the unlimited ability to create euros, may buy enough debt to keep members afloat. That would bring the ECB a step closer to the U.S. Treasury in function, and (without being overly dramatic) save the world.

The parallel continues. The fifty U.S. states are like the EU nations in that they too cannot create money at will (See: SAVE CALIFORNIA). They can survive, because the federal government pumps in money, via such federal payments as road building, military spending, etc. The same is true of U.S. counties and cities. All need money input in excess of taxes.

If indeed the ECB begins to function like the U.S. Treasury, the EU nations’ solvency problems instantly will disappear, depending upon how much aid the ECB provides. Sadly however, this will not end the debt-hawks tragic misunderstanding of money, so expect to see continuing cries for “austerity,” which will hamstring the EU’s economies, as the debt-hawks have hamstrung ours.

Suggested reading: MOSLER

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–What the Wall Street Journal editors want

An alternative to popular faith

Today (6/26/10), in an editorial titled, “The Keynesian Dead End,” the Wall Street Journal editors said, “. . .$1 in (federal) spending has to come from somewhere, which means in taxes or borrowing from productive parts of the private economy.

Wrong, wrong and wrong. Federal spending relies neither on taxes nor on borrowing. For today’s monetarily sovereign nations, federal spending neither is constrained nor facilitated by any form of income, either from taxes or borrowing. Federal spending is accommodated by the simple device of crediting bank accounts, which the government can do endlessly. If taxes and borrowing were reduced to $0, this would not affect by even one penny, the federal government’s ability to spend.

Further, “. . . borrowing from the productive parts of the private economy” implies that T-bill purchases somehow remove money from the private economy. In fact, T-bill purchases merely are an exchange of money within the private economy. When you buy a T-bill, your checking account at your local bank is debited and your savings account at the Federal Reserve Bank is credited. (Yes, by virtue of your T-bill purchase, you have a savings account at the Fed.)

No money is lost. It merely is moved from your checking to your savings account. Actually, money is gained, because when the T-bill matures, the money will be moved back to your checking account, plus interest.

The Journal editors also said, “Now the political and fiscal bills are coming due even as the U.S. and European economies are merely muddling along,” as a prelude to several references equating the U.S. with the EU. The editors do not know something so basic as the difference between monetarily sovereign nations and nations not monetarily sovereign. Without this knowledge, any understanding of economics is impossible.

The WSJ editors claim to favor lower taxes, less spending and lower deficits. At various times, the editors also have preached in favor of a stronger army, better schools, federal supervision of banks and other financial firms, better roads, defense of our borders, defense against terrorism, safer food, better retirement, better unemployment insurance, police, health care, rescue from hurricanes, oil spills and other disasters, more jobs, a better environment and a long list of other benefits. (One is reminded of the confused Tea Party platform).

The WSJ editors are like the person who says, I want to eat more, exercise less and lose weight. Let’s be clear. Under the current system, if you cut taxes you increase the deficit, unless you cut spending even more, which means you can’t have the stronger army, better roads et al. Of course, there is one solution, which the editors don’t even consider. If you eliminate borrowing, you can cut taxes without increasing the deficit. Without borrowing, there is no debt or deficit, and as we’ve shown many times previously, government spending does not require government income.

Finally, the WSJ editors said, “The Reagan and Clinton-Gingrich booms were fostered by a policy environment for most of that era of lower taxes, spending restraint and sound money.” Spending restraint?? Have the editors forgotten how Reagan began the largest debt growth in post WWII history, and how Clinton’s surplus introduced the 2001 recession?

I should commend the WSJ editors for one statement: “ . . . much of the U.S. stimulus went for transfer payments such as Medicaid and unemployment insurance . . . “ True, and a perfect reason why taxes ostensibly “for” Medicaid and unemployment insurance should be eliminated. Federal taxes do not pay for federal spending.

The balance of the editorial contained the usual fulmination about the size of the federal debt and deficits, with also, as usual, no facts showing how debt and deficits harm the economy. They end their editorial this way: “With the economy in recession in 2008 and 2009, we argued that some stimulus was justified and an increase in the deficit was understandable and inevitable.”

So, to summarize the WSJ position: Deficits were justified when times were bad; they are not justified when times are good. Today, times are bad and deficits are not justified.

Do you wonder why our politicians are confused?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–More debt-hawk injuries to America

An alternative to popular faith

Here is yet another example of many such instances (See: DAMAGES) showing the continuing damage debt-hawks cause America and our poorest citizens:
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By Greg Hitt and Sara Murray, WASHINGTON, 6/25/10: “Spooked by concern about deficits, the Senate shelved a spending bill that included an extension of unemployment benefits, suddenly cutting off a federal cash spigot opened by President Barack Obama when he took office 18 months ago.

“The collapse of the wide-ranging legislation means that a total of 1.3 million unemployed Americans will have lost their assistance by the end of this week. It will also leave a number of states with large budget holes they had expected to full with federal cash to help with Medicaid costs.
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What is the evidence large federal deficits harm America? There is none. Yet, based solely on mystical faith and unsupported belief, the debt hawks have managed to punish millions of our poorest Americans.

The debt-hawks have heads of stone. They have hearts of stone, too.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–Japan: Debt/GDP = 218%. So?

An alternative to popular faith

In a previous post, I told you the Federal Debt/GDP ratio was an apples/oranges statistic, often quoted, but completely meaningless. (See: Debt/GDP). According to debt hawks and old-line economists, a high ratio portends inflation, recession and any number of other terrible economic outcomes. Of course, there is no evidence for this; it’s just popular faith unsupported by facts.

Read this article:

Associated Press; 6/22/10: TOKYO – “Japan’s economy, the world’s second largest, will expand at a faster pace in the current fiscal year than previously forecast as robust exports to Asia and improving corporate earnings are underpinning a broadening recovery.

“The Cabinet Office said Tuesday that Japan’s gross domestic product will rise 2.6 percent in the year to March 2011. “The upward projection was due to brisk growth in exports, especially to Asia. The forecast was also upbeat thanks to a recovery in capital spending and improving corporate earnings,” said Takashi Hanagaki, an official from the Cabinet Office.

“Earlier in the month, Japan upgraded its economic growth in the January-March quarter to an annualized pace of 5 percent from 4.9 percent in a preliminary report. But the encouraging figures, including Tuesday’s upward GDP revision, are tempered by persistent deflation and other negatives, including a lackluster labor market.

Japan is also one of the most indebted countries in the world. Its public debt reached 218.6 percent of GDP last year, according to the International Monetary Fund.

So here is Japan, with its 218% Debt/GDP ratio. It’s growth is anywhere between 2.6% and 5%. It’s large national debt has not caused the inflation debt hawks predict. On the contrary, Japan is fighting deflation. Further, the large national debt has not taken the place of capital spending as debt hawks also predict, but actually has facilitated capital spending as well as earnings.

Those are the facts, all of which will be disregarded by the debt hawks, the traditional economists and the media, who just know in their hearts that debt is bad, facts be damned. In fact, the AP article ended with this amazing sentence:

Tackling the ballooning national debt is among most pressing tasks for Japan’s new Prime Minster Naoto Kan.

Wrong. And that is why economics is a religion, not a science.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com