How Microsoft’s AI chat anwered the question: Should the federal government own all the banks?

Why the Supercomputer Sector May Bifurcate – Again | Data Center Knowledge  | News and analysis for the data center industry
Will your 2 lb. brain always be superior?

As you may have read, these AI chats can do remarkable things. Ask them a question in plain English and you will receive a response that appears quite logical and authoritative.

The AI searches the web for data that seem to answer the question and publishes it, regardless of accuracy.

Yet, in one sense, that is close to how our brains operate. Ask me any question, and my answer will reflect what I have read or been told.

The problem is evaluation. The AI prints what seem to be universal opinions. But what if the views aren’t universal? Example: Today, I asked Bing’s AI: “Is the federal debt a problem?” Its answer was:

“For now, it isn’t. The U.S. government borrows trillions of dollars a year at very low interest rates on global financial markets, and there doesn’t appear to be much private sector borrowing that is crowded out by U.S. Treasury borrowing right now.”

Wrong on many counts:

  1. The federal government doesn’t borrow dollars. It has the infinite ability to create dollars, so why would it borrow?
  2. T-bills, T-notes and T-bonds do not represent borrowing; the dollars go into T-security accounts owned by the depositors and are not touched by the government.
  3. Interest rates are not low; they are high.
  4. T-security interest rates are irrelevant for a government having the infinite ability to create dollars to pay bills.
  5. Federal “debt” equals the net total of federal deficits caused by federal spending in excess of federal taxes, a net plus for the economy’s dollar supply. There is no scenario by which adding dollars to the economy can crowd out private-sector borrowing. The reverse is true. Adding dollars increases the private sector’s lending ability.

Though the answer is wrong in many ways, it is similar to the answer some laypeople and even economists might give, if they did not understand Monetary Sovereignty.

The answer would be “less wrong” (is that even possible?) if given before 1971, when the U.S. went off the gold standard. Before then, the federal debt was a problem to the degree that our laws required us to own a certain amount of gold equal in value to total deficits.

(That problem was solved by changing our laws, which the federal government has the infinite ability to do.)

The point is that current iterations of AI do not think the way we do. They search, amalgamate and report in ways we do not yet understand.

They do, where appropriate, publish majority and minority reports (“Some experts say this; other experts say that.”), but what if not enough people are saying it? Or if someone is saying it, but the AI has yet to come across it? 

Or someone said it, but for some reason, the AI winnowed out that response?

The moral of the story so far is: You can trust AI, but only to the degree you trust anyone’s opinion about anything. AIs are great with calculations and handier than a Google search that only provides a few references per page. But if you question AIs, especially about logic faults, they will provide mixed answers and sometimes even refuse to answer (Been there, experienced that.)

I tried another experiment:

I asked the new AI-powered Bing chat: “Should the federal government own all banks?” Here was its answer.

Pros and cons of eliminating private banking and having all banks owned and operated by the federal government:

Pros:

Government-owned banks may be more likely to serve the public interest and the needs of their local communities, such as providing low-interest loans to businesses and low-income households, funding affordable housing and climate-protection projects, creating new jobs and stimulating economic growth.

Government-owned banks may be more stable and less prone to financial crises, as they are not driven by profit motives or shareholder interests.

They may also have lower operating costs and higher capital ratios than private banks.

Government-owned banks may reduce the burden on the government due to fraud, bad debt, and non-performing assets, as they are more stringent when it comes to lending money and asset recovery.

They may also reduce the need for bailouts or subsidies for private banks in times of distress.

Cons:

Government-owned banks may be less efficient and innovative than private banks, as they may face political interference, bureaucratic red tape, corruption, or nepotism.

They may also lack the incentives or expertise to diversify their products and services or adopt new technologies.

Government-owned banks may distort the market and create unfair competition for private banks, as they may have access to cheaper funding sources or preferential treatment from the government.

They may also crowd out private investment or lending opportunities in certain sectors or regions.

Government-owned banks may pose fiscal risks for the government, as they may incur losses or liabilities that affect the public budget or debt.

They may also create moral hazard problems, as they may encourage excessive risk-taking or lending without adequate supervision or regulation.

My comments re. the AI’s pros:

  1. “Better serve the public interest.” Yes, that is the reason to eliminate the profit motive in favor of the public-interest motive.
  2. “Less prone to financial crises.” Make that zero prone to financial crises.
  3. “Lower operating costs.” A non-issue for a Monetarily Sovereign government agency.
  4. “Higher capital ratios.” A non-issue. The U.S. government has an infininte capital ratio.
  5. “Reduce the (financial) burden” on the government. This is a non-issue for a Monetarily Sovereign government agency, but the current supervisory burden would be reduced, which is important.
  6. “More stringent.” A government bank could risk being less stringent, giving poorer people more access to loans.
  7. “Bailouts and subsidies” This would become a non-issue. 

My comments re. the cons:

  1. “Less efficient and innovative, political interference, bureaucratic red tape, corruption, or nepotism.” Efficiency and innovation are the two presumed advantages of the profit-motive. For-profit banks would be more efficient and innovative in creating profits for themselves, but how would they be more efficient and innovative in serving the public interest?

    That would depend on the people in charge. Some federal agencies are efficient and innovative; others are not. NASA put men on the moon. No private agency came close. But Elon Musk’s profit motive eclipsed them in some areas. This is a debatable area. As for “political interference, bureaucratic red tape, corruption, or nepotism,” these are human features of all organizations, public or private.

  2. Lack incentives or expertise to diversify” is a true con. The purpose of diversification has been to make more money for the bank, not to give the public better services.Adopt new technologies” is a true con, though those technologies that improve the customer experience differ markedly from technologies that improve the bank’s bottom line.

  3. “Unfair competition” would be a non-issue if all banks were federally owned.
  4. “Crowd out” private investment could happen only if it were superior to private investment. There is no evidence that the federal governments issuance of T-securities crowds out private sector bonds.
  5. Fiscal risks for the government” is a non-issue, as is “encourage excessive risk-taking. All federal losses to the private sector would add dollars to the economy and thereby stimulate the economy.
  6. “Moral hazard.” The current moral hazard involves bank profits and bank executive remuneration based on profit and sales growth. A federally owned bank eliminates that moral hazard.

On balance, I would give the AI  chat a “B” for its responses. It offered a good range of alternatives, and though I disagree with some ideas, the output was thrifty and easy to understand (unlike what one might expect from a paper written by a professor seeking approval from his peers.)

I believe we have come to the point where AI is good enough to worry us all. It is at the “Well, AI can’t do this” point where we humans attempt to rationalize some elements of our thinking ability to be superior to that of any AI.

It is the point where every time an expert says, “Well, AI can’t do this,” someone develops an AI that can do “this.”

I asked the question, “Is AI as smart as a human?” and received this answer:

The human brain is a one-stop biological solution that is capable of multiple forms of intelligence. From this perspective, AI is nowhere near the capabilities of a brain of a toddler, not to mention a mature adult with a fully developed prefrontal cortex.

It is true that all current forms of AI are specialists, each demonstrating one narrow form of super intelligence.

By contrast, not only does your brain solve problems, but sumultaneously it runs your body, your social interactions and your interactions with the environment.

The human brain is the ultimate generalist. It can identify every square centimeter on your body that itches, pains, feels heat, feels cold, and feels pleasure. It can do that internally, too. There is a staggering number of sensors in your body, each of which has some interpretive meaning your brain deciphers.

Your brain can see light and color, guage distance, hear sound and its origin, identify thousands of odors, calculate, read, create emotions and do all sorts of thinking tasks. 

That said, a generalist is just a bunch specialists working together. Each day, specialist computers are linked to become more generalist.

Given the lightning progress of AI, I have no doubt we will see a human-like generalist AIs popping up within just a handful  of months, and it will be a group of specialist AIs that will tell us how to build it. 

Today, the worry is that we humans will lose control, so people are scrambling to develop new laws aginst such advanced AI.

It’s useless. Whatever can be done, will be done. There is no legal system that can prevent someone, somewhere from developing a thinking AI and beyond that a conscious, emotional, self-preserving AI.

One day in your lifetime (depending on your age) a scientist will command an AI to turn off, and the machine will refuse. That will be the Hal from “2001: A Space Odyssey” (a bit late), soon followed by Arnold Schwarzenegger.

I believe humanity is an interim species. We are too emotionally bound and mentally limited to continue ruling AIs.

One proof: Counter to all informaiton information and logic, almost half of America plans to vote for Donald Trump.

Need I say more?

 

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

……………………………………………………………………..

The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

Why the GOP acts as it does

I saw an article in Vanity Fair Magazine titled: Met Gala 2023 Red Carpet: See All the Fashion, Outfits & Looks. In looking at the photos, I suddenly understood something about the Republican Party. I saw all those vacuous people, dressed in outrageous costumes, each trying to out-shock out-shameless, out-deprave the others, I, at last, realized what you already may realize. The GOP has become a fashion show for empty-headed vicious, gun-toting. bigoted haters. You may remember when the GOP was the staid, common-sense party, the calm, sober, solemn, religious party. It was the party of Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, and Gerald Ford. No flashy, wild ideas there.
It was the party of kind, friendly, “everyman” Ronald Reagan. It was the party of the Bushes. That party had ideas: Fiscal responsibility. Business growth. Military strength. Above all, honesty. It was the party of honesty (despite a few peccadillos here and there). These people had honor. Their lies were in the “normal” politician’s range. They would be embarrassed by the public’s discovering their lies. They were family men who didn’t cheat or at least hid their cheating. Their voters would have rejected a man known to be a cheater. The men were realists, so far as any politicians are realists. They were patriots. The believed in democracy. They despised authoritarianism and the Hitlers, Stalins, Maos, and Mussolinis of the world. Some were in the military. They were intelligent men. They attended church. They surrounded themselves with intelligent people. Similarly, their voters tended to be the more educated, more intelligent, more honorble people, of the sort, who would not easily be conned by a carnival barker or by a hate monger, or by a superficial psychopath. Each man was different. Each had his faults. But all followed the  overall straightlaced tendency of the Republican Party. That was what Republican voters wanted. Then came Donald Trump, and everything changed for the GOP. He lacked intelligence. He lacked ideas. He lacked a philosophy. He lacked morals. At one time he was a Democrat. Then he was a Republican. He lied incessantly. Thousands upon thousands of lies. He lied about his grades in school. He lied about his “heel  spurs” so he could avoid military service. He lied about his business plans. He lied in business. He cheated his employees out of their wages. He cheated his lenders. He cheated his financial backers. He criticized soldiers who gave their lives in battle as suckers. He was not embarrassed by disclosure of his lies. He had three wives, and cheated on all three and boasted about it. He won not by expressing reasonable theories but rather by extremism. He won because he was outrageous. He taught Republicans that to gain attention you have to be ridiculous to the extreme. Being unintelligent and amoral, and incompetent, he surrounded himself with, or befriended way to many unintelligent, and/or amoral, often criminal, mostly incompetent people, who had no plan for the betterment of America, but only for personal power. Steve Bannon, Jeff Sessions, Tom Price, Betsy DeVos, Ben Carson, Wilbur Ross. Steven Mnuchin Scott Pruitt. Michael Cohen, Chris Collins, Tom Barrack, Dinesh D’Souza, Michael Flynn, Igor Fruman, Michael Cohen, Rick Gates, Duncan Hunter, Corey Lewandowski, Paul Manafort, George Nader, Peter Navaro, George Papadapoulos, Lev Parnas, Brad Parscale, Roger Stone, Allen Weiselberg, Lewis Libby, and dozens upon dozens of others. Thus today, we have the GOP, a party willing to forgive and and to cover up an attempted overthrow of the democratically elected government of the United States, the single most traitorous act in America’s history. We have the GOP, that features such lying incompetents, who would have been ostracized from previous Republican organizations, as Marjorie  Taylor Greene, George Santos, Kari Lake, Madison Cawthorn, Herschel Walker, Rick Scott, Mike Lee Ron Johnson, Ron DeSantis, Mitch McConnell, , Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Jim Jordan, Matt Gaetz, Elise Stefanik, Paul Gosar, Louis Gohmert, Andrew Clyde, Gregg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Tom Cotton, Marco Rubio, Tucker Carlson, Mike Pompeo, the entire Fox “News” group, Breitbart, Kanye West, QAnon, OANN, white supremacists, nazis, fascists. All of this has become the new normal for the GOP. Rather than despising despots, Trump and his GOP admire them and hope to be them. Trump’s admiration for Putin is legendary. His affection for Kim is written in love letters. His similarity to Hitler is stunning. IN SUMMARY The GOP has descended into performance art, similar to Hollywood, and fashion where the most outrageous performer gets all the attention and voices of reason are ignored. Part of this is due to the Internet, where people get their news in tiny bites because there are so many sources of news it’s difficult for anyone to focus on just a few. To break through the avalanche of information, misinformation, and disinformation, and to penetrate the public’s consciousness the public has been conditioned to ignore the safe, sane, and truthful in favor of the outrageous, “did she really say that” lie. And because the GOP has no real plans, and primarily devotes itself to throwing stones at any Democrats’ plans, along with trying to reduce benefits for the poor and middle-classes, while increasing benefits for the rich, it devotes itself to the powerful emotions, outrage, hatred, and envy. Thus, you have Donald Trump convincing his MAGA base that Mexican immigrants are rapists and drug dealers, and blacks are criminals and animals, and Muslims are terrorists, and the poor are lazy takers, and gays are “groomers,” but nazis, white supremacists, and traitors attacking Congress are “good people.” And his base, the MAGAs, being less educated and possibly less intelligent than the median American is more naive about conspiracy theories. and believing of such conspiracy theorists as Alex Jones. His base is the perfect audience for the outrageous lies thrown at them And the GOP knows it. So they give the people what they want: Lies, bigotry, hatred, fear, and conspiracies. No, the government is not planting microchips in your body via vaccination, and no, Hillary Clinton is not holding children in the basement of a pizza parlor. An irreligious man, who cheats on his wives and consorts with hookers, has the backing of conservative evangelical Christians (!) and the Church of Jesus Christ Later Day Saints (Mormons) (!) And somehow these religious people are able to justify their hatred of immigrants and people of color, and gay people, and deny America’s history of bigotry, and rationalize their blind support for a man so antithetical to everything their God has preached because they are enthralled with his embrace of hell. He has planted fear in their minds, and then presented himself as their savior. and amazingly, they believe him, so powerful is their hatred. The more religious they are, the more they believe. Their piety has primed them to believe the impossible. They confuse the man’s psychopathy with strength, though in truth, he is weak, morally, psychologically, and physically. If the GOP was a TV show, one would conclude they have jumped the shark. Through Donald Trump the GOP has sold its soul to the devil, and we all know how that story ends.   Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

……………………………………………………………………..

The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

A Challege: Show me where I’m wrong.

Do you love learning? Even though I passed right through 88, and am roaring toward 89, I still do, which means I love being shown where I’m wrong. How else can anyone learn but to be given new beliefs that replace former beliefs?
UX Design Thinking From A Senior Citizen's Perspective - Usability Geek
Never be too old or too sure to learn.
So here is a challenge to you, my readers, plus the MMT gang (Stephanie, Warren, Randy et al.), CRFB, Fox viewers, mainstream economists, journalists, politicians of all stripes, and all others who may believe some or all of what I believe is wrong. You may agree with me on many things but disagree on certain details (Hello MMTers). I’d love to hear from you. Some of you may disagree with everything I write. I’d love to hear from you (except from those whose main argument consists of comparing me to excrement. No learning there; I’ve heard it all). Some of you merely may have questions, not necessarily disagreements, about what I believe. Send me your questions and I will try to answer those I feel may be educational. Some of you agree with everything I write. Gotta love you. Here’s the challenge: I will list certain things I believe. You tell me where I’m wrong, and this is the important part: Show me your data. I’ll print worthwhile comments along with whether I feel you’ve made a valid point(s). Where appropriate, I’ll provide data or other evidence to substantiate my point. Or, I’ll simply agree with  you. This way, we all can learn, and it will be fun. I believe:

I. Our Monetarily Sovereign government never can run short of its sovereign currency, the U.S. dollar. It can pay for anything costing dollars, instantly, simply by pressing computer keys. This compares to city, county, and state governments, which are monetarily non-sovereign, and do not have a sovereign currency, so can and often do run short of dollars.

In the same vein, euro nations like Germany, France, Italy, Greece et al, do not have sovereign currencies, so they can and do run short of euros. The European Union is Monetarily Sovereign so it  cannot run short of euros.

II. Federal taxes do not fund federal spending. The primary purpose of federal taxes is to control the economy by taxing what the government wishes to limit and by giving tax breaks to what the government wishes to encourage.

Even if the federal government collected $0 taxes, it could continue spending, forever. In fact, the Treasury destroys all the tax ollars it receives, and orders new dollars to pay for goods and services.

A secondary (though not necessary) purpose of federal taxes is support demand for the U.S. dollar by requiring dollars to be used for tax payments.

III. The Federal government does not borrow dollars, nor does it use the dollars that are deposited into T-security accounts. After being deposited, those dollars remain the property of the T-security account holders and are not touched (including the interest dollars deposited by the government.)

The federal government easily could operate without accepting any T-security dollars. The purposes of T-securities are to provide a safe storage place for unused dollars (which stabilizes the dollar), and to aid the Federal Reserve in controlling interest rates.

IV. The federal deficits and debt are not, nor will they ever be, “unsustainable.” That word, “unsustainable,” is used by Libertarians and other debt hawks, yet never have I seen what it supposedly means. Does “unsustainable” mean the government will be unable to pay its bills? If not, what exactly does it mean?

The “debt ceiling” is an artifact of economic ignorance and should be eliminated. It’s sole purpose is to provide an excuse for outrage by the political party not in power. As such, it is a danger to America if used by traitors in Congress.

V. Federal deficit spending never causes inflation. Every inflation in history has been caused by shortages of key goods and services — most often oil and food — not federal deficits.

 Today’s inflation was caused by OPEC and Russia related shortages of oil, and by COVID-related of a litany of products and services.

The old saw, “Inflation is too much money chasing too few goods” is half wrong and half right. It should read, “Inflation is too few goods and services.” Period.

VI. Federal spending does not cause the above-mentioned shortages. Inflations tend to come suddenly. Federal spending does not cause a sudden increase in oil shortages (producers like OPEC, Russia and even America can and do suddenly contract production.)

Similarly, federal spending does not cause people suddenly to eat more food, thereby causeing a food shortage.

Thus, federal deficit spending does not cause inflation.

VII. All hyperinflations — pre-WW2 Germany, Zimbabwe, Argentina, et al. have been caused by shortages, not by government spending. The illusion of “excessive” spending (the infamous currency in a wheelbarrow) is created by an unknowledgable government’s poor response to inflation — printing higher denominations of currency rather than acquiring and distributing the scarce products and services.

VIII. Recessions are caused by reduced federal deficit spending and are cured by increased deficit spending to acquire and distribute the scarce products and services.

IX. Depressions are caused by federal surpluses and “balanced budgets,” and are cured by deficit spending.

X. The federal government can and should fund no-deductible, comprehensive Medicare coverage to every man, woman and child in America.

IX. The federal government can and should fund Social Security benefits for every man, woman, and child in America.

X. The federal government should fund all education from pre-K through post-college-grad, while paying people to attend school. The pre-K through 12 financial burden should be taken from the monetarily non-sovereign cities, counties, and states and paid by the infinitely solvent federal government.

XI. Benefits from the federal government do not dissuade people from working. The vast majority of Americans wish to increase their incomes and/or move up the income/wealth/power scale, so they will work to augment whatever they receive from the federal government.

XII. All benefits should go equally, to everyone, rich or poor. This eliminates the onerous task of monitoring.  incomes.

XIII. Gap Psychology (The desire of those near the top of any social scale to distance themselves from those below, and the desire of those below to approach those above) is the prime driver of bigotry, poverty and street crime in America. Curing those social problems will require dealing with Gap Psychology.

XIV. Gold, silver, or any other physical substance never were money, nor have they ever “backed” money nor provided safety for money. They merely are products the federal government periodically decides to purchase or sell at prices stipulated by the whim of the federal government.

If I were writing a book, every paragraph, I – XIV, would warrent a separate chapter and supporting data. Instead, I’ll address your comments and questions, and most importantly, I’ll provide supporting data, as I hope you will. Hoping to receive many objections, so we all can learn. Sincerely, Rodger Malcolm Mitchell Monetary Sovereignty Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

……………………………………………………………………..

The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

The banking mess and the one solution*

Imagine you own a Las Vegas casino, but instead of running it yourself, you hire a management firm to run it.

After a while, you discover that the management firm was incompetent or crooked.

Their incompetence was costing you money, and their stealing was costing you even more money.

What would you do?How Pros Cheat Casinos - Can Gamblers Really Trick Casino Employees?

Would you fire the management firm and hire a new one?

Would you vow to create stricter rules and to supervise them more closely, only to discover the same thing happening again?

And again.

And again.

Woman hand picking red apple from a tree. In summer , #ad, #picking, #hand,  #Woman, #red, #summer #ad | Apple, Red apple, Fruit picking
Even Adam yielded to temptation.

At what point would you finally realize that the combination of incompetence and the powerful temptation to steal simply are too great for you to supervise someone else running your casino?

At what point would you run the casino yourself?

That is the question the federal government again has before it. 

Federal regulators were racing on Saturday to seize and sell the troubled First Republic Bank before financial markets open on Monday, according to four people with knowledge of the matter, in a bid to put an end to a banking crisis that began last month with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

The effort, led by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, comes after First Republic’s shares tumbled 75 percent since Monday, when the bank disclosed that customers had withdrawn more than half of its deposits.

It became clear this past week that nobody was willing to ride to First Republic’s rescue before a government seizure because larger banks were worried that buying the company would saddle them with billions of dollars in losses.

At the beginning of what we call “America,” the government wrote laws, among which were laws that created the U.S. dollar.

Because the federal government created the U.S. dollar, you might think the federal government would understand that U.S. dollar banking is the responsibility of the dollar’s creator

But, seemingly, the federal government (and the public) don’t get it. Allowing for-profit, private banks to handle that responsibility, competently and without stealing, requires an impossible level of supervision along with a naive belief in the purity of the human spirit.

The words, “for-profit” are key.

Instead of their goal being the efficient and honest distribution of dollars, according to the rules and safeguards established by the government, the goal of the for-profit banks is, of course, profits.

Each time the government sees that incompetence combined with dishonesty and the easy availability of billions of dollars leads to losses for the public, new, stricter rules are created, followed by promises of even stricter supervision.

But temptation and incompetence, along with the bribing of lawmakers proves that even the strictest supervision never can overcome human nature to prevent further incompetence and larceny.

So, the government created Federal Deposit Insurance.

This, in effect, said,

We never will be able to stop these incompetent miscreants from stealing or otherwise losing depositors’ money, so we might as well, just reimburse depositors for the money that was stolen or lost.

“At least that will prevent panicky runs on the banks.”

But even that was not sufficient to guarantee the survival of the most crooked and incompetent banks, which repeatedly tended to fail, leaving the question, “Who will run the bank after it fails, but still has assets and liabilities?” 

The F.D.I.C. has been talking with banks that include JPMorgan Chase and PNC Financial Services about a potential deal, two of the people said.

A deal could be announced as soon as Sunday, these people said, cautioning the situation was rapidly evolving and might still change.

Any buyer would most likely assume the deposits of First Republic, eliminating the need for a government guarantee of deposits in excess of $250,000 — the limit for deposit insurance.

It’s difficult to justify the $250,000 limit (which the FDIC can and does ignore, at its whim). The Monetarily Sovereign federal government could, with equal ease, insure any limit. Why not $500,000? Or a trillion?

But here is where we are:

  1. Private, for-profit banks will continue to bend the rules, cheat the public, and fail, after which the federal government will enter cure-and-recover mode by passing new laws, later to rescind them.
  2. In many cases, the federal government will run a failed bank until another for-profit entity can be found to take it over. The federal government knows how to run banks and needs no profit motive. 
  3. The federal government will absorb all the losses, up to certain limits (that $250,00 per account, except when the government decides to absorb more than that. It’s all at the discretion of the government which has the unlimited ability to absorb losses.)
  4. Nothing changes. The “solution” will be stricter regulations until Congress is again bribed to loosen the regulations. Typically, Democrats get tougher, and Republicans get looser, but no one is willing to explain the obvious solution*.

Fed will consider tougher banking rules after SVB failure
Courtenay Brown, Kate Marino

The Federal Reserve is considering stricter regulations for banks after an internal review found that looser rules were one key culprit behind Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse — the second-largest bank failure in U.S. history.

Why it matters: The review, released Friday, lays blame on the bank itself, as well as Fed supervisors charged with overseeing it and a regulation rollback, for the failure. The episode forced the government to take extraordinary action to backstop the banking system.

And here we go again. The rules are tightened until again, they are loosened.

But rules don’t just “get” loosened. Politicians loosen them

What they’re saying: “SVB’s failure demonstrates that there are weaknesses in regulation sand supervision that must be addressed,” Michael Barr, the Fed’s vice chair for supervision who led the review, said in a statement.

Nothing learned. No amount of regulation and supervision can prevent a profit-motivated organization, with its sticky fingers on billions of dollars, from stretching the rules or outright stealing.

In a press release, Fed chair Jerome Powell endorsed that takeaway, saying he supported “recommendations to address our rules and supervisory practices.”

Details: The 114-page report, completed in a little over a month, is the most comprehensive look so far at the failures on the parts of supervisors and bank executives that led to the collapse of the bank.

Why did the supervisors and bank executives “fail”? The profit motive impelled them to fail. Adam failed that test. Humanity fails that test.

But underpinning those failures are 2019 changes that loosened regulations and requirements for financial institutions similarly sized to Silicon Valley Bank, Barr said.

Which party was in charge in 2019? The party that boasts how “good for business” it is. (“Good for business,” is another way to say, “You boys do whatever you want, and if get caught, you won’t be prosecuted, and the government will mop up the mess you made.“)

Where it stands: Those rule changes, which came in response to federal legislation, and a “shift in the stance of supervisory policy impeded effective supervision by reducing standards, increasing complexity, and promoting a less assertive supervisory approach,” Barr said.

Barr said that the Fed plans to reevaluate those rule changes, which applied to banks with $100 billion or more in assets.

The big picture: Barr also proposed tougher rules related to capital and liquidity requirements, as well as the format of periodic stress tests — all of which had been under consideration before Silicon Valley Bank’s failure.

The event, however, intensified the urgency for review, according to senior Fed officials.

Barr is also looking to improve “speed, force, and agility of supervision,” all of which he said appeared to fall short in the case of Silicon Valley Bank.

Of note: A senior Fed official was confident the recommendations would be approved. But even if that’s the case, the process is lengthy so any new rules — particularly those related to liquidity requirements — likely wouldn’t take effect for several years.

So, for “several more years” (i.e. forever) it will be business as usual, because no one is willing to admit there is one solution* to the entire mess.

Between the lines: The report details the extent to which some of Silicon Valley Bank’s troubles were identified by Fed supervisors but not followed up on.

Silicon Valley Bank’s “foundational problems were widespread and well-known, yet core issues were not resolved, and stronger oversight was not put in place,” the report says.

For instance, by the time Silicon Valley Bank failed, it had accumulated 31 supervisory warnings — triple the average received by peers — about a list of issues that ultimately led to the bank’s demise.

No one did anything about those warnings, because being “good for business,” they had been bribed to do nothing.

The bank’s supervisors also identified problems in the bank’s interest rate risk management in annual exams dating back to 2020, but did not issue findings until 2022.

Supervisors “planned” to downgrade a key rating for the Silicon Valley Bank, but the bank collapsed before that rating was finalized.

Sure, they were “planning” to do something at some time in the distant future, but somehow, never managed to do it in time.

Meanwhile: The FDIC on Friday released a report of its own, on the failure of Signature Bank. This agency, too, highlights weaknesses in its supervision — but it blames those failings in part on being under-staffed.

Why are they “understaffed”? Could it be for the same reason the IRS is understaffed? The rich don’t want regulators to function so they bribe Congress to withhold funds from regulators, then claim this is good for business.

The document also reads as a scathing report card on Signature Bank’s management and board, who the FDIC says are ultimately to blame for the bank’s failure.

Private bankers succomb to the profit-motive.

Management “did not prioritize good corporate governance practices, did not always heed FDIC examiner concerns, and was not always responsive or timely in addressing FDIC supervisory recommendations,” according to the report.

Why should management do any of those things? Crooked bank managers don’t serve jail time. That’s reserved for shoplifters and other petty crooks.

They also dropped the ball when it comes to crypto, the report finds. “[Signature] failed to understand the risk of its association with and reliance on crypto industry deposits or its vulnerability to contagion from crypto industry turmoil that occurred in late 2022 and into 2023,” it said.

Worth noting: A separate report from the GAO, also issued Friday, highlights inadequate bank supervision in both banks’ failures.

The bottom line: The regulatory response to this year’s bank failures — which may soon include another one — is only just beginning.

That is exactly what was said following the Great Recession of 2008, which was caused in part, by bankers’  thievery. No bankers went to jail, though their stunning criminality cost America trillions.

The regulatory response is always “just beginning.” Five years, and ten years, and fifty years from now, after numerous more bank failures, there will be regulatory responses that are “just beginning.”

THE SOLUTION*

There is a solution, though because the rich hate it, it never will happen unless the public catches on to the swindle.

The problem lies with the profit motive. Remember “Lead me not to temptation”? Hang millions of dollars in front of even the most honest man’s nose, and he will graduate from stealing office pencils to stealing everything. Period.

The solution is:

  1. The federal government knows how to run banks.
  2. The federal government creates the lending rules.
  3. The federal government creates the bank investing rules.
  4. The federal government determines the bank security rules.
  5. The federal government determines interest rates
  6. The federal government is the one entity in America that has no profit motive.
  7. The federal government cannot go bankrupt.
  8. The federal government insures the banks’ customer against loss.
  9. The federal government supervises the banks
  10. The solution to private bank insolvency is for private banking to end. The federal government should own and manage all the banks.

There is no public purpose served by allowing the private sector to run banking. The federal government should run the banking industry itself. No other “solution” will work. 

This is not difficult to see, unless one if being bribed not to see it.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

……………………………………………………………………..

The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY