–Monetary Sovereignty: The key to understanding economics Friday, Aug 13 2010 

Mitchell’s laws: Reduced money growth never stimulates economic growth. To survive long term, a monetarily non-sovereign government must have a positive balance of payments. Austerity breeds austerity and leads to civil disorder. Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
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Perhaps no words more accurately and succinctly illustrate the confusion about economics than “Monetary Sovereignty.” It is not a theory or a hypothesis or a philosophy. In its essence it merely is a description of the way federal financing actually works.

A Monetarily Sovereign government has the exclusively unlimited power to create its sovereign currency. Monetary Sovereignty is the foundation of economics. The United States is Monetarily Sovereign. It has the exclusively unlimited power to create the dollar. China, Canada, Australia, the UK and Japan are Monetarily Sovereign. They have the exclusively unlimited power to create their sovereign currencies.

The U.S. government created the dollar from thin air, by creating all the laws and rules that made the dollar possible. Being sovereign over the dollar it can do anything it wishes with the dollar. It can make the dollar equal to three euros, two pumpkins or one partridge in a pear tree. The federal government’s power over the dollar is unlimited.

Illinois, Cook County and Chicago are not Monetarily Sovereign. The dollar is not their sovereign currency, and they do not have the unlimited power to create dollars. France, Germany and Italy are not Monetarily Sovereign. They do not have the exclusively unlimited power to create their currency, the euro.

You, your business and I also are not Monetarily Sovereign. Even Bill Gates and Warren Buffet do not have the unlimited power to create dollars. They are not Monetarily Sovereign.

Because our Monetarily Sovereign nation has the unlimited power to create its sovereign currency, the dollar, it never needs to ask anyone for dollars. It doesn’t need to tax or borrow, and it never can be forced into bankruptcy. It can pay any bill of any size at any time.

In fact, the federal government creates money by paying its bills. The U.S. has created many trillions of dollars, simply by pressing computer keys, and will continue to do so. It does not “owe” anyone for creating these dollars. The government cannot live beyond its means; it has no means to live beyond.

By contrast, if the debts of France, Germany et al, exceed their ability to obtain euros they, as monetarily non-sovereign nations, could be forced into bankruptcy. They did not create the euro, nor do they have the unlimited ability to pay bills.

Everything you believe about your personal finances — debts, deficits, spending, affordability, saving and budgeting — are inappropriate to U.S. federal finances. For this reason, your personal intuition about U.S. financing likely is wrong.

Because no Monetarily Sovereign nation can be forced into bankruptcy, none of that nation’s agencies can be forced into bankruptcy. The U.S Supreme Court, the Department of Defense, Congress, Social Security, Medicare and any of the other 1,300 federal agencies cannot go bankrupt unless the federal government wishes it.

(All the talk about Social Security or Medicare going bankrupt is misguided. Even if FICA were eliminated, Social Security and Medicare would not need to go bankrupt.)

The unlimited ability to create money is an uncontested fact for Monetarily Sovereign nations, although at any given time,economic growth, inflation, deflation, recession, depression and social factors may influence a nation’s decision to create money. A Monetarily Sovereign nation even can choose to declare bankruptcy, for various reasons, but this would be an arbitrary matter of choice, not a forced necessity. An example would be Congress’s failure to raise the debt ceiling. This could force the U.S. into bankruptcy.

Debt hawks do not (or do not wish to) understand the implications of Monetary Sovereignty. You never will see that term on such debt hawk web sites as The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget” or the Concord Coalition. If you go to those sites you will see federal debt described in the same terms as personal debt – as an unsustainable obligation. While debt can be unsustainable for you, me, businesses, states, cities, counties and the monetarily non-sovereign EU nations, no debt is unsustainable for the U.S. government.

Debt hawks, and others ignorant of Monetary Sovereignty, suffer from Anthropomorphic economics disease — the false belief that federal finances are like yours and mine.

The U.S. was not always Monetarily Sovereign. Prior to 1971, the U.S was on a gold standard. It did not have the unlimited ability to create dollars, since every dollar needed to be backed by a fixed amount of gold. No gold; no dollars. Similarly, the EU nations are on a euro standard. Their ability to create euros is limited by law. Our states, counties and cities are on a dollar standard. Their ability to create or obtain money by borrowing or taxing is limited by local law, by voters and by lenders.

The financial problems of Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain (The PIIGS), are due not to deficits and debt. They are due to these nations having surrendered the single most valuable asset any nation can own — their Monetary Sovereignty — thus preventing them from servicing their debt by creating money.

Some debt hawks say that a Debt/GDP ratio exceeding 100% puts a nation on the brink of bankruptcy. Yet today, Japan has a Debt/GDP ratio above 200%, and this Monetarily Sovereign nation has absolutely no difficulty servicing its debt. The debt hawks, as usual, having learned nothing from this, continue to wail about the meaningless debt/GDP ratio, which because it is a classic apples/oranges comparison, is devoid of significance (the numerator is a 200-year measure of cumulative T-securities outstanding; the denominator is a one-year measure of productivity. The two are unrelated).

Because so-called federal “debt” is the total of T-securities outstanding, all federal debt easily could be eliminated tomorrow, if the federal government merely credited the bank accounts of T-securities holders. That would require pressing a few computer keys, which would increase the checking accounts and decrease the T-security accounts of federal creditors. As this would be a simple asset exchange, no new money would be created and there would be no inflation consequences.

Because a Monetarily Sovereign nation has the unlimited ability to create its sovereign currency, that nation needs neither to tax nor to borrow. Why would it? Further, that nation does not use tax money or borrowed money to pay for spending. Federal income has no relationship to federal spending and so, taxes and borrowing are unnecessary.

When the states, counties, cities, you and I spend, we transfer dollars from our checking accounts to some other checking accounts. When the federal government spends, it creates dollars, because to pay its bills, the government instructs banks to increase the dollar amount in suppliers’ checking accounts. If U.S. federal taxes and borrowing fell to $0, or rose to $100 trillion, neither event would reduce by even one penny, the federal government’s ability to create the money to pay any size bills.

Although Monetarily Sovereign nations need neither to tax nor to borrow, they may choose to do so for many reasons unrelated to financial need. The spending by Monetarily Sovereign nations is constrained only by inflation. However, since 1971, the end of the gold standard and the beginning of Monetary Sovereignty, there has been no relationship between federal deficit spending and inflation. More about this at Inflation and at SUMMARY.

At some level, deficit spending could cause inflation. For instance, if the government were to give every American $1 trillion, I am confident we would have inflation. But we are nowhere near that point. (Debt hawks love to propose extreme circumstances, like the $1 trillion gift to each American, as “proof” deficit spending is unsustainable. But that is no more proof than the other extreme circumstance (tax every American $1 trillion) demonstrates taxes are unsustainable.)

Because taxes do not pay for federal spending, FICA does not pay for Social Security benefits. FICA could (and should) be reduced to zero, and benefits could be tripled, and this would not affect by even one penny the federal government’s ability to pay Social Security benefits.

There had been some question about whether the federal government would or should make a profit on its purchases of corporate stock (GM et al). Any such profits come out of the economy, and therefore are anti-stimulative. By reducing the money supply, federal profits = losses for the economy. Federal surpluses = economic deficits.

There also has been talk about the federal government “saving” money by firing, or reducing the pay of, federal employees. Those so-called “savings” would be money not sent into the economy, and therefore, anti-stimulative.

Politicians and the press do not yet seem to understand Monetary Sovereignty. However, no one intelligently can discuss national deficits and debt without understanding the implications of Monetarily Sovereignty. The concept is the basis for all modern economics. Monetary Sovereignty is to economics as arithmetic is to mathematics.

The next time you go to any economics blog or web site, see if the contributors understand Monetarily Sovereignty and use it in their discussions. If they do, it might be a good site. If they don’t, the site is worthless.

All debt hawk objections revolve around just two questions:
1. How much money can the federal government create? Answer: Infinite
2. How much money should the federal government create? Answer: Up to the threat of uncontrollable inflation. Despite an astounding 3,500% increase in debt since 1971, we are not near the point where deficits cause uncontrollable inflation (which is controlled via interest rates). As of this writing, we are fighting deflation.

In short, most of our economic problems are caused by the politicians, the media and the public not understanding the implications of Monetary Sovereignty. By crippling the federal government’s ability to grow the U.S. economy, the Tea/Republicans have injured more Americans than Al Qaeda.

I suggest you next read the data at Summary, for detailed answers to your questions.

Question of the day: How does a tax increase or spending decrease reduce unemployment or grow the economy? Money is the lifeblood of an economy. Cutting the federal deficit to cure a recession is like applying leeches to cure anemia.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

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Nine Steps to Prosperity:
1. Eliminate FICA (Click here)
2. Medicare — parts A, B & D — for everyone
3. Send every American citizen an annual check for $5,000 or give every state $5,000 per capita (Click here)
4. Long-term nursing care for everyone
5. Free education (including post-grad) for everyone
6. Salary for attending school (Click here)
7. Eliminate corporate taxes
8. Increase the standard income tax deduction annually
9. Increase federal spending on the myriad initiatives that benefit America’s 99%

No nation can tax itself into prosperity, nor grow without money growth. Monetary Sovereignty: Cutting federal deficits to grow the economy is like applying leeches to cure anemia. Two key equations in economics:
Federal Deficits – Net Imports = Net Private Savings
Gross Domestic Product = Federal Spending + Private Investment and Consumption – Net Imports

#MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY

–Europe and the welfare-entitlement state Saturday, Apr 24 2010 

An alternative to popular faith

Today, the Wall Street Journal’s editors managed to pack one sentence with more misleading inferences than I thought possible. The sentence was: “Greece’s problems are familiar across Europe: a welfare-entitlement state that is unaffordable given the country’s anemic economic growth.

First, Greece’s economic problems are familiar across Europe, because most of Europe is in the European Union, an ill-conceived, economically doomed arrangement. These nations have essentially the same problem, and it has nothing to do with a welfare-entitlement state. It has to do with each EU nation’s inability to control its own money supply — a charter requirement for belonging to the EU. So when one nation encounters its individual economic crisis, it is prohibited from creating the money necessary to save and rebuild its economy.

The EU nations are on a “euro standard,” similar to a gold standard, in that the supply of their money is controlled by the EU. In this, the EU nations resemble California, Illinois, Cook County and Chicago, which are on a “dollar standard.” None can create the money needed to rebuild its economy.

Because a political entity on a “standard” cannot arbitrarily create money, it eventually will need to receive money from outside, either in the form of export payments, or payments from the owner of the money. For Greece, the owner is the EU. For California et al, the owner is the U.S. government.

For Greece to survive, it must receive money from the EU. It cannot survive on taxes alone, because taxing does not add money to the state. California, to survive, must receive money from the federal government.

The so called “welfare-entitlement” state merely is description of what every nation is and must be: A source of funds for the common good. Since all countries are “welfare-entitlement states, to greater or lesser degree, at what point does the state offer too much welfare?

–When the government pays for its army?
–When the government pays for roads, bridges, levees and docks?
–When the government pays for police and fire protection?
–When the government pays unemployment benefits? Food stamps? Medicaid? Housing?
–When the government pays for primary education? Secondary education? Advanced education?
–When the government pays to rebuild parts of a city that has flooded or hit by a hurricane or volcano?
–When the government provides FDIC insurance?
–When Social Security and Medicare benefits are provided to people over the age of 95? 55? 35? 10? All?
–When the government pays for vaccines? Inspects food? Supervises investments? Makes medical expenses tax deductible? Creates and enforces laws?

Where should a welfare entitlement state begin and end? I’d guess the WSJ editors, who criticize the “welfare-entitlement” state, have no idea. But, the term makes for a handy whipping boy, like “socialism” and “bailouts” and “big government” and “activist judges,” that everyone dislikes in general, but wants in the specific.

Finally, the “welfare-entitlement” state is not unaffordable because of the nation’s anemic economic growth. The government doesn’t pay its bills with Gross Domestic Product. Of course, some argue that increased GDP growth begets increased taxes, making government spending more affordable. But high taxes cause anemic economic growth, so in essence you have a circular argument and a self-fulfilling prophesy.

What makes EU governments’ spending unaffordable is the EU system, which prevents unilateral money creation. By contrast, no amount of U.S. spending is unaffordable for the U.S. government.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com


No nation can tax itself into prosperity

–Please help the Wall Street Journal Monday, Apr 12 2010 

An alternative to popular faith

Would someone please help the Wall Street Journal. I have serious concerns about those folks, because for a newspaper focused on finances, they seem clueless about . . . well, finances.

Their 4/12/10 editorial said, “[...] Greece’s predicament resembles that of New York and California [...] New York. California and Washington are on the same path.” Right, as to New York and California. Dead wrong as to Washington.

Not understanding the difference, between governments on a standard and governments not on a standard, has caused endless problems. You see, Greece is on a “euro standard.” Being on a euro standard, gold standard, or on any standard, prevents a government from increasing its money supply when necessary. President Nixon took us off the gold standard, because we were in danger of becoming what Greece is, today — a debtor with no source of money.

Greece’s “euro standard” is functionally identical with a gold standard. To pay its debts and avoid bankruptcy, it must come begging to the European Union or to the International Monetary Fund for loans. Of course these loans are nothing more than a delaying tactic. They must be paid back, with interest. Long term, they cure nothing.

Just to keep up with inflation, Greece and all governments, national, state, county and city, continuously must increase their nominal money supply. They cannot rely on taxes, for taxes do not add money to an economy. They need money coming from outside — either from exports or as gifts from another source.

Since exports are insufficient and unreliable, eventually all EU nations will need gifts from the EU, which will need to create euros out of thin air, just as the U.S. government creates dollars out of thin air.

New York and California are on a “dollar standard,” and so are similarly unable to create unlimited money. In fact, every state, city and county in America is on a dollar standard, and all eventually would go bankrupt were the federal government not to create and give them money.

The U.S. government, by contrast, cannot go bankrupt. It can create endless money to pay its bills. Now that we’re off the gold standard, no federal check ever will bounce. For the EU nations to survive, the EU must act like the U.S. federal government and supply money to its members. There is no other solution. The Wall Street Journal doesn’t understand this.

The Journal’s editorial also says, “The Obama Administration may quietly assume the U.S. can devalue its way out of debt with easy money, but sooner or later the bond vigilantes will blow the whistle on that strategy and raise U.S. borrowing costs, too.

Where does the cluelessness end? First, because the U.S. can create unlimited dollars, it does not need to devalue the dollar to pay its bills. Yes, there is an advantage for most borrowers to service loans with cheaper money, but that doesn’t apply to the U.S. government, which can service any size loan, no matter how weak or strong the dollar may be.

Second, the “bond vigilantes” can do what they will. The U.S. can pay any interest of any amount. An no, there is no historical relationship between interest rates and economic growth, as Messrs. Greenspan’s and Bernanke’s 20 futile rate reductions taught us.

Third, the U.S. doesn’t even need to borrow. Rather than creating T-securities out of thin air, it simply could, and really should, just create money out of thin air, and omit the borrowing step. Borrowing is a relic of gold standard days.

The Journal’s recommendation: “[..] stop the spending spree [...] stop the tax increases [...]“ In short, they want a balanced budget, which by decreasing the supply of inflation-adjusted, population-adjusted money, is guaranteed to cause a depression.

So, please, please, someone supply the WSJ with a clue, before it’s too late.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

–Three Equivalent Standards: Gold, Euro and Dollar Sunday, Mar 7 2010 

An alternative to popular faith

A gold Standard, indeed any Standard, consists of two parts: An asset (gold) and a system. Of the two, the system plays the leading role.

In any Standard, the system requires that for every unit of currency a country issues, that country must own a fixed amount of the chosen asset. The fundamental purpose and effect of a gold Standard, or of any Standard, is to restrict the ability of a nation to issue money.

Gold has been a popular asset with attractive attributes. It’s consistent, malleable, permanent, pretty and scarce. But, other assets can be part of a Standard, for instance: silver, platinum, copper, wheat, the euro. The euro?

Yes, nothing says the asset in a Standard must be a physical substance. The only necessary attribute is some degree of scarcity. Today, much of Europe is on a “euro Standard.” This means that to spend money, each nation first must obtain euros. The fact that the money and the euros are identical is irrelevant. Rather, the necessity of owning euros restricts each nation’s issuance of money. This restriction is the key to any Standard.

The United States abandoned the gold Standard in 1971 because it restricted the issuance of dollars. The U.S. found itself unable to obtain enough gold to fund its growing economy. It easily could have been unable to service its debts, i.e. gone bankrupt. With the elimination of the gold Standard, the U.S. government demonstrated it is able to service any size debt, while creating unlimited money to fund economic growth.

Today Greece finds itself in the same restricted position. Being on the euro Standard, Greece is now unable to create sufficient currency to fund its growth, and having been forced to borrow, now faces the (unlikely) prospect of bankruptcy. The EU has ordered Greece to reduce its debt supply (aka money supply) by raising taxes and reducing expenditures – a prescription for recession and depression.

Any political entity that cannot create money eventually will be unable to service its debts, and faces economic stagnation and ultimately, bankruptcy. American states, counties and cities are on the “dollar Standard.” Unlike the federal government, they cannot spend money without obtaining dollars. Over time, all must obtain money by raising taxes and/or cutting expenditures, both of which have a depressing effect on their economies.

To save the state, county and city economies, the U.S. federal government increasingly must support local spending. Roads, bridges and dams are local initiatives, once the financial responsibility of local governments, that will need to be funded by the federal government. Education, local transportation, infrastructure, health care and anti-poverty programs also will require federal support to prevent local economic disaster or bankruptcy.

The federal government, because it can create unlimited money without taxation, ultimately will fund the vast majority of local programs, the key political question being: Who will have the power to direct these programs, local agencies or the federal government? The anti-”big government” people do not take this reality into consideration.

Just as the American states, counties and cities can, must and will be supported by the U.S. government, the members of the EU can, must and will be supported by the only entity with the unlimited power to create money: the EU itself.

Eventually, it will become apparent that forcing EU nations to raise taxes and reduce spending only will serve to make economic growth impossible. At that point, the EU will assume the money-creation role for the euro. Thus, the euro will force a de facto “United States of Europe,” well before formal treaties are ratified.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
http://www.rodgermitchell.com

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