–What are the best recession/depression investments?

Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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It looks like Congress and the President, with the approval of the media, old-line economists and the voting public, are determined to reduce the deficit. Historically, deficit reduction has resulted in recessions and depressions. Federal deficits are the government’s method for adding money to the economy, and economic growth requires money growth.

So, we will cause ourselves a recession or a depression. I’m resigned to the fact that the vast majority doesn’t believe this, so I suppose I should enjoy the pleasant irony of seeing all the fact doubters lose their money, their jobs and their homes in the years to come.

But I don’t, partly because my own children and grandchildren will be hurt by the mess Congress is creating. I’ll be hurt, too – unless I can think of some recession-proof investments. While it seems nothing can prevent the out-of-control freight train known as “Congress” from destroying America, I’d like to protect my own family as best I can.

Many of you are investors. Some may know far more about stocks, bonds etc than I do. So I ask you this:

Given that we will have deficit reduction, which absolutely, positively will cause a recession or a depression (depending on how big the deficit reduction will be), what are the best investments to make today? Cash may be safest, but there’s no income. Treasuries are safe too, but again, there is scant income. Its a dilemma. What do you suggest?

Thank you for your help.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Professor Black and the secret plot to defeat Obama

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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On Monday, December 13, 2010, William Black, associate professor of economics and law at the University of Missouri-Kansas City, wrote a post on his blog, New Economic Perspectives, titled, “Obama haters praise his tax policies because they believe those policies will make him fail” (I once spoke at the UMKC, and have great respect for the professors of economics whom I met there. I still correspond with Professor Randall Wray, one of the more brilliant minds in economics.)

The thrust of Professor Black’s post was summarized in his first paragraph:

Like the Sirens reputed to lure sailors onto rocks, a series of columnists who want President Obama to fail are praising Obama’s capitulation on extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy. The motif of these comments has three common characteristics – all designed to destroy the Obama presidency. First, and the chutzpah of this aspect is wondrous, those that hate Obama’s policies are telling Obama he is demonstrating his strength by surrendering on the Bush tax cuts to the wealthy. Second, they claim that Obama “moved to the center” by agreeing to support tax cuts for the wealthy. Third, they claim that Obama’s attacks on his strongest supporters are brilliant politics essential to saving his Presidency.

Professor Black’s fundamental complaint was:

Obama’s promise to end the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy was supported by a strong majority of Americans. . . The people who want Obama to fail consistently push him to abandon policies that are desirable and broadly supported by the public. . .

I commented on Professor Black’s post, and the essence of my comments was:

“A couple of problems. First, because the public does not understand monetary sovereignty, and so does not understand economics, the beliefs held by the public do not necessarily constitute ‘policies that are desirable.’

“Second, increasing taxes on any group, rich or poor, removes money from the economy, and so is anti-growth. There is zero economic benefit from increasing taxes on the rich, despite the emotional satisfaction it may give the poor.

“Obama was dragged kicking and screaming into exactly the right action, i.e. he didn’t increase any taxes other than the ‘death tax,’ and that went up less than feared.

“In total, his ‘capitulation’ is predicted to give us a continuation of the Bush tax rates, a reduction in FICA and a lesser increase in the death tax. Assuming this bill passes, we will have a much better chance of exiting the recession. If that’s ‘losing|,’ I’ll take losing over winning every time.”

I was quite surprised to read Professor Black’s post. Because he teaches at UMKC, I innocently had expected he would have a better understanding of federal finance and monetary sovereignty. Perhaps, the word has not yet had time to float around the hallowed halls.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

–An “investigative” newspaper comments on the new tax agreement

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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For reasons I cannot even begin to imagine, the Chicago Tribune, which prides itself on being an investigative newspaper, refuses to investigate facts before or even after, writing about the economy. I have contacted them often, and they never have displayed even a modicum of interest in learning anything about how the economy works. Instead, they rely solely on popular myth.

Here is a verbatum copy of an Email I sent to editors and others at the Tribune:

“Today’s (12/7/10) Chicago Tribune editorial titled, “Tax Dealing” contains a mixture of truth and myths.

1. Truth: “ . . .raising marginal (tax) rates, especially with the tax year ending an a matter of weeks, would hurt an economic recover still on life support. Obama knows he needs all the growth he can get.” Translation: Yes, taxes hurt the economy because they remove money from the economy. A growing economy requires a growing supply of money.

2. Myth: ” . . . nobody is reducing the cost of government to make up the lost revenue.” Fact: Federal spending is not constrained by taxes, nor do taxes pay for federal spending. Tax money is destroyed (i.e. “lost”) upon receipt and is not stored anywhere.

3. Truth: “The (commission on debt reduction) work can be a catalyst for historic change.” Yes, if we follow the commission’s debt reduction advice, we will have a depression of historic proportions. See item #1, above.

4. Truth: “The panel’s plan involves cutting everything from defense to Social Security . . . Everyone from senior citizens to post-office customers have complained about the pain involved if the plan were enacted.” Yes, it’s a plan that hurts everyone and benefits no one. It’s all pain and no gain.

5. Myth: “That’s unavoidable. Everyone is going to feel some pain when the nation makes its government live within its means.” Fact: Causing economic pain neither is unavoidable nor praiseworthy. As for the government “living within its means,” the Tribune demonstrates it does not know the difference between monetarily sovereign finances (U.S. Government) and monetarily non-sovereign finances (everyone else). You and I have “means.” We must have a source of money before we spend. We are limited in how much we can spend. The federal government is not limited. It creates money by spending. It alone has the unlimited ability to pay any bills of any size. It has no “means.”

6. Myth: You repeated Sen. Durbin’s comment, “Borrowing 40 cents out of every dollar we spend for missiles or food stamps is unsustainable.” Fact: The federal government does not need to borrow even one cent. Borrowing the money the federal government originally created, and can continue to create endlessly, makes no economic sense. It is a relic of the gold standard days, when federal borrowing was necessary. The government does not spend borrowed money. As for federal spending being “unsustainable,” this myth has been bandied about since 1980 (See: Unsustainable) It is no more true today than it was 30 years ago.

7. Myth: “It’s irresponsible for our nation to go on accumulating unaffordable debts that will force even more painful cuts down the line.” What makes the debt “unaffordable”? The Tribune has no idea. In fact, “federal debt” merely is a synonym for “federal money created.” Without federal debt there would be no money and no economy. The Tribune makes the nonsensical complaint that money is unaffordable.

8. Myth: “The coming agreement on tax cuts will avoid an unwelcome shock to the U.S. economy. It will buy time. But it has to lead to an agreement on long-term deficit reduction.” The Tribune editors do not realize that the first part of this paragraph contradicts the second part. If increasing deficits will help the economy, why do the Tribune editors want to decrease deficits? Ever?

In summary, the Tribune editors continue to parrot the myths of the day. Not once do they even make an attempt to provide evidence supporting their beliefs. So I’ll leave you with a couple of questions, you may or may not wish to answer:

–Exactly what do you mean by “make up for lost revenue.” Do you mean that without this “lost revenue” the federal government will be unable to pay its bills?
–Why do you feel economic pain is beneficial. Has the economic pain we already have felt proved beneficial?
–Why do you feel cutting defense will benefit the economy and American security?
–Why do you feel cutting Social Security benefits will benefit the economy?
–Why do you feel reducing postal service will benefit the economy?
–What is the definition of “means,” when you say the government must live within its means. What has happened because the government has not lived within its “means.”
–What do you mean by ‘unaffordable debts.” Do you think a government with the unlimited power to create money, cannot afford to pay for the T-securities it creates out of thin air? Similarly, what do you mean by “unsustainable”?
–Does the Tribune feel any concern about spreading false information that could damage your readers and the entire American economy?
–Is the Tribune interested in learning the facts?

If any of you are readers of the Chicago Tribune, you may wish to write to them. Perhaps mutiple voices would help. I write to:
Zoll, Yerak, Dold, Japsen, Page, Greising, Letters, Ponpei, Delama, Kern, , Oliphant, Hirt, Business, Knowles, Kass, Lythcott, McHolt, O’Brien, Epodmolik, Lev, Doneal
Hughlett, Nicholas, Widder, Jones, Hunter, Wong

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”

–How the Ignorant Murder the Innocent: Debt-Hysteria Continues to Destroy America

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand monetary sovereignty, do not understand economics. Cutting the federal deficit is the most ignorant and damaging step the federal government could take. It ranks ahead of the Hawley-Smoot Tariff.
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How the Ignorant Murder the Innocent: Debt-Hysteria Continues to Destroy America

“NBC, msnbc.com and news services 12/1/10

“Extended unemployment benefits for nearly 2 million Americans begin to run out Wednesday, cutting off a steady stream of income and guaranteeing a dismal holiday season for people already struggling with bills they cannot pay.

“Unless Congress changes its mind, benefits that had been extended up to 99 weeks will end this month.

“Congress has let jobless benefits lapse twice already this year as Republicans insist the cost — $160 billion in the last fiscal year — be offset by cuts elsewhere to prevent the nation’s $13.8 trillion debt from growing further.

“Congressional opponents of extending the benefits beyond this month say fiscal responsibility should come first. Republicans in the House and Senate, along with a handful of conservative Democrats, say they’re open to extending benefits, but not if it means adding to the $13.8 trillion national debt.”

Ah, yes. “Fiscal responsibility.” Please someone remind me again; why did we go off the gold standard and become monetarily sovereign? What was the purpose of having the unlimited ability to create money? What exactly does “fiscal responsibility” mean? And what about human responsibility?

“‘I am not searching for a job, I am begging for one,’ said Felicia Robbins, 30, as she prepared to move out of a homeless shelter in Pensacola, Fla., where she and her five children have been living. She is using the last of her cash reserves, about $500, to move into a small, unfurnished rental home.”

The debt-hawks will tell you that unemployment benefits merely extend the time for lazy people to sit home, collecting checks. Of course, the Senators and Representatives collect their generous paychecks on time, so why worry about the “little” people?

If you are concerned about the gap between the rich and the poor, I remind you that this unnecessary, cruel action takes money from the poorest of us, increasing the gap.

As always, I urge you to contact your Congressperson, and try to educate him/her, before America reenters recession.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

No nation can tax itself into prosperity. Those who say the stimulus “didn’t work” remind me of the guy whose house is on fire. A neighbor runs with a garden hose and starts spraying, but the fire continues. The neighbor wants to call the fire department, which would bring the big hoses, but the guy says, “Don’t call. As you can see, water doesn’t put out fires.”