–A most amazing conversation. What unrestrained ego can do to intelligence

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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Here is one of the more amazing discussions in which I ever have participated. The well-known Barry Rithholz’s blog contained the article by David StockmanI referred to earlier. On Barry’s blog, I quoted Stockman, “. . .if we were serious about deficit reduction, we would be cutting spending EVERYWHERE and RAISING TAXES on not only the top 2%, but the upper and middle classes as well, ” then I wrote,

“1. There is no reason to reduce the deficit. In fact, reduced deficit growth has led to every depression and nearly all recessions. A growing economy requires a growing supply of money. The current myth that the deficit must be reduced is based on the false belief that federal budgeting is like personal budgeting, where debt is a burden.

2. In a Monetarily Sovereign government, there is zero relationship between taxes and spending. If taxes were reduced to $0, or raised to $100 trillion, neither would affect the federal government’s ability to spend. Federal taxes do not fund federal spending.”

In a subsequent comment, I asked, “Why do we need to reduce the federal deficit (or debt)? Any fact-based answers?” and a person called “KJ Foehr” responded:

I agree partially with your premise. The math does appear to indicate current deficits and debt are unsustainable, especially if (when) interest rates rise again. Deficits ARE good (stimulative) now, but I but do believe current levels are bad later (unsustainable long-term).
The problem is many ideologues and their drones do not see the good in it, and therefore, demand that it be reduced NOW. Some apparently actually believe significant cuts in government spending now will help reduce employment and improve the economy! What we have is a crisis of ignorance, not a crisis of government spending.

I responded to several subsequent comments with: “All of the solutions offered on this post involve either cutting benefits or raising taxes, either of which will hurt people and hurt the economy. Strangely, no one wishes to entertain the opposing view, as though hurting people and the economy were a good thing! My complaint about debt hawks is they reject the opposing view, without offering evidence to support their own view.”

The person called KJ Foehr then did an about-face and said,

“I disagree completely with this idea that neither borrowing nor taxes are necessary. If that were the case, then why doesn’t the government just eliminate taxes completely? Or is the sole purpose of taxes to reduce aggregate demand? How ridiculous. Please don’t respond; I don’t have time for wingnut theories and won’t be reading any more of your posts.”

So his “evidence” consists of “why doesn’t the government . . . ” as though the government always does things right. He finishes essentially by saying he doesn’t want to read anything that answers his questions or disagrees with his opinions.

Then someone called “Christopher” said,

“There is no reason to reduce the deficit. Blahbittyblahblahblahblah….. LOLOL.

In essence he seemed to be saying, “My eyes and ears are closed to anything other than what I already believe.” And finally, Barry said, “Dude, you really need to get your own blog.” rather than answering the simple question I posed, “Why do we need to reduce the deficit or debt?”

I wrote, “Barry is an intelligent man, who claims to understand MMT, but who never addresses the fundamentals of MMT. I gave reasons why the deficit and debt should not be reduced, but if you would like to see a more complete analysis, go to SUMMARY. For those who wish to learn, 10 minutes of reading can be worthwhile. Barry, you may wish to look at that page.”

Then, someone called “freemarketeer” asked,

Barry, curious as to what your take on Modern Monetary Theory is. I’ve been reading up on it recently, and it appears to describe our monetary system better than any other theory. It’s certainly bizarre from a traditional econ standpoint, but I’ve always thought traditional econ theories were stupid, full of half-baked behavioral assumptions.

Whatever your opinion of MMT, why would we raise taxes now? The economy isn’t exactly rip-roaring (despite record corporate earnings). I’m still skeptical we’ll keep it going as inflation continues working through the value chain.

Seems like a reasonable request, which I knew Barry would not honor, and I said so, as follows: “As for getting Barry’s opinion on MMT, good luck. He has three standard responses to MMT facts:
“You sovereign guys are dreadful bores”
“For the record, I completely understand your analysis — its just that I think its shite.” (his word)
And his absolute favorite, which he repeats endlessly, “Rodger: To the man whose only tool is a hammer, everything soon begins to look like a nail . . .

Once, when I asked why he felt the deficit and debt were too high, his response was “Telling the public that the federal debt and deficit are too high ? You got the wrong guy, bub.” Huh?? Isn’t that exactly what he is saying?

Anyway at one time, and with Barry’s agreement, I sent him an Email outlining 10 points from Monetary Sovereignty, as a discussion starter. Barry never responded. If you want to see it, I’ll Email it to you. Getting Barry to discuss facts is like getting Rand Paul to discuss . . . well, facts.”

And here is the most amazing response I ever have received from a nationally known columnist:

Barry Ritholtz Says: April 25th, 2011 at 10:21 am

freemarketeer: I have no opinion.

ROGER: Why do you think it is my responsibility to address subjects of your choosing? I get 1000 emails a day asking about this or that, and you make it a big deal that I dont stop doing what I am doing to answer YOR QUESTIONS IMMEDIATELY. If I dont respond to your email, its likely because its a subject that I am not interested in.

Here’s a newsflash: I write about what interest me — and to be blunt, I dont give a flying fuck about what interests you. That is why you have a blog — to write about your passions. I have a blog to write about mine.

I dont want anyone’s homework assignments. I get so many of these inane — WHY DONT YOU DO A POST ON THIS? or the ever popular WHAT DO YO THINK OF THAT? that I even put the NO HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENTS into my Terms of Use

Barry was screaming at me, while he redacted my earlier response. It probably was too embarrassing for him. I responded with a note that undoubtedly will not be published: “Gee, Barry, I offered to send you the bullet points and you agreed. If I had known you weren’t interested, I would have saved myself the work. The things of interest to MMT are exactly the things you write about. The fact that MMT (or Monetary Sovereignty) disagrees with some of your points is exactly why you should print them and respond to them with facts, not swearing.

That’s what makes a discussion worthwhile, not just having a bunch of people all repeating the same mantra: “Debt should be reduced; deficit should be reduced.” There are some good, solid reasons the deficit and debt should be increased. Why not discuss them?”

Oops, I just checked his blog and yep, he cut out this last comment. He seems loath to publish anything that disagrees with his views. But I have a prediction: When the world begins to accept Monetary Sovereignty or Modern Monetary Theory, Barry will say he knew it all the time.

By the way, Barry mentioned his “Terms of Use.” Here they are, which he repeats in every post:

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data, ability to repeat discredited memes, and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Also, be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor even implied. Any irrelevancies you can mention will also be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

Think about it: “ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data, lack of respect and most of all, civility.” This is what unrestrained ego can do to a man.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. It’s been 40 years since the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, and neither Congress, nor the President, nor the Fed, nor the vast majority of economists and economics bloggers, nor the preponderance of the media, nor the most famous educational institutions, nor the Nobel committee, nor the International Monetary Fund have yet acquired even the slightest notion of what that means.

Remember that the next time you’re tempted to ask a dopey teenager, “What were you thinking?” He’s liable to respond, “Pretty much what your generation was thinking when it screwed up the economy.”

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Remember David Stockman? Better you should forget David Stockman

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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David A. Stockman, a former Republican representative from Michigan, was President Reagan’s director of the Office of Management and Budget from 1981 to 1985. He wrote an OpEd column for the New York Times that is so wrong as to be a parody.

Here are a few excerpts:

It is obvious that the nation’s desperate fiscal condition requires higher taxes on the middle class, not just the richest 2 percent.

I guess he thinks our “desperate fiscal condition” is the federal deficit, or is it federal debt. He doesn’t say which. (They are completely different, not even functionally related.) Somehow, I thought our real problems are unemployment and slow per capita GDP growth, both of which would be exacerbated by Stockman’s call for higher taxes on the middle and upper classes.

Likewise, entitlement reform requires means-testing the giant Social Security and Medicare programs, not merely squeezing the far smaller safety net in areas like Medicaid and food stamps.

“Means testing” is a euphemism for another unnecessary federal tax. The federal government could and should support Social Security and Medicare. And did you notice the “. . . not merely squeezing . . . Medicaid and food stamps.”? Not merely? So it’s O.K. to squeeze the poor, so long as the middle class is squeezed, too?

A quasi-bankrupt nation saddled with rampant casino capitalism on Wall Street and a disemboweled, offshored economy on Main Street requires practical and equitable ways to pay its bills.

“Quasi-bankrupt”? “Rampant casino capitalism”? “Disemboweled, offshored economy”? You always can tell a guy is full of crap when he uses that kind of wild language. What is “quasi-bankrupt”? No one knows. The federal government isn’t, and never can be, bankrupt. So does that make it “quasi”? Or is he talking about the public, many of whom are really, not quasi, bankrupt, in part because the David Stockman’s of the world do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, thus making the federal government deficit reluctant.

And “casino capitalism”? It’s a cute phrase, but specifically, what does that mean? Too much lending? And here I thought one of our problems was too little lending.

Ingratiating himself with the neo-cons, Mr. Ryan has put the $700 billion defense and security budget off limits; and caving to pusillanimous Republican politicians, he also exempts $17 trillion of Social Security and Medicare spending over the next decade. What is left, then, is $7 trillion in baseline spending for Medicaid and the social safety net — to which Mr. Ryan applies a meat cleaver, reducing outlays by $1.5 trillion, or 20 percent.

Trapped between the religion of low taxes and the reality of huge deficits, the Ryan plan appears to be an attack on the poor in order to coddle the rich. To the Democrats’ invitation to class war, the Republicans have seemingly sent an R.S.V.P.

Absolutely true. That’s what deficit reduction nonsense does. See, it’s like this. Deficits are absolutely necessary for economic growth. So when you try to reduce deficits you always wind up doing something really stupid.

. . . Such fiscal jabberwocky ignores the fact that we have experienced a recession every five years or so for the last six decades . .

Right. And all but one of them has been introduced by reductions in federal deficit growth – the reductions Mr. Stockman recommends.

. . . for decades now, the central banks of the world have been giving policymakers a false signal that sovereign debt is cheap and limitless. Functioning like monetary roach motels, central banks have become a place where Treasury bonds go in but never come out — thereby causing bond prices to be far higher and interest yields much lower than would obtain in a market that wasn’t rigged.

Monetarily Sovereign debt is very cheap (it costs nothing) and it is limitless. Nobody knows what “Treasury bonds go in but never come out” means, but he loves his “roach motel” analogy. Interest yields are exactly what the Fed makes them to be.

Indeed, the Fed and currency-pegging central banks in East Asia and the Persian Gulf have absorbed nearly all of Uncle Sam’s multitrillion-dollar spree of debt issuance. Moreover, about $4.6 trillion, or more than half of all debt held by the public, is now sequestered in central banks — paid for with printing-press money.

The government could stop issuing debt tomorrow, and this would have zero affect on the government’s ability to spend. He, of all people, should know that. Further, “printing press money” is money. What other kind of money is there, David?

Even central banks cannot defy the canons of sound finance indefinitely, however. Japan will buy less Treasury paper as it turns inward to recover from the wrath of nature. Likewise, China will drastically curtail its currency pegging and related Treasury bond purchases in order to suppress the rip-roaring imported inflation and speculative bubbles now engulfing its domestic economy. And unless the Fed wants to ruin the value of the dollar, it will need to keep its promise to get out of the bond-buying business, too, when its second round of quantitative easing ends in June.

We don’t need to sell Treasuries to Japan, China or anyone else. The Fed can protect the value of the dollar simply by raising interest rates.

Ominously, the biggest and baddest of these real investors, the quarter-trillion-dollar Pimco Total Return Fund, has already thrown down the gauntlet by selling Uncle Sam’s paper short.

All that means is Pimco expects interest rates to rise, which will reduce the price of existing Treasuries. Ho hum, This is ominous?? Since rates essentially are zero now, there is nowhere to go but up.

In the real world, however, the global bond market is already rumbling — and around the corner, a fiscal conflagration surely lies.

“Fiscal conflagration.” Believe it or not, this blog post cut out most of his extravagant language. It went on and on, with each colorful phase adding to the assurance he is clueless. Anyway, he ends with the typical debt-hawk non-prediction, prediction: “Around the corner.” You may add this to “soon,” “one day,” “someday,” “eventually” “ticking time bomb,” “unsustainable,” “over time,” “children and grandchildren” and all the other indefinite prophesies.

Perhaps most amazing, is that so many famous pundits all write the same, apocalyptic drivel, over and over again, and the media keep printing it. How many times can the preachers predict the same end of the world, before the congregations figure out these guys are charlatans?

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. It’s been 40 years since the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, and neither Congress, nor the President, nor the Fed, nor the vast majority of economists and economics bloggers, nor the preponderance of the media, nor the most famous educational institutions, nor the Nobel committee, nor the International Monetary Fund have yet acquired even the slightest notion of what that means.

Remember that the next time you’re tempted to ask a dopey teenager, “What were you thinking?” He’s liable to respond, “Pretty much what your generation was thinking when it screwed up the economy.”

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Should we really be turning food into oil? Do biofuels starve the world?

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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Oil is non-renewable; corn, soybeans and sugar are renewable. One day (Who knows when?), the world will run out of oil. The world never will run out of corn, soybeans and sugar. Based on those simple facts, the decision was made to turn food into oil, otherwise known as biofuel. Yet that decision has been a favorite liberals’ (and to a lesser degree, conservatives’) target.

The underlying facts are not so simple. My friend Warren Mosler, for whom I have great respect, wrote on his blog:

“The reality is very simple, and there is no end in sight. The US is a net exporter of food, and a net importer (directly and indirectly) of motor fuels. So with current high gasoline prices we get a higher price for our food surplus by burning up part of it for fuel.

Even if the energy used in creating the ethanol is somewhat more than the energy produced, the energy used is generally coming from lower cost and domestically produced sources such as coal. And the fuel burned in our cars replaces gasoline- a much higher cost energy that we import.

So, bottom line, burning up part of our surplus crops as motor fuel, which drives up food prices world wide, we reduce imports of motor fuels and we get a higher price for the remaining foods we export. That is, we benefit economically from the global chaos and the likelihood of mass starvation created by this policy.

(We should) outlaw ethanol and biofuels that use up acreage that otherwise produces food.”

I wrote to Warren, “So it is your opinion that the U.S. is short of farming acreage, and that we now have reached the limits of U.S. food output? And it is your opinion that the entire world has reached the limits of food production, which is why the U.S. turning some of its corn into oil raises all food prices, worldwide? Sounds a bit suspicious to me. Do you have any data to support these beliefs?” I’ll let you know what he says.

I saw “A Note on Rising Food Prices” by Donald Mitchell (no relation) of The World Bank Development Prospects Group, 2008. It’s a long paper, but I’d like to show you the featured (bolded) lines from three adjacent paragraphs:

“–Estimates of the contribution of biofuels production to food price increases are difficult, if not impossible to compare.
–Despite all the differences in approach, many studies recognize biofuels production as a major driver of food prices.
–Many other potential drivers of the escalating food prices are mentioned in discussions, but there are few quantitative estimates of their impact.”

To paraphrase, “We have estimates, not data, and we can’t compare those estimates. Some people think biofuels raise food prices, but some do not. Nevertheless, we emotionally, not factually, have adopted the position that biofuels raise food prices.”

The paper goes on to list some of the reasons for higher food prices:
1. The increase in energy prices
2. Increases in prices of fertilizer and chemicals
3. Increases in the costs of transportation
4. Drought in Australia
5. Poor crops in Europe
6. Rapid import demand increases for oilseeds by China to feed its growing livestock and poultry industry
7. Decline of the dollar
8. The increased investment in commodities by institutional investors to hedge against inflation
9. And oh yes, turning corn and soybeans into oil.

Those of you who have read Inflation/Oil know that inflation has been caused by increased oil prices. So one should assume that creating oil from plants would at least to some degree, mitigate inflation by increasing the supply of oil. Of the nine reasons for higher food prices, five are due to the increased price of oil.

This means, if corn and soybeans were not turned into oil, the price of oil would be higher, inflation would be worse and the price of food would go higher. Of course that is speculation, because despite many absolute opinions, no one really knows the effect of biofuels on food production or food prices.

Consider corn. Oil is made from corn silage. Only a tiny percentage of all corn is used for human consumption. It’s called sweet corn. The vast majority of corn is field corn, which is turned into silage. Only silage is turned into oil. Silage is made from cobs, leaves, stalks, husks and the grain itself.

“In 2009, there were over 86 million acres of corn planted in the United States. In the same year, only a little more than a quarter-million of that was used for growing sweet corn.” ( CompareXY Library) With only 1% of all corn acreage devoted to being eaten by humans, it is difficult to say with any certainty that oil production decreases sweet corn production. A further complexity: Even sweet corn cobs, leaves, stalks and husks are turned into silage.

The above is a bare hint at the massive data surrounding this subject, data that can be turned to any desired meaning. For me, the bottom line is:

1. If the creation of biofuels uses less oil than it creates, the process saves a non-renewable energy source at the cost of a renewable energy source.
2. Creating oil reduces inflation.
3. Inflation has an adverse affect on people’s ability to buy food.
4. The U.S. use of field corn, soybeans and sugar for oil has only a minuscule affect, if any, on the world’s human food supply.
5. The U.S. and the world are capable of producing more food crop than now is produced.
6. A limiting factor in world food production is oil prices, which can be reduced by increasing the supply of biofuels.

There are many other factors and many other considerations, and the above surely is an overly simplified summary, but on balance, I feel biofuels are a worthwhile federal investment. I do not believe biofuel production with cause the mass starvation Warren predicts. Quite the opposite.

I welcome your comments.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. It’s been 40 years since the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, and neither Congress, nor the President, nor the Fed, nor the vast majority of economists and economics bloggers, nor the preponderance of the media, nor the most famous educational institutions, nor the Nobel committee, nor the International Monetary Fund have yet acquired even the slightest notion of what that means.

Remember that the next time you’re tempted to ask a dopey teenager, “What were you thinking?” He’s liable to respond, “Pretty much what your generation was thinking when it screwed up the economy.”

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Why the Democrats’ ignorant plan is better than the Tea/Republicans’ ignorant plan

The debt hawks are to economics as the creationists are to biology. Those, who do not understand Monetary Sovereignty, do not understand economics. If you understand the following, simple statement, you are ahead of most economists, politicians and media writers in America: Our government, being Monetarily Sovereign, has the unlimited ability to create the dollars to pay its bills.
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The Tea (formerly Republican) Party wants lower taxes (good) and less federal spending (bad). The Tea Party hero of the day, Rand Paul is an ardent follower of Ayn Rand. Yes, that Ayn Rand, the one who believes the rich are gods who deserve more, while the poor are leeches who deserve less.

He has couched his beliefs in Tea appeals to tax cuts, patriotism and freedom from government interference, as in freedom from health care, freedom from military protection, freedom from good roads and safe bridges, freedom from healthful medicines and food, freedom to discriminate against gays, freedom from safe banks, freedom from a good education, freedom from clean air, freedom from energy saving, freedom from police protection, freedom from Social Security, freedom from safe air travel, and the many other freedoms we so ardently desire.

But the Tea night is ending, and the dawn of realization has begun.

Washington Post: by Jon Cohen and Dan Balz, Wednesday, April 20, 2011. “Despite growing concerns about the country’s long-term fiscal problems and an intensifying debate in Washington about how to deal with them, Americans strongly oppose some of the major remedies under consideration, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

“The survey finds that Americans prefer to keep Medicare just the way it is. Most also oppose cuts in Medicaid and the defense budget. More than half say they are against small, across-the-board tax increases combined with modest reductions in Medicare and Social Security benefits. Only President Obama’s call to raise tax rates on the wealthiest Americans enjoys solid support.”

Now, as we Americans awaken to the fact that the Tea/Republican plan to reduce federal spending amounts to the reduction of all the things we want, as well as benefitting those hated rich people, somehow President Reagan’s “government is the problem” mantra doesn’t seem so attractive.

Of course, increasing taxes on anyone, rich or poor, is a typically bad, Democratic idea. All taxes remove money from the economy, and removing money from the economy causes recessions and depressions. Further, this removal of money always hurts the poor more than it hurts the rich. See: Taxing the rich hurts the poor.

That said, I favor Obama’s plan to the Tea/Republican “plan.” Before you faint, let me explain. Both plans are equally ignorant in that they begin with the false assumption federal deficit spending must be reduced. In the Economics Common Sense and Knowledge race, both parties come in last.

However, they have convinced the innocent public of this falsehood, which forces on us a lesser-of-two-evils choice, and Obama’s plan is less evil. Why? Because raising tax rates on the rich not only will satisfy the jealous public, and not only will preserve the various benefits of federal spending, but in reality, will not collect much more in taxes.

We already have learned that higher taxes beget better tax “loopholes.” Remember, rich people know how to bribe politicians better than do poor people. So as those rates rise, the deductions will rise, too. A (for instance) 10% increase in tax rates on those making more than $250K per year, will not net a 10% increase in taxes collected from the rich – maybe not even 5%. Depending on the effectiveness of the bribery, a tax rate increase actually could net less money, because better deductions could be worth more than the marginal rate.

Bottom line, the Obama plan will make everyone happier. The poor will benefit; the rich won’t care and the economy will be less injured by losing money.

As an aside, if I were running for office, my opponent would tell the voters I voted in favor of tax increases, and this is why the politicians find themselves surrendering to their party, rather than thinking.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


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No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. It’s been 40 years since the U.S. became Monetarily Sovereign, and neither Congress, nor the President, nor the Fed, nor the vast majority of economists and economics bloggers, nor the preponderance of the media, nor the most famous educational institutions, nor the Nobel committee, nor the International Monetary Fund have yet acquired even the slightest notion of what that means.

Remember that the next time you’re tempted to ask a dopey teenager, “What were you thinking?” He’s liable to respond, “Pretty much what your generation was thinking when it screwed up the economy.”

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY