–Advice to Republicans: Here’s how to appeal to voters and win the next election

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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Here is some advice for the Republican party. Don’t be deceived by your successes in the past election. That was the result of voter panic. Your downward slide already has begun. Look at the polls. Look at the drop in money contributions.

If you follow this advice, you will reverse the coming slide, appeal to voters and possibly win the next election. If you don’t follow it, and continue on your current path, you will win — the race to the edge of the cliff.

What is the biggest problem facing America? The voters will tell you it’s jobs. What is the Republican focus? Obama and the budget. You Republicans have forgotten your strengths in your tunnel-vision rush to oppose everything Obama and the Democrats want.

The Republicans should stop trying to cut the deficit. Reducing the deficit will provide exactly zero jobs. Your strength is your support for, and your understanding of, business. And it is business that provides the jobs, not budget cuts.

Here’s what the Republicans should try to accomplish:
1. Eliminate FICA. FICA takes money from the pockets of businesses and consumers, and it’s regressive. It probably is the worst tax in America. It is dramatically negative for jobs.

2. Reduce business income taxes. Why punish the people who provide jobs if you want to increase jobs? Why reduce business’s ability to grow and to hire?

3. Provide more financial support for the states, so the states can fund those local projects that create jobs, for instance construction, education, police and fire. I suggest, as a start, giving each state $1,000 for each resident, no strings attached.

Not only would these initiatives provide a powerful stimulus for the American economy, but they would give Republicans good talking points with the voters. Republicans would be able to lay claim to the “job-building party.”

Sadly, the Republican “leadership” (Is there a Republican leadership?) wants to fire people, by cutting federal jobs and by cutting federal spending on dozens of job-creating initiatives. They simply don’t get it.

I am sad to see how far the Republican party — once my party of choice — has fallen. This is not the Reagan party any more. It’s the Tea Party now, and America is paying the price.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity.

–Am I MMT? Are you?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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People often ask me whether I am part of MMT (Modern Monetary Theory), and my answer is, “No, I agree with MMT on its factual bases, but disagree with certain areas of opinion.

For instance, it is absolute, undeniable, historical fact that in 1971, the federal government gave itself the unlimited ability to create money, i.e. to spend dollars. This point cannot be argued. And because the government has the unlimited ability to create dollars, it needs neither taxes nor borrowing to support its spending. If taxes and borrowing were zero, this would not affect by even one penny, the government’s ability to create and spend dollars, which means that taxpayers do not pay for federal spending. The federal government does not spend taxpayers’ money. This too is undeniable fact.

If every federal lender (China et al) were to demand payment for all outstanding debts tomorrow, the U.S. government simply could say, “No problem. I’ll push this computer key, which will credit your bank account for the amount of the T-securities you own. All debts will be extinguished.”

Evolving from this is the fact that the federal government cannot be forced into bankruptcy, and evolving from this is the fact that no agency of the federal government can be forced into bankruptcy – not Congress, nor the Supreme Court, nor the Department of Defense, nor the other 1,000 federal agencies, including Social Security and Medicare. All those people who tell you Social Security will be bankrupt in “X” number of years, do not understand that the federal government supports all federal agencies the same way: By federal money creation. And none can be forced into bankruptcy.

Where I depart from MMT is where facts are lacking, i.e. in matters of opinion. MMT believes:
1. Taxation is necessary to give value to money
2. Inflation should be prevented/cured by reducing the money supply.

1. Taxation

Originally, MMTers said federal taxes were necessary to give value to dollars. I pointed out if taxes were necessary, there existed. sufficient state and local taxes to do the job. That belief now has been adopted by MMT.

As I have stated elsewhere in this blog (“Ignorance: Why you will pay more taxes and receive less service in the coming years.”) I do not accept the idea that taxes are necessary for money demand. People accept dollars because:

-They are handier than barter.
-Everyone else accepts them.
-The government has made dollars legal tender in payment of all bills.
-There is no other governmentally authorized form of money.
-If you sell a product or service to the government, it will pay you in dollars.
-If you receive Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid or any other federal benefit, you and your service providers will receive payment in dollars.
-If you receive food stamps, your grocer will be paid in dollars
-Your army pay will be in dollars
-Federal stimulus payments, to cure recessions, will be in dollars
-In 2010, the federal government spend $3.7 trillion, all in dollars. The state governments spent trillions more, also in dollars.

Then there are non-tax payments to the government:
*Fines and Fees (for instance, in court)
*Fees (for instance, garbage pickup)
*Licenses (hunting, fishing, driving)
*Services (real estate registration)
*Tolls

(*Admittedly, these could be eliminated by a Monetarily Sovereign government and could be considered taxes)

Millions of people in America did not pay taxes last year, but they accept dollars. Of course, taxes are not going to disappear, so in practical essence the question is moot.

2. Inflation

I believe inflation can and should be prevented/cured by raising interest rates. MMT holds that rather than curing inflation, raising interest rates actually exacerbates inflation. Their logic is: Raising interest rates, by increasing the cost of borrowing, increases the cost of production, which results in inflation. I suggest that interest payments are a minuscule part of most company’s costs, and increases in interest payments are even less important — not enough to cause significant price increases.

Instead, we should consider money to be a commodity, the value of which is determined by supply and demand. Yes, increase the supply, and the value goes down – unless you also increase the demand, which is influenced by the reward for owning money – i.e. interest. The higher the interest, the greater the demand for money. That is why, when interest rates go up, the demand for non-money (stocks, real estate) declines, while the demand for money (bank CDs, savings accounts, money market accounts) goes up.

MMT believes inflation can and should be prevented/cured by reducing the money supply, i.e by spending reductions and/or tax increases. However, history shows that every depression in U.S history, and most recessions, have coincided with reductions in debt growth or with actual reductions in debt. While recessions and depressions can stop inflation, they certainly are a bad medicine.

So in summary, I agree with the factual basis of MMT, and argue (without proof) against certain opinions held by MMT. If you want to give what I believe a name, call it “Monetary Sovereignty.” I’m not MMT. Are you?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

–Should we take the government out of energy?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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In today’s Washington Post, I saw an article that could get some traction within three debates: deficit, energy and climate/ecology:

To save the planet and the budget, cut energy off the dole
By Jeffrey Leonard, (chief executive of a private equity investment firm), Friday, January 14, 2011

President Obama promised in the fall that a top priority of his legislative program for 2011 would be an energy policy “that helps us grow at the same time as it deals with climate change in a serious way.” With global warming deniers now in charge of the House of Representatives, there would seem to be little hope for major legislation on clean energy or climate in this Congress. Even a member of his own party, West Virginia’s new senator, Joe Manchin, has boasted of extracting “a deep commitment and personal commitment” from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid “that cap-and-trade is dead.”

But all is not lost. If Obama wants to set us on a path to a sustainable-energy future – and a green one, too – he should propose a very simple solution to the current mess: eliminate all energy subsidies. . . And with anti-pork Tea Partyers loose in Washington and deficit-cutting in the air, it’s not as politically inconceivable as one might think.

As long as current energy subsidies stay in place, and K Street lobbyists have sway over what interests deserve congressional favoritism, American tax dollars will continue to retard the market forces that are pushing the United States toward energy independence and a greener future.

RMM: Deficit cutting is the last thing the U.S. should do, and since tax dollars do not pay for federal spending, this part of his thesis is suspect.

Major changes in the picture of domestic energy supply make it possible to sweep away decades of accumulated subsidies without seriously threatening the affordability of energy . . . The real game-changer among several major trends is the discovery in recent years that America is sitting on many decades’ worth of exploitable natural gas. Natural gas emits half the carbon dioxide of coal. Other long-term market trends complement the availability of cheaper, abundant natural gas: the growing likelihood in 2011 of more expensive oil; the extended life of existing nuclear facilities, adding thousands of megawatts of unexpected power to American generating capacity; the increasing competitiveness of solar and wind power coupled with state mandates for utilities to adhere to renewable portfolio standards; and the slow but steady electrification of transportation. The U.S. energy market, if left to its own devices, without distortions or subsidies, will provide plentiful and affordable energy while gradually evolving away from oil and coal as the primary fuel sources.

RMM:The reality is that natural gas is not a suitable substitute for oil, under current or even projected technology, and we are decades away from the time when nuclear, solar and wind can take over from coal and oil. I see no way that reduced federal subsidies would not increase the price of energy.

The federal government . . . should invest heavily in long-term research and development to hasten the progress of new commercially viable energy technologies.

RMM: Agreed.

It should stiffen regulations on coal use so that the fuel’s environmental and health costs are borne by industry and reflected in its price.

RMM: The rise in energy prices is the prime motivator for inflation. See: Inflation. Rather than raising the price of coal, the government should help the industry be “cleaner.” Subsidies, not penalties, may be more productive.

Eventually, when the political climate is right, it should impose some form of tariff on carbon and other greenhouse-gas emissions to ensure that the market internalizes the global “costs” of threats to the planet’s life-giving atmosphere.

RMM: All taxes are anti-stimulus. The market cannot “internalize” anything. All costs are passed on to the consumers (aka the taxpayers).

Is eliminating all energy subsidies politically possible? There have always been libertarian elements in the Republican Party that have railed against “corporate welfare,” including the massive tax expenditures that favor oil production. Now they are joined by many Tea Party sympathizers who, appalled by the bailouts of the big banks and automakers, instinctively share the same hostility toward subsidies of big business. Though progressives are inclined to forget, Sarah Palin imposed a steep tax on oil companies’ windfall profits while serving as Alaska’s governor.

RMM: Again, they aren’t “tax expenditures.” Mr. Leonard has no understanding of monetary sovereignty, And, if the Tea Party and Sarah Palin are proposed as experts in this debate, one has to wonder.

Nevertheless, the energy debate is one of our most important. What do you think of the fundamental idea that the federal government should get out of the energy business and allow the market to dictate where we should go and what we should do?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

The great semantic misunderstandings of our time: Debt, deficit, fundamentalists, originalists–

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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Debt / deficit

I’ve mentioned previously that all of mainstream economics is based on a simple semantic misunderstanding, specifically the misunderstanding of the word “debt,” and by reference, the word “deficit.”

In everyday life, “debt” generally is a pejorative. Having debt, meaning owing money (as opposed to owning debt, i.e. being a creditor) is seen as dangerous, and having too much debt can be financially fatal. The recent (or current?) recession was caused by too much debt without the means to pay what is owed to creditors. “Deficit,” the precedent for debt, is equally feared, by anyone whose means are limited, which includes every man, woman and child, every business, every state, every county and every city, town and village in America.

All are of limited means, even Bill Gates and Warren Buffett. We simply do not have the unlimited ability to create money enough to service unlimited debt. The U.S. federal government, being Monetarily Sovereign, does have this ability, which is why, for the federal government, the words “debt” and “deficit” mean something entirely different than when applied to people, and therein lies the confusion.

In federal financing terms, “debt” means the net total of T-securities created out of thin air, since the beginnings of this nation. Because current law requires that T-securities be issued in parallel with federal deficit spending, the net total of T-securities happens to equal the net total of federal deficit spending for the past 200+ years. Rather than “debt,” we should call it “T-securities sold,” which may remove its negative connotations.

“Deficit” means the arithmetic difference between federal tax collections and federal spending in any one year, though there actually is no financial connection between the two. Federal spending does not require federal taxing. Either may proceed without the other.

Since federal spending creates money, while taxing destroys money, we should replace the word “deficit” with “net money created.” That not only might relieve the confusion, but because our actions are ruled by semantics, such a change might put us on the right economic paths. Rather than fearing federal debt and deficits, we would welcome them as necessary for our economic well-being.

Which brings us to the second semantic misunderstanding

Fundamentalist / Originalist

In every religion there are fundamentalists – people who accept the literal interpretation of their holy documents. A fundamental Jew is an Ultra Orthodox. He believes in the strict word of God as written in the Torah (the first five books of the bible). By way of example, he will not even touch an object that is being touched by a woman not his wife.

Of most importance, he believes the bible should not be interpreted according to current mores, but rather should be read and followed according to the original meaning of the original words. He is an “originalist.”

Fundamental Muslims believe in the original words of the Koran. Those who do not are infidels, and murdering infidels seems to be an approved fundamental act. Fundamentalists do not believe any allowance should be made for centuries of human progress. Fundamentalists are originalists.

For many people, fundamentalism may seem a “better” or “purer” form of belief, as though any departure from strict dogma represents a lapse, tantamount to sin. In a sense, this is the club fundamentalists hold over our heads, the appearance they are closer to God are than the rest of us.

In the U.S. we have our legal fundamentalists. They are the Supreme Court, self-styled, “originalists,” most notably Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas. They subscribe to “original intent” and its close cousin, “original meaning.”

“Original intent” means the Constitution should be interpreted according to what the founding fathers intended to mean, regardless of subsequent events. “Original meaning” means how people, who lived when the Constitution was adopted, would have interpreted the words of the Constitution. Scalia and Thomas generally are considered to be in the “original meaning” camp. Had Scalia been Abraham, he might well have sacrificed his son, and surely he would have stoned sinners, especially women.

While most Americans frown on of the excesses of religious fundamentalism, especially as practiced by extremist groups like the Taliban, legal fundamentalism is admired by those closest to what is called the political “right.” They may not recognize that the excesses of fundamentalism, not only are practiced in religion, but also in politics. They also may not recognize that fundamentalism, taken to its logical end, is totalitarianism, where the one God is the dictator. The similarities between religious fundamentalism and legal fundamentalism (aka originalism), may explain why the religious right tends to be fundamental. The mind-set is the same.

People become fundamentalists (or originalists) for many reasons, but one reason may be ease. Fundamentalism requires less mental effort than does, for instance, liberalism. All decisions have been made. One need only to obey the Word, unquestioningly and unwaveringly. There need be no second thoughts; there need be no thoughts at all. What was, is. And what is, will be. Simple.

While the Constitution was a masterwork, it was not created by omniscient gods. It was created by fallible humans, who were capable of error and who could not see two hundred years into the future, and who had individual, political agenda. So, to consider the Constitution a perfect instrument, from which variance is forbidden, is foolish at best and harmful at worst. That belief represents a dereliction of judicial duty, for if a judge cannot consider circumstance, he/she is a judicial automaton, unworthy of the title, “judge.”.

Of course, one could say that where the Constitution becomes obsolete is should be modified, which would give moral shelter to the fundamentalists, who decry “activist” courts. But the amending process is so lengthy and so difficult, very little can be done to modernize it. For all practical purposes, we remain locked into a document that year by year becomes less appropriate to the times, which puts greater responsibility on the three branches of our government.

It is time our citizens recognize the dangers in all sorts of fundamentalism, religious, legal and political, and insist that our lawmakers do the same. It is time our jurists realize they were chosen for their judgment (root word, “judge), and not for their ability to parrot 200+ year old phrases or to see into the minds of men long dead.

Otherwise, let the stoning of infidels begin.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”