–Ireland demonstrates America’s future, if the debt-hawks have their way

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. They, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.

Ireland is not Monetarily Sovereign. It cannot pay its bills. The following illustrates what happens to governments that are not Monetarily Sovereign. It also is the prescription the debt hawk have for the United States, despite the fact that we are Monetarily Sovereign, and never can be unable to pay our bills:

11/24/10, Associated Press
Ireland Winces As It Unveils Historic Budget Cuts

“Ireland unveiled the harshest budget measures in its history Wednesday, a four-year plan to slash deficits by $20 billion so it can get a massive bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.”

Unfortunately, IMF bailouts are in the form of loans. How lending money, i.e. adding debt,, to a nation that is unable to service its current debts, is a mystery.

“The plan seeks to cut $13.3 billion from spending and raise $6.7 billion in extra taxes from 2011 to 2014. It axes thousands of state jobs, welfare benefits, and pension payments while raising university fees and taxes, forcing even Prime Minister Brian Cowen to concede it will hurt the living standard of everyone in the nation.”

It is identical with imposing a depression on Ireland.

“‘This is a road map back to the Stone Age,’ said Jack O’Connor, president of Ireland’s largest union, SIPTU. He noted that Ireland had already suffered nearly euro15 billion in cuts and tax hikes since 2008, gutting economic growth and helping to double unemployment to 13.6 percent.
[…]
Ireland’s 140-page National Recovery Plan proposes to introduce property and water taxes, raise the sales tax from its current rate of 21 percent to 22 percent in 2013 and to 23 percent in 2014, and cut the minimum wage by $10.20. Ireland’s bloated civil service will be particularly hard hit — seeing about 24,750 state jobs lost. Income tax bands will be widened so more lower-paid workers pay taxes, and middle-class workers will see annual taxes rise more than $4,000. A raft of welfare payments will be gradually reduced. Young and old alike face higher bills and less income. University fees will rise, as will the charges on state-funded pensions. But monthly pension payouts will fall up to 12 percent. “

Raise existing taxes. Impose new taxes. More fees. Cut jobs. Reduce welfare. Less income. Ireland is doomed, and all because they voluntarily surrendered their monetary sovereignty. Ireland is on what amounts to a gold standard, except this is a euro standard. The euro limits Ireland’s ability to create money. As taxes increase and income decreases, the money supply will drop precipitously. Businesses will fail. Unemployment will grow. So tax receipts actually will begin to fall and welfare needs will increase. Ireland will be like a dog chasing its tail, never catching up with the desire to balance its budget.

“Ireland’s legendary tax-free existence for authors, musicians and artists is facing a major cutback so that only the first $53,000 of income will avoid tax.

“Left untouched, to the irritation of other EU nations, is Ireland’s exceptionally low 12.5 percent tax rate on business profits. That rate is less than half the EU average and has helped to lure about 1,000 high-tech multinationals to Ireland, far more proportionally than any other European country.”

By lowering taxes on business, Ireland encouraged business. The EU did not like the idea of encouraging business. The EU wants higher, business-discouraging taxes. If business is the horse that carries the economy, the EU wants to tie the legs of the horse.

So there you have it. Ireland gave up its monetary sovereignty, so it is doomed. Portugal and Spain may be next. Eventually all EU nations (except those that remained monetarily sovereign: the UK, Norway and Denmark) will fail.

American politicians, media writers and even many mainstream economists, simply do not understand the difference between monetary sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty. So under the misguided banner of “fiscal prudence,” they campaign to apply to America the medicine that is meant for Ireland, thereby guaranteeing a long extension of slow or non-existent growth.

Ireland is the model of what the debt-hawks wish for us. And all because of ignorance.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

–Japan, Ireland, Greece: Facts vs. Mainstream Economists

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology.

The mainstream economists never change, but my hope is if I continue to demonstrate the inconsistencies of mainstream economics, eventually the word will get to the politicians, the media and the public. Here is a quick sampling of 10/26/10 AP articles:

TOKYO — Japan’s Cabinet approved an extra budget to help finance $63 billion of stimulus spending aimed at spurring the country’s lackluster economy as it battles deflation and a strong yen.”

The CIA’s World Factbook 2010 shows Japan’s Debt/GDP at 189%. According to mainstream economics (aka debt-hawk economics), that Debt/GDP ratio should force a terrible inflation on Japan, and its debt should be “unsustainable.” But Japan is battling deflation, and seems to have so little difficulty “sustaining” its debt. And it will spend an additional $63 billion. See the disconnect?

The same source lists the Debt/GDP ratio for the U.S. as 53% (More recent data from the Treasury shows this to be 66%), far lower than Japan’s. Yet, the debt hawks claim – without any supporting data — the U.S. federal debt must be reduced by raising taxes and/or reduced spending, either or both of which will injure the economy.

But wait, there’s more. According to mainstream economics, all that borrowing should have forced Japan’s interest rates up, which should be bad for economic growth. But Japan’s benchmark interest rate is 0%, as low as it has been in 5 years. The reason: Japan’s benchmark interest rate is not market-derived; it is set by the Japanese government, just as the U.S. Fed Funds rate is set by the Fed.

“DUBLIN — Ireland’s government said it must slash euro15 billion ($20.8 billion) from its annual budgets in a four-year plan designed to bring Europe’s highest deficit back within EU limits.”

The EU demands that its nations have a Deficit/GDP ratio below 3%. However, as Ireland reduces stimulus spending, GDP also will fall. So, Ireland must chase a moving target, in which reductions in the numerator cause reductions in the denominator. Visualize a dog chasing its tail, and you have the EU mainstream economics version of Ireland.

ATHENS, Greece — Greece’s central bank governor says the government must not relent in its planned deficit-cutting efforts but warns against further tax increases, which would deepen the recession.

Just so we understand, tax increases will “deepen the recession” (by removing money from the economy), but deficit cuts, which also will remove money from the economy, are O.K.???

And this is what the science of economics has become.

There are two and only two solutions for Greece and Ireland. Either,
1. Return to Monetary Sovereignty by re-adopting your sovereign currency
or
2. Have the EU create a true United States of Europe whereby the EU would supply euros to its member nations as needed.

There are no other solutions. Oh yes, and stop demanding that your member nations commit economic suicide.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

–Here is the financial solution for your state, county and city

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology.

Illinois is broke. Your state either is, or soon will be, broke, too. Illinois’s 13 million population owes $13 billion. Like all states, counties and cities, Illinois is not monetarily sovereign, so unlike the federal government, which is monetarily sovereign, states cannot create money to pay their bills. Illinois is far behind on payments to the many vendors who supply services to its citizens. The state has no hope of continuing its “borrow now, pay later” system.

Yes, Illinois may be the most dishonest state in America. Several of its recent governors have gone to jail, and the government is run by swindlers. Although the reprehensible head of the Democratic party in this traditionally Democratic state, Mike Madigan, can be blamed for much of the financial chaos, there is plenty of blame spread around.

We can begin with the voters, who inexplicably continue to vote solid Democratic, despite the astounding record for corruption this party has amassed. Not only is Illinois thoroughly crooked, but so is Cook County and Chicago, also Democratic strongholds. Chicago aldermen traditionally go to jail after a few years in office, and Mayor Daley is the classic Sgt. Schultz, the guy who repeatedly said, “I know nothing, I see nothing.”

Daley sold income-earning city assets, then spent the money, putting Chicago ever deeper in the hole. (Pity the next mayor). And don’t ask about Cook County Board President Todd Stroger, who was appointed by his father after his father died (really), and instituted a “friends and family” system of patronage hiring. With all this, voters march to the polls, like little automatons, pull the Democratic lever, and march back out to complain. (In all fairness, Illinois has had its share of venal Republican governors, too, though these guys were mere minnows in a sea of sharks.)

Nevertheless, though the state, its largest county and its largest city all are run by criminals, even a theoretically honest state cannot survive on tax receipts alone. Because monetarily non-sovereign governments cannot create money, inflation forces them all to obtain money from outside their borders.

“Outside” earnings can come exports of goods and services. Example: Salaries earned by Evanston, Illinois residents, paid by Chicago firms. Or outside earnings can come from government support. Example: Illinois pays some Chicago Transportation Authority expenses. And this later approach demonstrates the only way to save Illinois and all the other states.

If the U.S. federal government would give Illinois just $1,000 for each resident, the state debt would disappear. And if the federal government continued to give Illinois an ongoing $500 for each resident, Illinois could pay its cities and counties enough to achieve better schools, better roads, better transportation and other improvements in human benefits, while reducing the onerous property, income and sales taxes, that hurt Illinois’s economy.

Yes, Illinois’s crooked politicians will continue to steal, and Illinois voters will continue to elect them, but state poverty hasn’t stopped the politicians, anyway. And though Illinois politicians uniformly promise to reduce the debt, this requires self destructive taxes and spending cuts. Austerity is a path to disaster. So, the sole financial solution for Illinois and for all states, a solution that will improve the lives of its residents and of all America’s residents, a solution easily affordable by the federal government, is per capita support for all states.

Without increased support to states, America’s quality of life will decline, as schools, roads, health care, nursing homes, housing, courts, police and fire protection, parks and businesses all disintegrate. There is no other solution. Mathematically, America’s states, counties and cities cannot do it themselves. The federal government must do it.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

–Easy money for debt hawks.

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology.

O.K. boys. It’s time to put up or shut up.

The Concord Coalition is a self-proclaimed “non-partisan, grassroots organization dedicated to educating the public about the causes and consequences of federal budget deficits, the long-term challenges facing America’s unsustainable entitlement programs, and how to build a sound foundation for economic growth.” Their web site http://www.concordcoalition.org/ asks for donations.

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget – http://crfb.org/ – publishes articles like: “How To Avoid a Debt Doomsday,” and writes, “Creditors could lose faith and pull their money from the United States. Interest rates would spike, causing interest payments to grow. The government would be forced to borrow more, which would push rates even higher. The endgame would be a vicious debt spiral and another recession.” They too ask for donations.

As you have seen from my previous post, “How to make a million. No kidding,” Warren Mosler (Mosler) said “it is an indisputable fact that U.S. Government spending is not operationally constrained by revenue and will give $100 million of his own money to pay down the Federal deficit if any Congressman or Senator can prove him wrong.” O.K., he said Congressman or Senator, but I’m sure Warren will be glad to extend the offer to any debt-hawk who can show that Social Security is “going broke” as so many claim, or that FICA supports Medicare and Social Security, or that the federal debt is “unsustainable.”

Back in July, I offered ($1,000 ) for the same kind of proof, but I guess I’m a piker, and no one has taken me up on it. Warren is offering the big bucks.

Just think. $100 million dollars, debt-hawks, and all you need do is prove what you have been preaching all these years. You’ve been begging for donations and here is your chance. I urge all my readers to go to any debt-hawk web site – you know, the ones publishing those ridiculous debt clocks and claiming the government can’t afford this or that, or saying we need austerity, or debt reduction or some other suicidal action — and urge these folks to come up with the proof. And if they don’t, I guess we’ll all know that what they are selling is a load of BS.

Speak up, boys. My book is called FREE MONEY, but this offer is easy money, and the money is waiting for you. Warren is waiting. I’m waiting.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”